O
o1.exchange · Base · lstm_s2
- token id
- #266
- symbol
- O
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-17
- predictions
- 354
Track record at +1d
assessed
117
of 118 predictions shown
direction hit
53.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0340
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0001
actual -0.0028
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.44305 | 0.443223 | +0.04% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.439245 | 0.439631 | +0.09% | 0.44305 | +0.87% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.407545 | 0.408017 | +0.12% | 0.439245 | +7.78% | 0.0668 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.42721 | 0.427509 | +0.07% | 0.407545 | -4.60% | 0.0468 | ✗ | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.445015 | 0.444912 | -0.02% | 0.42721 | -4.00% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4589 | 0.458555 | -0.08% | 0.445015 | -3.03% | 0.0292 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.455525 | 0.454744 | -0.17% | 0.4589 | +0.74% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.46111 | 0.460235 | -0.19% | 0.455525 | -1.21% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.47322 | 0.472359 | -0.18% | 0.46111 | -2.56% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.48416 | 0.483103 | -0.22% | 0.47322 | -2.26% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.480645 | 0.479625 | -0.21% | 0.48416 | +0.73% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.47832 | 0.477 | -0.28% | 0.480645 | +0.49% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.449425 | 0.448378 | -0.23% | 0.47832 | +6.43% | 0.0619 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.454605 | 0.453528 | -0.24% | 0.449425 | -1.14% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.47178 | 0.470976 | -0.17% | 0.454605 | -3.64% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.503025 | 0.502655 | -0.07% | 0.47178 | -6.21% | 0.0482 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.50726 | 0.506773 | -0.10% | 0.503025 | -0.83% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.513105 | 0.512931 | -0.03% | 0.50726 | -1.14% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.51275 | 0.512104 | -0.13% | 0.513105 | +0.07% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5204 | 0.520129 | -0.05% | 0.51275 | -1.47% | 0.0158 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.539035 | 0.538793 | -0.04% | 0.5204 | -3.46% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.55308 | 0.552422 | -0.12% | 0.539035 | -2.54% | 0.0328 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.566075 | 0.565348 | -0.13% | 0.55308 | -2.30% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.52923 | 0.529088 | -0.03% | 0.566075 | +6.96% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.53924 | 0.539271 | +0.01% | 0.52923 | -1.86% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.543685 | 0.543789 | +0.02% | 0.53924 | -0.82% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.548345 | 0.548578 | +0.04% | 0.543685 | -0.85% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.55141 | 0.551991 | +0.11% | 0.548345 | -0.56% | 0.0046 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.54546 | 0.546368 | +0.17% | 0.55141 | +1.09% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.55875 | 0.559968 | +0.22% | 0.54546 | -2.38% | 0.0088 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.54479 | 0.546107 | +0.24% | 0.55875 | +2.56% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 0.49 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.550025 | 0.55046 | +0.08% | 0.54479 | -0.95% | 0.0505 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.566845 | 0.567203 | +0.06% | 0.550025 | -2.97% | 0.0302 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.572975 | 0.573204 | +0.04% | 0.566845 | -1.07% | 0.0140 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.55887 | 0.557946 | -0.17% | 0.572975 | +2.52% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.536045 | 0.535585 | -0.09% | 0.55887 | +4.26% | 0.0407 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.52681 | 0.526487 | -0.06% | 0.536045 | +1.75% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.54605 | 0.546395 | +0.06% | 0.52681 | -3.52% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.506 | 0.506719 | +0.14% | 0.54605 | +7.92% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.541645 | 0.542738 | +0.20% | 0.506 | -6.58% | 0.0656 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.54789 | 0.54975 | +0.34% | 0.541645 | -1.14% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.53246 | 0.535108 | +0.50% | 0.54789 | +2.90% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.525035 | 0.52856 | +0.67% | 0.53246 | +1.41% | 0.0247 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.53373 | 0.537871 | +0.78% | 0.525035 | -1.63% | 0.0225 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.54462 | 0.549179 | +0.84% | 0.53373 | -2.00% | 0.0223 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.53535 | 0.540132 | +0.89% | 0.54462 | +1.73% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.53493 | 0.539775 | +0.91% | 0.53535 | +0.08% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.55411 | 0.55876 | +0.84% | 0.53493 | -3.46% | 0.0451 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.56077 | 0.56541 | +0.83% | 0.55411 | -1.19% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.549935 | 0.552898 | +0.54% | 0.56077 | +1.97% | 0.0267 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.55791 | 0.560415 | +0.45% | 0.549935 | -1.43% | 0.0179 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.55311 | 0.555863 | +0.50% | 0.55791 | +0.87% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.53392 | 0.536147 | +0.42% | 0.55311 | +3.59% | 0.0217 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.5311 | 0.533194 | +0.39% | 0.53392 | +0.53% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.452265 | 0.455078 | +0.62% | 0.5311 | +17.43% | 0.1504 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.4366 | 0.43945 | +0.65% | 0.452265 | +3.59% | 0.0565 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.44712 | 0.449392 | +0.51% | 0.4366 | -2.35% | 0.0432 | ✗ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.446145 | 