MARSCOIN
MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s2
- token id
- #52
- symbol
- MARSCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 120
Track record at +1d
assessed
39
of 40 predictions shown
direction hit
61.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0724
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0094
actual -0.0075
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.08135 | 0.079924 | -1.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.08115 | 0.07981 | -1.65% | 0.08135 | +0.25% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.07935 | 0.078272 | -1.36% | 0.08115 | +2.27% | 0.0253 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.07795 | 0.077488 | -0.59% | 0.07935 | +1.80% | 0.0130 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.07555 | 0.075186 | -0.48% | 0.07795 | +3.18% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.07685 | 0.07672 | -0.17% | 0.07555 | -1.69% | 0.0216 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.07985 | 0.079492 | -0.45% | 0.07685 | -3.76% | 0.0326 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07715 | 0.076647 | -0.65% | 0.07985 | +3.50% | 0.0474 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.08255 | 0.081937 | -0.74% | 0.07715 | -6.54% | 0.0661 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07945 | 0.078556 | -1.13% | 0.08255 | +3.90% | 0.0679 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.08085 | 0.080186 | -0.82% | 0.07945 | -1.73% | 0.0256 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.09555 | 0.094163 | -1.45% | 0.08085 | -15.38% | 0.1346 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.09625 | 0.094868 | -1.44% | 0.09555 | -0.73% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09325 | 0.091957 | -1.39% | 0.09625 | +3.22% | 0.0423 | ✗ | 0.74 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.09105 | 0.089922 | -1.24% | 0.09325 | +2.42% | 0.0289 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.09505 | 0.093774 | -1.34% | 0.09105 | -4.21% | 0.0160 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.10535 | 0.104056 | -1.23% | 0.09505 | -9.78% | 0.0759 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.10525 | 0.103947 | -1.24% | 0.10535 | +0.10% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.10865 | 0.107482 | -1.08% | 0.10525 | -3.13% | 0.0162 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.11095 | 0.109672 | -1.15% | 0.10865 | -2.07% | 0.0300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1074 | 0.106218 | -1.10% | 0.11095 | +3.31% | 0.0408 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.12765 | 0.126455 | -0.94% | 0.1074 | -15.86% | 0.1593 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.1371 | 0.135546 | -1.13% | 0.12765 | -6.89% | 0.0754 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.14065 | 0.139059 | -1.13% | 0.1371 | -2.52% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15785 | 0.155371 | -1.57% | 0.14065 | -10.90% | 0.1017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.1233 | 0.122181 | -0.91% | 0.15785 | +28.02% | 0.2681 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.13445 | 0.133185 | -0.94% | 0.1233 | -8.29% | 0.0777 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.11835 | 0.117214 | -0.96% | 0.13445 | +13.60% | 0.1333 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.1152 | 0.114203 | -0.87% | 0.11835 | +2.73% | 0.0391 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1364 | 0.135166 | -0.91% | 0.1152 | -15.54% | 0.1599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.14165 | 0.140369 | -0.90% | 0.1364 | -3.71% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10195 | 0.101277 | -0.66% | 0.14165 | +38.94% | 0.3401 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.09225 | 0.091176 | -1.16% | 0.10195 | +10.51% | 0.0469 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.09905 | 0.097782 | -1.28% | 0.09225 | -6.87% | 0.0573 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11315 | 0.111338 | -1.60% | 0.09905 | -12.46% | 0.1214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1172 | 0.115888 | -1.12% | 0.11315 | -3.46% | 0.0815 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.092 | 0.092146 | +0.16% | 0.1172 | +27.39% | 0.2378 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.08655 | 0.086861 | +0.36% | 0.092 | +6.30% | 0.0501 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.09165 | 0.09144 | -0.23% | 0.08655 | -5.56% | 0.0213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.09765 | 0.097503 | -0.15% | 0.09165 | -6.14% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 1.00 |