ALTLAYER

? · · lstm_s2

token id: #993
symbol: ALTLAYER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-01-25
predictions: 2,949

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1126

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0434

actual -0.0146

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.013154	0.012024	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.013003	0.011797	-9.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-20	oos	0.010039	0.009281	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-19	oos	0.009206	0.00854	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.008851	0.008219	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.008622	0.007992	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-16	oos	0.008284	0.007709	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.007993	0.007462	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.008056	0.007503	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.008315	0.007738	-6.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.007828	0.007294	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.008175	0.007616	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-10	oos	0.008126	0.007549	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.007945	0.007377	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.007255	0.006755	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.007425	0.006925	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.00794	0.007412	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.008013	0.007483	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-04	oos	0.007874	0.007374	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-03	oos	0.008026	0.007469	-6.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-02	oos	0.007874	0.007328	-6.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-01	oos	0.007669	0.007156	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-30	oos	0.007738	0.007198	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.007615	0.007093	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.00753	0.007019	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.008026	0.007472	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-26	oos	0.008165	0.00759	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-25	oos	0.008094	0.007517	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.007837	0.007299	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-23	oos	0.007385	0.006912	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-22	oos	0.007746	0.007261	-6.26%	0.013154	+69.82%	0.6151	✗	0.90
2026-09-21	oos	0.007585	0.007137	-5.91%	0.013003	+71.43%	0.6275	✗	0.92
2026-09-20	oos	0.007175	0.006657	-7.22%	0.010039	+39.91%	0.3904	✗	0.94
2026-09-19	oos	0.007233	0.006699	-7.38%	0.009206	+27.27%	0.3109	✗	0.94
2026-09-18	oos	0.007113	0.006584	-7.44%	0.008851	+24.43%	0.2828	✗	0.94
2026-09-17	oos	0.006596	0.006084	-7.76%	0.008622	+30.71%	0.2925	✗	0.88
2026-09-16	oos	0.006387	0.005916	-7.37%	0.008284	+29.70%	0.2768	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.006335	0.005877	-7.22%	0.007993	+26.17%	0.2374	✗	0.84
2026-09-14	oos	0.006713	0.006206	-7.56%	0.008056	+19.99%	0.2263	✗	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.006425	0.005979	-6.95%	0.008315	+29.41%	0.2684	✗	0.78
2026-09-12	oos	0.006514	0.006062	-6.94%	0.007828	+20.18%	0.2122	✗	0.77
2026-09-11	oos	0.006255	0.005888	-5.86%	0.008175	+30.70%	0.2663	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	0.006032	0.00572	-5.18%	0.008126	+34.70%	0.2887	✗	0.78
2026-09-09	oos	0.006386	0.006046	-5.32%	0.007945	+24.42%	0.2334	✗	0.75
2026-09-08	oos	0.006584	0.006208	-5.71%	0.007255	+10.20%	0.1251	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.006544	0.006216	-5.02%	0.007425	+13.46%	0.1381	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.006554	0.006266	-4.39%	0.00794	+21.16%	0.1924	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.006526	0.006288	-3.65%	0.008013	+22.79%	0.1923	✗	0.70
