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2021-12-22 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2123
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.0%
in alpha space · 3.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023880.023537-1.44%0.02368-0.84%0.0389✓1.0034.3M2021-12-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.67210.662737-1.39%0.6665-0.83%0.0755✓1.8112.6M2021-12-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.311.2966-1.02%1.37+4.58%0.0101✓1.00196k2021-12-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.54026.4741-1.01%6.9038+5.56%0.0141✗1.12833k2021-12-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0368870.036535-0.95%0.039008+5.75%0.0195✗1.0213.9M2021-12-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.21190.210183-0.81%0.2212+4.39%0.0005✓1.154.2M2021-12-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37740.374345-0.81%0.389+3.07%0.0198✓1.296.6M2021-12-23
UMAUMAEthereum9.469.3862-0.78%9.83+3.91%0.0028✓1.094.1M2021-12-23
API3Api3Ethereum5.045.0033-0.73%5.18+2.78%0.0102✓1.001.8M2021-12-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01790.017772-0.72%0.01858+3.80%0.0107✓1.233.6M2021-12-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.6210.5447-0.71%11.89+11.96%0.1233✗-0.074.2M2021-12-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5792.5608-0.70%2.972+15.24%0.1083✗0.902.8M2021-12-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08891.0814-0.69%1.1094+1.88%0.0426✓1.523.0M2021-12-23
GITCOINGITCOIN10.5810.5072-0.69%11.764+11.19%0.1187✗-0.13129k2021-12-23
FTTFTXEthereum41.3341.0471-0.68%43.08+4.23%0.0031✓1.0123.4M2021-12-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.455.4129-0.68%5.92+8.62%0.0446✗1.006.8M2021-12-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08770.087118-0.66%0.08995+2.57%0.0229✓1.2222.6M2021-12-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01940.019272-0.66%0.02116+9.07%0.0722✗0.4761k2021-12-23
LRCLoopringEthereum2.19982.1855-0.65%2.316+5.28%0.0308✓1.982.3M2021-12-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.4941.2211-0.65%44.43+7.09%0.0025✓1.725.2M2021-12-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.28560.283873-0.60%0.3131+9.63%0.0423✗1.246.6M2021-12-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.13569-0.59%0.1394+2.12%0.0216✓1.08508k2021-12-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche116.66115.9871-0.58%121.37+4.04%0.0035✓1.09158.3M2021-12-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.3105-0.57%10.97+5.79%0.0286✗0.741.6M2021-12-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0609370.060589-0.57%0.06319+3.70%0.0227✓1.4411.0M2021-12-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.60781.5987-0.57%1.6908+5.16%0.0108✗1.017.8M2021-12-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum101.56100.9951-0.56%107.4+5.75%0.0182✗0.969.8M2021-12-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.0000350.000034808-0.55%0.00003868+10.51%0.0605✗1.001.9M2021-12-23
RADRadworksEthereum10.029.9666-0.53%10.52+4.99%0.0115✗0.951.9M2021-12-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10260.102055-0.53%0.1116+8.77%0.0282✗1.363.3M2021-12-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.211.2036-0.53%1.27+4.96%0.0087✗1.002.3M2021-12-23
IMXImmutableEthereum4.534.5064-0.52%4.77+5.30%0.0119✗1.002.8M2021-12-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203510.202472-0.51%0.21713+6.69%0.0020✓1.6034k2021-12-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68930.685786-0.51%0.7834+13.65%0.0778✗1.236.5M2021-12-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.06555.0397-0.51%5.2309+3.27%0.0241✓1.375.0M2021-12-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,630.7131,470.53-0.51%31,557.56-0.23%0.0221✓0.556.8M2021-12-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.69440.690909-0.50%0.7336+5.65%0.0074✗1.1714.9M2021-12-23
HIVEHivenative1.50551.4979-0.50%1.6503+9.62%0.0390✗1.2911.9M2021-12-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.733095-0.49%0.8173+10.94%0.0552✗1.197.7M2021-12-23
XVGVergenative0.017240.017158-0.48%0.01843+6.90%0.0188✗1.172.9M2021-12-23
NANOnanopayBase3.47533.4588-0.47%3.7505+7.92%0.0352✗1.02819k2021-12-23
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28953.2739-0.47%3.6798+11.87%0.0784✗0.869.3M2021-12-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45110.448972-0.47%0.4768+5.70%0.0036✓1.421.6M2021-12-23
