FOGO

Fogo · native · lstm_s2

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +30d

assessed

241

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

76.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2400

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual -0.2367

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004175	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.00424	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003824	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.0038	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003972	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004232	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004299	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004654	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004605	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004503	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004806	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.00482	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004717	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004618	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004994	-0.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005391	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005479	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005172	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005249	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005242	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.00524	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005221	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005285	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005196	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005666	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.005965	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.00644	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006319	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006245	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007204	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006821	-0.98%	0.004217	-38.78%	0.4301	✓	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006439	-1.76%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4338	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.0066	-1.38%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5474	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006773	-1.70%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.5874	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006182	-1.55%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.5042	✓	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005863	-1.41%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.3894	✓	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.005979	-1.09%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.4099	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006261	-1.31%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3328	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.00634	-1.51%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.3976	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.00642	-1.52%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.4087	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.00636	-1.38%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.3616	✓	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006087	-1.07%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.3157	✓	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006415	-1.14%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.3584	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007029	-1.65%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.4600	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007127	-0.70%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.4122	✓	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007235	+0.59%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.3601	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007243	+1.36%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.3552	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007342	+2.36%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.4353	✗	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007404	+4.00%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.3839	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007302	+3.59%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.4361	✗	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007369	+3.76%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.4478	✗	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007666	+5.22%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.4434	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007567	+5.42%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.4298	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007953	+5.85%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.4804	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007897	+5.83%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.4059	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.010009	+6.96%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.5514	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009813	+6.47%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.4628	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.009564	+6.63%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.4660	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009833	+7.00%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.5011	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009949	+6.38%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.4048	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009882	+6.05%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.4657	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.010441	+7.57%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.4973	✗	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.009268	+3.57%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.4132	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008343	-0.99%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.3137	✓	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.00796	-1.34%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3713	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008117	-1.91%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.4255	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008402	-2.05%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4643	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008374	-2.51%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.4350	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008304	-2.31%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.4002	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008487	-2.18%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.4098	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.00854	-1.87%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.4371	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008771	-1.82%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.5002	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008746	-1.75%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4584	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008803	-1.86%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3602	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008695	-1.77%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3500	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008579	-1.72%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3471	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.00822	-1.53%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.3107	✓	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008042	-1.62%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.2828	✓	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.008056	-1.41%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.3121	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008365	-1.60%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.3311	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008248	-1.52%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.3089	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008177	-1.62%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.2999	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008191	-1.66%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.3065	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008074	-1.50%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2388	✓	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.00793	-1.69%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2323	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008135	-1.62%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0588	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008081	-1.94%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.0569	✓	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008629	-1.74%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.1167	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008505	-1.34%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.0968	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008389	-1.13%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.0595	✓	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008804	-1.13%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.0886	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009096	-1.13%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.0787	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009109	-1.10%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.0966	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008892	-1.17%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.1011	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008813	-1.12%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.0884	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008882	-1.04%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.0671	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008868	-1.12%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0215	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.008968	-1.11%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0348	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009384	-1.34%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.0800	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009528	-1.06%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.0765	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009309	-1.21%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.0802	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009583	-0.92%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.0678	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009602	-0.99%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.0773	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009909	-0.97%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.1078	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009193	-0.87%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.0571	✓	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.00927	-0.89%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.0889	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008959	-0.72%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.0812	✓	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009864	-0.73%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.1943	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009429	-0.74%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1479	✓	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.00947	-0.61%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.1118	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009844	-0.67%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.1728	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009254	-0.20%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.1218	✓	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.009003	+1.04%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.1093	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009448	+3.48%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.2109	✗	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009456	+2.03%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.2005	✗	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.009206	+3.60%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.1545	✗	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010677	+2.70%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.2982	✗	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011502	+1.01%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.3248	✗	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013158	-1.02%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4727	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011663	-0.71%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3577	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.01184	-1.05%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.3166	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012475	-1.32%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3321	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012233	-1.57%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.3263	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012659	-1.35%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3535	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012322	-1.13%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3385	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012658	-1.37%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3674	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012523	-1.30%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.3270	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012825	-1.47%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.3242	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.012934	-1.20%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.2878	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012681	-1.25%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2661	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012548	-1.39%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2585	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012055	-1.45%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.2228	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.01222	-1.55%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.2338	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010852	-1.22%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.1110	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011304	-1.56%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.2146	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011189	-1.66%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1697	✓	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011538	-1.79%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2461	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011434	-1.87%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.1763	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011027	-1.57%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.1782	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012252	-1.98%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2446	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013662	-2.38%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.3080	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.013145	