XRD

Radix · native · lstm_s2

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1207

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0115

actual -0.0502

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00020255	0.000195779	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00020935	0.00020211	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000196666	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000153879	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.00014925	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000138364	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.00019629	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000263941	-2.17%	0.00020255	-24.93%	0.2424	✓	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000295322	-2.31%	0.00020935	-30.75%	0.3180	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000305746	-2.63%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.4096	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000322663	-2.70%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.7023	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000308161	-2.70%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.7005	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000306807	-2.60%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7634	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000298577	-2.52%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.4004	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000308465	-2.42%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1300	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000324032	-2.61%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.0856	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000325704	-2.69%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0596	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000339213	-2.58%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0613	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000349723	-2.35%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.1262	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000346596	-2.59%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.1137	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000358362	-2.46%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1763	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000370566	-2.25%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1901	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000370516	-2.34%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.1104	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000399408	-2.06%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.1584	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000406975	-2.02%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.1349	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000434496	-1.74%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1745	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000450329	-1.67%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.2326	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000429792	-1.75%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.1530	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000462868	-1.62%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1953	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000489253	-1.58%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2622	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000520757	-1.19%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2693	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000463098	-1.32%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.1369	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000530998	-2.77%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1620	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000510667	-2.77%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0888	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000549149	-3.27%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.2081	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000548712	-4.75%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.1017	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000484194	-3.82%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.0799	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000528725	-4.85%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0641	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000486562	-3.62%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0056	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.0004754	-3.59%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1620	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000491374	-3.79%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.0880	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.00046836	-3.33%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.2119	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000473031	-3.46%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.1961	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000455034	-3.08%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.0906	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000464468	-3.16%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1660	✗	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000418885	-3.37%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1829	✗	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000466696	-3.24%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0371	✗	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.00045512	-3.62%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.1019	✗	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.00048519	-3.33%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0129	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000464516	-3.82%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0330	✓	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000573858	+0.66%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.1999	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.00059655	+0.87%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2173	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000628834	+0.99%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.3710	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000850138	+2.49%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5662	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000890445	+2.68%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6343	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000894667	+2.56%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5780	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000828471	+1.98%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5404	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000832962	+1.68%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3779	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000920402	+1.86%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4412	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000941686	+1.56%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.4131	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.00089268	+1.08%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0734	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.00079494	+0.52%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0864	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000928364	+0.78%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0624	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000918142	-0.63%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1182	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000955077	-1.17%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1571	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001022	-1.69%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1639	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.0008819	-1.01%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0164	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000916006	-1.13%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0807	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000948182	-1.29%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2230	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000909368	-1.09%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0319	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000927861	-1.18%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0333	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000966897	-1.39%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0197	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000916407	-1.12%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1224	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000898708	-1.03%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0106	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000909798	-1.08%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0247	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000922142	-1.12%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0470	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.00091587	-1.09%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0098	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000903697	-1.04%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0408	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000950826	-1.24%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0343	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000935164	-1.18%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0075	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.00096818	-1.37%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0655	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000970168	-1.40%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0576	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000937796	-1.22%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0121	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000951559	-1.30%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0335	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000949999	-1.26%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0381	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.00095183	-1.28%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0092	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000964688	-1.36%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0199	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000979814	-1.48%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0025	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.001006	-1.60%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0161	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000977373	-1.51%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0244	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001081	-2.69%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.1098	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000819753	-0.76%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1619	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000823432	-0.74%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1695	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000805167	-0.68%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2088	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000827217	-0.71%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.1930	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.0008381	-0.71%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.1946	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000856056	-0.74%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1506	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000886757	-0.80%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2240	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000869431	-0.74%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0587	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000858165	-0.70%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0429	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000845327	-0.65%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0519	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000840237	-0.60%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0294	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000918083	-0.76%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0898	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000851458	-0.61%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0059	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000884076	-0.65%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0126	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000904308	-0.68%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0359	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000912195	-0.69%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0703	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000895728	-0.66%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0623	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000904916	-0.68%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0565	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000925536	-0.71%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0014	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.00089221	-0.67%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0444	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000874965	-0.64%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0077	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000887095	-0.64%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0160	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000883926	-0.59%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0245	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000847573	-0.38%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0350	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000855097	-0.45%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0422	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000868091	-0.39%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0468	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000862354	-0.33%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0222	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000891675	-0.36%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0276	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000913415	-0.35%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0337	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000941118	-0.41%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0495	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000968366	-0.48%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0997	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001051	-0.62%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1781	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.00106	-0.60%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1710	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001104	-0.71%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2173	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001087	-0.65%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1724	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001095	-0.65%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1579	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001083	-0.67%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1156	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001098	-0.74%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.1038	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001112	-0.80%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0362	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001106	-0.79%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0225	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001119	-0.81%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0049	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001094	-0.72%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0003	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001105	