XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · lstm_s2

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1222

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0056

actual -0.0283

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.307481	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.305583	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.292565	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.292438	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.292343	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.306366	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.303207	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.299049	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.313336	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.292557	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.313435	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.291279	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.289685	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.280614	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.304513	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.334048	+0.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.338127	+0.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.333453	+1.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.32337	+0.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.317427	+0.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.327446	+0.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.31124	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.309389	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.309842	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.322898	+0.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.329223	+0.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.330779	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.331892	+0.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.326339	+0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.351114	+1.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.344313	+1.35%	0.31526	-7.20%	0.0401	✗	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.34096	-2.50%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.1117	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.355275	-3.19%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1761	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.290249	-1.78%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0185	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.248749	-2.33%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1231	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.247899	-2.26%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1694	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.244028	-2.18%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1569	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.268707	-1.52%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.0968	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.276377	-2.58%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.0724	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.260702	-1.91%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.0899	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.249741	-0.43%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1724	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.248883	-1.71%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1031	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.265332	+0.63%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0617	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.252464	+1.13%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.0920	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.240812	+2.40%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2041	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.249347	+3.52%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2214	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.247593	+3.67%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2295	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.23997	+4.20%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2324	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.24069	+5.27%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2468	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.226241	+3.86%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2286	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.223343	+4.19%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.2685	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.223358	+4.94%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.2784	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.22127	+4.91%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2598	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.231311	+5.31%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2309	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.232554	+5.38%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2323	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.246535	+6.80%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2315	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.2432	+6.69%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2421	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.239335	+7.03%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2436	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.247616	+7.60%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.1964	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.250741	+6.66%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2095	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.247592	+6.53%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.1845	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.259907	+7.76%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2569	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.230162	+3.87%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3482	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.211795	-1.36%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1553	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.197453	-1.33%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0611	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.196764	-1.31%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0591	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.192306	-1.28%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0433	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.195287	-1.34%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.0818	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.193953	-1.32%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1462	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.19415	-1.31%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.0807	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.191861	-1.25%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0353	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.192102	-1.25%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0585	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.196014	-1.27%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0592	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.199579	-1.32%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0000	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.205046	-1.44%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0954	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.198833	-1.29%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0612	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.198186	-1.27%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0695	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.194339	-1.19%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0801	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.195679	-1.20%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.1284	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.2007	-1.33%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1573	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.197588	-1.30%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1606	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.196193	-1.27%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1908	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.198374	-1.35%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1959	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.202785	-1.31%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1532	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.201514	-1.25%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1479	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.204276	-1.28%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1535	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.204889	-1.21%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1541	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.220112	-1.39%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1980	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.220728	-1.36%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1954	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.225039	-1.42%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1788	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.231732	-1.48%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1912	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.224616	-1.21%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1275	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.226061	-1.12%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1292	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.225567	-1.15%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1208	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.220978	-1.06%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0992	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.222965	-1.04%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.1060	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.220081	-0.99%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.1025	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.218432	-0.92%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0845	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.22539	-0.95%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.1053	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.229578	-1.00%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1260	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.218413	-1.00%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1385	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.224705	-0.96%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1404	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.228594	-0.98%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1434	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.233466	-0.99%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1562	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.232947	-1.04%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1441	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.238658	-1.21%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2182	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.250804	-1.33%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2396	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.247596	-1.20%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2411	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.25046	-1.28%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2433	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.236476	-1.11%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1576	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.242386	-1.20%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.2090	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.21297	-0.67%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.0915	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.209497	-0.12%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0915	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.209289	+3.42%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.1265	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.211288	-0.21%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.0989	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.211909	+0.72%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0993	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.212473	-0.08%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0892	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.215136	-0.39%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0543	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.212626	-0.06%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0279	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.21363	-0.66%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0123	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.219383	-0.73%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0282	✗	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.226605	-0.74%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0324	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.227175	-0.79%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0486	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.23518	-0.81%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0466	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.242182	-0.96%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.1016	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.229097	-0.85%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0492	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.243008	-0.86%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0799	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.242995	-0.74%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0666	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.239788	-0.63%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0274	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.237968	-0.66%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0144	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.236446	-0.76%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0330	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.232137	-0.81%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0263	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.232512	-0.81%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0106	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.224998	-1.02%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0014	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.235357	-1.02%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0252	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.243187	-1.01%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0074	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.242947	-1.04%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0449	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.241939	-1.04%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0185	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.241154	-0.87%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0076	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.273977	-1.45%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1252	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.291382	-1.69%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1493	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.289789	-1.53%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2213	