RE
RE · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #279
- symbol
- RE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-18
- predictions
- 354
Track record at +1d
assessed
117
of 118 predictions shown
direction hit
59.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0454
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0038
actual -0.0095
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.39165 | 0.389873 | -0.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.06 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.39145 | 0.390069 | -0.35% | 0.39165 | +0.05% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3878 | 0.386886 | -0.24% | 0.39145 | +0.94% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.38025 | 0.379833 | -0.11% | 0.3878 | +1.99% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3807 | 0.380375 | -0.09% | 0.38025 | -0.12% | 0.0015 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3939 | 0.39287 | -0.26% | 0.3807 | -3.35% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4072 | 0.405923 | -0.31% | 0.3939 | -3.27% | 0.0288 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.41905 | 0.417967 | -0.26% | 0.4072 | -2.83% | 0.0196 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.42225 | 0.421018 | -0.29% | 0.41905 | -0.76% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.43205 | 0.430749 | -0.30% | 0.42225 | -2.27% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.42635 | 0.424957 | -0.33% | 0.43205 | +1.34% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.44755 | 0.445575 | -0.44% | 0.42635 | -4.74% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.4449 | 0.442913 | -0.45% | 0.44755 | +0.60% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.4408 | 0.438869 | -0.44% | 0.4449 | +0.93% | 0.0100 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.4381 | 0.436405 | -0.39% | 0.4408 | +0.62% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.4626 | 0.460596 | -0.43% | 0.4381 | -5.30% | 0.0349 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.4822 | 0.480091 | -0.44% | 0.4626 | -4.06% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.5048 | 0.502747 | -0.41% | 0.4822 | -4.48% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.5176 | 0.515333 | -0.44% | 0.5048 | -2.47% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.50915 | 0.506719 | -0.48% | 0.5176 | +1.66% | 0.0052 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5062 | 0.503795 | -0.48% | 0.50915 | +0.58% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.5149 | 0.512268 | -0.51% | 0.5062 | -1.69% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.479174 | -0.48% | 0.5149 | +6.94% | 0.0608 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.47595 | 0.473473 | -0.52% | 0.4815 | +1.17% | 0.0176 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.46175 | 0.45993 | -0.39% | 0.47595 | +3.08% | 0.0326 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.4892 | 0.487579 | -0.33% | 0.46175 | -5.61% | 0.0440 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.49105 | 0.489695 | -0.28% | 0.4892 | -0.38% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.47765 | 0.476492 | -0.24% | 0.49105 | +2.81% | 0.0264 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.4691 | 0.468215 | -0.19% | 0.47765 | +1.82% | 0.0232 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.4464 | 0.445611 | -0.18% | 0.4691 | +5.09% | 0.0513 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.472234 | -0.04% | 0.4464 | -5.50% | 0.0353 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.46815 | 0.468028 | -0.03% | 0.4724 | +0.91% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.45915 | 0.458236 | -0.20% | 0.46815 | +1.96% | 0.0579 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.46645 | 0.465673 | -0.17% | 0.45915 | -1.57% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.459 | 0.458163 | -0.18% | 0.46645 | +1.62% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.444 | 0.443059 | -0.21% | 0.459 | +3.38% | 0.0412 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.44075 | 0.44007 | -0.15% | 0.444 | +0.74% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.41745 | 0.417556 | +0.03% | 0.44075 | +5.58% | 0.0431 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.4368 | 0.436196 | -0.14% | 0.41745 | -4.43% | 0.0063 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.4253 | 0.425154 | -0.03% | 0.4368 | +2.70% | 0.0006 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.4416 | 0.44157 | -0.01% | 0.4253 | -3.69% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.4528 | 0.453081 | +0.06% | 0.4416 | -2.47% | 0.0267 | ✗ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.4323 | 0.43337 | +0.25% | 0.4528 | +4.74% | 0.0310 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4244 | 0.426137 | +0.41% | 0.4323 | +1.86% | 0.0486 | ✓ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.45435 | 0.456721 | +0.52% | 0.4244 | -6.59% | 0.0702 | ✗ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.462 | 0.465263 | +0.71% | 0.45435 | -1.66% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4594 | 0.463763 | +0.95% | 0.462 | +0.57% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4504 | 0.45508 | +1.04% | 0.4594 | +2.00% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.4372 | 0.442123 | +1.13% | 0.4504 | +3.02% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4678 | 0.472942 | +1.10% | 0.4372 | -6.54% | 0.0489 | ✗ | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4633 | 0.466578 | +0.71% | 0.4678 | +0.97% | 0.0777 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.4791 | 0.481448 | +0.49% | 0.4633 | -3.30% | 0.0365 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.489 | 0.491319 | +0.47% | 0.4791 | -2.02% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.4687 | 0.470423 | +0.37% | 0.489 | +4.33% | 0.0203 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.4914 | 0.492623 | +0.25% | 0.4687 | -4.62% | 0.0382 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.51565 | 0.515801 | +0.03% | 0.4914 | -4.70% | 0.0565 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.5365 | 0.536858 | +0.07% | 0.51565 | -3.89% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.5266 | 0.526361 | -0.05% | 0.5365 | +1.88% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.5521 | 0.550409 | -0.31% | 0.5266 | -4.62% | 0.0545 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.53905 | 0.537685 | -0.25% | 0.5521 | +2.42% | 0.0359 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.5417 | 0.539803 | -0.35% | 0.53905 | -0.49% | 0.0277 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.5018 | 0.50062 | -0.24% | 0.5417 | +7.95% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.5242 | 0.522529 | -0.32% | 0.5018 | -4.27% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.51015 | 0.509746 | -0.08% | 0.5242 | +2.75% | 0.1057 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.5374 | 0.533822 | -0.67% | 0.51015 | -5.07% | 0.1672 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.3976 | 0.395385 | -0.56% | 0.5374 | +35.16% | 0.1973 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.4054 | 0.401673 | -0.92% | 0.3976 | -1.92% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.4192 | 0.416365 | -0.68% | 0.4054 | -3.29% | 0.0717 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.4616 | 0.458305 | -0.71% | 0.4192 | -9.19% | 0.0842 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4469 | 0.443893 | -0.67% | 0.4616 | +3.29% | 0.0379 | ✗ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44 | 0.436759 | -0.74% | 0.4469 | +1.57% | 0.0353 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.4319 | 0.428406 | -0.81% | 0.44 | +1.88% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.41915 | 0.41523 | -0.94% | 0.4319 | +3.04% | 0.0427 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.4086 | 0.404549 | -0.99% | 0.41915 | +2.58% | 0.0460 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.40445 | 0.400538 | -0.97% | 0.4086 | +1.03% | 0.0463 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.4089 | 0.404876 | -0.98% | 0.40445 | -1.09% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.38965 | 0.385685 | -1.02% | 0.4089 | +4.94% | 0.0580 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.39565 | 0.391322 | -1.09% | 0.38965 | -1.52% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.38465 | 0.380308 | -1.13% | 0.39565 | +2.86% | 0.0492 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.385 | 0.380417 | -1.19% | 0.38465 | -0.09% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.40515 | 0.400174 | -1.23% | 0.385 | -4.97% | 0.0562 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.4209 | 0.415542 | -1.27% | 0.40515 | -3.74% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.4414 | 0.435641 | -1.30% | 0.4209 | -4.64% | 0.0575 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.436474 | -1.27% | 0.4414 | -0.16% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.44585 | 0.440315 | -1.24% | 0.4421 | -0.84% | 0.0672 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.496 | 0.489977 | -1.21% | 0.44585 | -10.11% | 0.1237 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.4515 | 0.445824 | -1.26% | 0.496 | +9.86% | 0.1049 | ✗ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.44995 | 0.444487 | -1.21% | 0.4515 | +0.34% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.477782 | -0.77% | 0.44995 | -6.55% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 2.25 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.5458 | 0.541583 | -0.77% | 0.4815 | -11.78% | 0.1582 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.5818 | 0.57576 | -1.04% | 0.5458 | -6.19% | 0.0618 | ✓ | 2.54 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.5535 | 0.547633 | -1.06% | 0.5818 | +5.11% | 0.1007 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.4747 | 0.46852 | -1.30% | 0.5535 | +16.60% | 0.2148 | ✗ | 3.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.392213 | -0.81% | 0.4747 | +20.06% | 0.2118 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.375 | 0.371736 | -0.87% | 0.3954 | +5.44% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.3923 | 0.389158 | -0.80% | 0.375 | -4.41% | 0.0640 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.392751 | -0.67% | 0.3923 | -0.78% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.4476 | 0.444882 | -0.61% | 0.3954 | -11.66% | 0.1319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.4905 | 0.487597 | -0.59% | 0.4476 | -8.75% | 0.0875 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.4868 | 0.484068 | -0.56% | 0.4905 | +0.76% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.5268 | 0.52459 | -0.42% | 0.4868 | -7.59% | 0.0706 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.5264 | 0.524716 | -0.32% | 0.5268 | +0.08% | 0.0388 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.55705 | 0.555036 | -0.36% | 0.5264 | -5.50% | 0.0296 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.5811 | 0.579183 | -0.33% | 0.55705 | -4.14% | 0.0384 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.57485 | 0.573017 | -0.32% | 0.5811 | +1.09% | 0.0196 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.5845 | 0.583026 | -0.25% | 0.57485 | -1.65% | 0.0291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.603 | 0.601634 | -0.23% | 0.5845 | -3.07% | 0.0438 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.6298 | 0.628522 | -0.20% | 0.603 | -4.26% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.6573 | 0.655769 | -0.23% | 0.6298 | -4.18% | 0.0297 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.6457 | 0.644231 | -0.23% | 0.6573 | +1.80% | 0.0135 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.6332 | 0.631748 | -0.23% | 0.6457 | +1.97% | 0.0140 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.6217 | 0.620262 | -0.23% | 0.6332 | +1.85% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.6877 | 0.685082 | -0.38% | 0.6217 | -9.60% | 0.1138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.5835 | 0.581871 | -0.28% | 0.6877 | +17.86% | 0.1420 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.6483 | 0.645671 | -0.41% | 0.5835 | -10.00% | 0.1255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.7829 | 0.776456 | -0.82% | 0.6483 | -17.19% | 0.1528 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.6058 | 0.603032 | -0.46% | 0.7829 | +29.23% | 0.2495 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.6924 | 0.688203 | -0.61% | 0.6058 | -12.51% | 0.1198 | ✓ | 1.00 |