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2021-12-19 · +1d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0515
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.6%
in alpha space · 68.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.6565+0.29%1.5221-7.85%0.0871✗0.489.0M2021-12-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.071045+0.20%0.06558-7.50%0.0852✗1.0123.2M2021-12-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0047,193.68+0.07%46,868.20-0.62%0.0120✗0.9915k2021-12-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.6842+0.06%21.75-4.06%0.0489✗1.3320.5M2021-12-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.363185+0.05%0.349-3.86%0.0437✗0.7554k2021-12-20
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9714.9739+0.03%14.52-3.01%0.0373✗1.2914.2M2021-12-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.192133-0.04%0.1991+3.59%0.0295✗1.218.9M2021-12-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.6373-0.04%7.94+19.58%0.1759✗0.641.1M2021-12-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.5484-0.04%3.711+4.54%0.0414✗0.67532k2021-12-20
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44195.3444-0.05%188.43-3.59%0.0415✓1.07228k2021-12-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.7195-0.05%5.033+6.59%0.0611✗0.63961k2021-12-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02122.9529-0.05%121.71-1.06%0.0153✓1.002.3M2021-12-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.253742-0.06%0.25839+1.77%0.0131✗0.9939.3M2021-12-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.8868-0.06%3.939+1.29%0.0092✗0.82780k2021-12-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.835.7793-0.06%34.86-2.63%0.0313✓1.0320.8M2021-12-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.9032-0.06%7.411-6.28%0.0712✓1.36640k2021-12-20
QTUMQtumQtum9.08399.0776-0.07%8.9718-1.23%0.0193✓1.48356k2021-12-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.9537-0.08%8.46+6.28%0.0583✗0.661.1M2021-12-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.070641-0.08%0.0652-7.78%0.0872✓1.383.5M2021-12-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.3297-0.08%2.2563-3.23%0.0381✓1.19191k2021-12-20
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.3253-0.09%5.48+2.81%0.0220✗1.3012.7M2021-12-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7824.7573-0.09%24.08-2.82%0.0341✓1.2575.1M2021-12-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.217-0.09%3.23+0.31%0.0010✓0.991.3M2021-12-20
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.4642-0.10%14.84-4.13%0.0471✓1.166.6M2021-12-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94432.4946-0.10%430.28-0.61%0.0105✓1.0514.2M2021-12-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.8677-0.10%12.14+2.19%0.0244✗-0.335.9M2021-12-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.707-0.11%2.77+2.21%0.0165✗1.282.9M2021-12-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.4513-0.11%1.409-3.03%0.0364✓1.335.6M2021-12-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.3549-0.11%1.2978-4.32%0.0484✓1.0638.2M2021-12-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.100364-0.12%0.09914-1.33%0.0150✓0.53143k2021-12-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.603298-0.12%0.607+0.50%0.0002✓1.243.4M2021-12-20
XMRMoneroMonero183.97183.7539-0.12%188.84+2.65%0.0223✗0.982.9M2021-12-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.1285-0.12%2.04-4.27%0.0482✓1.123.4M2021-12-20
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44183.2143-0.12%181.01-1.32%0.0171✓0.9810.9M2021-12-20
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.015351-0.12%0.01493-2.86%0.0325✓0.922.1M2021-12-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.9801-0.13%2.838-4.89%0.0533✓0.86105k2021-12-20
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809183.1431-0.13%176.9138-3.53%0.0405✓1.151.2M2021-12-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.091936-0.13%0.08901-3.31%0.0398✓1.467.0M2021-12-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4513.4319-0.13%15.3+13.75%0.1268✗0.671.6M2021-12-20
ZECZcashZcash157.78157.566-0.14%157.02-0.48%0.0105✓1.3915.2M2021-12-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.305883-0.14%0.3017-1.50%0.0213✓1.474.9M2021-12-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.2027-0.14%5.11-1.92%0.0235✓1.085.5M2021-12-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.525-0.14%3.2-9.35%0.1018✓1.0012.1M2021-12-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.324735-0.14%0.3175-2.37%0.0270✓0.88775k2021-12-20