-0.76%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0018	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001105	-0.66%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0319	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001118	-0.72%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0352	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001089	-0.69%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0081	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001053	-0.54%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0425	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001036	-0.08%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0625	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001031	+0.07%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0502	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001078	-0.52%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0330	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001052	-0.32%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0736	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.001012	-0.34%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1474	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001032	-0.78%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1324	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001069	-0.99%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0778	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.00106	-0.95%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.0894	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001077	-1.00%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0718	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001073	-0.99%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1011	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001107	-1.14%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0395	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001146	-1.36%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0471	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001103	-1.19%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0049	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.001009	-0.90%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.0994	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.001008	-0.81%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0873	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001055	-0.84%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0508	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001063	-0.92%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0581	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001071	-0.90%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0751	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001116	-0.98%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0496	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001136	-1.02%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0209	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001137	-1.00%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.1063	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001161	-1.06%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1204	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001181	-1.10%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0723	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001198	-1.01%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0805	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001209	-1.13%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0971	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001233	-1.15%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0590	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001238	-0.94%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0342	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001236	-0.78%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0330	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001245	-1.09%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0375	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001232	-1.08%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0212	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001247	-1.11%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0391	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001275	-0.70%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0186	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001266	-0.59%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0104	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001275	-0.96%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0430	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001249	-1.13%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0470	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001249	-1.15%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0174	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001246	-1.12%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0259	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001247	-1.09%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0430	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001265	-1.09%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0676	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001267	-1.28%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0565	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001311	-1.38%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0520	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001349	-1.07%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0646	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001333	-1.35%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0675	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.00131	-1.25%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0507	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001284	-0.72%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0118	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001281	-0.68%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0352	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001264	-1.50%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0156	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001265	-1.60%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0252	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001272	-1.73%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0015	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001263	-1.69%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0401	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001305	-1.29%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0117	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001218	-1.83%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0163	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001229	-1.78%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0017	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001226	-1.02%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0147	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001216	-0.99%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0360	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001167	-0.82%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0584	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001172	-0.83%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0541	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001187	-0.84%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0498	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001224	-0.87%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0354	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001242	-0.89%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0480	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001256	-0.91%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0474	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001304	-0.99%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1476	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.00121	-0.78%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0561	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001177	-0.43%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0868	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001181	-0.24%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0819	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001168	+0.10%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0222	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001173	+0.17%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0189	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001205	+0.16%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0069	✗	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001179	+0.82%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.0767	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001203	+0.98%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0352	✗	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001256	+0.78%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0764	✗	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001337	+0.27%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1312	✗	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.00145	-0.55%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1872	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.0015	-0.70%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.1985	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001513	-0.65%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1933	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.00153	-0.64%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.2041	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001515	-0.41%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.2093	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001573	-0.52%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1907	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001567	-0.54%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0949	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001756	-0.75%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1672	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001768	-0.79%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1579	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001831	-0.88%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1306	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.00185	-0.90%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1214	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.00185	-0.94%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1163	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.00183	-0.92%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.1090	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001834	-0.94%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1443	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.0018	-0.89%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0074	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001804	-0.92%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0289	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.00179	-0.90%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0303	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001861	-1.00%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0997	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001826	-0.60%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0906	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001919	-1.01%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.1034	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001918	-1.03%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0815	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.00204	-2.07%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.1107	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002118	-2.16%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1132	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.002039	-1.84%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1475	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002177	-2.40%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1407	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.00215	-2.45%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1607	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002428	-2.77%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2294	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002368	-2.91%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2354	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002262	-2.83%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1345	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002266	-2.95%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1164	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002121	-2.58%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0885	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002325	-3.61%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.1074	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002472	-3.96%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0861	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.00232	-4.19%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.0889	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001823	-0.97%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3234	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001763	-0.55%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2701	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001745	-0.31%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2671	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001746	-0.24%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2719	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001598	+0.38%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.4770	✓	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.0016	+0.66%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.4934	✓	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.00166	+0.68%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4047	✓	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001788	+0.50%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0420	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001815	+1.10%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0356	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.00185	+1.03%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0454	✗	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001939	-1.72%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0825	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001944	-2.19%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1812	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001995	-2.62%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.2058	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002021	-2.58%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2116	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001996	-2.59%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0894	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001782	+2.75%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0432	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.00203	-2.89%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0343	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002337	-3.50%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.1023	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002357	-3.54%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0898	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002185	-3.39%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0033	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002351	-3.81%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0400	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002886	-5.64%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2775	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002844	-6.10%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.3847	