DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

164

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

53.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1198

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0211

actual -0.0319

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.8984	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.5627	-14.95%	1.9885	+8.22%	0.2439	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.9592	-3.58%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.4899	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.1474	-6.54%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.2219	-10.28%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	9.8996	-14.97%	3.591	-69.16%	1.0126	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	1.6465	-28.71%	11.643	+404.14%	1.9637	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.1092	-29.29%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.0839	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	2.833	-30.56%	2.983	-26.89%	0.0703	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	3.999	-27.38%	4.08	-25.91%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	7.0937	-22.41%	5.507	-39.77%	0.2298	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	15.1122	-12.40%	9.143	-47.00%	0.5117	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	12.903	-22.80%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.2860	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	12.753	-25.70%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.2601	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	18.2582	-25.50%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	37.9496	-12.85%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.4104	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	82.7259	-3.20%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6392	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.00037549	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000380044	+0.06%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0173	✓	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000251046	+0.62%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3576	✓	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000270395	+0.52%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0739	✗	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000308972	+0.02%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1835	✗	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.00027093	+0.27%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1487	✓	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000281382	+0.14%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0569	✗	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000310424	+0.07%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0760	✗	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000301845	+0.11%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0345	✓	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278798	-0.00%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0227	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000302854	-0.02%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0748	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000304716	+0.10%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0366	✓	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000332277	+0.08%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0829	✗	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000307847	+0.11%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0759	✓	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000326946	+0.04%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0753	✗	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000299607	+0.07%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0794	✓	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000304849	+0.11%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0027	✗	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000321478	+0.15%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0338	✗	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000314922	+0.13%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0181	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000408243	-0.57%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2462	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000366965	-0.17%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.0989	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000322535	-0.36%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0972	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000326169	-0.53%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0019	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000291354	-0.26%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1401	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000228319	+0.71%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2628	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000240174	+0.62%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0555	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000209338	+1.33%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1188	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000215266	+1.30%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0251	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000216649	+1.95%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1408	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000224099	+1.08%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1874	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000266065	+0.44%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1272	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269678	+0.36%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0449	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000255576	+0.78%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0176	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000273384	+0.55%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0380	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000311512	+0.62%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0195	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000345599	+0.23%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.1018	✗	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000410266	-0.78%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0883	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000350722	-0.45%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1639	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000346171	+0.25%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0028	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000348483	+0.86%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0388	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000390519	-0.66%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0798	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000407272	-0.81%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0286	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000401599	-0.79%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0220	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000358988	-0.53%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1184	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000403611	-0.54%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1322	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000443185	-0.90%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0088	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000504913	-1.02%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1006	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000518001	-0.96%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0112	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000536516	-0.99%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0185	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000521055	-0.92%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0407	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000565711	-0.93%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0495	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.00057542	-1.13%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0337	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000543684	-1.15%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0159	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000594292	-1.07%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0840	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000650011	-0.14%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0891	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000555174	+0.07%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1623	✓	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000581356	+0.08%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0353	✗	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000579537	+0.11%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0080	✓	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000655677	+0.09%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0715	✗	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000689351	+0.04%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0478	✗	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000667345	+0.01%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0194	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000628717	+0.05%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0400	✓	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000627816	+0.03%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0131	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000588931	+0.07%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0369	✓	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000572884	+0.07%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0005	✓	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000620645	+0.02%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0601	✗	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000600722	+0.04%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0039	✓	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000615763	+0.04%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0081	✗	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000589481	+0.12%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0419	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000628101	+0.06%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0741	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.00061321	+0.15%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0210	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000593289	+0.27%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0398	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000617054	+0.29%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0464	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000682813	+0.16%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0785	✗	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000684406	+0.21%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0021	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000691371	+0.24%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0195	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000707456	+0.26%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0308	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.00062014	+0.77%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0699	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000629503	+0.80%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0055	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000743297	+0.42%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1378	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000816842	+0.35%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1309	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000886637	+0.18%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0460	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001044	+0.09%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1202	✗	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001029	+0.11%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0138	✓	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.0011	+0.19%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0198	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001229	+0.17%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1235	✗	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001324	+0.17%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0625	✗	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001347	+0.13%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0622	✗	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001316	+0.15%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0164	✓	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001436	+0.10%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1141	✗	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001482	+0.10%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0308	✗	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001503	+0.17%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0479	✓	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001581	+0.18%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0222	✗	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001597	+0.13%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0602	✗	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001584	+0.02%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1177	✗	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001538	+0.14%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1440	✓	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001559	+0.15%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0025	✗	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001536	+0.16%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0159	✓	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.0016	+0.14%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0317	✗	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.00162	+0.10%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0365	✗	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001625	+0.00%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0938	✗	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001519	+0.05%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0952	✓	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001477	+0.02%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0152	✗	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001584	-0.03%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1354	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001774	-0.20%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.1010	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001697	-0.20%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0931	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002028	-0.53%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0240	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.00238	-1.55%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1117	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001625	-0.32%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3752	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.00167	-0.39%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0335	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.00129	-0.08%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3016	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001507	-0.23%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1862	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001375	-0.01%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2890	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.00155	-0.07%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0449	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001479	+0.01%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.0989	✓	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001587	-0.05%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0439	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001694	-0.16%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1142	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001555	-0.07%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0045	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001934	-0.52%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1796	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.00165	-0.20%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0923	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001828	-0.40%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0050	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001746	-0.34%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0374	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001648	-0.32%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3050	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002347	-2.39%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1795	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001517	-0.23%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4409	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.00166	-0.28%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1087	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001692	-0.11%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0674	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001767	-0.28%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0317	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001658	-0.44%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0925	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001832	-0.79%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0854	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001985	-1.05%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001816	-0.09%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0738	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001774	+0.16%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002056	-0.21%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1574	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001552	+0.80%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2597	✓	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001375	+0.64%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1207	✓	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001899	+0.32%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3093	✗	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002291	+0.05%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2081	✗	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002265	+0.06%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0028	✗	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002697	-0.24%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1822	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002862	-0.34%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0407	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002675	-0.32%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.0947	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004739	-1.13%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5483	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004949	-1.30%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006365	-1.79%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2404	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005145	-1.19%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1927	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001519	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001306	-1.37%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1479	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001299	-1.50%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001705	-1.00%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2540	✓	1.00