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.313734	-1.34%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2402	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.323525	-1.35%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2551	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.327701	-1.32%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2531	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.301095	-1.17%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1697	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.306115	-1.19%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1817	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.314824	-1.19%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1868	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.327757	-1.20%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.2225	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.33001	-1.15%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.2093	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.331356	-1.15%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.2145	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.340808	-1.27%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2363	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.330484	-1.22%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.2074	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.345036	-1.32%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.2070	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.336785	-1.24%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1413	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.330054	-1.17%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1784	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.33769	-1.25%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1618	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.335946	-1.24%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1691	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.352452	-1.38%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2339	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.359697	-1.44%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2406	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.372343	-1.47%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2396	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.369075	-1.55%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2584	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.378885	-1.58%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2733	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.390998	-1.60%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.2950	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.394332	-1.55%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2565	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.380729	-1.57%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2264	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.38768	-1.73%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2555	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.369948	-1.47%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1812	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.378102	-1.29%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2002	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.370368	-1.24%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0688	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.357548	-1.20%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0116	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.357814	-1.37%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0488	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.361151	-1.41%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0390	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.360786	-1.45%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0405	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.359507	-1.59%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0484	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.364903	-1.66%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1512	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.378147	-1.75%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1651	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.372266	-1.62%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1188	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.365751	-1.33%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0635	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.364109	-1.45%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0820	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.366878	-1.47%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0845	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.369756	-1.25%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0492	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.367537	-1.29%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0607	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.36123	-1.48%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0470	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.360907	-1.50%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0764	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.348909	-1.47%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0813	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.35987	-1.43%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0661	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.374493	-1.41%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.1000	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.370711	-1.58%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0733	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.355818	-1.41%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0270	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.34166	-1.31%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0167	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.350248	-1.34%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0089	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.337514	-1.28%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0083	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.349009	-1.35%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0231	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.353684	-1.40%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0113	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.348545	-1.36%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0067	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.34719	-1.34%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0129	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.356027	-1.43%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0484	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.337578	-1.19%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0330	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.34045	-1.26%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0547	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.344127	-1.34%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.1147	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.344965	-1.37%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.1041	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.338213	-1.25%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0770	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.347275	-1.29%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0817	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.347985	-1.25%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0604	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.342473	-1.25%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0436	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.335798	-1.18%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0070	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.342017	-1.18%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0504	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.345673	-1.15%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0978	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.365571	-1.20%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.1083	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.384266	-1.19%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.1123	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.394623	-1.37%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1548	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.38852	-1.28%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1392	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.37369	-1.30%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1351	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.383585	-1.27%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1402	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.39967	-0.91%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1660	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.390323	+0.24%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1445	✗	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.391536	-0.47%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.1071	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.393381	-0.86%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0597	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.397497	-0.80%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.0959	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.383935	-0.77%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.1215	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.394567	+4.36%	0.355	-6.11%	0.1493	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.391717	+4.93%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.1334	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.389151	+5.72%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.1306	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.387515	+6.17%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.1160	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.386532	+6.42%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.1156	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.387646	+6.70%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.1349	✗	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.385595	+7.38%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.1526	✗	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.389861	+7.79%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.1558	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.399831	+7.80%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.1613	✗	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.405915	+5.60%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0989	✗	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.388927	-0.43%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0227	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.409194	+8.77%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.1558	✗	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.408186	+8.62%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.1377	✗	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.41095	+10.74%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.1920	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.425518	+10.67%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.2010	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.425667	+11.05%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.2268	✗	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.430001	+9.69%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.1989	✗	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.42617	+7.62%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.1725	✗	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.400749	+9.46%	0.37	+1.07%	0.1520	✗	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.403236	+9.29%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.1347	✗	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.402982	+6.31%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0499	✓	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.396007	+1.89%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0489	✗	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.394789	+0.61%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0398	✗	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.400489	+4.63%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0591	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.40466	+5.16%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0633	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.393886	-0.28%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0473	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.393818	-1.36%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0353	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.391212	-1.71%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0586	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.411695	-2.72%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0981	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.396034	-2.55%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0803	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.395546	-1.15%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1198	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.387092	-1.79%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0933	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.391569	-2.70%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0868	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.400356	-2.52%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0940	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.401866	-2.53%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.0966	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.409985	-2.79%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.1088	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.417452	-2.88%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0838	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.400605	+1.81%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1748	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.452616	-3.21%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.1240	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.459912	-2.79%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.1121	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.467632	-2.33%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0963	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.451283	-2.28%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0608	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.457311	-1.91%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0537	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.498585	-1.39%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0367	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.50164	-1.37%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0218	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.527336	-1.62%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0011	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.560156	-1.85%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0590	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.555426	-1.76%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0621	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.552753	-1.68%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0898	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.572759	