LIGHTER

? · · lstm_s2

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

48.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1212

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0112

actual +0.0181

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.3443	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.3018	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.035	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.02	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0795	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1389	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	3.0049	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.0764	-0.28%	3.422	+10.92%	0.0884	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.2846	-1.97%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0318	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.3349	-1.17%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0762	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7462	-2.39%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1712	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5525	-2.32%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1053	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.5462	-2.25%	3.176	-12.46%	0.0927	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.5336	-2.03%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1626	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.4928	-2.27%	3.085	-13.68%	0.0942	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7788	-1.03%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0792	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	4.0463	+0.68%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.1130	✗	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.6865	+0.59%	3.838	+4.72%	0.0895	✓	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.4945	-2.03%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0724	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.4708	-2.09%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0795	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.745	-1.60%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0188	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.8581	-2.28%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0714	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.8386	-2.23%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0387	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.3537	-2.05%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1211	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.5959	-1.27%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2617	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.7738	-1.46%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2971	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.7887	-1.36%	3.545	-26.97%	0.3079	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	5.0047	-1.31%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2819	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.2271	-1.54%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2662	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	5.0255	-0.83%	3.926	-22.53%	0.2003	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.7111	-0.62%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0051	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.683	-1.99%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0722	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.7213	-1.94%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0380	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.6796	-1.95%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0276	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.709	-2.22%	5.071	+5.29%	0.1094	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.5116	-2.03%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0238	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.9804	-0.97%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0025	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.3102	-1.76%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0861	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	4.0626	-1.19%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0659	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.1612	-1.32%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0589	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.2932	-1.37%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0256	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.2376	-1.23%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1322	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.4618	-1.45%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0794	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.7507	-1.56%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.1017	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.6557	-1.42%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0384	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.4662	-1.10%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0039	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.6915	-1.32%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0493	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.7512	-1.49%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0348	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.3917	-1.11%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.0820	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7454	-1.23%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1703	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.4795	-1.15%	4.826	+37.10%	0.3059	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5247	-1.13%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2832	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.4883	-1.21%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2267	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.5498	-0.12%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2732	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4834	-0.39%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3036	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6831	-0.75%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1760	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4131	-1.16%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1249	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2472	-1.15%	3.52	+7.15%	0.0933	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3609	-1.18%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0637	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.5311	-1.31%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0008	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1469	-1.26%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1069	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0891	-1.24%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1302	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.6402	-1.08%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2614	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5691	-1.27%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1625	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.3238	-1.49%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1571	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2964	-1.53%	3.401	+45.84%	0.1870	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2445	-1.38%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2482	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.2368	-1.29%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1503	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.2086	-1.14%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1260	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2457	-1.11%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0311	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.3071	-1.20%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0268	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3847	-1.38%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0295	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.3509	-1.35%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0173	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.275	-1.26%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0350	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2531	-1.27%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0384	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2674	-1.31%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0178	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.3356	-1.49%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0136	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1593	-1.22%	2.335	+6.82%	0.0990	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0346	-1.04%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1814	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9847	-0.94%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1754	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	2.018	-0.98%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1096	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9993	-0.93%	2.282	+13.08%	0.0964	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0473	-1.00%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0807	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2504	-1.34%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0592	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1533	-1.18%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0044	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2686	-1.41%	2.056	-10.65%	0.1014	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.1038	-1.18%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0455	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.116	-1.35%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0114	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0397	-1.18%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0118	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	2.0095	-1.08%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0468	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.1292	-1.36%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0733	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2691	-1.56%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0120	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.306	-1.62%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0324	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1484	-1.41%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0090	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1772	-1.44%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0228	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.2245	-1.44%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0690	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2554	-1.42%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.1070	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.2521	-1.44%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0598	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3738	-1.67%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0468	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.5525	-1.64%	2.344	-9.67%	0.1043	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2686	-1.58%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0732	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5884	-1.58%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1677	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.5368	-1.56%	2.257	-12.42%	0.1269	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.6482	-1.48%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1436	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.3593	-1.53%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0382	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.2933	-1.51%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0237	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.4241	-1.42%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0505	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.5403	-1.46%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0782	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.426	-1.46%	2.63	+6.82%	0.0790	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.1667	-1.47%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1662	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0864	-1.49%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2367	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	2.0348	-1.56%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1457	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	2.0353	-1.86%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1094	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.8284	-1.17%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2510	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.8347	-1.41%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3045	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.7144	-0.96%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3224	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.7039	-0.94%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2255	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7949	-1.65%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1416	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5962	-0.80%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2420	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6727	-1.43%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2244	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4941	-0.66%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2626	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5909	-1.25%	1.861	+15.52%	0.1982	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5522	-0.94%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1499	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.5429	-0.97%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1532	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.5311	-0.84%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2144	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5924	-1.28%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0470	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6882	-1.85%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0405	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.7028	-1.80%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0943	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6651	-1.36%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0082	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6633	-1.23%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0342	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.613	-0.98%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0325	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.5231	-0.90%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0143	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.5413	-1.07%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0525	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3775	-1.04%	1.72	+23.56%	0.1956	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5643	-1.24%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0685	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4447	-1.52%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1255	