TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +1d
assessed
48
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1098
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0075
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00942 | 0.009339 | -0.86% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009111 | -0.75% | 0.00942 | +2.61% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009109 | -0.77% | 0.00918 | +0.00% | 0.0344 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008874 | -0.79% | 0.00918 | +2.63% | 0.0404 | ✗ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.008335 | -0.48% | 0.008945 | +6.81% | 0.0467 | ✗ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.007966 | -0.24% | 0.008375 | +4.88% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.007932 | -0.22% | 0.007985 | +0.44% | 0.0309 | ✗ | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008649 | -0.47% | 0.00795 | -8.52% | 0.1061 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.010293 | -0.79% | 0.00869 | -16.24% | 0.1109 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.010325 | -0.81% | 0.010375 | -0.34% | 0.0468 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.01243 | -1.27% | 0.01041 | -17.32% | 0.1060 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.010935 | -1.00% | 0.01259 | +13.99% | 0.1136 | ✗ | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.010537 | -0.92% | 0.011045 | +3.86% | 0.0340 | ✗ | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.010594 | -0.85% | 0.010635 | -0.47% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012218 | -1.23% | 0.010685 | -13.62% | 0.0784 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.012463 | -1.36% | 0.01237 | -2.10% | 0.0762 | ✗ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.014045 | -1.82% | 0.012635 | -11.67% | 0.0982 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.015126 | -3.29% | 0.014305 | -8.54% | 0.0284 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.011426 | -1.29% | 0.01564 | +35.12% | 0.2575 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.011039 | -1.44% | 0.011575 | +3.35% | 0.0397 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.014613 | -4.80% | 0.0112 | -27.04% | 0.2553 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.008704 | -0.86% | 0.01535 | +74.83% | 0.5348 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.008806 | -0.89% | 0.00878 | -1.18% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.008714 | -1.03% | 0.008885 | +0.91% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.010704 | -0.70% | 0.008805 | -18.32% | 0.1709 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.012087 | -0.56% | 0.01078 | -11.31% | 0.1156 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.011668 | -0.49% | 0.012155 | +3.67% | 0.0331 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.015596 | -0.73% | 0.011725 | -25.37% | 0.2785 | ✓ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.018479 | -1.08% | 0.01571 | -15.90% | 0.1624 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.020769 | -1.62% | 0.01868 | -11.51% | 0.0847 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.02054 | -1.63% | 0.02111 | +1.10% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.021034 | -0.87% | 0.02088 | -1.60% | 0.0722 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.020316 | -0.80% | 0.02122 | +3.61% | 0.0445 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.02087 | -0.71% | 0.02048 | -2.57% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.022224 | -0.05% | 0.02102 | -5.46% | 0.1133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.023783 | -0.03% | 0.022235 | -6.54% | 0.0700 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.02674 | +0.06% | 0.02379 | -10.98% | 0.1243 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.032658 | -0.30% | 0.026725 | -18.41% | 0.1668 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.029508 | -0.21% | 0.032755 | +10.77% | 0.0867 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.032975 | -0.20% | 0.02957 | -10.50% | 0.1030 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.029836 | -0.55% | 0.03304 | +10.13% | 0.1013 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.030708 | -0.44% | 0.03 | -2.74% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.036204 | -0.20% | 0.030845 | -14.97% | 0.1376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.047966 | +0.29% | 0.036275 | -24.16% | 0.2773 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.055789 | +0.48% | 0.04783 | -13.86% | 0.1458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.079056 | +0.43% | 0.055525 | -29.46% | 0.3377 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.095269 | +0.43% | 0.078715 | -17.02% | 0.1972 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.095299 | +0.63% | 0.094865 | +0.17% | 0.0065 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.11502 | +0.46% | 0.0947 | -17.29% | 0.1747 | ✗ | 1.00 |