2026-09-04	oos	0.006451	0.006291	-2.49%	0.007874	+22.05%	0.1690	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.006306	0.006245	-0.96%	0.008026	+27.29%	0.2214	✗	0.70
2026-09-02	oos	0.006073	0.006032	-0.68%	0.007874	+29.64%	0.2013	✗	0.73
2026-09-01	oos	0.006069	0.006065	-0.06%	0.007669	+26.36%	0.1661	✗	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	0.006133	0.006162	+0.47%	0.007738	+26.17%	0.1860	✓	0.68
2026-08-30	oos	0.006067	0.006108	+0.67%	0.007615	+25.52%	0.1688	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.006205	0.006274	+1.12%	0.00753	+21.36%	0.1396	✓	0.66
2026-08-28	oos	0.006266	0.00635	+1.33%	0.008026	+28.09%	0.1800	✓	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.006537	0.006692	+2.38%	0.008165	+24.91%	0.1663	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.006475	0.006625	+2.31%	0.008094	+25.00%	0.1599	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.006223	0.00641	+3.00%	0.007837	+25.94%	0.1528	✓	0.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.006415	0.006633	+3.40%	0.007385	+15.12%	0.0668	✓	0.61
2026-08-23	oos	0.006588	0.006751	+2.47%	0.007746	+17.58%	0.0718	✓	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.006517	0.006673	+2.39%	0.007585	+16.39%	0.0545	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.006912	0.007081	+2.44%	0.007175	+3.80%	0.0082	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.006425	0.006238	-2.91%	0.007233	+12.58%	0.0910	✗	0.53
2026-08-19	oos	0.006133	0.00588	-4.12%	0.007113	+15.98%	0.1296	✗	0.39
2026-08-18	oos	0.005853	0.005609	-4.18%	0.006596	+12.69%	0.1057	✗	0.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.005956	0.005697	-4.34%	0.006387	+7.24%	0.0509	✗	0.38
2026-08-16	oos	0.005986	0.005717	-4.49%	0.006335	+5.83%	0.0296	✓	0.40
2026-08-15	oos	0.005995	0.005726	-4.49%	0.006713	+11.98%	0.0745	✗	0.39
2026-08-14	oos	0.005904	0.005649	-4.32%	0.006425	+8.82%	0.0501	✗	0.40
2026-08-13	oos	0.005935	0.005677	-4.34%	0.006514	+9.75%	0.0588	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.005835	0.005592	-4.16%	0.006255	+7.20%	0.0240	✓	0.45
2026-08-11	oos	0.005856	0.005612	-4.17%	0.006032	+3.01%	0.0083	✓	0.43
2026-08-10	oos	0.006138	0.005852	-4.66%	0.006386	+4.04%	0.0048	✓	0.45
2026-08-09	oos	0.006055	0.005785	-4.46%	0.006584	+8.74%	0.0391	✓	0.47
2026-08-08	oos	0.005933	0.00568	-4.27%	0.006544	+10.31%	0.0483	✗	0.47
2026-08-07	oos	0.005795	0.005559	-4.07%	0.006554	+13.09%	0.0619	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.005796	0.005559	-4.09%	0.006526	+12.59%	0.0569	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.005755	0.005524	-4.01%	0.006451	+12.09%	0.0542	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.005674	0.005451	-3.93%	0.006306	+11.13%	0.0351	✓	0.46
2026-08-03	oos	0.005733	0.005503	-4.01%	0.006073	+5.94%	0.0049	✓	0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.005739	0.005509	-4.00%	0.006069	+5.75%	0.0009	✓	0.48
2026-08-01	oos	0.005764	0.005532	-4.03%	0.006133	+6.40%	0.0073	✓	0.49
2026-07-31	oos	0.005828	0.00559	-4.09%	0.006067	+4.10%	0.0225	✓	0.49
2026-07-30	oos	0.005729	0.005506	-3.89%	0.006205	+8.31%	0.0191	✓	0.53
2026-07-29	oos	0.005684	0.005467	-3.82%	0.006266	+10.24%	0.0325	✓	0.53
2026-07-28	oos	0.005983	0.005739	-4.09%	0.006537	+9.26%	0.0114	✓	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.005768	0.005549	-3.80%	0.006475	+12.26%	0.0449	✗	0.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.006081	0.005836	-4.02%	0.006223	+2.34%	0.0234	✓	0.48
2026-07-25	oos	0.006113	0.005862	-4.10%	0.006415	+4.94%	0.0133	✓	0.50
2026-07-24	oos	0.006088	0.005843	-4.02%	0.006588	+8.21%	0.0249	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.006245	0.00599	-4.09%	0.006517	+4.36%	0.0016	✓	0.49
2026-07-22	oos	0.006349	0.00609	-4.08%	0.006912	+8.87%	0.0446	✗	0.48
2026-07-21	oos	0.006386	0.006125	-4.08%	0.006425	+0.61%	0.0026	✓	0.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.006312	0.00605	-4.15%	0.006133	-2.84%	0.0166	✓	0.50
2026-07-19	oos	0.006308	0.006045	-4.16%	0.005853	-7.21%	0.0323	✓	0.50
2026-07-18	oos	0.006367	0.0061	-4.20%	0.005956	-6.46%	0.0211	✓	0.55
2026-07-17	oos	0.006455	0.006176	-4.32%	0.005986	-7.27%	0.0217	✓	0.57
