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2022-08-31 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1755
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.6%
in alpha space · 79.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2620,152.23+0.52%19,426.11-3.10%0.0052✗1.00504.7M2022-09-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.475052+0.01%0.346-27.16%0.2791✗1.202,7102022-09-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,992.34+0.01%19,846.80-0.72%0.0224✓0.9415k2022-09-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.024448-0.42%0.02333-4.97%0.0065✓1.283,4352022-09-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.057099-0.53%0.0514-10.45%0.0759✓0.9398k2022-09-30
XMRMoneroMonero149.22148.1592-0.71%147.45-1.19%0.0273✗1.021.3M2022-09-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.072077-0.91%0.0606-16.69%0.1368✓1.1626k2022-09-30
GTGateEthereum4.30084.2458-1.28%4.2716-0.68%0.0305✗0.77798k2022-09-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.032.0018-1.39%2.31+13.79%0.1591✗0.5193k2022-09-30
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.88107-1.51%0.770263-13.90%0.1082✓0.8360k2022-09-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.006091-1.61%0.00487-21.32%0.2035✓0.641.0M2022-09-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008441-1.63%0.00657-23.43%0.2277✓0.725.5M2022-09-30
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.225322-1.65%0.2181-4.80%0.0041✓0.90489k2022-09-30
DASHDashDash44.5543.8044-1.67%41.94-5.86%0.0130✓0.97438k2022-09-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.451668-1.68%0.4309-6.20%0.0110✓1.14383k2022-09-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.065057-1.70%0.0629-4.96%0.0064✓0.877702022-09-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.275763-1.83%0.2876+2.39%0.0719✗0.953.1M2022-09-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037737-1.85%0.03783-1.61%0.0280✗0.812,7072022-09-30
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8583.259-1.88%74.57-12.12%0.0623✓1.526.2M2022-09-30
FTTFTXEthereum26.7326.2236-1.89%24.25-9.28%0.0476✓0.977.3M2022-09-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.33961-1.90%0.321-7.28%0.0170✓1.25176k2022-09-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.1527-1.91%0.16779+7.78%0.1584✗2.035722022-09-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.102365-1.92%0.114648+9.85%0.1388✗0.817.0M2022-09-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005555-2.00%0.005197-8.32%0.0450✓0.692,1952022-09-30
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.43686-2.01%0.4348-2.47%0.0248✗0.9437.1M2022-09-30
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.062137-2.03%0.061037-3.77%0.0013✓0.61142k2022-09-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.87777-2.10%0.78889-12.01%0.0749✓1.0113k2022-09-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.22757-2.12%0.1432-38.41%0.4348✓0.9076k2022-09-30
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.124768-2.22%0.1271-0.39%0.0511✗1.031.7M2022-09-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.034899-2.24%0.0377+5.60%0.1020✗0.799,5472022-09-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.080227-2.28%0.082-0.12%0.0514✗0.9411k2022-09-30
SOLSolanaSolana31.530.769-2.32%33.26+5.59%0.1145✗1.1665.9M2022-09-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8452.5897-2.32%53.48-0.67%0.0477✗0.9812.6M2022-09-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03471.0105-2.34%1.1027+6.57%0.1258✗1.22996k2022-09-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.310475-2.35%0.40262+26.63%0.2853✗0.81340k2022-09-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.042952-2.38%0.0427-2.95%0.0244✗0.96147k2022-09-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.021006-2.39%0.01929-10.36%0.0597✓0.8113k2022-09-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,515.96-2.45%1,328.95-14.48%0.0883✓1.38660.9M2022-09-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.047214-2.45%0.0392-19.01%0.1547✓0.99781k2022-09-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.6436-2.47%5.408+13.59%0.1945✗1.348.5M2022-09-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034026-2.51%0.0337-3.44%0.0192✓0.9186k2022-09-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.057981-2.55%0.0647+8.74%0.1369✗0.87101k2022-09-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.296166-2.61%0.2602-14.44%0.0957✓1.07107k2022-09-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91550.5579-2.61%48.976-5.66%0.0083✓0.74302k2022-09-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.47e-7-2.62%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0448✓0.7916k2022-09-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.022426-2.67%0.01866-19.01%0.1584✓0.81459k2022-09-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.097534-2.76%0.0911-9.17%0.0456✓0.722,5272022-09-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001461-2.76%0.001547+2.93%0.0874✗0.97424k2022-09-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.443-2.79%7.586+14.45%0.1965✗1.0517.4M2022-09-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.177297-2.80%0.1525-16.39%0.1072✓1.382,2912022-09-30
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.195253-2.86%0.1637-18.56%0.1447✓1.00116k2022-09-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.311124-2.86%0.288-10.08%0.0405✓1.17138k2022-09-30
QNTQuantEthereum96.4793.6299-2.94%141.89+47.08%0.4428✗0.863.5M2022-09-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7409-2.95%1.7056-4.92%0.0135✓1.0830k2022-09-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.5624-2.97%17.2-10.09%0.0354✓1.2922.5M2022-09-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.643194-2.99%0.576-13.12%0.0796✓0.98207k2022-09-30
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.465-3.03%1.4221-5.87%0.0057✓1.12296k2022-09-30
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.059-3.03%14.11-9.14%0.0301✓1.11107k2022-09-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.499304-3.05%0.453-12.04%0.0614✓1.1483k2022-09-30
