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2022-09-14 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0486
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 88.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.200975-1.72%0.1738-15.01%0.1250✓0.7730k2022-09-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000296308-1.37%0.00025952-13.61%0.1322✓0.012.4M2022-09-15
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0959.3921-1.16%56.91-5.29%0.0143✓1.088,4972022-09-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-76.51e-7-1.08%5.79e-7-11.97%0.0959✓0.792.1M2022-09-15
PROPropyEthereum0.720.712438-1.05%0.7-2.78%0.0119✓0.2242k2022-09-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.2162-1.01%1.2148-1.12%0.0262✗1.04844k2022-09-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17211.0664-0.94%11.656+4.33%0.0611✗0.3515.8M2022-09-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.190608-0.93%0.1909-0.78%0.0252✗0.903.1M2022-09-15
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016999-0.86%0.016546-3.50%0.0007✓1.001,0682022-09-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.009,115.33-0.86%8,520.47-7.33%0.0326✓1.334.0M2022-09-15
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.318188-0.84%0.3538+10.25%0.1311✗0.957782022-09-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.059996-0.82%0.05919-2.15%0.0175✗1.181.1M2022-09-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.3316-0.78%2.24-4.68%0.0244✓0.60200k2022-09-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.9091-0.77%5.726-3.85%0.0061✓0.975.9M2022-09-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.111958-0.75%0.1085-3.81%0.0021✓1.272.4M2022-09-15
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011646-0.72%0.011568-1.39%0.0195✗1.007452022-09-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3739.091-0.71%35.67-9.40%0.0520✓1.5110.6M2022-09-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9816.8608-0.70%16.28-4.12%0.0207✓0.55384k2022-09-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.845706-0.68%0.8518+0.04%0.0430✗1.3789k2022-09-15
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.208-0.66%1.131-6.99%0.0247✓1.572.7M2022-09-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.670659-0.66%0.6666-1.26%0.0334✗1.50194k2022-09-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.272-0.65%4.046-5.91%0.0302✓0.92223k2022-09-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.307587-0.65%0.3312+6.98%0.0981✗0.9289k2022-09-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.818073-0.65%0.7977-3.12%0.0034✓1.09920k2022-09-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3215-0.64%1.27-4.51%0.0141✓0.9856k2022-09-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.5087-0.63%5.7604+3.91%0.0472✗0.109.6M2022-09-15
FLOWFlownative1.8681.8563-0.62%1.753-6.16%0.0219✓1.35967k2022-09-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.7042-0.61%5.586-2.67%0.0076✓0.513.1M2022-09-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.147303-0.61%0.1496+0.94%0.0401✗0.94322k2022-09-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.113132-0.59%0.1102-3.16%0.0140✓0.47182k2022-09-15
METISMetisEthereum27.5827.4193-0.58%25.7-6.82%0.0244✓1.54155k2022-09-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.9655-0.57%6.1741+2.90%0.0410✗0.2512.5M2022-09-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.628413-0.57%0.603-4.59%0.0151✓1.00114k2022-09-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.334718-0.56%0.3228-4.10%0.0077✓1.0972k2022-09-15
STXStacksnative0.35220.350278-0.55%0.3436-2.44%0.0085✗1.06298k2022-09-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.3794-0.54%1.313-5.34%0.0189✓1.1643k2022-09-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.8522-0.54%4.8786-0.00%0.0082✗0.11135k2022-09-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3113.2384-0.54%12.71-4.51%0.0121✓1.09874k2022-09-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.068395-0.53%0.06724-2.21%0.0118✓0.20351k2022-09-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.410771-0.53%0.40594-1.70%0.0140✗0.98379k2022-09-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.162637-0.52%0.15592-4.62%0.0154✓1.02262k2022-09-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.8141-0.51%3.7372-2.51%0.0041✓0.626.3M2022-09-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.923338-0.50%0.92-0.86%0.0087✗0.472.5M2022-09-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.4588-0.49%1.388-5.32%0.0205✓1.1168k2022-09-15
HIVEHivenative0.55510.552367-0.49%0.5477-1.33%0.0064✗0.57836k2022-09-15
