ARK

ARK · native · lstm_s2

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

76.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1301

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0432

actual -0.0240

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.18393	0.172889	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.18695	0.175677	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.163116	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.160821	-7.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.157684	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.160841	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.166638	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.169656	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.168649	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.177617	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.174755	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.192211	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.19836	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.199893	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.206597	-8.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.197182	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.194367	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.204455	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.211239	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.215845	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.196731	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.226337	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.240775	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.235412	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.221789	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.230718	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.237365	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.229638	-9.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.180293	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.150864	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.150538	-4.72%	0.18393	+16.41%	0.2233	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.147747	-4.06%	0.18695	+21.40%	0.2652	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.142874	-5.86%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1766	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.144378	-5.91%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1786	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.134454	-5.48%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.2145	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.128652	-6.16%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.2259	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.138142	-7.75%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1856	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.133584	-7.98%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.2162	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.151181	-10.32%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.1387	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.126562	-8.12%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.3384	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.124072	-6.66%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3679	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.10965	-4.32%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.5601	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.106081	-3.61%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.6220	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.113168	-3.81%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5923	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.112589	-3.21%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6550	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.111788	-2.36%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.6064	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.115523	-1.93%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.5367	✗	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.115367	-1.90%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5750	✗	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.115654	-1.65%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5897	✗	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.113252	-0.58%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6754	✗	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.108431	-1.35%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5868	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.108093	-0.82%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.7261	✗	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.110113	-0.04%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.8048	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.109827	+0.48%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7600	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.113128	+1.42%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6901	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.11316	+0.63%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.7111	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.114993	+0.58%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7737	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.113176	+0.55%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.7551	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.107966	+1.10%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.5193	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.108935	+1.62%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.3184	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.110214	+1.70%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2677	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.110949	+2.26%	0.154	+41.94%	0.2233	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.11133	+4.13%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2775	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.099625	+2.68%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.3429	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.088418	-3.83%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.3496	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.082304	-4.32%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3815	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.083114	-4.99%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.4586	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.083643	-4.91%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.4018	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.085027	-5.12%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.5106	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.083835	-5.16%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.3359	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.085374	-5.19%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2826	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.084804	-5.03%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.1380	✗	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.086121	-5.61%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0917	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.087872	-5.03%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.1229	✗	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.088992	-4.79%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.1069	✗	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.089239	-5.60%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0825	✗	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.089001	-5.56%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.1003	✗	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.089593	-5.32%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0883	✗	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.088709	-4.64%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.1037	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.088972	-4.73%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0459	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.090093	-4.94%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0293	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.088616	-4.62%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0364	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.088332	-4.59%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0314	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.089461	-4.59%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0214	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.090532	-4.12%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0439	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.089194	-3.97%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0652	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.092647	-4.15%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0173	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.093584	-4.14%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0014	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.099857	-4.21%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.0755	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.099158	-4.29%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.0835	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.097862	-4.06%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0499	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.099486	-3.84%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0469	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.10132	-3.63%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.0794	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.101839	-3.50%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1215	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.099156	-3.61%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1211	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.098907	-3.68%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1396	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.101416	-3.81%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1440	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.100103	-3.83%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1162	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.100455	-3.72%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1048	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.102721	-3.91%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1288	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.103816	-3.65%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1231	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.100796	-3.99%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1358	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.102881	-3.85%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1174	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.103661	-3.84%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1154	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.104368	-3.72%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1194	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.101803	-3.95%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.0959	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.100368	-3.73%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.0963	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.102837	-3.74%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.0949	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.10645	-3.90%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1422	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.106321	-3.97%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1355	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.107016	-4.21%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1262	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.106962	-4.50%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1530	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.104298	-4.49%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1350	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.100827	-4.81%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1081	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.106491	-5.30%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2046	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.104797	-5.08%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1398	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.106279	-5.82%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1358	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.101946	-4.58%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0491	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.100085	-3.89%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0272	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.102714	-3.63%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0479	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.104354	-3.91%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0401	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.106277	-4.44%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0382	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.107936	-4.37%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0652	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.111644	-4.21%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.0949	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.109628	-3.81%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.0815	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.110502	-4.54%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.0729	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.115668	-4.63%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.0982	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.118573	-4.45%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1039	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.119644	-4.23%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.0919	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.118997	-4.50%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.0898	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.116335	-4.25%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0717	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.115382	-3.57%	0.107	-10.57%	0.0783	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.116949	-3.68%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.0844	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.115816	-3.65%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1055	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.112393	-2.40%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.0808	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.137148	-4.39%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1816	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.140182	-5.56%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1795	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.149153	-5.49%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2035	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.147129	-6.10%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.0788	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.144011	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.141073	-5.32%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.0782	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.140075	