KAIA

Kaia · native · lstm_s2

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,142

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1619

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0380

actual -0.0561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04134	0.039164	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.04212	0.03979	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.039242	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.03803	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.038756	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.041119	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.039336	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.039634	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.04038	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.044094	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.042512	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.048961	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.052741	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.054654	-9.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.035088	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.036192	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.03773	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.038511	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.036077	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.035837	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.03453	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.035195	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.033075	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.032493	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.031339	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.032081	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.033709	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.033391	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.0317	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.030504	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.030982	-3.17%	0.04134	+29.21%	0.3198	✗	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.031697	-3.05%	0.04212	+28.83%	0.3260	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.029108	-4.08%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3339	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.02924	-4.13%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.3244	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.028758	-4.04%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3455	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.027444	-4.71%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.3814	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.026763	-3.83%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3547	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.026415	-2.54%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3518	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028068	-3.12%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3681	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.028221	-3.57%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.3968	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.028253	-3.24%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3886	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.028291	-3.28%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.4892	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.026619	-2.67%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6435	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.029294	-2.58%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6536	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.030543	-3.98%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.1369	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.029924	-3.61%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.1727	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.030729	-2.35%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1648	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.030428	-1.43%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.1828	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.03015	-1.05%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.1083	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.030478	+0.50%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1474	✓	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.028414	+1.28%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.1174	✓	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.029313	+1.50%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.1023	✓	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029706	+0.96%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0693	✓	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027802	+0.88%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.1029	✓	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.029331	+1.74%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0273	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.029704	+2.62%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0173	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.032889	+3.72%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0082	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.033811	+3.29%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0436	✗	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.033336	+4.01%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.0927	✗	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.032495	+4.87%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.1015	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.032675	+3.57%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.1442	✗	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.032774	+2.53%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.1417	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.031252	+4.14%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.0731	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.026301	-0.03%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0289	✗	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023244	-2.72%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0941	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.02078	-3.37%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1708	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022174	-3.11%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0675	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.022082	-3.43%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0244	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.023061	-3.39%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0178	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.023845	-3.19%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0164	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.025064	-2.95%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0329	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.025342	-3.24%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0425	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.025901	-3.54%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.1204	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.025678	-3.79%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0314	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.025924	-4.06%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0260	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.026225	-3.69%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0169	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.026096	-3.67%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0161	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.025663	-3.89%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0195	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.02585	-3.87%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0345	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.025853	-3.66%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0637	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.025331	-3.80%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.0815	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.025307	-3.78%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0533	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.024754	-3.23%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0356	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.02444	-3.00%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.0766	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025361	-3.40%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0462	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.024992	-3.58%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0311	✓	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.024978	-4.26%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0331	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.024669	-4.44%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0891	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.028823	-4.77%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0394	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.028535	-4.31%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.0795	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.03004	-4.12%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.1031	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.030206	-3.48%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.0783	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.030991	-3.38%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.1664	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.03164	-3.63%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.2580	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.030932	-4.22%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.3045	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.030774	-4.61%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.3584	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.031413	-4.61%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3129	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.031322	-5.10%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.3014	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.032225	-4.88%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.2905	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.032312	-4.47%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.2480	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.032617	-4.35%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.2125	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.032324	-4.72%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2270	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.033366	-4.68%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.2143	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.03321	-4.50%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2205	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.033352	-4.44%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.2203	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.032052	-4.64%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.1863	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.031664	-4.70%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.1918	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.032119	-5.14%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.1975	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.03216	-5.02%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.1870	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.033552	-4.87%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2297	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.033565	-4.84%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.2479	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.033392	-5.72%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.2517	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.032607	-5.35%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.2596	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.031844	-5.37%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.2723	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.032802	-6.04%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.3068	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.033083	-5.44%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.2955	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.032394	-5.29%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.2779	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.032274	-4.34%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.2760	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.032625	-4.14%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1488	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.031647	-3.72%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.1230	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.032542	-3.19%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.0818	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.035199	-3.87%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1492	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.035628	-4.01%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1325	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.03434	-3.85%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.0865	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.034942	-3.24%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.0910	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.035186	-2.99%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.1019	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.035352	-2.63%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.0950	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.036447	-2.86%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.0924	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.036577	-3.06%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0535	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.036426	-3.33%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0547	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.036262	-3.57%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0525	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.034839	-3.81%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0008	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.034775	-3.26%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0041	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.035177	-2.83%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0141	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.033221	-2.15%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0170	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.034734	-1.60%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0509	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.0372	-0.88%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.1034	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.036031	-1.15%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0624	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.036301	-0.95%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.1105	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.037552	-0.74%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.0969	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.040176	-0.97%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.1213	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.043221	-1.12%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1805	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.04384	-1.46%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1775	