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2022-09-10 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0831
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.9%
in alpha space · 52.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000422431-2.84%0.00043138-0.79%0.0168✓0.501.8M2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.170708-1.78%0.2611+50.23%0.4181✗0.8324k2022-09-11
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.387056-1.54%0.3501-10.94%0.1092✓1.067402022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.065102-1.18%0.06521-1.02%0.0074✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.77e-7-1.18%7.30e-7+6.57%0.0686✗0.832.3M2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.9910,321.55-1.14%10,194.93-2.36%0.0239✓1.394.2M2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.473-1.14%1.46-2.01%0.0163✓0.8981k2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.112.0862-1.13%2.116+0.28%0.0035✓1.281.1M2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.3101-1.13%1.3145-0.79%0.0042✓0.911.1M2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.74079-1.11%0.7351-1.87%0.0190✓1.36210k2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum32.5532.1983-1.08%31.98-1.75%0.0210✓1.71178k2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.582-1.07%2.63+0.77%0.0130✗0.66262k2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3596.2915-1.06%6.417+0.91%0.0128✗0.846.2M2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3724-1.05%1.402+1.08%0.0082✓1.582.8M2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.460235-1.03%0.45678-1.77%0.0152✓0.93392k2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21412.093-0.99%12.594+3.11%0.0370✗0.4416.0M2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.5991-0.99%1.648+2.04%0.0211✗1.0943k2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.562427-0.98%0.595+4.75%0.0474✗1.0763k2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.730.723014-0.96%0.72-1.37%0.0073✓0.3850k2022-09-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018764-0.95%0.01828-3.51%0.0344✓1.006792022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.281387-0.92%0.285+0.35%0.0068✓0.72563k2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.199789-0.90%0.2083+3.32%0.0348✗0.833.2M2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.864154-0.89%0.8663-0.64%0.0057✓0.99988k2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.511429-0.89%0.513-0.58%0.0051✓0.997,7812022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.5938-0.86%14.56-1.09%0.0108✓1.02925k2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.38460.381309-0.86%0.3903+1.48%0.0143✗1.09335k2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.116318-0.84%0.1167-0.51%0.0053✓1.032.5M2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.894615-0.82%0.8885-1.50%0.0181✓1.3694k2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0482.0315-0.81%1.99-2.83%0.0341✓1.6260k2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9617.8156-0.80%18.93+5.40%0.0556✗0.61384k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.126387-0.80%0.1254-1.57%0.0136✓0.69195k2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.363635-0.78%0.3619-1.26%0.0133✓1.0271k2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2338.9426-0.73%38.56-1.71%0.0218✓1.4411.7M2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0652.6734-0.73%55.25+4.13%0.0378✗1.209,0502022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.352-0.69%3.3066-2.04%0.0216✓0.9619k2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.178351-0.69%0.17789-0.95%0.0103✓0.93268k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.7267-0.69%7.63-1.93%0.0211✓1.03237k2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.681315-0.68%0.686+0.00%0.0004✓0.78116k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.152264-0.68%0.1545+0.78%0.0063✓1.00361k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.279937-0.66%0.3308+17.39%0.1604✗0.7984k2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.071497-0.66%0.07414+3.02%0.0352✗0.13389k2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.051858-0.66%0.052-0.38%0.0044✓0.86204k2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3632-0.64%1.369-0.22%0.0048✓1.09385k2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.5398-0.64%4.501-1.49%0.0160✓0.90289k2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.3252-0.63%2.33-0.43%0.0074✓1.14229k2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.9343-0.63%7.1468+2.42%0.0289✗0.158.6M2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41537.3687-0.63%7.6094+2.62%0.0303✗0.229.9M2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.310726-0.62%0.313787+0.36%0.0016✓0.99514k2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.2103-0.61%2.202-0.99%0.0129✓1.1033k2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0281.0217-0.61%1.024-0.39%0.0014✓0.442.8M2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.9154-0.61%5.0627+2.37%0.0287✗0.09115k2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.8984-0.60%15.699-1.85%0.0221✓1.1418.7M2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.037973-0.59%0.03781-1.02%0.0125✓0.9859k2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.3677-0.59%16.58-5.09%0.0520✓0.681.6M2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.9859-0.58%6.139+1.96%0.0218✗0.423.3M2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.4801-0.58%15.7+0.83%0.0069✗0.871.7M2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001373-0.57%0.001367-0.97%0.0095✓0.672.3M2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.5472-0.56%4.6789+2.32%0.0243✗0.517.3M2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.2536-0.56%3.278+0.18%0.0034✓0.50653k2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.066627-0.56%0.0662-1.19%0.0164✓1.21608k2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.89-0.55%11.23+2.56%0.0206✗1.22298k2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.113878-0.54%0.1156+0.96%0.0086✗0.77169k2022-09-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