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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
792
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
234
of 264 predictions shown
direction hit
55.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3322
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0179
actual +0.0948

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.42193.2091-6.22%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.38263.1683-6.34%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.9212-5.61%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.9076-5.45%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.9417-5.55%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17522.998-5.58%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8747-4.98%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.93-5.00%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.1662-5.42%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.1922-5.44%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.639-5.10%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.4611-4.84%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.4556-4.70%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.4372-4.68%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.4185-4.32%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.6877-3.35%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.9671-1.28%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.6503-0.38%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.4329-3.75%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.4142-3.86%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.6723-3.48%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.7881-4.10%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.7738-4.04%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.2637-4.00%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.5373-2.52%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.7242-2.47%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.7508-2.09%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.9779-1.87%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31965.164-2.93%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06675.0902+0.46%–pending––1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.7874+1.03%3.4219-27.79%0.2697✗1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.5804-4.07%3.3826-29.15%0.3390✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.6217-3.90%3.0947-35.65%0.4133✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.58-3.96%3.0752-35.51%0.4211✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.5653-5.10%3.1146-35.26%0.4989✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.3631-5.22%3.1752-31.03%0.4408✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.8177-5.02%3.0253-24.73%0.3831✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.1815-4.72%3.0842-29.72%0.3793✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.9149-4.82%3.3476-18.61%0.2937✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21584.0214-4.61%3.3759-19.92%0.2725✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.1633-4.33%3.8347-11.88%0.2209✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29234.1129-4.18%3.6372-15.26%0.2617✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.3611-3.65%3.6262-19.88%0.2757✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.6635-3.44%3.6061-25.33%0.3283✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.5793-3.08%3.5727-24.38%0.3405✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.411-2.30%3.8154-15.49%0.2548✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.6321-2.58%4.0187-15.48%0.2674✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.7004-2.66%3.6643-24.12%0.3865✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.4699+0.63%3.5667-19.71%0.2992✗1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.6888-2.71%3.5512-6.34%0.1729✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.4371-2.36%3.8048+8.09%0.0414✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.5829+0.46%3.9499+10.75%0.0134✓1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.5424+0.40%3.9328+11.46%0.0363✓0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.5764+0.64%4.4413+24.97%0.1569✓0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.5162+0.57%4.6547+33.14%0.2051✓0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.7447+0.91%4.844+30.54%0.2122✓0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.481+0.85%4.8522+40.57%0.2776✓0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.3124+0.87%5.0729+54.48%0.3641✓0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.4338+1.00%5.3196+56.46%0.3799✓0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.5963+0.68%5.0667+41.84%0.2422✓0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.2291+1.25%4.7386+48.58%0.2718✓0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.1888+1.98%4.7745+52.70%0.3691✓0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.6134-2.05%4.8092+80.24%0.5229✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.534-2.68%4.7687+83.15%0.4795✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.2846-3.15%4.8107+103.95%0.5882✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.2537-3.28%4.6035+97.57%0.5513✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.21-2.95%4.0195+76.51%0.4150✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.1957-2.93%4.3885+94.01%0.4814✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.1733-2.76%4.1132+84.03%0.4424✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.2085-2.76%4.2158+85.61%0.4545✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.2689-2.86%4.3518+86.32%0.4507✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.3435-3.09%4.2923+77.50%0.4177✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.31-3.04%4.5262+89.98%0.4656✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.2351-2.97%4.8297+109.67%0.5674✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.2128-3.04%4.7248+107.03%0.5464✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.2272-3.10%4.5148+96.43%0.4815✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.2955-3.32%4.7547+100.25%0.4973✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.1202-2.96%4.8289+121.01%0.5959✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05842.0011-2.78%4.4421+115.80%0.5485✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.9516-2.68%3.7914+89.05%0.4601✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9767-2.76%3.52+73.16%0.3675✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.9636-2.66%3.5664+76.80%0.3645✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06692.0124-2.64%3.5283+70.70%0.3417✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.2126-2.96%3.5537+55.87%0.2920✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.121-2.62%3.4962+60.52%0.3150✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.2303-2.96%3.7108+61.45%0.2997✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12862.0747-2.53%3.4518+62.16%0.3158✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14312.0832-2.80%3.2837+53.22%0.2925✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06262.0122-2.44%3.3999+64.84%0.3384✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.9874-2