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.046567	-3.61%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.2060	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.044837	-3.63%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0795	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.046695	-3.85%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1424	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.046846	-4.00%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1636	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.046966	-3.75%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1849	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.045653	-3.79%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1387	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.047043	-3.49%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.1866	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.04865	-3.18%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.1903	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.049546	-3.25%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1461	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.050631	-3.17%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1726	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.050661	-3.34%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.2138	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.052127	-3.13%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.2226	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.050037	-2.97%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1689	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.048387	-3.03%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1357	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.049457	-3.09%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1418	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.049499	-3.34%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1465	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.044573	-2.87%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0391	✓	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.045011	-2.85%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0310	✓	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.047652	-0.29%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.0872	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.045992	-2.80%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.0679	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.046896	-0.92%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.0699	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.048518	-0.01%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1383	✓	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.049512	+0.12%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1187	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.047788	-0.15%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.0554	✓	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.048734	-0.42%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.1111	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.047154	+0.11%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0429	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.047837	+1.70%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0158	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.047853	+1.51%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0506	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.046672	+0.93%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.1326	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.044653	-2.01%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.1462	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.045686	+0.08%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1494	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.044437	-2.31%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.1043	✗	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.043812	-3.56%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.1347	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.04426	-3.68%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.1277	✗	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.045519	-3.61%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.1063	✗	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.046299	-3.17%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0640	✗	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.04828	-0.38%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0459	✗	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.047276	-3.17%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0660	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.046868	-3.25%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0950	✗	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.04736	-2.50%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.1203	✗	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.046448	-2.78%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.1573	✗	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.046478	-3.89%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.1305	✗	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.046906	-3.64%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0731	✗	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.045305	-3.85%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0558	✗	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.047515	-3.37%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0550	✗	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.04973	-3.45%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0251	✓	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.04657	-3.50%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.0543	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.045791	-3.32%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.0448	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.045418	-3.37%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0411	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.046353	-3.48%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.0442	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.044721	-3.94%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.0784	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.04567	-3.79%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.0567	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.045664	-3.99%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.0448	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.04517	-4.21%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.0644	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.044965	-4.01%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0420	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.045941	-4.16%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.0871	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.044761	-4.67%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1295	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.044829	-4.69%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1197	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.045188	-5.11%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.1647	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.046338	-5.54%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.1936	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.04622	-5.95%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.1921	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.045354	-5.41%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.1519	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.044226	-5.15%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.0984	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.042446	-5.17%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.0619	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.042626	-5.16%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.0604	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.042463	-5.24%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0533	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.043675	-5.42%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.0861	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.046256	-5.66%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.0810	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.047865	-5.65%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.0802	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.048511	-6.05%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1154	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.048188	-5.54%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1188	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.047122	-6.29%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1088	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.047463	-6.30%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.0845	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.048397	-6.16%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.0794	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.048485	-5.95%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.0773	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.050611	-5.66%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.0740	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.052769	-4.99%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1086	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.053439	-4.62%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1199	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.051779	-5.44%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1187	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.051393	-5.46%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1208	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.051182	-5.36%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.0916	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.051795	-5.44%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1300	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.052132	-5.39%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1386	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.051992	-5.56%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1288	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.047846	-5.46%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.0663	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.046734	-5.67%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.0774	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.050122	-5.94%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.0930	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.049794	-5.76%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.0725	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.05094	-5.49%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0051	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.051761	-5.80%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0448	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.050553	-6.21%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0017	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.051901	-6.14%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.0661	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.051151	-6.44%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1386	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.051926	-6.52%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1442	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.051859	-6.79%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1449	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.052829	-6.64%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1427	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.053336	-6.53%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1135	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.049639	-6.42%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.1010	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.049984	-6.38%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.1062	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.052111	-6.00%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0615	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.05357	-5.87%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.1010	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.053418	-5.42%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0579	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.053071	-5.05%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.0820	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.053829	-4.82%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.1172	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.054659	-4.88%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.1025	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.055628	-4.35%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.0784	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.054996	-3.76%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.0792	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.057848	-4.95%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.1187	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.055467	-3.60%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.0821	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.055071	-2.76%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.1034	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.054188	-2.31%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0728	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.052864	-2.61%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0041	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.053595	-2.95%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0258	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.054088	-2.59%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0235	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.054317	-1.56%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0556	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.055572	-2.35%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0302	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.049913	+0.30%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0230	✗	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.05477	-5.71%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0655	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.054301	-8.07%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0890	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.058175	-8.18%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0608	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.050961	-5.73%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2243	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.051091	-7.66%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2760	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.05344	-7.36%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.4091	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.053604	-7.08%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.4016	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.061653	-6.07%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3555	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.069607	-6.19%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2183	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.067407	-6.70%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2266	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.071171	-8.63%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.1789	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.081632	