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.378178-0.49%0.36772-3.24%0.0030✓0.9529k2022-09-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.292439-0.49%0.28088-4.42%0.0134✓1.02430k2022-09-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.048463-0.49%0.0471-3.29%0.0011✓1.05177k2022-09-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.087.0461-0.48%6.64-6.21%0.0320✓1.04210k2022-09-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.5287-0.48%1.509-1.76%0.0052✗0.6929k2022-09-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01731.0126-0.46%0.9834-3.33%0.0175✓0.452.8M2022-09-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.6229-0.46%14.21-3.27%0.0059✓0.871.9M2022-09-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.266781-0.45%0.259-3.36%0.0098✓0.75512k2022-09-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.51067-0.45%0.485-5.46%0.0222✓1.1266k2022-09-15
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.4975-0.45%4.185-7.37%0.0458✓1.001.4M2022-09-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4037-0.44%1.41+0.00%0.0005✓-0.19113k2022-09-15
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1025.0795-0.44%4.909-3.78%0.0019✓1.236.4M2022-09-15
XVGVergenative0.003370.003355-0.44%0.00326-3.26%0.0056✓0.88483k2022-09-15
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.2516-0.43%1.206-4.06%0.0058✓1.19303k2022-09-15
QTUMQtumQtum3.09633.0829-0.43%2.9863-3.55%0.0056✓1.0019k2022-09-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1093.0961-0.42%2.988-3.89%0.0272✓0.32676k2022-09-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.8067-0.40%1.72-5.18%0.0069✓1.6160k2022-09-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.338037-0.40%0.3195-5.86%0.0302✓1.0079k2022-09-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0292.0209-0.40%1.962-3.30%0.0002✓1.1327k2022-09-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.1625-0.39%1.126-3.51%0.0083✓0.901.1M2022-09-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.324855-0.38%0.31479-3.47%0.0047✓1.0233k2022-09-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.03429-0.38%0.03257-5.37%0.0236✓1.0629k2022-09-15
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000045988-0.37%0.00004321-6.39%0.0406✓0.833.5M2022-09-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.8021-0.37%1.7321-4.24%0.0111✓1.0928k2022-09-15
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.77e-7-0.36%8.30e-7-5.68%0.0367✓0.691.7M2022-09-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2087.182-0.36%6.934-3.80%0.0078✓1.049.9M2022-09-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001221-0.36%0.00116-5.33%0.0310✓0.772.1M2022-09-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.038961-0.35%0.0367-6.14%0.0407✓0.739,5132022-09-15
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.6048-0.35%1.5204-5.59%0.0275✓1.01236k2022-09-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.3114-0.35%5.19-2.63%0.0111✓0.462.4M2022-09-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.139417-0.35%0.1336-4.50%0.0165✓1.00119k2022-09-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.135851-0.34%0.12968-4.87%0.0168✓1.13146k2022-09-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.6051-0.34%2.546-2.60%0.0010✓0.83464k2022-09-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.895562-0.34%0.8579-4.53%0.0116✓1.19874k2022-09-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.008023-0.34%0.00782-2.86%0.0041✗1.13463k2022-09-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.055114-0.34%0.0505-8.68%0.0690✓0.70234k2022-09-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.059898-0.34%0.0585-2.66%0.0084✗1.22608k2022-09-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.025871-0.33%0.025135-3.17%0.0300✓-0.04485k2022-09-15
KSMKusamaHydration47.5847.423-0.33%44.46-6.56%0.0395✓0.95363k2022-09-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001525-0.33%0.001455-4.90%0.0267✓0.785,8832022-09-15
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,542.04-0.32%1,397.26-9.68%0.0723✓1.003.3M2022-09-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.042.0335-0.32%1.94-4.90%0.0135✓1.28226k2022-09-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.0947-0.32%0.0903-4.95%0.0216✓0.99319k2022-09-15
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.4709-0.31%4.4233-1.37%0.0238✗1.31118k2022-09-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.107273-0.30%0.1042-3.16%0.0073✓0.83188k2022-09-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.483868-0.30%0.4585-5.52%0.0328✓0.80396k2022-09-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.9339-0.29%14.912+6.71%0.0999✗1.2220.3M2022-09-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.006307-0.28%0.006336+0.17%0.0131✗0.3229k2022-09-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.6593-0.28%1.578-5.17%0.0274✓0.87578k2022-09-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3678-0.28%4.21-3.88%0.0233✓0.511.4M2022-09-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.429813-0.28%0.453+5.10%0.0809✗1.087,9852022-09-15