.19%3.5721+75.80%0.4153✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.1065-2.57%3.1894+47.52%0.2700✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.2368-2.77%3.1267+35.92%0.1955✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.2788-2.84%2.6682+13.77%0.0813✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.1254-2.46%2.6037+19.49%0.1579✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.1518-2.63%2.3588+6.74%0.0918✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.1962-2.67%2.33+3.26%0.0627✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.2299-2.59%2.2771-0.53%0.0345✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.2258-2.63%2.262-1.05%0.0261✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.3486-2.81%2.235-7.51%0.0278✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.5279-2.50%2.2713-12.40%0.0878✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.2341-3.04%2.3356+1.36%0.0320✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.5699-2.35%2.4181-8.12%0.0589✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.5182-2.30%2.3824-7.56%0.0567✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.6362-1.98%2.3035-14.36%0.1425✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.3381-2.44%2.2822-4.77%0.0414✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.2698-2.58%2.2984-1.35%0.0159✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.4035-2.20%2.3744-3.38%0.0219✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.5294-1.84%2.1849-15.21%0.1526✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.4092-1.99%2.0584-16.26%0.1623✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.147-2.45%2.0055-8.88%0.0721✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11362.0587-2.60%2.0328-3.82%0.0226✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06892.0137-2.67%2.0172-2.50%0.0113✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07122.0163-2.65%2.0669-0.21%0.0057✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.8272-1.18%2.28+23.31%0.1656✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.8285-1.71%2.1781+17.08%0.1416✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.7123-0.87%2.2984+33.05%0.2538✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.7-1.14%2.1286+23.78%0.1910✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.7964-1.45%2.1431+17.57%0.1286✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.586-1.43%2.0626+28.18%0.2227✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.6744-1.27%2.0319+19.82%0.1671✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.4834-1.41%2.162+43.68%0.3503✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.5833-1.62%2.3005+42.95%0.3520✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.5438-1.52%2.3453+49.61%0.3855✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.5331-1.51%2.179+39.98%0.3420✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.5222-1.52%2.2098+42.97%0.3601✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.5853-1.64%2.2564+39.99%0.3323✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.6814-2.29%2.2892+33.04%0.3140✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.6903-2.49%2.2859+31.87%0.3197✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.6571-1.92%2.4166+43.03%0.3935✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.6543-1.92%2.5928+53.72%0.4565✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.6018-1.85%2.3042+41.20%0.3867✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.5067-1.99%2.6319+71.19%0.5557✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.5208-2.39%2.5774+65.42%0.5255✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.3615-2.17%2.6896+93.27%0.6578✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.5454-2.38%2.3965+51.38%0.4258✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.4245-3.39%2.33+58.02%0.4997✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.385-3.38%2.4575+71.44%0.5732✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.3923-2.68%2.5769+80.11%0.5853✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.4631-3.00%2.458+62.95%0.4924✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3997-3.68%2.201+51.47%0.4609✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.7094-4.26%2.1136+18.38%0.2301✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.5334-4.39%2.0689+28.99%0.3772✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.2949-3.64%2.0712+54.13%0.7139✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.325-3.74%1.849+34.33%0.6616✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.3165-3.84%1.8603+35.89%0.6228✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.2156-3.46%1.7274+37.19%0.6338✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.1379-2.93%1.7196+46.70%0.6891✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.1032-2.70%1.8228+60.77%0.7971✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.1488-2.91%1.6091+35.99%0.6654✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.3276-3.77%1.6959+22.92%0.5342✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.2456-3.54%1.5047+16.53%0.4383✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1879-3.23%1.6094+31.11%0.5188✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.1522-3.22%1.5676+31.67%0.5177✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3628-4.43%1.5567+9.16%0.3382✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.2259-3.96%1.5456+21.09%0.4505✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.1011-3.54%1.6118+41.20%0.5968✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.929166-2.29%1.7207+80.95%0.8161✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.847741-1.82%1.7335+100.76%0.9074✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.86224-2.00%1.6896+92.04%0.8635✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.841206-1.96%1.6867+96.59%0.9106✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.91768+0.27%1.6319+78.31%0.8403✓1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.878471-2.07%1.5373+71.39%0.8286✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.929289+0.30%1.5581+68.16%0.8004✓1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999751.0132+1.35%1.3916+39.19%0.6540✓1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0719+1.43%1.5831+49.80%0.7300✓1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0451-0.86%1.4745+39.87%0.6378✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0575-2.18%1.4334+32.60%0.5858✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.991329+0.07%1.4307+44.42%0.6916✓1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.986261+3.40%1.5084+58.14%0.7822✓1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.994849+2.90%1.4531+50.29%0.6259✓1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.927774+2.75%1.7854+97.74%0.8716✓0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.912548-1.04%1.6039+73.94%0.7289✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.907619-0.04%1.3438+48.00%0.4922✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.897425-0.67%1.3765+52.35%0.4901✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.870545-1.49%1.369+54.91%0.4875✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.92991-1.95%1.2591+32.75%0.3362✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.883362-1.42%1.1722+30.81%0.3250✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.861862-0.19%1.1338+31.30%0.3199✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.933887+1.91%1.1832+29.12%0.2789✓1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.927821-0.19%1.3796+48.41%0.4027✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.94244-0.33%1.2913+36.57%0.3224✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.943077+2.02%1.2275+32.79%0.2888✓1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.903445+2.76%1.1906+35.42%0.3190✓1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.890934-0.79%1.426+58.80%0.4516✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.887608-1.28%1.2764+41.96%0.3379✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.869516-2.38%1.1415+28.15%0.2247✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.964029-1.51%0.9509-2.86%0.0326✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.04-0.84%0.86345-17.67%0.1908✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04591.0267-1.83%0.8798-15.88%0.2004✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04191.0218-1.93%0.858-17.65%0.2404✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02571.0034-2.18%0.9152-10.78%0.1984✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.1186-2.16%0.897-21.54%0.2960✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0606-2.93%0.92655-15.20%0.2901✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1751-2.57%0.99975-17.11%0.2936✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.109-2.44%1.0568-7.04%0.1882✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.987821-2.63%1.0542+3.91%0.0695✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.971181-2.81%1.081+8.18%0.0320✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0467-2.75%0.99065-7.96%0.1776✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.991019-3.29%0.95385-6.92%0.2309✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.974744-3.30%0.96685-4.09%0.1907✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.955533-3.20%0.9029-8.53%0.2533✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.959206-3.05%0.9221-6.80%0.2231✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.919948-3.02%0.908-4.28%0.1992✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.863206-3.08%0.9035+1.45%0.1154✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.84567-3.08%0.88375+1.29%0.0860✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.786646-2.56%0.94845+17.48%0.0424✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.805802-2.53%0.89605+8.38%0.0614✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.835799-2.62%0.8635+0.61%0.1442✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.858847-2.68%0.9164+3.84%0.1309✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.881955-3.26%0.9296+1.97%0.0877✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.980828-1.49%0.94555-5.04%0.1309✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0171.0015-1.52%0.9244-9.10%0.1993✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.943645-1.19%0.8792-7.94%0.1834✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.925954-1.40%0.898-4.38%0.1679✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0369-1.50%0.8991-14.59%0.2530✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0491-1.35%0.89075-16.24%0.2167✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1718-1.76%0.97885-17.94%0.2738✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1924-1.59%1.0488-13.44%0.2211✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2794-1.29%1.0459-19.30%0.2207✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1589-0.33%1.0419-10.39%0.1056✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0788-0.58%1.0257-5.47%0.0718✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0977-0.91%1.1433+3.20%0.0114✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0892-0.86%1.0926-0.55%0.0063✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.1399-1.08%1.2061+4.66%0.0142✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0623-0.89%1.1368+6.07%0.0220✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0482-0.73%1.0145-3.92%0.0631✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02041.0143-0.59%0.99925-2.07%0.0595✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01981.0127-0.69%1.0763+5.55%0.0420✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.1218-0.67%1.0248-9.27%0.1181✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.133-0.50%1.008-11.47%0.1323✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.2067-0.20%0.9871-18.36%0.1397✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3711-0.03%0.98935-27.86%0.2323✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2893-0.69%0.9486-26.93%0.2821✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.3462-0.96%0.8906-34.48%0.4009✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.3456-0.96%0.8725-35.78%0.4777✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3776-0.59%0.8073-41.74%0.5302✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.349-0.58%0.82675-39.07%0.4914✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.4214-0.48%0.85825-39.91%0.4834✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.4492-0.41%0.8825-39.35%0.4665✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.422-0.54%0.91165-36.24%0.5356✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3806-0.60%0.9957-28.32%0.4531✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.4409-0.37%1.017-29.69%0.4030✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.5187-0.37%0.955-37.35%0.5184✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.5269-0.33%0.9391-38.70%0.4840✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4705-0.42%1.0527-28.71%0.3628✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.4395-0.45%1.0634-26.46%0.3624✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5829-0.37%1.1928-24.92%0.3186✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.6817-0.36%1.2116-28.22%0.3620✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6697-0.43%1.2961-22.71%0.3254✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.6378-0.61%1.1627-29.44%0.4131✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5887-0.53%1.0852-32.06%0.4380✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.4235-0.36%1.1078-22.46%0.3239✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.4143-0.12%1.0986-22.42%0.3095✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4688-0.10%1.1523-21.62%0.2674✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.5447-0.26%1.0717-30.80%0.3671✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.6143-0.34%1.0559-34.81%0.4199✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.6228-0.20%1.0204-37.25%0.4522✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.6588-0.24%1.0198-38.67%0.4197✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.4625+1.61%1.1295-21.53%0.3272✗1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.5714-0.25%1.1386-27.72%0.2528✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.4753-0.38%1.2091-18.36%0.1338✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.5766-1.25%1.3715-14.10%0.0603✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.5014-0.86%1.2982-14.27%0.0273✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.5433-1.46%1.3592-13.22%0.0063✓1.00