MINAMina Protocolnative3.313.2945-0.47%3.71+12.08%0.0765✗0.94807k2021-12-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.0344.8205-0.47%49.54+10.02%0.0169✗1.8510.6M2021-12-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.36281.3565-0.46%1.4381+5.53%0.0110✗1.051.5M2021-12-23
ZENHorizenBase6867.6913-0.45%72.45+6.54%0.0044✓1.411.7M2021-12-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.055.0272-0.45%5.19+2.77%0.0275✓1.3228.7M2021-12-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27091.2652-0.45%1.2952+1.91%0.0228✓1.0323.6M2021-12-23
XECeCashnative0.000110550.000110058-0.45%0.00011442+3.50%0.0052✓0.9812.0M2021-12-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8242080.820703-0.43%0.886127+7.51%0.0312✗1.014.7M2021-12-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.96551.9571-0.42%2.0846+6.06%0.0314✗0.711.3M2021-12-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.631328-0.42%0.689+8.68%0.0335✗1.203.2M2021-12-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23723.2238-0.41%3.5141+8.55%0.0321✗1.214.0M2021-12-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07120.070909-0.41%0.0701-1.54%0.0728✓1.372.7M2021-12-23
GTGateEthereum6.1256.1003-0.40%6.259+2.19%0.0080✓0.754.7M2021-12-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.0811.0366-0.39%11.75+6.05%0.0399✗0.513.4M2021-12-23
XTZTezosTezos4.54184.5241-0.39%4.7731+5.09%0.0039✓1.285.1M2021-12-23
DODODODOEthereum0.8980.894525-0.39%0.955+6.35%0.0014✓1.439.7M2021-12-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.7291-0.39%16.85+6.71%0.0395✗0.651.5M2021-12-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.44154.8439-0.38%163.74+5.34%0.0059✓1.3760.2M2021-12-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18651.182-0.38%1.3425+13.15%0.0510✗1.701.6M2021-12-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.32930.328061-0.38%0.3861+17.25%0.1013✗1.374.4M2021-12-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.7633.6341-0.37%37.11+9.92%0.0343✗1.431.6M2021-12-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.1410.1023-0.37%10.269+1.27%0.0142✓0.68455k2021-12-23
ZECZcashZcash165.84165.2247-0.37%167.41+0.95%0.0442✓1.2813.6M2021-12-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.09420.093852-0.37%0.09675+2.71%0.0374✓1.516.4M2021-12-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.3927.2902-0.36%28.38+3.61%0.0004✓0.8641.0M2021-12-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.937.9012-0.36%8.15+2.77%0.0027✓0.631.1M2021-12-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.593.5773-0.35%3.94+9.75%0.0516✗1.0011.9M2021-12-23
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.241547-0.35%0.2518+3.88%0.0203✗0.47428k2021-12-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08650.0862-0.35%0.0898+3.82%0.0066✓1.0622k2021-12-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.838.7995-0.35%9.17+3.85%0.0083✗0.73934k2021-12-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.050290.050118-0.34%0.05048+0.38%0.0342✓0.9216.3M2021-12-23
XEMNEMnative0.13050.130061-0.34%0.1393+6.74%0.0219✗1.04202k2021-12-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0229890.022912-0.33%0.024113+4.89%0.0040✓1.232.0M2021-12-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.34090.339761-0.33%0.3628+6.42%0.0257✗0.89401k2021-12-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.00794.9913-0.33%5.1126+2.09%0.0069✓0.6931k2021-12-23
SCSiacoinnative0.016010.015957-0.33%0.01705+6.50%0.0252✗0.911.5M2021-12-23
DASHDashDash135.16134.7402-0.31%146.65+8.50%0.0305✗1.212.2M2021-12-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.61.595-0.31%1.75+9.37%0.0182✗1.661.6M2021-12-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.472.4623-0.31%2.83+14.57%0.0986✗0.904.7M2021-12-23
MOVRMoonriverBase181.9072181.3468-0.31%189.2792+4.05%0.0009✓0.97748k2021-12-23
QTUMQtumQtum9.42999.4017-0.30%10.0476+6.55%0.0048✗1.37349k2021-12-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.5138-0.29%6.07+9.76%0.0482✗1.075.3M2021-12-23
AAVEAaveEthereum206.48205.8901-0.29%247.2+19.72%0.1414✗0.9211.4M2021-12-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5124.4401-0.29%25.85+5.47%0.0251✗0.692.7M2021-12-23
TRXTRONTron0.0790460.078821-0.28%0.08261+4.51%0.0044✗0.95787k2021-12-23