-4.63%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0540	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.14438	-4.38%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1320	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.146788	-4.91%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1546	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.151055	-5.05%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1586	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.150313	-4.94%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.1595	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.154956	-4.99%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.1844	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.150732	-4.74%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1464	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.15648	-4.45%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1433	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.153484	-4.12%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1375	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.151862	-4.01%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1114	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.156769	-3.91%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1131	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.156718	-3.53%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.0999	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.161187	-3.40%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1228	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.165373	-3.00%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1307	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.174229	-2.17%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.1731	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.171131	-2.99%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.1667	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.177546	-2.77%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.1806	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.185201	-2.09%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.1946	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.185707	-1.17%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2425	✓	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.176945	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.181175	+0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.180416	+1.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.176056	+0.60%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0365	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.174115	-2.07%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0208	✓	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.168651	-2.82%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0058	✓	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.167199	-3.73%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.0596	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.168985	-3.75%	0.149	-15.13%	0.0904	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.174609	-4.01%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1313	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.167078	-2.80%	0.151	-12.15%	0.0560	✓	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.173886	-1.52%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.0777	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.169635	-2.33%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.0583	✓	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.168329	-2.38%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.0555	✓	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.169129	-1.49%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0126	✓	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.16962	-1.74%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0289	✓	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.168701	-2.91%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.0474	✓	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.166767	-2.94%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.0648	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.161623	-3.13%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.0647	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.169371	-2.88%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.0549	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.17385	-2.80%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.0723	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.170155	-3.30%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.0623	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.166976	-3.19%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0403	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.163323	-3.13%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0123	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.16526	-3.22%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0046	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.157124	-4.07%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0047	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.162636	-3.49%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0245	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.164353	-3.70%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0002	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.162742	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.161581	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.164144	-4.05%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0342	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.157468	-5.17%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.0539	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.157747	-5.00%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.0610	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.157559	-4.68%	0.175	+5.87%	0.0888	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.158728	-4.83%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.0677	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.153203	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.158947	-4.54%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.0692	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.155781	-4.28%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0183	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.154072	-4.44%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0138	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.150614	-4.34%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0234	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.154197	-4.50%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.0656	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.154581	-4.58%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0596	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.159084	-4.47%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0508	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.165409	-4.33%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0531	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.163688	-4.53%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.0714	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.163685	-4.52%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.0595	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.15597	-5.00%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0274	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.162281	-4.96%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0529	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.167465	-4.86%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.0563	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.167316	-4.97%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0499	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.169043	-5.54%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0343	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.179462	-5.12%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0386	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.180547	-4.22%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0450	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.167195	-4.39%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0123	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.162729	-4.60%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0016	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.164457	-4.76%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0011	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.16511	-5.36%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0199	✓	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.162491	-4.48%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0051	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.158955	-4.24%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0353	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.156267	-4.67%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0330	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.154933	-4.95%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0003	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.156364	-4.69%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0332	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.161652	-4.85%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0119	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.164436	-4.26%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0655	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.16768	-3.99%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0885	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.16378	-4.88%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0076	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.163864	-4.69%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0285	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.163088	-4.82%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0458	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.167117	-4.69%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0317	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.166022	-4.90%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.0548	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.170581	-4.72%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0337	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.172243	-4.70%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0318	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.163783	-3.97%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.0701	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.16462	-4.47%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.0693	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.171098	-5.19%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0489	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.175805	-5.39%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.0759	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.174661	-5.27%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.0594	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.172912	-5.21%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0473	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.1725	-5.08%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0524	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.178502	-5.67%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0562	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.18074	-5.57%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0507	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.178733	-5.91%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0292	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.191237	-6.68%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.0973	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.18667	-6.98%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1321	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.176444	-4.72%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1182	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.173637	-4.38%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0696	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.175372	-5.18%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0333	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.173733	-4.60%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0228	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.174516	-3.87%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0450	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.179036	-3.58%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0748	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.178112	-3.73%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0128	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.159234	-0.49%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0465	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.190639	-6.20%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0538	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.194237	-6.72%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0669	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.198313	-8.63%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.0591	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.195319	-7.12%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0246	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.201761	-8.11%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0363	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.212528	-9.60%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0101	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.215395	-9.44%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0090	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.233013	-8.96%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0204	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.237258	-8.84%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0328	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.236553	-8.75%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0390	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.228221	-8.47%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0290	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.236719	-8.21%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0397	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.237231	-7.67%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0305	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.240385	-7.23%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0180	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.241757	-7.92%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0386	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.24579	-6.49%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0075	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.257411	-6.01%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0026	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.272786	-5.58%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0589	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.271625	-5.28%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0566	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.272999	-5.12%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0015	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.283396	