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003879-0.28%0.00375-3.60%0.0097✓0.9289k2022-09-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99119.6613-0.27%117.54-2.04%0.0112✗1.114.3M2022-09-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.268284-0.27%0.25784-4.15%0.0176✓0.8415k2022-09-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012337-0.27%0.01216-1.70%0.0015✓0.61233k2022-09-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.3434-0.26%9.109-2.76%0.0032✓0.851.2M2022-09-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.9741-0.26%9.29-7.10%0.0372✓1.29288k2022-09-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.658-0.26%4.47-4.28%0.0198✓0.82808k2022-09-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.8053-0.26%1.79-1.10%0.0035✗0.4656k2022-09-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.148329-0.25%0.1448-2.62%0.0053✗1.128922022-09-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.9331-0.25%2.0023+3.32%0.0528✗0.671.5M2022-09-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002865-0.24%0.002756-4.04%0.0149✓0.911.2M2022-09-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.01711.0146-0.24%0.977095-3.93%0.0167✓0.8039k2022-09-15
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057112.028-0.24%11.3056-6.23%0.0375✓0.9321k2022-09-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.3999-0.24%8.14-3.33%0.0175✓0.532.4M2022-09-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001552-0.23%0.0022+41.39%0.3682✗0.75340k2022-09-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.066587-0.23%0.06518-2.34%0.0035✗0.958692022-09-15
ZENHorizenBase15.115.0665-0.22%14.5-3.97%0.0078✓1.1675k2022-09-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0134.0041-0.22%3.815-4.93%0.0394✓0.342.0M2022-09-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.020375-0.22%0.02027-0.73%0.0095✗0.56173k2022-09-15
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.868846-0.21%0.788148-9.48%0.0757✓0.8347k2022-09-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.78e-7-0.21%8.30e-7-5.68%0.0381✓0.7015k2022-09-15
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.042623-0.21%0.040879-4.30%0.0181✓0.9028k2022-09-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.012158-0.21%0.012048-1.11%0.0138✗0.87851k2022-09-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.197088-0.21%0.1903-3.65%0.0100✓0.95130k2022-09-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005598-0.21%0.00541-3.57%0.0179✓0.62911k2022-09-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020557-0.21%0.01964-4.66%0.0213✓0.939.2M2022-09-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.036525-0.21%0.0355-3.01%0.0022✓1.0093k2022-09-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.284416-0.20%0.2861+0.39%0.0325✗1.0172k2022-09-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1319.091-0.20%18.2-4.86%0.0128✓1.3317.5M2022-09-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.008483-0.20%0.00833-2.00%0.0052✗0.893.3M2022-09-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.060577-0.20%0.0665+9.56%0.1212✗1.0677k2022-09-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.322179-0.20%0.3001-7.04%0.0508✓0.77326k2022-09-15
SOLSolanaSolana34.1234.0549-0.19%33.07-3.08%0.0016✓1.1852.2M2022-09-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.046412-0.19%0.0441-5.16%0.0292✓0.83142k2022-09-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.302629-0.19%0.295-2.70%0.0010✓0.935.9M2022-09-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.26.1883-0.19%6.06-2.26%0.0096✓0.432.1M2022-09-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1868-0.18%1.1128-6.40%0.0366✓1.061.2M2022-09-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.487424-0.18%0.4691-3.93%0.0120✓1.00366k2022-09-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.376925-0.18%0.3559-5.75%0.0321✓0.96202k2022-09-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.8597-0.18%5.59-4.77%0.0338✓0.512.1M2022-09-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.4453-0.17%7.563+1.41%0.0439✗1.0818.0M2022-09-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.09514-0.17%0.0978+2.62%0.0475✗0.762,9132022-09-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.7145-0.17%2.583-5.00%0.0101✓1.512.9M2022-09-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.105037-0.16%0.102273-2.79%0.0042✓0.866.5M2022-09-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.163433-0.16%0.1557-4.89%0.0194✓1.111,5602022-09-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005966-0.16%0.005941-0.58%0.0117✗0.611,9622022-09-