ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
64.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0443
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0031
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004727 | -1.00% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004384 | -0.47% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0835 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004418 | -0.38% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0056 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.00481 | -0.71% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0826 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004862 | -0.46% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0014 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004986 | -0.57% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0215 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004607 | +0.26% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0802 | ✓ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004587 | +0.59% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0060 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004629 | -0.12% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0267 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004809 | +0.50% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0265 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004968 | -0.33% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0530 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.0051 | -0.20% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0166 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005046 | -0.18% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0155 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005246 | -0.26% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0302 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005681 | -0.67% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0911 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005781 | -0.49% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0307 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005849 | -0.45% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0085 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005974 | -0.36% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0232 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006107 | -0.62% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0029 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005921 | -0.65% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0392 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005878 | -0.62% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0108 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006181 | -0.63% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0327 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006269 | -0.65% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0085 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006387 | -0.75% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0105 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006473 | -0.73% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0145 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006379 | -0.56% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0222 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.00637 | -0.55% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0098 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006487 | -0.51% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0152 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006201 | -0.47% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0503 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006798 | -0.46% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1044 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006826 | -0.50% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0030 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006726 | -1.09% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0942 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.00695 | -1.00% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0229 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006857 | -0.98% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0190 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006819 | -0.17% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0421 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006755 | +0.07% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007861 | -1.31% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005906 | +0.36% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006169 | +0.72% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0649 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006353 | +0.44% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0305 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.00666 | +0.38% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0523 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006974 | +0.48% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0585 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007047 | -0.05% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0073 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007948 | -0.40% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1178 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007999 | -0.13% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007933 | -0.15% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0253 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008171 | -0.30% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008293 | +0.03% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008305 | +0.06% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0180 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009246 | -0.26% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1579 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009744 | -0.21% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010522 | -0.32% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.01071 | -0.28% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011023 | -0.24% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 1.00 |