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002704	-5.74%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1632	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002457	-5.00%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0631	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001866	-3.31%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3114	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001865	-3.50%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2365	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002297	-5.20%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.0892	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.00239	-6.53%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2601	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002753	-9.19%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.1083	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002032	-6.62%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3454	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001582	-3.40%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.4902	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.00126	-1.10%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4473	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001228	-1.02%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.4904	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001196	-1.18%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7383	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001236	-1.13%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7604	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001238	-1.05%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9300	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001138	-1.11%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.6890	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001079	-0.72%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4586	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.00107	-0.25%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1659	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001055	+0.19%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1456	✓	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001066	+0.20%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.0979	✓	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001289	-0.63%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0623	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001418	-0.73%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1559	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001433	-0.73%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2686	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001472	-0.74%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3176	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001469	-0.72%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2905	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.0015	-0.76%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3484	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001501	-0.76%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3417	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001502	-0.75%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1517	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001488	-0.72%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0624	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001481	-0.69%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0602	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001489	-0.69%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0519	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.00152	-0.71%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0896	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001542	-0.72%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0534	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001537	-0.71%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0425	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001498	-0.66%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0150	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001507	-0.65%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0202	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001535	-0.67%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0278	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001493	-0.61%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0051	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001514	-0.63%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0245	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001552	-0.64%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0078	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001542	-0.61%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0090	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001519	-0.54%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0004	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001463	-0.18%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0201	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001583	-0.49%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0372	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001564	-0.46%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0364	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001696	-0.54%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1273	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001753	-0.59%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1194	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001765	-0.61%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.1117	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001737	-0.58%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.1089	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001763	-0.60%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1196	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.0018	-0.60%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0702	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001836	-0.61%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1128	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001848	-0.60%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0421	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001857	-0.59%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0321	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001894	-0.58%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0732	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.00194	-0.60%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1136	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001928	-0.60%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0875	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001887	-0.58%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0278	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002099	-0.64%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1423	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.002012	-0.53%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1263	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002074	-0.61%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.1051	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.00204	-0.59%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0521	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002091	-0.61%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0526	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002142	-0.64%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.1071	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002228	-0.69%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1896	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002116	-0.52%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0398	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002103	-0.49%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0189	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002062	-0.25%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0234	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002055	+0.17%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0639	✗	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002036	+0.38%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0262	✗	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002115	+0.05%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0286	✗	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002124	-0.29%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0658	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002365	-0.59%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0443	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002363	-0.55%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0695	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002496	-0.75%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.1070	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002485	-0.78%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0689	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002477	-0.74%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0932	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002525	-0.93%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0268	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002358	-0.75%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0172	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002339	-0.74%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1346	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002412	-0.83%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1459	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002426	-0.83%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1579	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002325	-0.68%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1513	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002337	-0.69%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1663	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002282	-0.55%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1293	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002305	-0.61%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0553	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002333	-0.54%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0079	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002439	-0.74%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0039	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002539	-0.85%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0315	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002556	-0.85%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0051	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002516	-0.81%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0071	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002478	-0.75%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0066	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002542	-0.81%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0213	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002521	-0.86%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0698	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002532	-1.06%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0610	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002541	-1.05%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0560	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.00252	-0.73%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0423	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002572	-0.71%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0042	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002632	-0.71%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0300	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002542	-0.34%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0222	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002605	-0.38%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0794	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002751	-0.68%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.1144	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002742	-0.44%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1335	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002612	+0.35%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0797	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.00259	+0.80%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0520	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002357	+1.53%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.0944	✓	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002645	+1.04%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0017	✓	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002785	+1.09%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0081	✓	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.00287	+0.05%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0200	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002894	+0.62%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0259	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002815	+1.45%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0350	✗	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003147	+0.64%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.1245	✗	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003624	-2.19%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.3187	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003528	-2.29%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1723	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003469	-2.39%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1430	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.00355	-2.37%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.1144	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003454	-2.47%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.0959	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003648	-2.48%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1494	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003777	-2.48%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.0908	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003878	-2.55%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0569	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003805	-2.63%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.0999	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003745	-0.96%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.1285	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003746	-0.98%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1417	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003792	-0.09%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1944	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003782	+0.69%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1559	✗	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003858	+0.69%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.1392	✗	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003873	+0.96%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.1051	✗	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003977	-1.43%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0789	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.004067	-1.07%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0974	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004071	-1.46%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0927	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004203	-2.04%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0646	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004139	-2.09%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0215	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004512	-1.43%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0916	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004524	-1.42%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0663	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.