-4.59%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0284	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.2832	-4.45%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.0803	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.260505	-5.40%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.0830	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.267479	-5.28%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1111	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.274525	-5.15%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1733	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.275084	-5.06%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1632	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.275315	-5.35%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1231	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.277328	-5.36%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.0949	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.269626	-4.93%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0256	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.26649	-4.88%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0375	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.257227	-5.41%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0036	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.259956	-5.72%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0191	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.247174	-5.82%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0279	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.242192	-6.09%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0178	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.247131	-6.39%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0163	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.246434	-6.98%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0100	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.244411	-6.53%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0460	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.246245	-5.87%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0455	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.236686	-5.34%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0620	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.237269	-5.31%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0579	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.242755	-5.95%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0320	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.242679	-5.92%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0383	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.245389	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.240809	-5.22%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0908	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.245126	-5.11%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0139	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.241533	-5.03%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0529	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.231255	-4.79%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0960	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.242366	-4.48%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0469	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.251068	-4.36%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0365	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.252406	-5.17%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0250	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.260887	-4.96%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0341	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.270754	-4.30%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0048	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.269536	-3.75%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0389	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.277077	-3.26%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0717	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.280933	-3.88%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0506	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.282361	-3.72%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0512	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.274753	-3.55%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0563	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.27734	-3.38%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0200	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.281164	-3.16%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0635	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.28748	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.283112	-3.16%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0202	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.283011	-3.47%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0208	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.277861	-3.20%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0217	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.269657	-2.91%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0626	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.287155	-3.31%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0558	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.297367	-4.20%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0625	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.277255	-3.16%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0157	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.274829	-2.87%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0003	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.266558	-2.77%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0190	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.267766	-2.09%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0641	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.269591	-2.28%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0338	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.266564	-1.73%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0423	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.255138	-1.43%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0403	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.257511	-1.52%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0685	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.262442	-2.48%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0429	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.270751	-2.43%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0091	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.278496	-2.87%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0174	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.280564	-2.97%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0043	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.28201	-2.45%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0303	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.288754	-2.24%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0659	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.28908	-2.19%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0504	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.291472	-2.87%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1252	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.303205	-3.19%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.1058	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.310295	-3.73%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0869	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.301819	-3.22%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1941	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.299037	-3.62%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1625	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.278995	-2.28%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2285	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.268633	-1.96%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3308	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.261744	-1.53%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2610	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.272547	-2.36%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2832	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.307659	-3.53%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.2220	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.3086	-3.69%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2679	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.300549	-3.01%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2825	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.298905	-3.11%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.3078	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.308706	-3.31%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.2146	✗	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.310698	-2.66%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2379	✗	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.318809	-2.89%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.2107	✗	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.32868	-3.32%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.2385	✗	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.31966	-3.64%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.2242	✗	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.317267	-3.13%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.2338	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.317566	-2.48%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.2118	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.309394	-1.96%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.2048	✗	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.315256	-2.15%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.1990	✗	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.323619	-2.57%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1451	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.320786	-2.08%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1297	✗	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.316276	-1.73%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1448	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.316508	-1.46%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.0984	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.331309	-1.84%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0755	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.344444	-2.22%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0876	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.352521	-2.71%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0306	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.370807	-3.31%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0189	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.373326	-3.12%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0155	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.342762	-2.75%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0324	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.342547	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.412726	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.422786	-3.47%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1242	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.421939	-4.09%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2084	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.436755	-3.50%	0.274	-39.46%	0.2825	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.426682	-3.28%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2769	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.428989	-3.25%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.2889	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.436824	-3.22%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2115	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.43627	-3.67%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2144	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.416173	-3.97%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2209	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.404888	-4.55%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2227	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.396909	-4.74%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1762	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.400959	-5.21%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2351	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.392425	-5.56%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2233	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.393996	-6.24%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.1967	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.382957	-6.25%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1706	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.410713	-5.60%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2039	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.415406	-6.03%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2245	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.391914	-6.82%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1639	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.423793	-6.11%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2071	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.435572	-5.75%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2197	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.426858	-5.79%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.1945	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.445362	-5.57%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2252	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.441759	-5.35%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2160	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.431363	-5.86%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1576	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.434392	-5.47%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1629	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.462793	-6.47%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2213	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.42796	-6.26%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1024	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.424457	-6.37%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.0857	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.428578	-5.93%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1442	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.425022	-6.03%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1732	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.419386	-6.62%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.0851	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.41781	-7.31%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0724	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.398601	-7.28%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0103	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.394607	-7.47%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0089	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.39144	-8.59%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0102	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.