2026-07-16	oos	0.006606	0.006307	-4.52%	0.005995	-9.25%	0.0437	✓	0.60
2026-07-15	oos	0.006508	0.006232	-4.24%	0.005904	-9.28%	0.0385	✓	0.57
2026-07-14	oos	0.006388	0.006134	-3.98%	0.005935	-7.09%	0.0185	✓	0.59
2026-07-13	oos	0.006296	0.006053	-3.86%	0.005835	-7.32%	0.0479	✓	0.62
2026-07-12	oos	0.006429	0.006177	-3.92%	0.005856	-8.91%	0.0513	✓	0.61
2026-07-11	oos	0.006432	0.006185	-3.84%	0.006138	-4.57%	0.0091	✓	0.64
2026-07-10	oos	0.006578	0.006319	-3.93%	0.006055	-7.95%	0.0501	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.006204	0.005992	-3.41%	0.005933	-4.37%	0.0272	✓	0.64
2026-07-08	oos	0.006248	0.006036	-3.39%	0.005795	-7.25%	0.0674	✓	0.64
2026-07-07	oos	0.006407	0.006185	-3.46%	0.005796	-9.54%	0.0745	✓	0.64
2026-07-06	oos	0.006427	0.00621	-3.38%	0.005755	-10.46%	0.0821	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	0.006585	0.00635	-3.57%	0.005674	-13.83%	0.1177	✓	0.71
2026-07-04	oos	0.006629	0.006387	-3.65%	0.005733	-13.52%	0.1124	✓	0.72
2026-07-03	oos	0.006348	0.00614	-3.28%	0.005739	-9.59%	0.0778	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	0.005916	0.005742	-2.94%	0.005764	-2.57%	0.0092	✓	0.63
2026-07-01	oos	0.005829	0.005661	-2.89%	0.005828	-0.02%	0.0005	✓	0.63
2026-06-30	oos	0.005636	0.005479	-2.78%	0.005729	+1.65%	0.0196	✓	0.64
2026-06-29	oos	0.005697	0.005537	-2.80%	0.005684	-0.23%	0.0125	✓	0.64
2026-06-28	oos	0.005635	0.005479	-2.77%	0.005983	+6.18%	0.0423	✗	0.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.005643	0.005487	-2.76%	0.005768	+2.22%	0.0106	✓	0.65
2026-06-26	oos	0.005744	0.005586	-2.75%	0.006081	+5.87%	0.0296	✗	0.65
2026-06-25	oos	0.005694	0.005539	-2.71%	0.006113	+7.36%	0.0505	✗	0.65
2026-06-24	oos	0.005806	0.005648	-2.72%	0.006088	+4.86%	0.0420	✗	0.67
2026-06-23	oos	0.006027	0.005858	-2.80%	0.006245	+3.62%	0.0383	✗	0.68
2026-06-22	oos	0.006304	0.006112	-3.04%	0.006349	+0.71%	0.0161	✓	0.67
2026-06-21	oos	0.006296	0.006107	-3.00%	0.006386	+1.43%	0.0107	✓	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	0.006457	0.006251	-3.20%	0.006312	-2.25%	0.0002	✓	0.66
2026-06-19	oos	0.006908	0.006629	-4.05%	0.006308	-8.69%	0.0626	✓	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	0.006797	0.006534	-3.87%	0.006367	-6.33%	0.0472	✓	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	0.006667	0.006414	-3.79%	0.006455	-3.18%	0.0127	✓	0.73
2026-06-16	oos	0.006764	0.006479	-4.21%	0.006606	-2.34%	0.0401	✓	0.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.006499	0.006254	-3.76%	0.006508	+0.14%	0.0582	✗	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.006642	0.006362	-4.21%	0.006388	-3.82%	0.0126	✓	0.78
2026-06-13	oos	0.006614	0.006337	-4.19%	0.006296	-4.81%	0.0203	✓	0.78
2026-06-12	oos	0.006249	0.006041	-3.34%	0.006429	+2.88%	0.0598	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.006328	0.006108	-3.48%	0.006432	+1.64%	0.0491	✗	0.79
2026-06-10	oos	0.006105	0.005931	-2.85%	0.006578	+7.75%	0.0704	✗	0.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.006306	0.006108	-3.14%	0.006204	-1.62%	0.0028	✓	0.77
2026-06-08	oos	0.005884	0.005728	-2.65%	0.006248	+6.19%	0.0977	✗	0.82
2026-06-07	oos	0.005673	0.00554	-2.35%	0.006407	+12.94%	0.1452	✗	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.005673	0.005569	-1.84%	0.006427	+13.29%	0.0996	✗	0.87
2026-06-05	oos	0.005884	0.005778	-1.81%	0.006585	+11.91%	0.0959	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.006227	0.006053	-2.79%	0.006629	+6.46%	0.1003	✗	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	0.006755	0.006435	-4.74%	0.006348	-6.03%	0.0057	✓	0.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.006585	0.006209	-5.71%	0.005916	-10.16%	0.0219	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.006995	0.006413	-8.32%	0.005829	-16.67%	0.0433	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.006888	0.006336	-8.02%	0.005636	-18.18%	0.0740	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.006857	0.006311	-7.96%	0.005697	-16.92%	0.0633	✓	0.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.006807	0.006265	-7.96%	0.005635	-17.22%	0.0688	✓	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.006977	0.006426	-7.89%	0.005643	-19.12%	0.0390	✓	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.007658	0.007034	-8.14%	0.005744	-24.99%	0.0341	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.007008	0.006492	-7.36%	0.005694	-18.75%	0.0730	✓	0.85