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,920.04-0.15%3,946.16+0.52%0.0011✓1.08768.5M2021-12-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.169281-0.15%0.167179-1.39%0.0182✓1.125.3M2021-12-20
KCSKuCoinnative21.2321.1988-0.15%21.103-0.60%0.0133✓1.7324.3M2021-12-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8934.837-0.15%34.54-1.00%0.0140✓1.066.9M2021-12-20
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.2424-0.15%1.2381-0.50%0.0087✓1.03131.8M2021-12-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.110867-0.16%0.10877-2.04%0.0248✓1.1231k2021-12-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.05555-0.16%0.05406-2.84%0.0330✓1.1422k2021-12-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8431.7884-0.16%30.38-4.59%0.0531✓1.521.6M2021-12-20
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.82463-0.17%0.811-1.82%0.0242✓1.4712.1M2021-12-20
DASHDashDash129.18128.9653-0.17%127.33-1.43%0.0192✓1.252.2M2021-12-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5474-0.17%1.51-2.58%0.0331✓1.692.1M2021-12-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.217-0.17%1.195-1.97%0.0233✓1.005.1M2021-12-20
BANDBandEthereum5.125.1113-0.17%5.06-1.17%0.0161✓1.182.8M2021-12-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.4715-0.17%3.5742+2.78%0.0297✗-0.10372k2021-12-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1822.1421-0.17%21.53-2.93%0.0323✓0.8342.5M2021-12-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.769039-0.17%0.755084-1.98%0.0238✓1.084.8M2021-12-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.200851-0.17%0.2037+1.24%0.0096✗0.88776k2021-12-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.610.5814-0.18%10.45-1.42%0.0150✓0.504.2M2021-12-20
QNTQuantEthereum182.22181.8987-0.18%174.01-4.51%0.0489✓0.9012.3M2021-12-20
XEMNEMnative0.12880.128571-0.18%0.1249-3.03%0.0346✓1.11191k2021-12-20
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.079362-0.18%0.07761-2.38%0.0274✓0.99735k2021-12-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.094529-0.18%0.095+0.32%0.0020✓1.363.6M2021-12-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.6214-0.18%3.801+4.77%0.0433✗1.003.8M2021-12-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.183.174-0.19%3.16-0.63%0.0095✓0.98821k2021-12-20
KSMKusamaHydration274.31273.7776-0.19%263.85-3.81%0.0426✓1.111.5M2021-12-20
ZENHorizenBase65.5265.3928-0.19%61.49-6.15%0.0694✓1.552.2M2021-12-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.3237-0.20%8.69+4.20%0.0391✗0.79824k2021-12-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.644535-0.20%0.6286-2.66%0.0313✓1.238.7M2021-12-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02333.0173-0.20%3.1667+4.74%0.0421✗1.214.7M2021-12-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2532.1858-0.20%31.99-0.81%0.0095✓0.66754k2021-12-20
XTZTezosTezos4.13834.1299-0.20%4.1064-0.77%0.0124✓1.324.2M2021-12-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.5625-0.20%9.65+12.47%0.1160✗0.701.9M2021-12-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.1289-0.20%1.1076-2.09%0.0282✓1.781.6M2021-12-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.047902-0.20%0.04664-2.83%0.0316✓0.9615.8M2021-12-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1946,589.03-0.21%46,926.07+0.51%0.0021✓1.00744.5M2021-12-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.8403-0.21%18.78-0.53%0.0098✓1.2969.7M2021-12-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.29.1803-0.21%9.01-2.07%0.0179✓-0.163.7M2021-12-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.68942-0.21%0.6692-3.14%0.0359✓1.218.2M2021-12-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0618-0.21%1.0799+1.48%0.0120✗0.9523.6M2021-12-20
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2799.259-0.22%8.955-3.49%0.0323✓-0.21119k2021-12-20
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.3481-0.22%3.2888-1.99%0.0232✓1.04781k2021-12-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.7251-0.23%4.888+3.21%0.0269✗1.375.2M2021-12-20
