CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s2

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 255

Track record at +7d

assessed

78

of 85 predictions shown

direction hit

62.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0861

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0186

actual -0.0019

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002272	0.00224	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-21	oos	0.002269	0.002238	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.00222	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002155	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002237	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002308	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002303	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002269	-1.84%	0.002272	-1.70%	0.0127	✓	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002403	-1.89%	0.002269	-7.35%	0.0742	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002443	-1.89%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0798	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002387	-1.99%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0870	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002435	-1.93%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0567	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002395	-1.98%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0092	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002447	-2.02%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0357	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002295	-2.07%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0043	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002384	-1.96%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0377	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002453	-1.85%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0295	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002556	-1.83%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0248	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002536	-1.72%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0047	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002524	-1.83%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0214	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002491	-1.83%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0145	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002515	-1.87%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0516	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002591	-2.15%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0616	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002657	-2.20%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0729	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002669	-2.30%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0385	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.00273	-2.16%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0685	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002686	-2.09%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0457	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002651	-2.06%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0463	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002621	-2.00%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0253	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002673	-2.09%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0047	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002733	-1.97%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0089	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002733	-1.88%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0174	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002596	-2.10%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0539	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.00278	-2.44%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0309	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.00264	-2.11%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0075	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002541	-1.64%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0083	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002465	-1.05%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0584	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002539	-1.53%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0361	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002824	-2.27%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0404	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002838	-2.18%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0834	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002966	-2.39%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0525	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.00287	-2.15%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0741	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002908	-2.21%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1176	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.00295	-2.27%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1625	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002836	-1.98%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0861	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002814	-1.40%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0294	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002793	-0.57%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0498	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002825	-0.73%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0814	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002679	+0.64%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.0989	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002688	+1.19%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1162	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002641	-1.42%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1292	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002717	-1.46%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0585	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002735	-1.20%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0404	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.0026	-1.17%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0668	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.00284	-1.39%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0031	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002925	-1.27%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0998	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002888	-1.01%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0866	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002717	-1.56%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0091	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002979	-1.91%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0740	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002816	-1.37%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0155	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.00246	-0.80%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0674	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002608	-1.11%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.0961	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002798	-1.20%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0576	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002602	-1.56%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1309	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002496	-1.80%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0305	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002706	-2.20%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0785	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.003004	-3.59%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2539	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002613	-2.76%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2649	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002705	-3.31%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2265	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002475	-2.68%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0833	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002312	-2.40%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002179	-2.24%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0649	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.00215	-2.29%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2347	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.002013	-2.04%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4282	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001919	-1.78%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3681	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001896	-1.80%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4187	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001969	-2.09%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.2856	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001807	-1.76%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.2843	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001808	-1.76%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2281	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001888	-1.99%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1611	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001854	-1.99%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.0959	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001858	-2.07%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0293	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001883	-2.42%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001816	-2.36%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0697	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001784	-2.86%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0374	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.