UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s2

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 522

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

173

of 174 predictions shown

direction hit

46.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0592

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0061

actual -0.0225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0308	0.030917	+0.38%	–	pending	–	–	-1.52
2026-10-21	oos	0.0305	0.030639	+0.46%	0.0308	+0.98%	0.0085	✓	-1.41
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.040299	+0.37%	0.0305	-24.03%	0.2630	✗	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.044094	+0.33%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0782	✗	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.048121	+0.15%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0932	✗	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.055735	-0.38%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1383	✓	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064583	-0.79%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1454	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.064413	-0.60%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0007	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.241085	-3.89%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.3060	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.058012	-0.15%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4593	✗	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058747	-0.09%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0064	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.05905	-0.00%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0094	✓	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059221	+0.04%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0006	✗	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.059117	+0.03%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0026	✓	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.061581	-0.03%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0383	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061855	+0.09%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0086	✗	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.063486	+0.14%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0326	✗	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.061955	+0.09%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0225	✓	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060981	+0.05%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0130	✓	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.066023	+0.03%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0758	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064768	+0.11%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0194	✓	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.06664	+0.14%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0303	✗	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.063	+0.08%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0579	✓	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.063189	-0.02%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0040	✓	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.066942	-0.01%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0572	✓	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077597	-0.00%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1501	✓	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.075889	-0.02%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0224	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.077967	+0.02%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0261	✗	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.083562	-0.05%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0703	✓	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.088876	-0.14%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0612	✓	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.09313	-0.24%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0510	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096453	-0.20%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0340	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.097634	-0.42%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0154	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.098456	-0.45%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0045	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.098679	-0.63%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0040	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.098626	-0.63%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0340	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.099229	-0.67%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0014	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.098393	-0.96%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0187	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.098639	-0.82%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0091	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.099277	-0.62%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0108	✗	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.099181	-0.62%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0042	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.098806	-0.70%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0103	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.0986	-1.10%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0131	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.099137	-0.71%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0044	✓	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.099817	-0.53%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0005	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.099717	-0.48%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0031	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.099594	-0.36%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0001	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.099958	-0.44%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0025	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.099273	-0.48%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0120	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.10013	-0.32%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0108	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.120855	-1.22%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1768	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.099396	-0.85%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.2076	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.098769	-0.88%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0118	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.100431	-0.66%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0064	✓	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.100142	-0.60%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0084	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.100061	-0.64%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0076	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.100231	-0.61%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0007	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.099789	-0.71%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0128	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.100143	-0.75%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0045	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.100006	-0.79%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0079	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.099913	-0.83%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0119	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.098969	-0.88%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0195	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.098554	-0.95%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0102	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.099354	-0.94%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0177	✗	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.099312	-0.94%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0267	✗	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.103827	-0.88%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0112	✓	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.103379	-0.88%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0142	✗	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.13045	-0.69%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2202	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.138032	-0.73%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0501	✓	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.13837	-0.81%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0050	✓	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.154012	-0.77%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.1003	✓	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.160145	-0.75%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0313	✓	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.179275	-0.68%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.1057	✓	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.204284	-0.66%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1251	✓	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.211312	-0.70%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0306	✓	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.234965	-0.69%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.0993	✓	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.23368	-0.73%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0125	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.242206	-0.74%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0263	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.245936	-0.79%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0091	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.242829	-0.83%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0225	✗	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.250006	-0.87%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0189	✓	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.264282	-0.91%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0469	✓	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.270548	-1.01%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0118	✓	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.274998	-1.29%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0064	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.250197	-1.09%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.1044	✗	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.249854	-1.18%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.0143	✗	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.256116	-1.51%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.0128	✓	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.215533	-1.54%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.1879	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.28348	-1.57%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.2654	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.424908	-1.31%	0.288	-33.11%	0.3871	✓	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.540252	-1.02%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.2270	✓	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.674732	+0.10%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.2130	✗	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.888817	-0.95%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2802	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	0.997916	-0.93%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.1079	✓	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.2344	-0.52%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.2015	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.2979	-0.42%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6172	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3699	-0.47%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0264	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3483	-0.56%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0120	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.2295	-0.48%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0573	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2688	-0.52%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0110	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.2077	-0.59%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0330	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2329	-0.57%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0122	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.2261	-0.56%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0125	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2165	-0.54%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0100	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.2163	-0.59%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0063	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.1998	-0.83%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0110	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.1957	-0.83%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0077	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.1976	-0.74%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0103	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1772	-0.59%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0185	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.1685	-0.70%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0088	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.1322	-0.57%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0226	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1247	-0.55%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0077	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.109	-0.62%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0101	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0801	-0.75%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0157	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.071	-0.61%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0075	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.0666	-0.74%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0132	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0427	-0.86%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0171	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0109	-0.75%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0257	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	1.9961	-0.80%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0152	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9637	-1.12%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0235	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.9433	-1.05%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0256	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9313	-1.10%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0218	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.877	-1.09%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0437	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.8082	-0.60%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0463	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.7925	-0.65%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0175	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7806	-0.74%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0109	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.756	-1.07%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0196	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7725	-0.79%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0058	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7609	-0.63%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0177	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7575	-0.63%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0100	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7511	-0.71%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0084	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7357	-0.92%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0122	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7211	-0.63%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0151	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.707	-0.63%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0146	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7107	-0.67%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0036	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.6995	-0.70%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0142	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7142	-0.76%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0031	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6705	-0.73%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0343	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6736	-0.70%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0053	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.6748	-0.77%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0071	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6774	-0.70%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0186	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.6639	-0.69%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0161	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.6008	-0.61%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0619	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.7151	-0.70%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0663	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6854	-0.67%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0238	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.6875	-0.69%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0055	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.6376	-0.65%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0372	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.6279	-0.66%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0124	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6301	-0.67%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0045	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.6117	-0.65%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0168	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.6388	-0.66%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0130	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.606	-0.64%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0274	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.6021	-0.65%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0095	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.597	-0.66%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5914	-0.64%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0376	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6502	-0.74%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0308	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6054	-0.72%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0258	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6606	-0.87%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0244	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5658	-0.74%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0735	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5289	-0.56%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0402	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5242	-0.52%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.5114	-0.47%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0389	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5269	-0.50%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0278	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.5157	-0.46%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0274	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.506	-0.37%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0263	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5094	-0.35%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0072	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5715	-0.38%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5459	-0.34%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0145	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.5217	-0.33%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0169	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.6174	-0.35%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.6648	-0.39%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0320	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.6352	-0.41%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0087	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7539	-0.47%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0823	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.7465	-0.42%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0105	✗	1.00