-2.06%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0985	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.576453	-2.16%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.1247	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.567106	-2.19%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0892	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.580525	-2.32%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.1036	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.540653	-2.11%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0613	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.594567	-2.59%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.1166	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.569528	-2.49%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0462	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.587237	-2.44%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0755	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.603706	-2.46%	0.398	-35.69%	0.1016	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.568896	-2.27%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0065	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.566041	-2.07%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0030	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.578399	-2.33%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0056	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.54158	-2.38%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0176	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.555061	-2.45%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0452	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.567222	-2.49%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0677	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.56593	-2.41%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0503	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.57295	-2.39%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0247	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.554947	-2.18%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0583	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.585561	-2.21%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.0841	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.548814	-1.93%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1405	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.533446	-1.90%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1099	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.522337	-1.83%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.0831	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.518894	-1.80%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.0734	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.498001	-1.64%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.0784	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.486711	-1.63%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.0851	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.508477	-1.74%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0533	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.483299	-1.61%	0.536	+9.12%	0.0762	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.491347	-1.69%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1333	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.477029	-1.60%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1642	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.468302	-1.49%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.1924	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.438687	-1.20%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2629	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.438508	-1.15%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2714	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.439045	-1.14%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2516	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.438156	-1.07%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.2944	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.434264	-1.03%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2447	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.446317	-1.17%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2582	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.438516	-1.10%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2154	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.425998	-1.09%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2202	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.436023	-1.15%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2297	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.455043	-1.27%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1475	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.455293	-1.43%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1030	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.470775	-1.49%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1369	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.493896	-1.54%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1043	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.485135	-1.44%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1518	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.499832	-1.26%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.1794	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.487861	-1.18%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.1923	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.492816	-1.14%	0.587	+17.75%	0.1961	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.486287	-1.30%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1460	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.467906	-1.16%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2042	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.473961	-1.30%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1062	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.471933	-1.23%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1135	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.491013	-0.95%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.0998	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.498277	-0.90%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1042	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.481597	-0.84%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.0840	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.463689	-1.32%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0476	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.479223	-0.94%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1050	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.488605	-0.83%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0583	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.500299	-0.88%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0420	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.506048	-0.87%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0069	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.505176	-0.93%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0148	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.50189	-1.26%	0.444	-12.65%	0.1202	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.49814	-1.21%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.1060	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.481989	-1.37%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0913	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.478795	-1.54%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1385	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.489808	-1.65%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1658	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.499651	-1.61%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1288	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.527644	-1.28%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.1204	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.538006	-1.38%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.1030	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.522414	-1.34%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0743	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.542084	-1.68%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0624	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.560911	-2.08%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0501	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.54475	-2.01%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0317	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.555866	-2.02%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0468	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.571985	-1.99%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0293	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.581936	-1.89%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0228	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.616211	-1.71%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0110	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.615261	-1.95%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0259	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.63348	-2.66%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0614	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.674123	-3.24%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.1517	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.581966	-2.79%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0103	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.525345	-1.84%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1370	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.506867	-2.27%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1275	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.525606	-1.31%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1687	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.572686	-1.27%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1406	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.57077	-1.30%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.1958	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.572846	-1.28%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1408	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.558287	-1.22%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1579	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.5821	-1.31%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1619	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.584759	-1.14%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2139	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.593289	-1.17%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2312	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.606378	-1.31%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2709	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.597731	-1.33%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2246	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.595801	-1.26%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2136	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.586815	-1.25%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2510	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.575075	-1.32%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2500	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.578522	-1.31%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2472	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.590101	-1.37%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2261	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.58821	-1.45%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.1884	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.578198	-1.43%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.1669	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.569793	-1.38%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.1716	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.587636	-1.46%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.1821	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.598334	-1.65%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.1916	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.616162	-2.03%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1288	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.642486	-2.36%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1126	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.616945	-2.25%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1407	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.570592	-1.66%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1644	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.553871	-1.74%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2497	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.663854	-2.06%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2263	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.673224	-1.86%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.2854	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.664822	-2.15%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1519	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.705116	-1.68%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0177	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.703635	-1.54%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0263	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.683465	-1.46%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0530	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.708861	-1.45%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0579	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.701445	-1.54%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0633	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.691301	-1.68%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0604	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.655098	-2.03%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0725	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.656924	-1.91%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0507	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.659591	-2.10%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.1186	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.654719	-2.35%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1483	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.664272	-2.36%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1458	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.642386	-2.28%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0959	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.686258	-1.70%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0966	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.686938	-1.80%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.1180	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.687466	-1.66%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0926	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.737445	-1.73%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.1364	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.747752	-1.72%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1534	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.743354	-1.65%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.1243	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.778038	-1.74%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.1494	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.774949	-1.76%	0.57775	-26.76%	0.1571	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.