NOCK
Nockchain · Base · lstm_s2
- token id
- #744
- symbol
- NOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-25
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +1d
assessed
109
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
61.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0961
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0044
actual -0.0059
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.021 | 0.020839 | -0.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.02115 | 0.020975 | -0.83% | 0.021 | -0.71% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.01951 | -0.31% | 0.02115 | +8.07% | 0.0613 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.018735 | 0.018704 | -0.17% | 0.01957 | +4.46% | 0.0480 | ✗ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01787 | 0.017903 | +0.18% | 0.018735 | +4.84% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.019933 | -0.08% | 0.01787 | -10.43% | 0.1074 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.01899 | 0.019009 | +0.10% | 0.01995 | +5.06% | 0.0583 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02035 | 0.020373 | +0.11% | 0.01899 | -6.68% | 0.0793 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.02241 | 0.022367 | -0.19% | 0.02035 | -9.19% | 0.0702 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02193 | 0.021935 | +0.02% | 0.02241 | +2.19% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.024565 | 0.024473 | -0.37% | 0.02193 | -10.73% | 0.0753 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.027275 | 0.02712 | -0.57% | 0.024565 | -9.94% | 0.1120 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.02348 | 0.023451 | -0.12% | 0.027275 | +16.16% | 0.1448 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.020085 | 0.020165 | +0.40% | 0.02348 | +16.90% | 0.1376 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.023665 | 0.023638 | -0.11% | 0.020085 | -15.13% | 0.1377 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.024845 | 0.024705 | -0.56% | 0.023665 | -4.75% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.025125 | 0.025065 | -0.24% | 0.024845 | -1.11% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.020054 | +0.52% | 0.025125 | +25.94% | 0.2377 | ✓ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01937 | 0.019468 | +0.51% | 0.01995 | +2.99% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01954 | 0.019608 | +0.35% | 0.01937 | -0.87% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.020375 | 0.020493 | +0.58% | 0.01954 | -4.10% | 0.0421 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.022815 | 0.022824 | +0.04% | 0.020375 | -10.69% | 0.1352 | ✗ | 1.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.024225 | 0.024201 | -0.10% | 0.022815 | -5.82% | 0.0575 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.022935 | 0.022984 | +0.21% | 0.024225 | +5.62% | 0.0494 | ✓ | 1.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.02204 | 0.022104 | +0.29% | 0.022935 | +4.06% | 0.0557 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.030865 | 0.030569 | -0.96% | 0.02204 | -28.59% | 0.3280 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.031395 | 0.031121 | -0.87% | 0.030865 | -1.69% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.03092 | 0.030656 | -0.85% | 0.031395 | +1.54% | 0.0293 | ✗ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0308 | 0.030581 | -0.71% | 0.03092 | +0.39% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036461 | -0.85% | 0.0308 | -16.25% | 0.1373 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04147 | 0.041043 | -1.03% | 0.036775 | -11.32% | 0.1031 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.038625 | 0.03828 | -0.89% | 0.04147 | +7.37% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.043515 | 0.043073 | -1.02% | 0.038625 | -11.24% | 0.1077 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.048125 | 0.047478 | -1.34% | 0.043515 | -9.58% | 0.0937 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0388 | 0.038512 | -0.74% | 0.048125 | +24.03% | 0.1519 | ✗ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.03942 | 0.039117 | -0.77% | 0.0388 | -1.57% | 0.0114 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.036105 | 0.035883 | -0.61% | 0.03942 | +9.18% | 0.0850 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.03963 | 0.039286 | -0.87% | 0.036105 | -8.89% | 0.0455 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.051235 | 0.050435 | -1.56% | 0.03963 | -22.65% | 0.2641 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050925 | 0.049598 | -2.61% | 0.051235 | +0.61% | 0.0403 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03621 | 0.035864 | -0.96% | 0.050925 | +40.64% | 0.3497 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.033195 | 0.032931 | -0.80% | 0.03621 | +9.08% | 0.0834 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.030795 | 0.030571 | -0.73% | 0.033195 | +7.79% | 0.1144 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.038595 | 0.038097 | -1.29% | 0.030795 | -20.21% | 0.2099 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.03316 | 0.032764 | -1.19% | 0.038595 | +16.39% | 0.1756 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.032875 | 0.032227 | -1.97% | 0.03316 | +0.87% | 0.0516 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020997 | +0.47% | 0.032875 | +57.30% | 0.4392 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.02251 | 0.0226 | +0.40% | 0.0209 | -7.15% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.01819 | 0.018285 | +0.52% | 0.02251 | +23.75% | 0.2407 | ✓ | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016813 | +0.56% | 0.01819 | +8.79% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020933 | +0.16% | 0.01672 | -20.00% | 0.2229 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.016965 | 0.017035 | +0.41% | 0.0209 | +23.19% | 0.2310 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01601 | 0.01607 | +0.37% | 0.016965 | +5.97% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01545 | 0.015511 | +0.39% | 0.01601 | +3.62% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014115 | 0.014171 | +0.40% | 0.01545 | +9.46% | 0.0774 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016785 | 0.016821 | +0.21% | 0.014115 | -15.91% | 0.1249 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.01661 | 0.016618 | +0.05% | 0.016785 | +1.05% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.0199 | 0.01981 | -0.45% | 0.01661 | -16.53% | 0.1866 | ✓ | 1.65 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01984 | 0.019732 | -0.55% | 0.0199 | +0.30% | 0.0181 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.02078 | 0.020614 | -0.80% | 0.01984 | -4.52% | 0.0653 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0206 | 0.020385 | -1.04% | 0.02078 | +0.87% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.02013 | 0.019897 | -1.16% | 0.0206 | +2.33% | 0.0634 | ✗ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.017805 | 0.017566 | -1.34% | 0.02013 | +13.06% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01454 | 0.014463 | -0.53% | 0.017805 | +22.46% | 0.1421 | ✗ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.01529 | 0.015103 | -1.22% | 0.01454 | -4.91% | 0.1772 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01648 | 0.01611 | -2.24% | 0.01529 | -7.22% | 0.0587 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.00971 | 0.009656 | -0.55% | 0.01648 | +69.72% | 0.5137 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01037 | 0.010302 | -0.65% | 0.00971 | -6.36% | 0.0569 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.009505 | 0.009464 | -0.43% | 0.01037 | +9.10% | 0.0909 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00902 | 0.00899 | -0.33% | 0.009505 | +5.38% | 0.0619 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.011985 | 0.011926 | -0.49% | 0.00902 | -24.74% | 0.2795 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.01267 | 0.012599 | -0.56% | 0.011985 | -5.41% | 0.0484 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.01093 | 0.010842 | -0.81% | 0.01267 | +15.92% | 0.1616 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.009845 | 0.009785 | -0.61% | 0.01093 | +11.02% | 0.1282 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.010245 | 0.010175 | -0.69% | 0.009845 | -3.90% | 0.0318 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010437 | -0.83% | 0.010245 | -2.66% | 0.0189 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01052 | 0.010453 | -0.64% | 0.010525 | +0.05% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.011685 | 0.011586 | -0.85% | 0.01052 | -9.97% | 0.0906 | ✓ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.012253 | -0.74% | 0.011685 | -5.35% | 0.0575 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.011605 | 0.011533 | -0.62% | 0.012345 | +6.38% | 0.0580 | ✗ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.0113 | 0.01124 | -0.53% | 0.011605 | +2.70% | 0.0325 | ✗ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01103 | 0.011015 | -0.14% | 0.0113 | +2.45% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.012835 | 0.012771 | -0.50% | 0.01103 | -14.06% | 0.1455 | ✓ | 1.04 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01223 | 0.012147 | -0.68% | 0.012835 | +4.95% | 0.0982 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.012565 | 0.012489 | -0.60% | 0.01223 | -2.67% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012928 | -0.55% | 0.012565 | -3.35% | 0.0296 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01546 | 0.015387 | -0.47% | 0.013 | -15.91% | 0.1721 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01542 | 0.015341 | -0.51% | 0.01546 | +0.26% | 0.0520 | ✗ | 1.73 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.015505 | 0.015428 | -0.50% | 0.01542 | -0.55% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.015893 | -0.48% | 0.015505 | -2.91% | 0.0280 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.0161 | 0.016014 | -0.53% | 0.01597 | -0.81% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014402 | -0.64% | 0.0161 | +11.07% | 0.1272 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.01253 | 0.012466 | -0.51% | 0.014495 | +15.68% | 0.1573 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.015555 | 0.015501 | -0.35% | 0.01253 | -19.45% | 0.2326 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.01812 | 0.018071 | -0.27% | 0.015555 | -14.16% | 0.1581 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.01853 | 0.018484 | -0.25% | 0.01812 | -2.21% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.01878 | 0.01874 | -0.21% | 0.01853 | -1.33% | 0.0253 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.020335 | 0.020286 | -0.24% | 0.01878 | -7.65% | 0.0791 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.022055 | 0.02199 | -0.30% | 0.020335 | -7.80% | 0.0635 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.02333 | 0.023238 | -0.39% | 0.022055 | -5.47% | 0.0481 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.01811 | 0.018066 | -0.24% | 0.02333 | +28.82% | 0.2129 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.016905 | 0.016857 | -0.28% | 0.01811 | +7.13% | 0.0951 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.01807 | 0.018029 | -0.23% | 0.016905 | -6.45% | 0.0638 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.020035 | 0.02 | -0.17% | 0.01807 | -9.81% | 0.0959 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.02064 | 0.020602 | -0.18% | 0.020035 | -2.93% | 0.0429 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.02032 | 0.020286 | -0.17% | 0.02064 | +1.57% | 0.0024 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.02279 | 0.022744 | -0.20% | 0.02032 | -10.84% | 0.0954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.020825 | 0.020795 | -0.14% | 0.02279 | +9.44% | 0.1022 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.02308 | 0.023034 | -0.20% | 0.020825 | -9.77% | 0.1074 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.02652 | 0.026427 | -0.35% | 0.02308 | -12.97% | 0.1433 | ✓ | 1.00 |