2026-05-25	oos	0.007234	0.006715	-7.18%	0.005806	-19.74%	0.0545	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.007556	0.007001	-7.34%	0.006027	-20.24%	0.0238	✓	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.008217	0.007529	-8.38%	0.006304	-23.28%	0.0248	✓	0.84
2026-05-22	oos	0.008229	0.00749	-8.98%	0.006296	-23.49%	0.0229	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.007309	0.006795	-7.03%	0.006457	-11.66%	0.1291	✗	0.96
2026-05-20	oos	0.007392	0.006859	-7.21%	0.006908	-6.55%	0.1984	✗	0.96
2026-05-19	oos	0.006698	0.006272	-6.37%	0.006797	+1.48%	0.2678	✗	0.94
2026-05-18	oos	0.006725	0.006302	-6.30%	0.006667	-0.86%	0.2263	✗	0.96
2026-05-17	oos	0.006618	0.006219	-6.03%	0.006764	+2.21%	0.2398	✗	0.94
2026-05-16	oos	0.00679	0.006382	-6.01%	0.006499	-4.29%	0.1725	✗	0.94
2026-05-15	oos	0.006873	0.006471	-5.85%	0.006642	-3.36%	0.2026	✗	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.007406	0.006956	-6.08%	0.006614	-10.69%	0.1629	✗	0.93
2026-05-13	oos	0.007467	0.006992	-6.36%	0.006249	-16.31%	0.0951	✗	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.008015	0.007446	-7.10%	0.006328	-21.05%	0.0507	✓	0.90
2026-05-11	oos	0.008285	0.007665	-7.49%	0.006105	-26.31%	0.0163	✓	0.85
2026-05-10	oos	0.008314	0.007686	-7.56%	0.006306	-24.15%	0.0486	✓	0.86
2026-05-09	oos	0.008144	0.007527	-7.58%	0.005884	-27.75%	0.0356	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.008256	0.007589	-8.07%	0.005673	-31.29%	0.0910	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.008129	0.007487	-7.89%	0.005673	-30.21%	0.0505	✓	0.83
2026-05-06	oos	0.008023	0.007416	-7.56%	0.005884	-26.66%	0.0117	✓	0.84
2026-05-05	oos	0.007856	0.007281	-7.32%	0.006227	-20.74%	0.0699	✓	0.95
2026-05-04	oos	0.007689	0.007158	-6.90%	0.006755	-12.15%	0.1491	✗	0.94
2026-05-03	oos	0.007594	0.007073	-6.86%	0.006585	-13.29%	0.0831	✗	0.94
2026-05-02	oos	0.007688	0.00716	-6.87%	0.006995	-9.01%	0.0702	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.007531	0.007041	-6.51%	0.006888	-8.54%	0.0367	✓	0.96
2026-04-30	oos	0.007457	0.006952	-6.77%	0.006857	-8.05%	0.0188	✓	0.96
2026-04-29	oos	0.007736	0.007163	-7.41%	0.006807	-12.01%	0.0200	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.007534	0.007032	-6.67%	0.006977	-7.39%	0.0292	✓	0.99
2026-04-27	oos	0.007579	0.00711	-6.19%	0.007658	+1.04%	0.1140	✗	0.99
2026-04-26	oos	0.007956	0.007459	-6.25%	0.007008	-11.92%	0.0262	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.008065	0.007517	-6.80%	0.007234	-10.30%	0.0332	✓	0.99
2026-04-24	oos	0.007884	0.007379	-6.41%	0.007556	-4.16%	0.0300	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.007859	0.007393	-5.93%	0.008217	+4.56%	0.1267	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.007632	0.007214	-5.48%	0.008229	+7.82%	0.1676	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.007424	0.007006	-5.63%	0.007309	-1.55%	0.0269	✓	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.007413	0.006991	-5.69%	0.007392	-0.28%	0.0348	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.006926	0.006562	-5.25%	0.006698	-3.29%	0.0185	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.007115	0.006752	-5.11%	0.006725	-5.48%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.007504	0.007101	-5.37%	0.006618	-11.81%	0.0744	✓	0.99
2026-04-16	oos	0.007688	0.007215	-6.15%	0.00679	-11.68%	0.0994	✓	1.01
2026-04-15	oos	0.006918	0.006572	-5.01%	0.006873	-0.65%	0.0101	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.006786	0.006468	-4.69%	0.007406	+9.14%	0.0459	✓	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.006972	0.006643	-4.72%	0.007467	+7.10%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.006626	0.006316	-4.67%	0.008015	+20.96%	0.1069	✗	1.02
2026-04-11	oos	0.006895	0.006562	-4.83%	0.008285	+20.16%	0.1195	✗	1.02
