AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

122

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

63.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1733

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0160

actual +0.0054

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3215	0.308076	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.327518	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.396027	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.30544	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.354332	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.281227	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.273134	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.258422	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.230928	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.224754	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.220691	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.225322	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.231466	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.22557	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.220243	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.226046	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.238095	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.253919	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.257198	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.251537	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.250087	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.238038	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.237795	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.235636	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.243909	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.237897	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.254854	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.247398	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.245106	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.250619	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.242298	-2.24%	0.3215	+29.72%	0.3165	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.230871	-3.36%	0.3432	+43.66%	0.3800	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.218456	-3.21%	0.42285	+87.35%	0.6548	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.227124	-3.60%	0.3193	+35.53%	0.3299	✗	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.245516	-6.68%	0.3784	+43.82%	0.3656	✗	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.152629	-2.00%	0.2935	+88.44%	0.5836	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.156082	-2.05%	0.2846	+78.60%	0.5133	✗	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.161312	-2.09%	0.26855	+63.00%	0.4658	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.168663	-2.14%	0.2373	+37.68%	0.2584	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.163272	-2.09%	0.2321	+39.19%	0.2917	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.15074	-1.67%	0.22825	+48.89%	0.3289	✗	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.146105	-1.58%	0.2325	+56.62%	0.3799	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.157033	-0.83%	0.2387	+50.74%	0.3641	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.165159	-0.48%	0.23205	+39.83%	0.2958	✗	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.160023	-0.14%	0.22615	+41.12%	0.2889	✗	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.166727	+0.62%	0.23255	+40.34%	0.2630	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.171831	+0.81%	0.24515	+43.83%	0.2758	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.174138	+1.07%	0.2621	+52.12%	0.3178	✓	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.198625	+1.26%	0.26635	+35.79%	0.2500	✓	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.183904	-0.16%	0.26025	+41.29%	0.2527	✗	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.190115	-0.04%	0.25855	+35.94%	0.2089	✗	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.195311	+0.86%	0.2456	+26.83%	0.1675	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.192471	+0.74%	0.24525	+28.37%	0.1680	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.202156	+1.23%	0.2432	+21.78%	0.1221	✓	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.203264	+0.63%	0.2525	+25.00%	0.1376	✓	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.216986	+4.07%	0.2456	+17.79%	0.0750	✓	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.217621	+3.26%	0.26395	+25.24%	0.1322	✓	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.216801	+3.63%	0.2556	+22.18%	0.0938	✓	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.214787	+6.44%	0.253	+25.37%	0.0982	✓	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.215355	+4.01%	0.25725	+24.25%	0.0733	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.211755	+4.06%	0.24785	+21.79%	0.0397	✓	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.21758	+6.19%	0.2389	+16.59%	0.0576	✓	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.187751	-1.70%	0.2257	+18.17%	0.0757	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.17559	-2.40%	0.2356	+30.96%	0.1371	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.163881	-3.97%	0.2631	+54.18%	0.2989	✗	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.166601	-4.33%	0.15575	-10.57%	0.2476	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.165796	-4.74%	0.15935	-8.45%	0.2447	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.169601	-4.91%	0.16475	-7.63%	0.2678	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.169807	-4.95%	0.17235	-3.53%	0.2065	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.171406	-4.91%	0.16675	-7.49%	0.2494	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.175243	-5.20%	0.1533	-17.07%	0.3606	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.180825	-5.40%	0.14845	-22.34%	0.4120	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.191961	-5.44%	0.15835	-22.00%	0.4251	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.197379	-4.88%	0.16595	-20.02%	0.3914	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.196683	-4.78%	0.16025	-22.42%	0.4310	✓	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.199869	-4.94%	0.1657	-21.19%	0.4322	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.181035	-4.82%	0.17045	-10.38%	0.3003	✓	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.17393	-4.25%	0.1723	-5.15%	0.2425	✓	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.15994	-4.66%	0.19615	+16.93%	0.0535	✓	