LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s2

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +7d

assessed

40

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

75.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6239

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0335

actual -0.1668

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.02196	+0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021438	+1.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020888	+2.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021454	+2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.02807	+2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029688	+2.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030527	+1.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.030253	+2.12%	0.02189	-26.11%	0.3432	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.046958	-3.42%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7937	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.039932	-0.90%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6748	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043071	-2.13%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.7107	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045301	-2.09%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4877	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045224	-1.69%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4326	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.050692	-2.44%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.5288	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.040546	-1.49%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.2917	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.063969	-3.31%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.2673	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.044067	-3.02%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0731	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.043891	-3.09%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0140	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.048642	-2.61%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0394	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.038012	-3.01%	0.046	+17.38%	0.2016	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.099355	-9.82%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.6454	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.034966	-2.60%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.1599	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.068503	-0.68%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0111	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.069534	-0.98%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.3969	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.086876	-1.00%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.6204	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.10078	-2.91%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6970	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.125185	-3.83%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1663	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.100641	-2.71%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.0850	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.161348	-4.03%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4930	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.134405	-3.63%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.6370	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.224021	-4.38%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.1231	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.223942	-6.03%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9768	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.212909	-5.93%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7568	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.208435	-6.21%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.5098	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.213211	-7.58%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.8234	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.196404	-7.83%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2582	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.179847	-8.24%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3857	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.151026	-6.24%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3368	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.136009	-6.02%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5056	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.139207	-9.95%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4359	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068235	-3.24%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1344	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.037944	-0.38%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.8074	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049518	+0.74%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.4871	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.059003	+0.28%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2377	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.05487	+0.59%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.0886	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074146	+0.06%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7138	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087288	-0.52%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6042	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.