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.4116	-1.49%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1534	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.4084	-1.16%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1102	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4828	-1.34%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0093	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4466	-1.32%	1.558	+6.28%	0.0769	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.7442	-2.06%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1947	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5721	-2.11%	1.584	-1.37%	0.0820	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.3083	-2.07%	1.467	+9.81%	0.2890	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3465	-2.22%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2788	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.338	-2.30%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3250	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2326	-2.33%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4460	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1517	-1.90%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4326	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.1085	-1.73%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6794	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1639	-1.70%	1.606	+35.64%	0.4986	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3553	-2.07%	1.336	-3.47%	0.0832	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2689	-2.02%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1362	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.204	-1.83%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1742	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1634	-1.90%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1144	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3892	-2.92%	1.174	-17.96%	0.1107	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2432	-2.72%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0519	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.1083	-2.26%	1.184	+4.41%	0.0792	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.93972	-1.50%	1.384	+45.07%	0.3827	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.854973	-0.99%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4216	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.868439	-1.03%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3669	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.847956	-1.06%	1.186	+38.39%	0.3893	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.908333	-0.73%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5052	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.889214	-0.98%	1.278	+42.32%	0.3906	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.920355	-0.66%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2652	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.99826	-0.12%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0253	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0561	-0.27%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.1308	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0411	-1.13%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1330	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0633	-1.27%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1990	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.97933	-0.98%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0836	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.956484	+0.26%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0301	✗	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.968298	+0.24%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0387	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.908931	+0.32%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0721	✓	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.915308	-0.83%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1003	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.901132	-0.76%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1306	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.895909	-0.79%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1590	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.875163	-1.06%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0734	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.935597	-1.26%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0555	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.884642	-1.38%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0221	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.853632	-1.14%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0236	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.916414	+0.37%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0088	✓	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.925911	-0.44%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0349	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.948251	+0.08%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0608	✗	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.928432	+0.43%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0179	✗	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.88542	+0.56%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1059	✓	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.890787	-0.75%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0074	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.891071	-1.05%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0552	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.879847	-1.14%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0393	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.967099	-0.91%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0688	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0407	-0.83%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0995	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0326	-1.00%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1591	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0316	-1.05%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2110	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0127	-1.06%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1551	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1303	-1.15%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2498	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0808	-1.21%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2452	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1899	-1.33%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2403	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1226	-1.18%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1318	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	1.0074	-0.85%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0182	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.990811	-0.82%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0086	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0627	-0.96%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0733	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0148	-0.95%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0296	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	1.0005	-0.89%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0606	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.97607	-1.01%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1165	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.977622	-1.15%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0507	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.938161	-1.14%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0015	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.883084	-0.67%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0736	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.865842	-0.59%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1533	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.802426	-0.63%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2086	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.820324	-0.75%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1555	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.851522	-0.70%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1299	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.87634	-0.70%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1105	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.907375	-0.51%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0768	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.990233	-0.43%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0556	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	1.0035	-0.50%	0.871	-13.63%	0.1034	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.950375	-0.38%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0940	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.935111	-0.57%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0906	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0453	-0.64%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1539	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0586	-0.51%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.1119	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1859	-0.72%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2431	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.2051	-0.66%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1930	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.288	-0.62%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1895	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1631	-0.12%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1329	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0853	-0.15%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0604	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.1044	-0.24%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0094	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0973	-0.20%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0234	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1491	-0.30%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0492	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0693	-0.20%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1087	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.053	-0.19%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1426	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.0193	-0.17%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0274	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.0206	+0.16%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0554	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1275	-0.22%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0863	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1372	-0.24%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0820	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.2066	-0.16%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0399	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3704	-0.19%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.2061	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2982	-0.21%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2350	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3539	-0.23%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2754	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3548	-0.31%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2886	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3755	-0.33%	1.13	-18.12%	0.2019	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3536	-0.32%	1.14	-16.05%	0.2129	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.4241	-0.38%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2240	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4497	-0.43%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1356	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4253	-0.36%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1746	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3807	-0.38%	1.357	-2.09%	0.0988	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4402	-0.43%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0220	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.5062	-0.51%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0684	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.5235	-0.55%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0736	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4681	-0.54%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0367	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4373	-0.53%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0175	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5788	-0.77%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0319	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6708	-0.96%	1.386	-17.84%	0.1055	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6623	-1.05%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1170	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.6289	-0.98%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0389	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5821	-1.03%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0201	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4124	-0.95%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0326	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.405	-0.92%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4597	-0.77%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1058	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5341	-0.83%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1129	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.6035	-1.02%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0680	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.6109	-1.17%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0131	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6424	-1.30%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4266	-0.65%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0534	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5585	-1.11%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4704	-0.78%	1.471	-0.74%	0.0954	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5762	-1.05%	1.547	-2.89%	0.0965	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.4999	-0.80%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1670	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5494	-0.94%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1781	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6993	-1.37%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1551	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5926	-1.20%	1.436	-10.92%	0.1936	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.95	-2.01%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0129	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.9003	-1.99%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0850	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6789	-1.70%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0624	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5562	-1.35%	1.512	-4.15%	0.0896	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7722	-1.87%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0004	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.