2026-04-10	oos	0.006739	0.006436	-4.50%	0.008314	+23.37%	0.1355	✗	1.02
2026-04-09	oos	0.006756	0.006447	-4.57%	0.008144	+20.54%	0.1151	✗	1.02
2026-04-08	oos	0.006529	0.006243	-4.37%	0.008256	+26.45%	0.1572	✗	1.01
2026-04-07	oos	0.006675	0.006349	-4.88%	0.008129	+21.78%	0.1390	✗	1.01
2026-04-06	oos	0.006187	0.005932	-4.12%	0.008023	+29.68%	0.1353	✗	0.99
2026-04-05	oos	0.006164	0.005914	-4.05%	0.007856	+27.45%	0.1259	✗	0.99
2026-04-04	oos	0.006393	0.006117	-4.32%	0.007689	+20.27%	0.0581	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.00662	0.006285	-5.07%	0.007594	+14.71%	0.0278	✓	1.01
2026-04-02	oos	0.006065	0.00584	-3.72%	0.007688	+26.76%	0.1115	✗	1.01
2026-04-01	oos	0.006334	0.00608	-4.01%	0.007531	+18.90%	0.0746	✗	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.006283	0.006036	-3.93%	0.007457	+18.69%	0.0971	✗	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.006164	0.005933	-3.75%	0.007736	+25.50%	0.1361	✗	1.02
2026-03-29	oos	0.006084	0.005865	-3.60%	0.007534	+23.83%	0.1023	✗	1.02
2026-03-28	oos	0.006208	0.005988	-3.54%	0.007579	+22.08%	0.0792	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.006345	0.006127	-3.43%	0.007956	+25.39%	0.0884	✗	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.006635	0.006399	-3.56%	0.008065	+21.55%	0.1079	✗	1.02
2026-03-25	oos	0.006988	0.006732	-3.67%	0.007884	+12.82%	0.0741	✗	1.01
2026-03-24	oos	0.006844	0.006601	-3.54%	0.007859	+14.83%	0.0690	✗	1.01
2026-03-23	oos	0.006966	0.006718	-3.56%	0.007632	+9.56%	0.0280	✓	1.01
2026-03-22	oos	0.006818	0.006581	-3.47%	0.007424	+8.89%	0.0001	✓	1.02
2026-03-21	oos	0.007104	0.006849	-3.59%	0.007413	+4.35%	0.0187	✓	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.007474	0.007203	-3.62%	0.006926	-7.33%	0.0858	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.007541	0.007269	-3.60%	0.007115	-5.65%	0.1023	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.007558	0.007302	-3.39%	0.007504	-0.71%	0.0545	✓	1.04
2026-03-17	oos	0.008071	0.007798	-3.38%	0.007688	-4.75%	0.0312	✓	1.03
2026-03-16	oos	0.008065	0.007806	-3.21%	0.006918	-14.23%	0.1201	✓	1.04
2026-03-15	oos	0.007898	0.007647	-3.17%	0.006786	-14.08%	0.1386	✓	1.04
2026-03-14	oos	0.007474	0.007248	-3.02%	0.006972	-6.72%	0.0843	✓	1.03
2026-03-13	oos	0.007445	0.007226	-2.95%	0.006626	-11.00%	0.0839	✓	1.04
2026-03-12	oos	0.007551	0.007328	-2.96%	0.006895	-8.69%	0.0980	✓	1.04
2026-03-11	oos	0.007653	0.007424	-3.00%	0.006739	-11.94%	0.1375	✓	1.05
2026-03-10	oos	0.007546	0.00732	-2.99%	0.006756	-10.47%	0.1072	✓	1.04
2026-03-09	oos	0.00727	0.007056	-2.94%	0.006529	-10.19%	0.1171	✓	1.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.007116	0.00691	-2.89%	0.006675	-6.20%	0.1249	✓	1.05
2026-03-07	oos	0.007076	0.006873	-2.87%	0.006187	-12.56%	0.1298	✓	1.05
2026-03-06	oos	0.007153	0.006947	-2.88%	0.006164	-13.83%	0.1332	✓	1.05
2026-03-05	oos	0.007255	0.007063	-2.65%	0.006393	-11.88%	0.0442	✓	1.06
2026-03-04	oos	0.007432	0.007252	-2.42%	0.00662	-10.93%	0.0040	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.007324	0.007131	-2.63%	0.006065	-17.19%	0.1383	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.007251	0.007065	-2.57%	0.006334	-12.65%	0.0975	✓	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.007123	0.006936	-2.62%	0.006283	-11.79%	0.1406	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.007539	0.007343	-2.60%	0.006164	-18.24%	0.1711	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.007517	0.007314	-2.70%	0.006084	-19.06%	0.1858	✓	1.14
2026-02-26	oos	0.007536	0.00733	-2.74%	0.006208	-17.62%	0.1462	✓	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.007779	0.007564	-2.77%	0.006345	-18.43%	0.1480	✓	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.007418	0.007211	-2.79%	0.006635	-10.56%	0.1644	✓	1.15
2026-02-23	oos	0.007368	0.007171	-2.67%	0.006988	-5.16%	0.1377	✓	1.14
2026-02-22	oos	0.007626	0.007419	-2.71%	0.006844	-10.25%	0.1291	✓	1.15
2026-02-21	oos	0.007988	0.007769	-2.74%	0.006966	-12.79%	0.1576	✓	1.15
2026-02-20	oos	0.008236	0.008015	-2.69%	0.006818	-17.22%	0.1594	✓	1.14
2026-02-19	oos	0.00803	0.007819	-2.63%	0.007104	-11.53%	0.1284	✓	1.14
