DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

149

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

61.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2688

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0680

actual -0.1597

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.6797	-15.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.0076	-45.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.691	-12.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	2.6352	-21.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	2.4132	-32.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	6.9056	-40.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	0.623453	-73.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	0.781741	-73.79%	1.9885	-33.34%	0.9199	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	1.0056	-75.35%	1.8375	-54.96%	0.6048	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	1.5969	-71.00%	3.069	-44.27%	0.6521	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	3.4505	-62.26%	3.3675	-63.17%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	10.5453	-38.87%	3.591	-79.18%	1.0586	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	6.2579	-62.56%	11.643	-30.34%	0.6336	✓	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	5.4479	-68.26%	2.3095	-86.54%	0.8635	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	7.9149	-67.71%	2.983	-87.83%	0.9551	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	25.7182	-40.94%	4.08	-90.63%	1.8122	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	76.3717	-10.63%	5.507	-93.56%	2.5817	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000375811	+0.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000379498	-0.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000257243	+3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000276533	+2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000312742	+1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000275779	+2.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000285057	+1.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000314071	+1.25%	0.000375	+20.89%	0.1299	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000305601	+1.36%	0.0003798	+25.97%	0.1528	✓	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000280324	+0.55%	0.0002495	-10.51%	0.1768	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000304097	+0.40%	0.000269	-11.19%	0.1806	✗	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000307116	+0.89%	0.0003089	+1.48%	0.0319	✓	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000334112	+0.64%	0.0002702	-18.61%	0.1985	✗	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000309845	+0.76%	0.000281	-8.62%	0.0687	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000328097	+0.40%	0.0003102	-5.08%	0.0633	✗	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000300665	+0.42%	0.0003015	+0.70%	0.0183	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000306124	+0.53%	0.0002788	-8.44%	0.0428	✗	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000322888	+0.59%	0.0003029	-5.64%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000316194	+0.54%	0.0003044	-3.21%	0.0197	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000402326	-2.02%	0.000332	-19.14%	0.1649	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000365146	-0.67%	0.0003075	-16.35%	0.1602	✓	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000321154	-0.79%	0.0003268	+0.96%	0.0074	✓	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000324188	-1.13%	0.0002994	-8.69%	0.0725	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000290812	-0.44%	0.0003045	+4.25%	0.0624	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000231208	+1.99%	0.000321	+41.60%	0.3439	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000242774	+1.71%	0.0003145	+31.76%	0.2779	✓	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000215295	+4.21%	0.0004106	+98.74%	0.6391	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000221275	+4.13%	0.0003676	+72.99%	0.5291	✓	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000227474	+7.05%	0.0003237	+52.33%	0.2974	✓	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000229616	+3.57%	0.0003279	+47.90%	0.4926	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000267504	+0.98%	0.0002921	+10.27%	0.2344	✓	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000270602	+0.71%	0.0002267	-15.63%	0.0088	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000259607	+2.37%	0.0002387	-5.88%	0.0443	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000275786	+1.43%	0.0002066	-24.02%	0.0789	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000314579	+1.61%	0.0002125	-31.36%	0.0867	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.0003454	+0.17%	0.0002125	-38.37%	0.0236	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000402833	-2.58%	0.0002217	-46.38%	0.2775	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.00034627	-1.71%	0.0002649	-24.81%	0.0080	✓	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000346709	+0.41%	0.0002687	-22.18%	0.0814	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000355045	+2.76%	0.0002536	-26.60%	0.1548	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.00038436	-2.22%	0.0002719	-30.83%	0.1611	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000399883	-2.61%	0.0003096	-24.60%	0.1607	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000394437	-2.56%	0.0003448	-14.82%	0.0466	✓	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.00035393	-1.93%	0.0004135	+14.57%	0.1589	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000398029	-1.92%	0.0003523	-13.18%	0.1376	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000434073	-2.94%	0.0003453	-22.79%	0.1483	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000493683	-3.22%	0.0003455	-32.27%	0.2152	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000506824	-3.09%	0.0003931	-24.84%	0.1427	✓	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000524608	-3.19%	0.0004106	-24.23%	0.1341	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.00050988	-3.05%	0.0004048	-23.03%	0.1208	✓	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000553668	-3.04%	0.0003609	-36.80%	0.2932	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000561338	-3.55%	0.0004058	-30.27%	0.2016	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000530066	-3.62%	0.0004472	-18.69%	0.1979	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.00057988	-3.47%	0.0005101	-15.08%	0.1844	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000645679	-0.80%	0.000523	-19.65%	0.3058	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000553519	-0.23%	0.0005419	-2.33%	0.1308	✓	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000579679	-0.21%	0.0005259	-9.47%	0.1972	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000578166	-0.13%	0.000571	-1.36%	0.1356	✓	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000653709	-0.21%	0.000582	-11.16%	0.1515	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000686613	-0.36%	0.00055	-20.19%	0.1636	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000664432	-0.43%	0.0006007	-9.98%	0.0871	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000626537	-0.30%	0.0006509	+3.58%	0.0431	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000625466	-0.34%	0.0005548	-11.60%	0.1322	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000587167	-0.23%	0.0005809	-1.29%	0.0606	✓	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.00057102	-0.26%	0.0005789	+1.12%	0.0687	✓	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000618104	-0.39%	0.0006551	+5.58%	