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.743143-0.16%0.71924-3.37%0.0049✓1.06584k2022-09-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.125003-0.16%0.1206-3.67%0.0087✓1.032.6M2022-09-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.915567-0.16%0.883-3.71%0.0081✓1.071.5M2022-09-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.3012-0.16%6.13-2.87%0.0028✓0.944.3M2022-09-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.188612-0.15%0.1907+0.95%0.0378✗1.0286k2022-09-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.091262-0.15%0.0912-0.22%0.0212✗0.8310k2022-09-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1218.0929-0.15%15.76-13.02%0.1187✓0.741.4M2022-09-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.043036-0.15%0.04198-2.60%0.0044✓0.7814k2022-09-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000012172-0.15%0.00001167-4.27%0.0170✓0.96951k2022-09-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.442365-0.14%0.421-4.97%0.0184✓1.184,5592022-09-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.611135-0.14%0.591-3.43%0.0071✓1.01178k2022-09-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.061042-0.14%0.058603-4.13%0.0164✓0.931.1M2022-09-15
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1826.1738-0.13%5.884-4.82%0.0130✓1.346.9M2022-09-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.211619-0.13%0.2063-2.64%0.0014✓0.9257k2022-09-15
ZECZcashZcash61.9661.879-0.13%58.33-5.86%0.0310✓1.071.1M2022-09-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36652.2991-0.13%51.746-1.18%0.0117✗0.85221k2022-09-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.036264-0.13%0.03582-1.35%0.0064✗0.712,2982022-09-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.260.1243-0.13%56.34-6.41%0.0403✓0.9414.4M2022-09-15
QNTQuantEthereum99.0598.9301-0.12%103.96+4.96%0.0726✗0.883.5M2022-09-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02442.0221-0.12%1.9299-4.67%0.0178✓1.1013k2022-09-15
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.219254-0.11%0.2141-2.46%0.0002✓0.90504k2022-09-15
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.810865-0.11%0.80867-0.38%0.0173✗0.7613k2022-09-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.040411-0.11%0.039421-2.56%0.0096✓0.5824k2022-09-15
FTTFTXEthereum25.525.4729-0.11%24.08-5.57%0.0298✓1.016.8M2022-09-15
DASHDashDash45.5845.5324-0.10%43.87-3.75%0.0098✓1.04299k2022-09-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.9341-0.10%3.752-4.72%0.0344✓0.492.1M2022-09-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0020,239.47-0.10%19,833.10-2.10%0.0036✗0.9113k2022-09-15
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9283.8392-0.10%78.51-6.45%0.0278✓1.446.2M2022-09-15
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.124784-0.09%0.1202-3.76%0.0086✓1.101.4M2022-09-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.042963-0.09%0.0408-5.12%0.0215✓1.15546k2022-09-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0697-0.08%1.0528-1.66%0.0227✗1.474.5M2022-09-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.020676-0.08%0.020113-2.80%0.0105✓0.6512k2022-09-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.514131-0.08%0.48387-5.96%0.0214✓1.5039k2022-09-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.405923-0.07%0.3922-3.45%0.0046✓1.1466k2022-09-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.627631-0.06%0.593-5.57%0.0292✓1.053.2M2022-09-15
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.480739-0.05%0.466-3.12%0.0062✓0.9536.8M2022-09-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.271759-0.05%0.2622-3.57%0.0103✓0.972.7M2022-09-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.058172-0.05%0.0557-4.30%0.0232✓0.7782k2022-09-15
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.061624-0.03%0.061091-0.90%0.0026✗0.43129k2022-09-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.07088-0.03%0.06499-8.34%0.0615✓0.9625k2022-09-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.20985-0.02%0.2059-1.91%0.0044✓0.5666k2022-09-15
XMRMoneroMonero149.8149.7648-0.02%145.86-2.63%0.0006✓0.981.5M2022-09-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.507939-0.01%0.489-3.74%0.0071✓1.1870k2022-09-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,638.96-0.01%1,472.68-10.16%0.0730✓1.29569.9M2022-09-15
GTGateEthereum4.30854.3084-0.00%4.1854-2.86%0.0108✓0.69696k2022-09-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.023243+0.01%0.02264-2.58%0.0017✓1.072,9142022-09-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7720,239.15+0.06%19,703.67-2.59%0.0006✗1.00480.9M2022-09-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.130931+0.33%0.1245-4.60%0.0367✗0.5283k2022-09-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.