010915-0.53%0.011314+3.10%0.0276✗1.006082022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.401504-0.53%0.40526+0.40%0.0016✓0.9431k2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.3966-0.53%12.8866-4.31%0.0461✓0.8822k2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.6388-0.53%6.491-2.74%0.0328✓1.246.9M2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.7361-0.53%7.702-0.96%0.0126✓0.9810.0M2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.352211-0.53%0.35169-0.67%0.0093✓0.9534k2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.5061-0.52%1.517+0.20%0.0019✓1.1071k2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.9288-0.52%1.9241-0.76%0.0111✓1.0523k2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.57790.574908-0.52%0.5792+0.22%0.0013✓0.74826k2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.33834-0.52%0.3328-2.15%0.0252✓1.0582k2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.2158-0.51%1.251+2.37%0.0207✗0.941.1M2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.522254-0.50%0.5157-1.75%0.0181✓0.66444k2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04772.0376-0.49%2.0077-1.95%0.0220✓0.871.2M2022-09-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.7896-0.49%4.896+1.72%0.0137✗1.001.2M2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.115.0853-0.48%5.1-0.20%0.0039✓0.81943k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.288951-0.48%0.29146+0.38%0.0007✓0.9614k2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0645-0.48%1.0863+1.55%0.0136✗0.8034k2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64132.0032-0.48%130.35-1.73%0.0218✓1.114.4M2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.3287-0.48%1.3029-2.41%0.0288✓1.111.1M2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.26e-7-0.47%9.10e-7-2.15%0.0234✓0.771.7M2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.161758-0.46%0.168+3.38%0.0303✗0.921,0012022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.022947-0.45%0.02332+1.17%0.0093✗0.839.2M2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0525.0294-0.45%5.682+12.47%0.1117✗1.246.2M2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4237-0.44%1.42-0.70%0.0022✓-0.05124k2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.317-0.44%2.3057-0.93%0.0140✓1.0913k2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.148446-0.44%0.1518+1.81%0.0145✗0.95117k2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7812-0.44%1.838+2.74%0.0244✗0.85627k2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.6593-0.43%1.6855+1.15%0.0071✗1.04241k2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039233-0.42%0.0393-0.25%0.0053✓0.8584k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration52.3252.0999-0.42%51.9-0.80%0.0115✓0.93363k2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.983358-0.42%0.9748-1.29%0.0181✓1.13899k2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.099083-0.42%0.0941-5.43%0.0587✓0.8613k2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.143122-0.42%0.14382+0.07%0.0044✓1.12157k2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.6108-0.42%4.64+0.22%0.0022✓0.501.3M2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0243.0115-0.41%2.963-2.02%0.0281✓1.433.0M2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.7815-0.41%16.47-2.26%0.0277✓1.0885k2022-09-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,663.66-0.41%1,656.91-0.81%0.0124✓1.003.4M2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1297.1003-0.40%7.173+0.62%0.0032✓0.844.3M2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.9838-0.40%8.98-0.44%0.0041✓0.442.2M2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.513928-0.40%0.515-0.19%0.0074✓1.154,5592022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.009342-0.40%0.00944+0.64%0.0044✗0.723.3M2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.03-0.40%1.0275-0.64%0.0066✓0.512.7M2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.312765-0.39%0.2929-6.72%0.0741✓1.0292k2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.418759-0.39%0.4255+1.21%0.0074✗1.03209k2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.7962-0.39%2.782-0.89%0.0117✓0.80630k2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.7385-0.38%9.755-0.21%0.0059✓0.921.2M2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.013016-0.38%0.013193+0.97%0.0084✗0.61929k2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6548-0.38%1.655-0.36%0.0061✓0.7544k2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.09853-0.37%0.0997+0.81%0.0044✗0.89336k2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.810703-0.37%0.80376-1.22%0.0155✓0.83584k2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007831-0.36%0.00844+7.38%0.0663✗1.03389k2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.004115-0.35%0.00419+1.45%0.0105✗0.90103k2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.8784-0.35%8.03+1.57%0.0111✗0.9618.0M2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.045577-0.35%0.046785+2.29%0.0196✗0.7928k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001595-0.34%0.001636+2.19%0.0196✗0.666,5532022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.3914-0.34%5.43+0.37%0.0037✗0.412.0M2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.013015-0.34%0.01293-1.00%0.0125✓0.72228k2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4520.3818-0.33%20.69+1.17%0.0053✗1.1718.5M2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.974755-0.33%0.974-0.41%0.0108✓1.211.5M2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.3397-0.33%4.354+0.00%0.0006✓0.322.2M2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.07e-7-0.32%9.10e-7+0.00%0.0030✓0.7515k2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.321267-0.32%0.3264+1.27%0.0087✗0.865.9M2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000013238-0.32%0.00001299-2.18%0.0263✓0.90951k2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003220.00321-0.32%0.00381+18.32%0.1637✗0.94481k2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.103271-0.32%0.1027-0.87%0.0114✓0.712,6892022