0.447968 | +0.41% | 0.44712 | +0.22% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.43008 | 0.431669 | +0.37% | 0.446145 | +3.74% | 0.0384 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.44159 | 0.442737 | +0.26% | 0.43008 | -2.61% | 0.0442 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.4364 | 0.4374 | +0.23% | 0.44159 | +1.19% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.51216 | 0.512564 | +0.08% | 0.4364 | -14.79% | 0.1471 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.48057 | 0.48118 | +0.13% | 0.51216 | +6.57% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.48616 | 0.486544 | +0.08% | 0.48057 | -1.15% | 0.0613 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.484325 | 0.483412 | -0.19% | 0.48616 | +0.38% | 0.0783 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.45821 | 0.45736 | -0.19% | 0.484325 | +5.70% | 0.0535 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.449445 | 0.44855 | -0.20% | 0.45821 | +1.95% | 0.0100 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.455485 | 0.454289 | -0.26% | 0.449445 | -1.33% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.441116 | -0.22% | 0.455485 | +3.03% | 0.0312 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44526 | 0.444293 | -0.22% | 0.4421 | -0.71% | 0.0037 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.439325 | 0.438407 | -0.21% | 0.44526 | +1.35% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.445895 | 0.444874 | -0.23% | 0.439325 | -1.47% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.45317 | 0.452054 | -0.25% | 0.445895 | -1.61% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.47207 | 0.470461 | -0.34% | 0.45317 | -4.00% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.467935 | 0.465905 | -0.43% | 0.47207 | +0.88% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.47738 | 0.47527 | -0.44% | 0.467935 | -1.98% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.4807 | 0.478757 | -0.40% | 0.47738 | -0.69% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.489915 | 0.487647 | -0.46% | 0.4807 | -1.88% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.50446 | 0.502135 | -0.46% | 0.489915 | -2.88% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.49863 | 0.496403 | -0.45% | 0.50446 | +1.17% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.47985 | 0.477628 | -0.46% | 0.49863 | +3.91% | 0.0437 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.51585 | 0.513374 | -0.48% | 0.47985 | -6.98% | 0.0827 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.496455 | 0.494299 | -0.43% | 0.51585 | +3.91% | 0.0440 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.5026 | 0.500559 | -0.41% | 0.496455 | -1.22% | 0.0331 | ✗ | 1.39 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.47888 | 0.477123 | -0.37% | 0.5026 | +4.95% | 0.0347 | ✗ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.487225 | 0.485307 | -0.39% | 0.47888 | -1.71% | 0.0144 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.48183 | 0.480532 | -0.27% | 0.487225 | +1.12% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4778 | 0.476985 | -0.17% | 0.48183 | +0.84% | 0.0476 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.51004 | 0.509158 | -0.17% | 0.4778 | -6.32% | 0.0893 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.48595 | 0.485481 | -0.10% | 0.51004 | +4.96% | 0.0441 | ✗ | 1.58 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.54517 | 0.544137 | -0.19% | 0.48595 | -10.86% | 0.0913 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.59166 | 0.591211 | -0.08% | 0.54517 | -7.86% | 0.0596 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.6201 | 0.61925 | -0.14% | 0.59166 | -4.59% | 0.0369 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.6262 | 0.624622 | -0.25% | 0.6201 | -0.97% | 0.0351 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.5895 | 0.588336 | -0.20% | 0.6262 | +6.23% | 0.0512 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.57496 | 0.574116 | -0.15% | 0.5895 | +2.53% | 0.0289 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.56643 | 0.5654 | -0.18% | 0.57496 | +1.51% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.521855 | 0.521438 | -0.08% | 0.56643 | +8.54% | 0.0808 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.556 | 0.555544 | -0.08% | 0.521855 | -6.14% | 0.0478 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.55588 | 0.555467 | -0.07% | 0.556 | +0.02% | 0.0052 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.525275 | 0.524763 | -0.10% | 0.55588 | +5.83% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.542635 | 0.542192 | -0.08% | 0.525275 | -3.20% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.56335 | 0.56274 | -0.11% | 0.542635 | -3.68% | 0.0359 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.55385 | 0.553601 | -0.04% | 0.56335 | +1.72% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.57192 | 0.571162 | -0.13% | 0.55385 | -3.16% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.55441 | 0.553738 | -0.12% | 0.57192 | +3.16% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.558795 | 0.558371 | -0.08% | 0.55441 | -0.78% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.53254 | 0.532495 | -0.01% | 0.558795 | +4.93% | 0.0589 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.55362 | 0.553526 | -0.02% | 0.53254 | -3.81% | 0.0452 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.609515 | 0.608184 | -0.22% | 0.55362 | -9.17% | 0.1018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.54012 | 0.539528 | -0.11% | 0.609515 | +12.85% | 0.1130 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.557835 | 0.556607 | -0.22% | 0.54012 | -3.18% | 0.0468 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.558 | 0.556027 | -0.35% | 0.557835 | -0.03% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.505 | 0.503884 | -0.22% | 0.558 | +10.50% | 0.0777 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.535035 | 0.533661 | -0.26% | 0.505 | -5.61% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.488 | 0.487247 | -0.15% | 0.535035 | +9.64% | 0.0820 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.427605 | 0.427715 | +0.03% | 0.488 | +14.12% | 0.1396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.457 | 0.456654 | -0.08% | 0.427605 | -6.43% | 0.0646 | ✓ | 1.00 |