BANDBandEthereum5.365.3448-0.28%5.73+6.90%0.0185✗1.142.8M2021-12-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6735.5703-0.28%37.56+5.30%0.0097✗1.006.2M2021-12-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20770.20712-0.28%0.2297+10.59%0.0516✗1.157.6M2021-12-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2711.2675-0.28%1.301+2.36%0.0168✓0.964.4M2021-12-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5691.5648-0.27%1.645+4.84%0.0086✓1.305.4M2021-12-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9219.8673-0.26%22.19+11.40%0.0572✗1.1967.0M2021-12-23
SOLSolanaSolana178.45177.9782-0.26%190.07+6.51%0.0251✗0.90265.5M2021-12-23
KSMKusamaHydration273.22272.5007-0.26%291.44+6.67%0.0201✗1.051.5M2021-12-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1812.1481-0.26%12.52+2.79%0.0433✗-0.295.4M2021-12-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7593.7492-0.26%3.838+2.10%0.0215✓1.003.6M2021-12-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8011.7963-0.26%1.983+10.11%0.0416✗1.286.8M2021-12-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.106020.10575-0.25%0.11374+7.28%0.0479✗0.56143k2021-12-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.073.0623-0.25%3.28+6.84%0.0117✗1.273.2M2021-12-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.0832.997-0.25%34.18+3.33%0.0068✗0.63711k2021-12-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731880.172785-0.23%0.184934+6.78%0.0192✗1.085.5M2021-12-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.115070.114803-0.23%0.12079+4.97%0.0024✗1.0830k2021-12-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056850.05672-0.23%0.05928+4.27%0.0036✓1.0620k2021-12-23
SUSHISushiEthereum6.366.3457-0.23%7.3+14.78%0.0820✗1.2913.8M2021-12-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.59953.5917-0.22%3.6067+0.20%0.0083✗-0.09372k2021-12-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20780.207355-0.21%0.214+2.98%0.0067✓0.85776k2021-12-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.798.7715-0.21%9.28+5.57%0.0275✗0.641.1M2021-12-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,608.6248,507.43-0.21%50,842.20+4.60%0.0021✗1.00750.8M2021-12-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.2427.1835-0.21%29.17+7.09%0.0162✗1.2175.5M2021-12-23
COMPCompoundEthereum206.65206.2317-0.20%230.55+11.57%0.0658✗1.02236k2021-12-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8623.8543-0.20%4.157+7.64%0.0452✗0.68487k2021-12-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.45672.4518-0.20%2.5126+2.28%0.0253✓1.11147k2021-12-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0244.0162-0.20%4.331+7.63%0.0403✗0.78714k2021-12-23
ADACardanoCardano1.32791.3253-0.19%1.4743+11.02%0.0618✗0.99128.9M2021-12-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36411.3615-0.19%1.4697+7.74%0.0314✗1.0035.5M2021-12-23
KCSKuCoinnative21.43521.396-0.18%23.316+8.78%0.0112✗1.6622.7M2021-12-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3423.2986-0.18%27.01+15.72%0.0891✗1.3121.2M2021-12-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1515.1419-0.18%5.4+4.83%0.0214✗0.61936k2021-12-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3841-0.17%3.57+5.31%0.0105✗0.961.3M2021-12-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2272.2233-0.16%2.334+4.80%0.0007✓1.103.4M2021-12-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.9732.9681-0.16%3.111+4.64%0.0095✗0.83103k2021-12-23
XVSVenusEthereum15.5615.5345-0.16%16.16+3.86%0.0112✓1.135.7M2021-12-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2588.2453-0.15%8.852+7.19%0.0139✗1.27635k2021-12-23
XMRMoneroMonero190.53190.2385-0.15%210.04+10.24%0.0599✗0.872.8M2021-12-23
QNTQuantEthereum182.5182.2219-0.15%195.7+7.23%0.0313✗0.8912.1M2021-12-23
ETHEthereumEthereum3,981.123,975.60-0.14%4,113.08+3.31%0.0125✓1.03768.5M2021-12-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.3437.746-0.13%455.7+3.97%0.0051✓1.0114.2M2021-12-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.67123.5254-0.12%129.81+4.96%0.0064✗0.962.8M2021-12-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2677240.267421-0.11%0.287776+7.49%0.0295✗0.9839.0M2021-12-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.6335.593-0.10%37.35+4.83%0.0031✗1.0022.5M2021-12-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.356762-0.07%0.372+4.20%0.0091✗0.7349k2021-12-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.76541.7642-0.07%2.2356+26.63%0.2103✗0.598.5M2021-12-23
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2116.2008-0.06%18.18+12.15%0.0597✗1.2414.1M2021-12-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,803.2048,805.40+0.00%50,984.80+4.47%0.0003✗0.9812k2021-12-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.