-14.38%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0437	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.065655	-9.04%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2410	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.04923	-5.89%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.5408	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.049414	-5.65%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.5270	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.047563	-5.82%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5580	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.05171	-5.19%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5632	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.052483	-5.16%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5560	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.056256	-5.04%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4851	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.056574	-5.20%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4713	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.057169	-5.43%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.5051	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.060146	-5.30%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.4367	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.060981	-5.57%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.4443	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.056909	-6.24%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.4101	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.059662	-6.23%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.3037	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.059951	-6.19%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.2843	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.061905	-5.83%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2569	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.062812	-6.12%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2589	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.06312	-6.11%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3464	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.065337	-6.87%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4281	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.063095	-6.01%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3548	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.057936	-7.03%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.3466	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.054962	-6.64%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3832	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.054529	-6.98%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.2584	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.052775	-6.66%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2516	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.051748	-6.40%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1749	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.052298	-6.56%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1732	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.051806	-6.64%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1984	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.052876	-6.45%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.3158	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.054072	-6.64%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2816	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.05233	-5.96%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.4114	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.052421	-5.60%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5631	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.054676	-5.43%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2436	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.055398	-5.15%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.0936	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.056847	-4.95%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.0962	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.056873	-4.21%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1130	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.057624	-4.10%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1292	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.058104	-3.41%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1453	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.053964	-2.46%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0728	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.060899	-3.15%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.1776	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.068214	-4.11%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2478	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.068037	-4.55%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2431	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.070317	-4.80%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.2044	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.072578	-4.48%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.1944	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.071917	-3.76%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1325	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.073963	-3.28%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.1098	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.074066	-2.71%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.0938	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.076767	-2.81%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.1099	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.075993	-2.60%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1330	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.07627	-2.58%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1383	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.075989	-2.65%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.2010	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.075164	-2.35%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2239	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.078176	-2.63%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2584	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.07896	-2.49%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2389	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.077481	-2.37%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2707	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.074067	-1.90%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3150	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.076539	-2.19%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2765	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.07702	-2.23%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2591	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.077697	-2.22%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2625	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.079293	-2.38%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2495	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.080198	-2.21%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.3065	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.080015	-2.12%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3623	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.07956	-2.06%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.3065	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.078223	-1.79%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.3044	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.076199	-1.18%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3192	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.075423	-0.76%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.3099	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.078988	-1.23%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.3085	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.08179	-1.82%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2403	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.084013	-2.11%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2687	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.082942	-2.05%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1587	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.085098	-2.42%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0539	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.085722	-2.50%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0030	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.084907	-2.06%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0139	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.090877	-2.60%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0031	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.095181	-2.82%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0236	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.096094	-2.86%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0385	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.101031	-3.17%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0336	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.09786	-2.97%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0016	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.098173	-2.70%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0121	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.096479	-2.45%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0266	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.088274	-1.93%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.0956	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.089382	-2.05%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.1136	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.08385	-1.65%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1240	✗	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.090736	-2.17%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.1135	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.101293	-2.75%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0769	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.102086	-2.77%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.1105	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.101077	-2.36%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0676	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.099696	-2.22%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0610	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.104425	-2.48%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0469	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.105388	-2.53%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.1040	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.107254	-2.73%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.1300	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.107965	-2.87%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.1880	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.105423	-2.54%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1488	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.106065	-2.67%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1429	✗	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.105598	-2.67%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1444	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.102288	-2.37%	0.076	-27.46%	0.1127	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.103337	-2.33%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1365	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.104678	-2.58%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.1098	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.104015	-2.15%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.0874	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.101387	-1.66%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.0903	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.100985	-1.18%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.0704	✗	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.104482	-1.73%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0472	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.107653	-2.32%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0633	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.109543	-3.46%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0643	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.113784	-4.36%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0724	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.105295	-5.23%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.1309	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.103154	-1.97%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.0890	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.100422	-2.66%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.1405	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.13323	-4.25%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.0680	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.137495	-3.99%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1193	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.136091	-4.19%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.2001	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.144904	-3.93%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2559	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.143389	-4.09%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.2985	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.144169	-4.43%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.2838	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.147405	-4.57%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2327	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.14801	-4.83%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2385	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.147344	-5.16%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2579	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.142598	-5.57%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.2721	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.144648	-5.68%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2530	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.145626	-5.89%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.3057	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.142885	-5.84%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.3107	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.144187	-5.98%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3168	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.140141	-6.16%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.2899	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.142583	-5.60%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2404	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.142412	-5.57%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2480	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.142857	-5.58%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2467	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.152553	-6.05%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.2850	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.147915	-5.69%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2536	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.147917	-5.64%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2420	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.150244	-5.65%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2497	✓	1.44

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.