2026-02-18	oos	0.008196	0.007989	-2.53%	0.007474	-8.81%	0.1356	✓	1.16
2026-02-17	oos	0.008763	0.008528	-2.68%	0.007541	-13.94%	0.1601	✓	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	0.008626	0.008396	-2.67%	0.007558	-12.38%	0.1408	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.008606	0.008377	-2.66%	0.008071	-6.22%	0.1130	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.009088	0.008833	-2.81%	0.008065	-11.25%	0.1648	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.008898	0.008651	-2.78%	0.007898	-11.24%	0.1507	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.008649	0.008428	-2.56%	0.007474	-13.59%	0.1975	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.00848	0.008266	-2.53%	0.007445	-12.21%	0.1650	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.008161	0.007954	-2.54%	0.007551	-7.47%	0.0789	✓	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.008358	0.008161	-2.36%	0.007653	-8.44%	0.0659	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.008366	0.008185	-2.16%	0.007546	-9.80%	0.0763	✓	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.008586	0.008427	-1.85%	0.00727	-15.33%	0.1345	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.008428	0.008276	-1.81%	0.007116	-15.57%	0.0766	✓	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.007656	0.007631	-0.33%	0.007076	-7.58%	0.1561	✓	1.17
2026-02-04	oos	0.009233	0.009039	-2.10%	0.007153	-22.53%	0.1518	✓	1.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.009308	0.009108	-2.15%	0.007255	-22.06%	0.1480	✓	1.22
2026-02-02	oos	0.00974	0.0095	-2.47%	0.007432	-23.70%	0.1477	✓	1.24
2026-02-01	oos	0.00922	0.009053	-1.81%	0.007324	-20.56%	0.0701	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.00963	0.00943	-2.08%	0.007251	-24.70%	0.0904	✓	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.01037	0.009922	-4.32%	0.007123	-31.31%	0.0012	✓	1.34
2026-01-29	oos	0.01036	0.009894	-4.50%	0.007539	-27.23%	0.0436	✓	1.36
2026-01-28	oos	0.01125	0.010585	-5.91%	0.007517	-33.18%	0.0612	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.01143	0.010713	-6.27%	0.007536	-34.07%	0.0292	✓	1.37
2026-01-26	oos	0.01164	0.010881	-6.52%	0.007779	-33.17%	0.0176	✓	1.35
2026-01-25	oos	0.01115	0.010446	-6.32%	0.007418	-33.47%	0.0634	✓	1.35
2026-01-24	oos	0.01185	0.011034	-6.89%	0.007368	-37.82%	0.0246	✓	1.33
2026-01-23	oos	0.01141	0.010662	-6.56%	0.007626	-33.16%	0.0421	✓	1.35
2026-01-22	oos	0.01138	0.010638	-6.52%	0.007988	-29.81%	0.0838	✗	1.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.01178	0.010978	-6.80%	0.008236	-30.08%	0.0815	✗	1.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.01133	0.010597	-6.47%	0.00803	-29.13%	0.0968	✗	1.35
2026-01-19	oos	0.01221	0.011406	-6.58%	0.008196	-32.87%	0.1159	✗	1.35
2026-01-18	oos	0.01248	0.01167	-6.49%	0.008763	-29.78%	0.1553	✗	1.35
2026-01-17	oos	0.01285	0.01203	-6.38%	0.008626	-32.87%	0.1013	✗	1.34
2026-01-16	oos	0.01323	0.012345	-6.69%	0.008606	-34.95%	0.0787	✗	1.34
2026-01-15	oos	0.01237	0.011645	-5.86%	0.009088	-26.53%	0.1739	✗	1.34
2026-01-14	oos	0.01325	0.01242	-6.26%	0.008898	-32.85%	0.1210	✗	1.33
2026-01-13	oos	0.01367	0.0127	-7.10%	0.008649	-36.73%	0.1140	✗	1.36
2026-01-12	oos	0.01253	0.011651	-7.02%	0.00848	-32.32%	0.0936	✗	1.34
2026-01-11	oos	0.01279	0.011843	-7.40%	0.008161	-36.19%	0.0031	✓	1.35
2026-01-10	oos	0.01283	0.011877	-7.43%	0.008358	-34.86%	0.0072	✓	1.35
2026-01-09	oos	0.01297	0.011999	-7.49%	0.008366	-35.50%	0.0024	✓	1.43
2026-01-08	oos	0.01303	0.012061	-7.44%	0.008586	-34.11%	0.0429	✓	1.40
2026-01-07	oos	0.01327	0.01225	-7.69%	0.008428	-36.49%	0.1206	✗	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	0.01365	0.012608	-7.63%	0.007656	-43.91%	0.2747	✗	1.93
2026-01-05	oos	0.01354	0.012509	-7.61%	0.009233	-31.81%	0.1833	✗	1.94
2026-01-04	oos	0.01384	0.012513	-9.59%	0.009308	-32.75%	0.0851	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0129	0.011911	-7.67%	0.00974	-24.50%	0.0811	✗	2.00
2026-01-02	oos	0.01273	0.011755	-7.66%	0.00922	-27.57%	0.0692	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.01248	0.011528	-7.63%	0.00963	-22.84%	0.0600	✓	1.99
