MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s2
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0807
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0104
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.714702 | -0.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.753446 | -0.80% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0355 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.766125 | -1.04% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0609 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.771562 | -1.22% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.737211 | -1.20% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0280 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.641862 | -0.68% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1563 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.62175 | -0.59% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0690 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.60583 | -0.46% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0047 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.596291 | -0.47% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.0977 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.594276 | -0.42% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.604652 | -0.70% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0897 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.606824 | -0.72% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.561251 | -0.36% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0809 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.511939 | +0.08% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0852 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.546044 | -0.43% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.682599 | -1.02% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1921 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.647235 | -0.81% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0659 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.666206 | -0.82% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.696948 | -1.05% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0575 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.702118 | -1.09% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.714791 | -1.13% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.735319 | -1.36% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0323 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.783702 | -1.58% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0490 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.768594 | -1.54% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0333 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.764142 | -1.47% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0333 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.754798 | -1.44% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.76614 | -1.45% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.722737 | -1.25% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0764 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.816906 | -1.57% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.893557 | -1.83% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0525 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.713569 | -1.15% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2480 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.512139 | -1.03% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2784 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.807878 | -2.55% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4446 | ✓ | 1.00 |