-1.94%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.2986	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.01431	-1.51%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3959	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013602	-1.29%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2793	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013617	-0.98%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2933	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013586	-0.85%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.3268	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013662	-0.80%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1797	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.013974	-0.79%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.0949	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014613	-0.91%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0192	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.014986	-1.04%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1448	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015054	-0.89%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1457	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015257	-0.93%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.1328	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015768	-0.89%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1825	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016351	-1.16%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.1858	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015716	-1.09%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1629	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.021341	-2.53%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.4297	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016591	-1.26%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.1965	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016539	-1.28%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1754	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017083	-1.46%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.2036	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017757	-1.55%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2535	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019451	-1.75%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3465	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019473	-1.94%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3812	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.02004	-1.89%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.3946	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020672	-1.74%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5300	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021673	-1.84%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5255	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.0214	-2.05%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5373	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021117	-1.99%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.4978	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.01963	-1.52%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.4069	✓	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.020433	+2.50%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.4367	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.02022	+2.48%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.3283	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019562	-1.42%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.1899	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018874	-1.27%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2266	✓	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018195	-1.21%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1562	✓	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017421	-1.04%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.1918	✓	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017216	-1.26%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.1999	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017334	-1.32%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.2118	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018161	-1.44%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2470	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018502	-1.34%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2408	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019271	-1.12%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2380	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018194	-1.00%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.1793	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018741	+0.67%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.2050	✗	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.019275	+4.03%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.2072	✗	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.019485	+4.05%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.1733	✗	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.019457	-1.45%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.1754	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018962	-1.44%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.1947	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019665	-1.85%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.0719	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019545	-1.53%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1657	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019664	-1.16%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1639	✓	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019116	-1.46%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.1333	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018378	-1.28%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0691	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018573	-1.33%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0179	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017615	-1.26%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.0619	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016576	-1.25%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.0923	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017198	-1.11%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.1003	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017819	-1.16%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.1067	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018702	-1.44%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0483	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018504	-1.41%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0415	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018183	-1.24%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0065	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.018081	-1.42%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0600	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018773	-1.55%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0997	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017212	-1.40%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0139	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016524	-1.37%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0007	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016663	-1.36%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0472	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016483	-0.89%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0610	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016632	-0.82%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0552	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016684	-1.17%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0650	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016271	-1.39%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0092	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016476	-1.10%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0116	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016853	-0.98%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0108	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.018127	-0.88%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.0962	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.019386	-1.00%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.1146	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.018298	-0.83%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.0795	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018915	-0.78%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.0970	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.018975	-0.88%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.0670	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.019216	-0.85%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.0859	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019567	-0.75%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0183	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020721	-0.83%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.1165	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.021023	-0.68%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.1278	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022541	-0.57%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.1650	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023636	-0.55%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.2381	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023511	-0.66%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.2391	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.023715	-0.18%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.3252	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.023343	+1.29%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.3274	✗	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023778	+1.42%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.3454	✗	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.02371	+2.08%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.3096	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.023487	+2.44%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.2370	✗	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.024734	+3.41%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.3115	✗	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.024318	+4.89%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.3584	✗	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.024528	+4.18%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.3125	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.023469	+3.41%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.2199	✗	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.022151	-0.30%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.1876	✓	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022638	-0.45%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.2212	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.023452	-0.04%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.3054	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.024088	-0.64%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.3592	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.025643	+1.29%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.4664	✗	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.026436	-0.57%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.4446	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.027053	-0.24%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.4961	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.029667	-1.62%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.5573	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.027343	-1.51%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.4465	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.028497	+0.96%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.5305	✗	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.027555	+0.30%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.4622	✗	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.025311	-1.40%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.3715	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.025278	-1.63%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.3373	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.026536	-2.24%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.3238	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.023259	-1.27%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.2184	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.024718	-1.71%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.3027	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.02397	-2.16%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.1834	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.023252	-2.99%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.1384	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.021533	-2.73%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0410	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022148	-3.55%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0198	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.021445	-3.30%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0419	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.020762	-1.35%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.0616	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020092	-1.69%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.0804	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.020493	-2.26%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.1097	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.021949	-2.79%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.0551	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.022715	-3.02%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.023396	-2.12%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0339	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.025909	-2.86%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0443	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.02444	+3.06%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.1061	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.026262	-2.59%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.027772	-2.55%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1579	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.032012	-2.48%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2628	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.032245	-2.60%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.2001	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.032847	-2.30%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1704	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.036251	-2.59%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.1131	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.034341	-2.44%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.039871	-3.57%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.037587	-3.37%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.0577	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.035005	-3.08%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.0290	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.034084	-2.97%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1123	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.03707	-3.56%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0213	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.