BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
40.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1140
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0108
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0777 | -1.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0202 | -1.13% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0365 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9469 | -0.99% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0684 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3815 | -1.39% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1947 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3986 | -1.63% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0186 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9036 | -1.26% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2454 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7949 | -1.19% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0600 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.333 | -1.99% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2406 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0387 | -2.38% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1303 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7213 | -1.62% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2175 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.6029 | -1.41% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0535 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.563 | -1.34% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0528 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5527 | -1.43% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0266 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3751 | -1.27% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1517 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2823 | -1.17% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0539 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2005 | -1.08% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0376 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2203 | -1.08% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0093 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2321 | -1.10% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0124 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0283 | -0.91% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2284 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.365 | -1.19% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2692 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.4002 | -1.28% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0207 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3124 | -1.25% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1057 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3685 | -1.45% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0312 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1065 | -1.13% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2312 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.2056 | -1.24% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0981 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.991212 | -1.03% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2093 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.286 | -2.23% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2426 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.944186 | -1.07% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3252 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0227 | -1.46% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0689 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.888938 | -0.99% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1762 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.791358 | -1.17% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1308 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.737658 | -1.26% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.587995 | -0.39% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.627027 | -0.50% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0648 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.712292 | -1.06% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1800 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.741119 | -1.21% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.696341 | -1.24% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0671 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.577578 | -0.86% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2331 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.715972 | -2.52% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2239 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.545405 | -0.89% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3036 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.505404 | -0.67% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0844 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.495217 | -0.97% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.451492 | +0.09% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.438154 | +0.09% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.450816 | -0.05% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.446969 | -0.10% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0247 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.451789 | -0.09% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.455867 | -0.15% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.452805 | -0.35% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0280 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.487411 | -0.45% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1200 | ✓ | 1.00 |