0.0598	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.00059828	-0.37%	0.0006891	+14.75%	0.0037	✓	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000613292	-0.36%	0.0006673	+8.42%	0.0059	✗	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000587832	-0.16%	0.0006284	+6.73%	0.0143	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000625631	-0.33%	0.0006276	-0.02%	0.0456	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000611723	-0.09%	0.0005885	-3.89%	0.0676	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000593329	+0.28%	0.0005725	-3.24%	0.0336	✗	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000617329	+0.33%	0.0006205	+0.85%	0.0188	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000681344	-0.05%	0.0006005	-11.91%	0.0934	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.00068363	+0.09%	0.0006155	-9.88%	0.0877	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000691361	+0.24%	0.0005888	-14.63%	0.1486	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000708119	+0.36%	0.0006277	-11.04%	0.1019	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000630083	+2.39%	0.0006123	-0.50%	0.0673	✗	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000640487	+2.56%	0.0005917	-5.25%	0.1108	✗	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000747999	+1.05%	0.0006153	-16.87%	0.1860	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000820947	+0.85%	0.0006817	-16.25%	0.2339	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000887284	+0.26%	0.000683	-22.82%	0.2721	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001043	-0.02%	0.0006897	-33.87%	0.3718	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001029	+0.05%	0.0007056	-31.36%	0.3297	✗	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.0011	+0.21%	0.0006154	-43.95%	0.4266	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001229	+0.14%	0.0006245	-49.10%	0.5489	✗	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001324	+0.12%	0.0007402	-44.01%	0.4765	✗	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001345	+0.01%	0.000814	-39.48%	0.4084	✗	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001315	+0.08%	0.000885	-32.65%	0.3472	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001434	-0.08%	0.001043	-27.32%	0.3400	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.00148	-0.09%	0.001028	-30.59%	0.3848	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001502	+0.10%	0.001098	-26.80%	0.3230	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.00158	+0.11%	0.001227	-22.24%	0.2211	✗	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001595	-0.03%	0.001322	-17.12%	0.2186	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001579	-0.31%	0.001345	-15.09%	0.2692	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001536	+0.02%	0.001314	-14.45%	0.1572	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001558	+0.04%	0.001435	-7.84%	0.0390	✗	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001534	+0.10%	0.001481	-3.39%	0.0073	✓	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001598	+0.03%	0.0015	-6.13%	0.0845	✗	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001617	-0.09%	0.001578	-2.47%	0.1043	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.00162	-0.34%	0.001595	-1.85%	0.1281	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001515	-0.20%	0.001584	+4.35%	0.1030	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001474	-0.24%	0.001536	+3.99%	0.0606	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001579	-0.38%	0.001557	-1.77%	0.1983	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001762	-0.88%	0.001533	-13.78%	0.3140	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001685	-0.88%	0.001598	-6.00%	0.1984	✓	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002003	-1.78%	0.001618	-20.65%	0.1832	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002319	-4.04%	0.001625	-32.77%	0.1875	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.00161	-1.21%	0.001518	-6.87%	0.0468	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001653	-1.37%	0.001477	-11.87%	0.0971	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001283	-0.63%	0.001585	+22.77%	0.5461	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001496	-1.00%	0.001778	+17.67%	0.4722	✗	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001369	-0.43%	0.0017	+23.64%	0.7364	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001541	-0.62%	0.002039	+31.46%	0.6725	✗	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001473	-0.40%	0.002417	+63.42%	0.8913	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001578	-0.60%	0.00163	+2.64%	0.5976	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001681	-0.92%	0.001676	-1.24%	0.4256	✗	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001546	-0.66%	0.001291	-17.03%	0.0891	✗	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001907	-1.92%	0.001511	-22.27%	0.1134	✗	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001635	-1.06%	0.001375	-16.82%	0.1120	✓	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001805	-1.65%	0.001551	-15.48%	0.0692	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001726	-1.48%	0.001479	-15.58%	0.2106	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001628	-1.52%	0.001588	-3.93%	0.0023	✓	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002245	-6.60%	0.001697	-29.41%	0.0269	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001497	-1.52%	0.001556	+2.37%	0.3687	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001635	-1.79%	0.001944	+16.76%	0.4387	✗	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001674	-1.19%	0.001653	-2.42%	0.2869	✗	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.00174	-1.83%	0.001835	+3.56%	0.3231	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001627	-2.26%	0.001752	+5.23%	0.1806	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001785	-3.34%	0.001653	-10.50%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001924	-4.11%	0.002404	+19.84%	0.2586	✗	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001798	-1.10%	0.00152	-16.39%	0.1534	✓	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001769	-0.13%	0.001665	-5.99%	0.0469	✓	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002028	-1.55%	0.001694	-17.77%	0.1634	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.00158	+2.61%	0.001772	+15.06%	0.0921	✓	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001393	+1.96%	0.001665	+21.89%	0.1374	✓	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001905	+0.65%	0.001847	-2.43%	0.0624	✗	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002281	-0.41%	0.002006	-12.40%	0.1809	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002257	-0.30%	0.001818	-19.70%	0.2571	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002666	-1.40%	0.001771	-34.50%	0.4512	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.00282	-1.82%	0.00206	-28.27%	0.3316	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002635	-1.81%	0.00154	-42.62%	0.5078	✓	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004576	-4.53%	0.001366	-71.50%	1.1664	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.00476	-5.07%	0.001893	-62.25%	0.8804	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.00606	-6.49%	0.00229	-64.67%	0.9160	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.004956	-4.81%	0.002264	-56.52%	0.7509	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001467	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001254	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001243	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001656	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.00