BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
32.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2711
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0267
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0202 | -4.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9675 | -3.70% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9003 | -3.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3153 | -4.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.331 | -4.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8568 | -3.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7514 | -3.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2656 | -4.82% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0545 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9787 | -5.25% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0295 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6747 | -4.28% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1623 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5606 | -4.01% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4073 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5209 | -3.99% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4448 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5093 | -4.19% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2262 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3394 | -3.83% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3127 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.251 | -3.59% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6122 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1729 | -3.35% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5336 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1926 | -3.33% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3109 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2045 | -3.32% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2485 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0063 | -3.02% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4150 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3311 | -3.65% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1272 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3643 | -3.81% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0467 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2802 | -3.67% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0073 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3321 | -4.08% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0518 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.083 | -3.23% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1804 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1776 | -3.53% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1037 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.972591 | -2.89% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0724 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2496 | -5.00% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1098 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.926771 | -2.89% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4355 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0003 | -3.61% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2660 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.880223 | -1.96% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.4861 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.786663 | -1.75% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.3895 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.724153 | -3.06% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4823 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.585548 | -0.81% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.4983 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.621855 | -1.32% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7101 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.697623 | -3.09% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2133 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.725079 | -3.35% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2559 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.681757 | -3.30% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1439 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.569979 | -2.17% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2376 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.698173 | -4.94% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.537117 | -2.40% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0443 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.499356 | -1.86% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1863 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.487645 | -2.48% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3920 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.453962 | +0.63% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.440854 | +0.71% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5067 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.453117 | +0.46% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2630 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.449036 | +0.37% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.454144 | +0.43% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2248 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.458233 | +0.37% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.455455 | +0.23% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.489579 | -0.00% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0944 | ✓ | 1.00 |