AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

50.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0361

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0033

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3215	0.318944	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.339691	-1.02%	0.3215	-6.32%	0.0539	✓	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.413117	-2.30%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1914	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.315734	-1.12%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.2931	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.369646	-2.31%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1503	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.291185	-0.79%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2628	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.282096	-0.88%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0438	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.265269	-1.22%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0667	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.235953	-0.57%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1411	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.230975	-0.48%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0168	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.2269	-0.59%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0376	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.231207	-0.56%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0189	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.237401	-0.54%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0238	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.230975	-0.46%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0260	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.225136	-0.45%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0434	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.231478	-0.46%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0052	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.24405	-0.45%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0466	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.260821	-0.49%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0561	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.264728	-0.61%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0240	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.258711	-0.59%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0272	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.257055	-0.58%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0151	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.244308	-0.53%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0462	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.24392	-0.54%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0075	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.241738	-0.60%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0129	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.250759	-0.69%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0224	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.244098	-0.61%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0335	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.262085	-0.71%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0676	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.25391	-0.66%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0412	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.251247	-0.69%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0171	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.255324	-0.75%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0059	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.246295	-0.63%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0469	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.236532	-0.99%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0026	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.223872	-0.81%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0657	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.232397	-1.36%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0327	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.253198	-3.76%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1325	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.155639	-0.07%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5222	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.159237	-0.07%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0299	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.164406	-0.21%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0036	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.171448	-0.52%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0585	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.167201	+0.27%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0367	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.154089	+0.51%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0782	✓	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.149566	+0.75%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0154	✓	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.159672	+0.83%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0496	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.167541	+0.96%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0541	✗	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.162036	+1.11%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0329	✓	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.167639	+1.17%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0277	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.17238	+1.13%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0466	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.174067	+1.03%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0232	✗	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.197205	+0.54%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1146	✗	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.184709	+0.28%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0071	✓	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.190233	+0.02%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0310	✗	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.193699	+0.03%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0033	✗	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.190799	-0.13%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0033	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.199227	-0.24%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0348	✓	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.201194	-0.40%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0124	✓	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.208148	-0.17%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0001	✓	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.210018	-0.35%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0226	✓	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.208407	-0.38%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0049	✗	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.201522	-0.14%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0431	✗	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.206382	-0.32%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0386	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.202988	-0.25%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0110	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.204502	-0.19%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0116	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.190975	-0.01%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0009	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.179644	-0.14%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0083	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.169489	-0.68%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0129	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.172805	-0.77%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0160	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.172506	-0.89%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0191	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.176733	-0.91%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0121	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.177046	-0.90%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0066	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.178664	-0.88%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0079	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.183118	-0.94%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0160	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.189271	-0.98%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0215	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.200908	-1.03%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0429	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.205515	-0.96%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0043	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.204525	-0.98%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0155	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.207739	-1.19%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0060	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.188371	-0.96%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.0992	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.180209	-0.79%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0598	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.166396	-0.81%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0784	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.169993	-0.99%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0233	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.180541	-1.07%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0496	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.169453	-1.22%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0617	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.159764	-0.61%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0722	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.151601	-0.26%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.0930	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.149744	-0.24%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0001	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.152948	-0.23%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0197	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.15417	-0.25%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0084	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.162009	-0.24%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0178	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.163176	-0.32%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0236	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.154065	-0.18%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0569	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.15351	-0.09%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0229	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.158162	+0.04%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0106	✗	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.160124	+0.11%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0052	✗	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.155986	+0.05%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0023	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.153918	+0.01%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0034	✓	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.154787	+0.02%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0037	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.15794	-0.04%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0368	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.159477	-0.05%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0116	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.164196	+0.03%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0115	✗	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.16201	+0.13%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0180	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.157393	-0.00%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0242	✓	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.16294	+0.09%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0063	✗	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.167511	+0.10%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0279	✗	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.169756	+0.09%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0075	✗	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.168241	+0.11%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0102	✗	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.167095	+0.12%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0126	✗	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.171436	+0.20%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0056	✗	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.179728	+0.21%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0362	✗	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.180686	+0.21%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0154	✗	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.184265	+0.17%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0315	✗	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.177475	+0.13%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0248	✓	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.17117	+0.13%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0148	✓	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.174833	+0.05%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0546	✗	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.161441	-0.01%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0501	✗	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.166221	+0.07%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0042	✓	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.16698	+0.02%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0194	✗	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.168886	+0.02%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0021	✗	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.173094	-0.00%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0234	✓	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.170842	-0.00%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0070	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.17463	+0.02%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0042	✓	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.181873	+0.01%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0079	✗	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.187512	-0.02%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0055	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.190971	-0.07%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0322	✓	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.198019	-0.17%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0163	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.18996	-0.20%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0290	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.19312	-0.51%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0262	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.202525	-0.58%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0124	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.198906	-0.45%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0464	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.196326	-0.39%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0302	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.192894	-0.26%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0107	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.19009	-0.16%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0076	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.190473	-0.28%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.193205	-0.38%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.175729	+0.19%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0648	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.176265	+0.29%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.183779	+0.10%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0226	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.183642	+0.08%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.178148	+0.53%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0099	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.1779	+0.57%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.192102	+0.16%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0380	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.209731	-0.03%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0857	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.205936	-0.18%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0587	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.221059	-0.38%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.221192	-0.50%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0344	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.21779	-0.48%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0232	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.217207	-0.48%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.214035	-0.45%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0215	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.221158	-0.56%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.226184	-0.53%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.231838	-0.63%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.229873	-0.66%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0113	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.240738	-0.69%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0438	✓	1.00