XVGVergenative0.016740.016701-0.23%0.01664-0.60%0.0097✓1.183.6M2021-12-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.174.1601-0.24%4.11-1.44%0.0189✓1.3328.7M2021-12-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.646582-0.25%0.6222-4.01%0.0447✓1.2414.9M2021-12-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.4139-0.25%2.39-1.24%0.0149✓0.964.9M2021-12-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8340.7246-0.26%40.37-1.13%0.0187✓1.9413.8M2021-12-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.7505-0.26%1.671-4.79%0.0531✓1.307.6M2021-12-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.6803-0.26%1.6264-3.46%0.0360✓0.651.4M2021-12-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.262399-0.27%0.2674+1.63%0.0124✗1.277.4M2021-12-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.275-0.28%1.239-3.09%0.0342✓1.091.6M2021-12-20
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.8727-0.28%9.53-3.74%0.0403✓0.971.9M2021-12-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.9197-0.28%4.901-0.66%0.0078✓0.7831k2021-12-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7324.6606-0.28%23.75-3.96%0.0431✓1.073.0M2021-12-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.023105-0.29%0.022282-3.84%0.0426✓1.241.9M2021-12-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.084354-0.29%0.0836-1.18%0.0147✓1.1124k2021-12-20
SOLSolanaSolana179.95179.4164-0.30%174.06-3.27%0.0355✓1.02281.0M2021-12-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31152.844-0.30%152.71-0.39%0.0082✓1.4463.2M2021-12-20
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.256911-0.31%0.2405-6.67%0.0684✓0.47434k2021-12-20
XECeCashnative0.000108670.000108337-0.31%0.00010638-2.11%0.0233✓1.0014.3M2021-12-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2994.9764-0.33%92.63-2.79%0.0299✓0.9610.9M2021-12-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1435.0225-0.33%34.09-2.99%0.0360✓1.766.8M2021-12-20
GTGateEthereum5.79835.7787-0.34%5.8354+0.64%0.0056✗0.825.2M2021-12-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.3271-0.34%2.312-0.99%0.0112✓0.923.4M2021-12-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.32210.2866-0.34%10.241-0.78%0.0078✓0.67374k2021-12-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000030652-0.35%0.00003122+1.50%0.0132✗1.001.8M2021-12-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.060679-0.36%0.057981-4.79%0.0532✓1.5113.9M2021-12-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.202934-0.36%0.19466-4.42%0.0500✓1.6537k2021-12-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.433335-0.41%0.4213-3.17%0.0333✓1.001.8M2021-12-20
UMAUMAEthereum9.099.0521-0.42%8.75-3.74%0.0396✓1.114.1M2021-12-20
HIVEHivenative1.46421.4574-0.46%1.4-4.38%0.0470✓1.3312.4M2021-12-20
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25673.2415-0.47%3.1901-2.04%0.0205✓0.8812.2M2021-12-20
FTTFTXEthereum39.7439.5465-0.49%40.57+2.09%0.0201✗1.0726.1M2021-12-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.6107.0627-0.50%113.55+5.53%0.0530✗1.13164.3M2021-12-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.9252-0.52%5.8629-1.56%0.0166✓1.19876k2021-12-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.135789-0.52%0.1303-4.54%0.0469✓1.10648k2021-12-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.4624-0.53%1.3895-5.48%0.0562✓1.017.8M2021-12-20
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05192.0407-0.55%2.0189-1.61%0.0208✓1.972.3M2021-12-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0709-0.56%1.0483-2.66%0.0291✓1.523.6M2021-12-20
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.4747-0.56%4.28-4.89%0.0496✓1.003.1M2021-12-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1633-0.57%1.19+1.71%0.0176✗1.002.4M2021-12-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.017508-0.58%0.01728-1.87%0.0195✓1.263.6M2021-12-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.363673-0.58%0.3532-3.44%0.0359✓1.317.0M2021-12-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5131,800.00-0.62%36,818.43+15.07%0.1436✗0.575.5M2021-12-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.24.1731-0.64%4.79+14.05%0.1328✗1.001.7M2021-12-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.6734-0.82%5.76+0.70%0.0101✗1.0011.5M2021-12-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.020151-0.98%0.01925-5.41%0.0486✓0.5661k2021-12-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.424739-0.99%0.5372+25.22%0.2257✗1.8010.2M2021-12-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.016722-0.99%0.01809+7.10%0.0735✗1.0033.0M2021-12-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.037825-1.74%0.035847-6.88%0.0589✓1.0215.0M2021-12-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.270367-2.32%0.219-20.88%0.2169✓1.223.7M2021-12-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.