2025-12-31	oos	0.01146	0.010793	-5.82%	0.01037	-9.51%	0.0377	✓	1.97
2025-12-30	oos	0.01159	0.010903	-5.93%	0.01036	-10.61%	0.0379	✓	1.98
2025-12-29	oos	0.0117	0.010976	-6.19%	0.01125	-3.85%	0.0209	✓	1.95
2025-12-28	oos	0.01186	0.011112	-6.31%	0.01143	-3.63%	0.0009	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.01213	0.011318	-6.69%	0.01164	-4.04%	0.0184	✓	1.92
2025-12-26	oos	0.01161	0.010935	-5.81%	0.01115	-3.96%	0.0355	✓	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.01145	0.010846	-5.27%	0.01185	+3.49%	0.0475	✓	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.01147	0.010892	-5.04%	0.01141	-0.52%	0.0063	✓	1.90
2025-12-23	oos	0.01141	0.010881	-4.64%	0.01138	-0.26%	0.0011	✓	1.90
2025-12-22	oos	0.01153	0.011006	-4.55%	0.01178	+2.17%	0.0507	✗	1.91
2025-12-21	oos	0.01145	0.010956	-4.32%	0.01133	-1.05%	0.0407	✓	1.91
2025-12-20	oos	0.01182	0.011289	-4.49%	0.01221	+3.30%	0.0125	✓	1.94
2025-12-19	oos	0.01167	0.011177	-4.22%	0.01248	+6.94%	0.0081	✓	1.94
2025-12-18	oos	0.01078	0.010413	-3.40%	0.01285	+19.20%	0.0046	✓	1.92
2025-12-17	oos	0.01131	0.010909	-3.55%	0.01323	+16.98%	0.0043	✓	1.93
2025-12-16	oos	0.012	0.011537	-3.85%	0.01237	+3.08%	0.0924	✓	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.01187	0.011455	-3.49%	0.01325	+11.63%	0.0762	✓	1.93
2025-12-14	oos	0.01225	0.011801	-3.66%	0.01367	+11.59%	0.0052	✓	1.94
2025-12-13	oos	0.01305	0.012514	-4.11%	0.01253	-3.98%	0.0185	✓	1.93
2025-12-12	oos	0.01244	0.011995	-3.58%	0.01279	+2.81%	0.0516	✗	1.93
2025-12-11	oos	0.01283	0.012374	-3.56%	0.01283	+0.00%	0.0822	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01307	0.012603	-3.57%	0.01297	-0.77%	0.0612	✗	1.95
2025-12-09	oos	0.01353	0.013044	-3.59%	0.01303	-3.70%	0.0341	✓	1.94
2025-12-08	oos	0.01316	0.012718	-3.36%	0.01327	+0.84%	0.0292	✓	1.93
2025-12-07	oos	0.01283	0.012414	-3.24%	0.01365	+6.39%	0.0254	✓	1.93
2025-12-06	oos	0.01318	0.012737	-3.36%	0.01354	+2.73%	0.0371	✓	1.95
2025-12-05	oos	0.01275	0.012346	-3.17%	0.01384	+8.55%	0.0678	✗	1.95
2025-12-04	oos	0.01314	0.012704	-3.32%	0.0129	-1.83%	0.0477	✗	1.98
2025-12-03	oos	0.01376	0.013295	-3.38%	0.01273	-7.49%	0.0318	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.01343	0.013006	-3.16%	0.01248	-7.07%	0.0155	✓	1.99
2025-12-01	oos	0.01251	0.012144	-2.93%	0.01146	-8.39%	0.0865	✓	2.04
2025-11-30	oos	0.01321	0.012814	-3.00%	0.01159	-12.26%	0.0540	✓	2.10
2025-11-29	oos	0.01387	0.013455	-2.99%	0.0117	-15.65%	0.0531	✓	2.07
2025-11-28	oos	0.01559	0.014935	-4.20%	0.01186	-23.93%	0.1602	✓	2.08
2025-11-27	oos	0.01384	0.013401	-3.17%	0.01213	-12.36%	0.0176	✓	2.09
2025-11-26	oos	0.01412	0.013654	-3.30%	0.01161	-17.78%	0.0882	✓	2.07
2025-11-25	oos	0.01388	0.013433	-3.22%	0.01145	-17.51%	0.1559	✓	2.14
2025-11-24	oos	0.01384	0.013407	-3.13%	0.01147	-17.12%	0.1401	✓	2.14
2025-11-23	oos	0.01332	0.012935	-2.89%	0.01141	-14.34%	0.1407	✓	2.14
2025-11-22	oos	0.01345	0.013101	-2.60%	0.01153	-14.28%	0.2268	✓	2.22
2025-11-21	oos	0.01408	0.013711	-2.62%	0.01145	-18.68%	0.2712	✓	2.21
2025-11-20	oos	0.01571	0.015152	-3.55%	0.01182	-24.76%	0.2930	✓	2.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.01424	0.013754	-3.42%	0.01167	-18.05%	0.0689	✓	2.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.01455	0.014049	-3.44%	0.01078	-25.91%	0.0519	✓	2.55
2025-11-17	oos	0.01405	0.013633	-2.97%	0.01131	-19.50%	0.0180	✓	2.55
2025-11-16	oos	0.01451	0.014044	-3.21%	0.012	-17.30%	0.0203	✓	2.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.01521	0.014667	-3.57%	0.01187	-21.96%	0.0451	✗	2.56
2025-11-14	oos	0.01491	0.014441	-3.14%	0.01225	-17.84%	0.0128	✓	2.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.01581	0.015207	-3.82%	0.01305	-17.46%	0.1112	✗	2.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.01634	0.01571	-3.86%	0.01244	-23.87%	0.0856	✗	2.69
2025-11-11	oos	0.01619	0.015555	-3.92%	0.01283	-20.75%	0.0977	✗	2.71
2025-11-10	oos	0.01779	0.017083	-3.97%	0.01307	-26.53%	0.1130	✗	2.70
2025-11-09	oos	0.01728	0.016602	-3.92%	0.01353	-21.70%	0.1240	✗	2.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.01723	0.016566	-3.85%	0.01316	-23.62%	0.1007	✗	2.74