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.162912	-5.12%	0.1842	+7.28%	0.0933	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.172527	-5.46%	0.1902	+4.22%	0.1204	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.161782	-5.69%	0.19365	+12.88%	0.0613	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.153359	-4.60%	0.19105	+18.85%	0.0067	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.14851	-2.30%	0.1997	+31.38%	0.0765	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.146868	-2.15%	0.202	+34.58%	0.0903	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.150244	-1.99%	0.2085	+36.01%	0.0621	✗	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.151393	-2.04%	0.21075	+36.36%	0.0803	✗	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.158892	-2.16%	0.2092	+28.82%	0.0641	✗	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.159741	-2.42%	0.2018	+23.27%	0.0059	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.151389	-1.92%	0.20705	+34.14%	0.0911	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.151136	-1.64%	0.2035	+32.44%	0.1008	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.156545	-0.98%	0.2049	+29.60%	0.0723	✗	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.159901	-0.03%	0.191	+19.41%	0.0697	✗	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.153973	-1.24%	0.1799	+15.39%	0.0856	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.151833	-1.34%	0.17065	+10.88%	0.1168	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.15277	-1.28%	0.17415	+12.54%	0.1367	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.155542	-1.56%	0.17405	+10.16%	0.1320	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.157006	-1.59%	0.17835	+11.78%	0.1414	✗	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.16191	-1.36%	0.17865	+8.83%	0.1303	✗	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.160255	-0.95%	0.18025	+11.40%	0.1461	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.155236	-1.37%	0.18485	+17.44%	0.1525	✗	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.160926	-1.15%	0.19115	+17.41%	0.1761	✗	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.165474	-1.12%	0.203	+21.30%	0.2018	✗	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.167686	-1.13%	0.2075	+22.35%	0.1995	✗	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.16634	-1.02%	0.20655	+22.91%	0.1835	✗	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.165304	-0.96%	0.21025	+25.97%	0.1893	✗	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.169932	-0.68%	0.1902	+11.16%	0.0945	✗	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.178273	-0.60%	0.18165	+1.28%	0.0074	✗	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.179242	-0.59%	0.16775	-6.96%	0.0752	✓	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.182629	-0.72%	0.1717	-6.66%	0.0692	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.17579	-0.82%	0.1825	+2.96%	0.0185	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.169628	-0.77%	0.17155	+0.35%	0.0135	✓	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.172997	-1.00%	0.16075	-8.01%	0.1333	✓	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.15962	-1.13%	0.152	-5.85%	0.1695	✓	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.164748	-0.81%	0.1501	-9.63%	0.1658	✓	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.165389	-0.94%	0.1533	-8.18%	0.1628	✓	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.167413	-0.85%	0.15455	-8.47%	0.1544	✓	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.171658	-0.83%	0.1624	-6.18%	0.1604	✓	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.169391	-0.85%	0.1637	-4.18%	0.1250	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.173498	-0.63%	0.15435	-11.60%	0.1780	✓	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.181089	-0.42%	0.15365	-15.51%	0.2104	✓	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.187079	-0.25%	0.1581	-15.70%	0.2084	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.190269	-0.43%	0.15995	-16.30%	0.2370	✓	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.197526	-0.42%	0.1559	-21.40%	0.2557	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.188971	-0.72%	0.1539	-19.15%	0.2281	✓	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.19244	-0.86%	0.15475	-20.27%	0.2554	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.202315	-0.68%	0.158	-22.43%	0.2367	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.19868	-0.56%	0.15955	-20.15%	0.1835	✓	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.196171	-0.47%	0.16415	-16.72%	0.1481	✓	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.192394	-0.52%	0.1618	-16.34%	0.1594	✓	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.189002	-0.73%	0.1574	-17.33%	0.1397	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.189296	-0.89%	0.1628	-14.76%	0.1540	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.192105	-0.95%	0.16735	-13.71%	0.1412	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.174001	-0.80%	0.1696	-3.31%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.174117	-0.93%	0.16805	-4.38%	0.0593	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.181341	-1.23%	0.1669	-9.10%	0.0698	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.181046	-1.34%	0.1711	-6.76%	0.0568	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.17484	-1.33%	0.17935	+1.21%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.174328	-1.45%	0.1803	+1.92%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.188042	-1.96%	0.18395	-4.09%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.204883	-2.34%	0.17725	-15.51%	0.1209	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.201797	-2.18%	0.17095	-17.14%	0.0851	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.216257	-2.54%	0.17475	-21.25%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.215581	-3.02%	0.16145	-27.37%	0.0603	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.212062	-3.10%	0.1661	-24.10%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.211504	-3.09%	0.16695	-23.51%	0.0266	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.208221	-3.15%	0.16885	-21.47%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.215323	-3.18%	0.1731	-22.17%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.21969	-3.39%	0.17085	-24.87%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.225158	-3.49%	0.1746	-25.16%	0.0179	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.223341	-3.48%	0.18185	-21.41%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.233874	-3.52%	0.18755	-22.63%	0.0396	✓	1.00