ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · lstm_s2
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 285
Track record at +1d
assessed
93
of 95 predictions shown
direction hit
49.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1531
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0084
actual -0.0300
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.03943 | 0.038917 | -1.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03956 | 0.03898 | -1.47% | 0.03943 | -0.33% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041368 | -1.90% | 0.03956 | -6.19% | 0.0805 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021176 | -1.19% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6578 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020589 | -1.25% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0448 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027379 | -1.05% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.2912 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.032837 | -1.06% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1677 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029057 | -1.09% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1518 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033341 | -0.94% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1438 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.035896 | -0.96% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0187 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036197 | -0.92% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0405 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053287 | -0.92% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3324 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060574 | -1.10% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1375 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.059123 | -1.12% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042023 | -0.94% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3332 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049922 | -0.92% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1320 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052898 | -0.94% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066962 | -1.08% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2231 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.091962 | -1.85% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.2976 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.103016 | -2.88% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1215 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076691 | -1.66% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3207 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084343 | -2.22% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0743 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087525 | -2.70% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065764 | -1.66% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3142 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069578 | -1.95% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.088856 | -3.28% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2129 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071321 | -2.57% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2526 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.073522 | -3.05% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.059833 | -2.38% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2405 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064164 | -2.95% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0459 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059199 | -2.91% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1318 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.07664 | -3.72% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2241 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053515 | -3.31% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3323 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053766 | -3.57% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0299 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038264 | -3.01% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3720 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.048462 | -3.94% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2633 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027685 | -3.02% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.5974 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015898 | -1.12% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5780 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014074 | -0.98% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1668 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015186 | -1.08% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0839 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017013 | -1.29% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0968 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.01933 | -1.75% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001592 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001108 | -1.98% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.3967 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 7.54e-7 | -2.01% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.3889 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001446 | -1.95% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.6222 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010476 | -0.38% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9614 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009386 | -0.15% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1066 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010101 | -0.24% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0736 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010521 | -0.28% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0323 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010889 | -0.28% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0341 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010984 | -0.29% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011176 | -0.26% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012643 | -0.33% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1252 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011664 | -0.14% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0807 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009584 | +0.25% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1690 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010398 | +0.27% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0758 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011728 | +0.20% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1059 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011734 | +0.34% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012712 | +0.33% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0659 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013593 | +0.25% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0502 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014707 | +0.25% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015423 | +0.15% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0283 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015469 | +0.25% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015712 | +0.27% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0119 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015037 | +0.45% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0235 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015327 | +0.51% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0258 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016639 | +0.54% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0977 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016685 | +0.57% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0074 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017545 | +0.54% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0305 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000018013 | +0.52% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0193 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017343 | +0.60% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019819 | +0.60% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2116 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000024032 | +0.47% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1516 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027782 | +0.29% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1446 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029566 | +0.22% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0644 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000033067 | +0.02% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1096 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031838 | +0.21% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0283 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033488 | +0.26% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0880 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035965 | +0.18% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0633 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038279 | +0.21% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0808 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040409 | +0.27% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040337 | +0.34% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042426 | +0.30% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0368 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.00004439 | -0.02% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000046099 | -0.22% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000043163 | +0.15% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0592 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000042155 | +0.13% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0445 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040762 | +0.15% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039605 | +0.27% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040969 | -0.08% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000042113 | -0.21% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036878 | -0.33% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1482 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046732 | -0.36% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055483 | -0.39% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1803 | ✓ | 1.00 |