2025-11-07	oos	0.01771	0.017016	-3.92%	0.01283	-27.56%	0.0829	✗	2.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.01611	0.015514	-3.70%	0.01318	-18.19%	0.1795	✗	2.71
2025-11-05	oos	0.01679	0.016162	-3.74%	0.01275	-24.06%	0.1742	✗	2.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.01601	0.015438	-3.58%	0.01314	-17.93%	0.1056	✗	2.75
2025-11-03	oos	0.01679	0.016137	-3.89%	0.01376	-18.05%	0.2217	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	0.01997	0.018925	-5.23%	0.01343	-32.75%	0.1976	✗	2.83
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.01692	-3.64%	0.01251	-28.76%	0.3850	✗	2.82
2025-10-31	oos	0.01636	0.015771	-3.60%	0.01321	-19.25%	0.3657	✗	2.82
2025-10-30	oos	0.01664	0.016073	-3.40%	0.01387	-16.65%	0.3534	✗	2.85
2025-10-29	oos	0.01889	0.018213	-3.59%	0.01559	-17.47%	0.3697	✗	2.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.0188	0.018164	-3.39%	0.01384	-26.38%	0.3288	✗	2.83
2025-10-27	oos	0.01958	0.018874	-3.61%	0.01412	-27.89%	0.3661	✗	2.83
2025-10-26	oos	0.02034	0.019558	-3.84%	0.01388	-31.76%	0.4238	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.01946	0.01874	-3.70%	0.01384	-28.88%	0.3751	✗	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	0.01934	0.01866	-3.52%	0.01332	-31.13%	0.3932	✗	2.97
2025-10-23	oos	0.0192	0.018547	-3.40%	0.01345	-29.95%	0.4585	✗	2.97
2025-10-22	oos	0.01829	0.017709	-3.18%	0.01408	-23.02%	0.4683	✗	2.97
2025-10-21	oos	0.01894	0.018335	-3.19%	0.01571	-17.05%	0.5132	✗	2.97
2025-10-20	oos	0.01966	0.018996	-3.38%	0.01424	-27.57%	0.2844	✗	3.02
2025-10-19	oos	0.01935	0.018755	-3.08%	0.01455	-24.81%	0.2118	✗	2.97
2025-10-18	oos	0.01916	0.018632	-2.75%	0.01405	-26.67%	0.1718	✗	2.99
2025-10-17	oos	0.01885	0.018433	-2.21%	0.01451	-23.02%	0.1262	✗	2.98
2025-10-16	oos	0.01937	0.018934	-2.25%	0.01521	-21.48%	0.1537	✗	3.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.02053	0.019965	-2.75%	0.01491	-27.37%	0.1843	✗	2.99
2025-10-14	oos	0.02154	0.020825	-3.32%	0.01581	-26.60%	0.1046	✗	3.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.02263	0.021807	-3.64%	0.01634	-27.79%	0.0894	✗	3.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.022	0.021204	-3.62%	0.01619	-26.41%	0.0555	✗	2.94
2025-10-11	oos	0.01948	0.01903	-2.31%	0.01779	-8.68%	0.0607	✗	2.90
2025-10-10	oos	0.01861	0.018128	-2.59%	0.01728	-7.15%	0.1774	✗	2.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.02809	0.026915	-4.18%	0.01723	-38.66%	0.0666	✓	2.18
2025-10-08	oos	0.0289	0.027695	-4.17%	0.01771	-38.72%	0.0394	✓	2.30
2025-10-07	oos	0.02774	0.026631	-4.00%	0.01611	-41.93%	0.0834	✓	2.32
2025-10-06	oos	0.0304	0.02912	-4.21%	0.01679	-44.77%	0.1297	✓	2.30
2025-10-05	oos	0.02887	0.027727	-3.96%	0.01601	-44.54%	0.0993	✓	2.29
2025-10-04	oos	0.02937	0.02816	-4.12%	0.01679	-42.83%	0.1972	✓	2.30
2025-10-03	oos	0.03044	0.029093	-4.42%	0.01997	-34.40%	0.1434	✓	2.30
2025-10-02	oos	0.02927	0.028006	-4.32%	0.01756	-40.01%	0.2565	✓	2.29
2025-10-01	oos	0.02791	0.026733	-4.22%	0.01636	-41.38%	0.3079	✓	2.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.02696	0.025843	-4.14%	0.01664	-38.28%	0.3154	✓	2.41
2025-09-29	oos	0.02742	0.026254	-4.25%	0.01889	-31.11%	0.2363	✓	2.40
2025-09-28	oos	0.02841	0.027157	-4.41%	0.0188	-33.83%	0.3835	✓	2.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02835	0.027135	-4.28%	0.01958	-30.93%	0.4277	✓	2.58
2025-09-26	oos	0.0281	0.026887	-4.32%	0.02034	-27.62%	0.3906	✓	2.58
2025-09-25	oos	0.02673	0.025643	-4.07%	0.01946	-27.20%	0.3371	✓	2.57
2025-09-24	oos	0.02903	0.027648	-4.76%	0.01934	-33.38%	0.3037	✓	2.61
2025-09-23	oos	0.02867	0.027349	-4.61%	0.0192	-33.03%	0.3088	✓	2.63
2025-09-22	oos	0.02965	0.028236	-4.77%	0.01829	-38.31%	0.3151	✓	2.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.03334	0.031468	-5.61%	0.01894	-43.19%	0.3567	✓	2.44
2025-09-20	oos	0.03391	0.03197	-5.72%	0.01966	-42.02%	0.3757	✓	2.41
2025-09-19	oos	0.03336	0.031536	-5.47%	0.01935	-42.00%	0.3339	✓	2.47
2025-09-18	oos	0.03557	0.033462	-5.93%	0.01916	-46.13%	0.3367	✓	2.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.