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.210933-0.32%0.2141+1.18%0.0053✗1.16139k2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.185515-0.31%0.183-1.67%0.0248✓1.341,5202022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.114346-0.31%0.114387-0.28%0.0065✓0.836.5M2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.065595-0.31%0.0645-1.98%0.0235✓0.8081k2022-09-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.4377-0.31%4.847+8.89%0.0756✗1.52129k2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.220151-0.29%0.2303+4.30%0.0374✗0.9257k2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.241-0.29%1.183-4.95%0.0601✓1.484.4M2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.4414-0.29%6.57+1.70%0.0162✗0.432.2M2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.601-0.29%6.73+1.66%0.0158✗0.432.1M2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.138702-0.29%0.1378-0.93%0.0105✓0.482.9M2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050656-0.28%0.0508+0.00%0.0054✓0.99234k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000044434-0.28%0.00004562+2.38%0.0198✗0.792.5M2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.064549-0.28%0.063703-1.59%0.0215✓1.001.3M2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047766-0.28%0.0497+3.76%0.0324✗0.88132k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001544-0.28%0.001558+0.65%0.0029✗0.77343k2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.84787-0.27%0.8518+0.19%0.0028✓0.8913k2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8849-0.27%1.9+0.53%0.0038✗0.5161k2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.504549-0.27%0.512+1.21%0.0056✗1.09384k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.0378-0.26%0.0372-1.85%0.0221✓0.747,8252022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.935864-0.26%0.927788-1.12%0.0151✓0.7849k2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002903-0.26%0.002904-0.24%0.0068✓0.851.2M2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.068931-0.26%0.07307+5.73%0.0506✗0.936022022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.170848-0.26%0.17414+1.66%0.0049✗1.712952022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.059646-0.26%0.0611+2.17%0.0168✗0.8881k2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.024131-0.25%0.023973-0.90%0.0069✓0.04454k2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.046026-0.25%0.04664+1.08%0.0074✗0.7114k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3263.1647-0.25%62.18-1.80%0.0236✓0.9513.5M2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.042431-0.24%0.042322-0.50%0.0068✓0.5123k2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum105.47105.2127-0.24%108.82+3.18%0.0274✗0.763.4M2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050879-0.24%0.0501-1.76%0.0232✓0.94546k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,682.15-0.23%21,663.60-0.32%0.0087✓0.9413k2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.655505-0.23%0.649-1.22%0.0176✓0.92178k2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.133298-0.23%0.1333-0.22%0.0088✓1.061.4M2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005917-0.23%0.00661+11.47%0.1056✗0.63911k2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006214-0.22%0.006309+1.30%0.0115✗0.4433k2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.2865-0.22%4.405+2.54%0.0237✗0.442.1M2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.9922-0.22%35.01-0.17%0.0081✓1.0458.3M2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006287-0.22%0.006537+3.75%0.0333✗0.692,0442022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.228807-0.21%0.235+2.49%0.0197✗0.85503k2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash65.3365.1977-0.20%64.27-1.62%0.0241✓1.171.2M2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7492.5529-0.20%91.63-1.20%0.0218✓1.425.6M2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.6347-0.20%27.89+0.72%0.0012✓0.976.8M2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.331641-0.20%0.33139-0.27%0.0067✓0.72327k2022-09-11
DASHDashDash48.7748.6786-0.19%48.35-0.86%0.0147✓0.95328k2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23655.1332-0.19%54.454-1.42%0.0184✓0.73284k2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.442576-0.19%0.4445+0.25%0.0051✓1.1381k2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.555378-0.19%0.55506-0.24%0.0107✓1.2239k2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.03971-0.18%0.0396-0.45%0.0090✓0.762,2982022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.021025-0.17%0.0213+1.14%0.0069✗0.73223k2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.209649-0.17%0.2106+0.29%0.0050✓1.15108k2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.229535-0.16%0.2312+0.57%0.0009✓0.7767k2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero157.51157.2638-0.16%159.22+1.09%0.0040✗1.011.3M2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.294467-0.15%0.2923-0.88%0.0150✓0.922.7M2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.021545-0.14%0.021887+1.45%0.0095✗0.7512k2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,772.19-0.14%1,766.95-0.44%0.0138✓1.30591.2M2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.679048-0.14%0.676-0.59%0.0139✓1.133.7M2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.551235-0.14%0.543-1.63%0.0240✓1.0877k2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.511715-0.13%0.5101-0.45%0.0103✓0.8637.9M2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075885-0.12%0.07546-0.68%0.0148✓1.1125k2022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.02545-0.08%0.0255+0.12%0.0097✓1.412,9582022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.064552-0.05%0.06419-0.61%0.0107✓0.62129k2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum4.3244.3228-0.03%4.3301+0.14%0.0045✓0.75702k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,648.61-0.01%21,831.72+0.83%0.0001✗1.00473.4M2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.131297+0.46%0.127-2.83%0.0333✗0.0183k2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.