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.0426-3.05%0.040717-7.34%0.0185✓0.8529k2022-09-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.01316-3.09%0.0098-27.84%0.2738✓0.67201k2022-09-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.237024-3.14%0.2604+6.42%0.1237✗0.9475k2022-09-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.087053-3.17%0.1076+19.69%0.2420✗0.95381k2022-09-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0318.425-3.18%16.37-13.98%0.0960✓0.701.6M2022-09-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.204445-3.20%0.1931-8.57%0.0247✓1.0358k2022-09-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.1092-3.24%0.917-20.00%0.1420✓1.534.5M2022-09-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.922432-3.26%0.8963-6.00%0.0132✓0.493.6M2022-09-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.055795-3.30%0.0455-21.14%0.1683✓1.13258k2022-09-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.044404-3.32%0.04057-11.67%0.0678✓0.7115k2022-09-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.278816-3.36%0.3535+22.53%0.2657✗0.906.0M2022-09-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.403716-3.42%0.472+12.92%0.1883✗1.027,9102022-09-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.238518-3.43%0.1171-52.59%0.7114✓-0.0091k2022-09-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.6897-3.46%9.167+1.84%0.0834✗0.951.4M2022-09-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.7476-3.49%9-10.89%0.0412✓1.22313k2022-09-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.909625-3.51%0.8437-10.50%0.0372✓1.21912k2022-09-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.041596-3.55%0.037509-13.03%0.0872✓0.5227k2022-09-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.099615-3.57%0.0987-4.45%0.0178✓0.86188k2022-09-30
ZECZcashZcash59.8857.7395-3.57%55.65-7.06%0.0004✓1.161.7M2022-09-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.147624-3.58%0.1386-9.47%0.0279✓1.121,5282022-09-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.119159-3.59%0.1259+1.86%0.0879✗1.0423k2022-09-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.0802-3.67%1.8009-16.60%0.1090✓1.1213k2022-09-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.743424-3.69%0.69854-9.50%0.0347✓0.88509k2022-09-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002883-3.71%0.001987-33.63%0.3432✓0.921.1M2022-09-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.422596-3.74%0.3611-17.74%0.1209✓1.15100k2022-09-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.058982-3.74%0.061628+0.57%0.0772✗1.061.5M2022-09-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0303-3.78%0.953-11.00%0.0509✓0.8644k2022-09-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.6742-3.82%4.78-1.65%0.0491✗0.851.5M2022-09-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16110.7097-3.86%120.1+4.29%0.1174✗1.144.6M2022-09-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.585-3.94%1.64-0.61%0.0634✗0.93579k2022-09-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.019448-4.01%0.02279+12.49%0.1847✗0.8311.1M2022-09-30
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.356797-4.01%0.38467+3.49%0.1053✗0.9540k2022-09-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.131378-4.09%0.12823-6.39%0.0135✓1.20190k2022-09-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.528403-4.13%0.44894-18.55%0.1215✓1.3135k2022-09-30
KSMKusamaHydration47.4245.4495-4.16%42.06-11.30%0.0463✓0.99522k2022-09-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000011577-4.16%0.00001131-6.37%0.0065✓0.95776k2022-09-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.6144-4.17%2.336-14.37%0.0851✓0.87706k2022-09-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.126869-4.18%0.1183-10.65%0.0534✓0.523.5M2022-09-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.6544-4.24%1.1834-31.50%0.3047✓0.961.2M2022-09-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.160809-4.28%0.14624-12.95%0.0644✓0.97324k2022-09-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.255.9822-4.28%6.071-2.86%0.0417✓0.864.9M2022-09-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.012607-4.32%0.011753-10.80%0.0503✓0.63932k2022-09-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006214-4.32%0.006298-3.03%0.0264✓0.4158k2022-09-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.3125-4.33%13.03+10.19%0.1764✗1.1111.4M2022-09-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.643316-4.41%0.593-11.89%0.0434✓1.214.1M2022-09-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.137996-4.50%0.1275-11.76%0.0469✓1.02130k2022-09-30
HIVEHivenative0.55730.532198-4.50%0.4837-13.21%0.0691✓0.841.1M2022-09-30
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000042511-4.51%0.00004111-7.66%0.0063✓0.861.7M2022-09-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1425.8609-4.58%6.467+5.29%0.1394✗1.308.9M2022-09-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1495-4.61%1.056-12.37%0.0536✓0.991.6M2022-09-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0492-4.69%1.82-15.35%0.0825✓1.14217k2022-09-30
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1444.9017-4.75%61.22+29.87%0.3494✗1.259,8512022-09-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.8224-4.83%1.591-16.92%0.0828✓1.6883k2022-09-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.317685-4.93%0.30317-9.27%0.0156✓0.9945k2022-09-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007595-4.95%0.00692-13.39%0.0577✓1.12477k2022-09-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001483-4.97%0.001435-8.01%0.0106✓0.709,0932022-09-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.333843-4.97%0.2956-15.86%0.0878✓1.07116k2022-09-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.207488-5.00%0.1725-21.02%0.1436✓1.30135k2022-09-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.91-5.07%1.701-15.46%0.0801✓1.1342k2022-09-30
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.35e-7-5.12%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0559✓0.791.9M2022-09-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.003832-5.15%0.00347-14.11%0.0681✓0.99144k2022-09-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7241-5.17%1.485-18.32%0.1206✓0.91121k2022-09-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.282616-5.19%0.267208-10.36%0.0218✓1.09547k2022-09-30
XVGVergenative0.003350.003174-5.25%0.00328-2.09%0.0646✗1.01486k2022-09-30
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.2072-5.32%1.227-3.76%0.0537✓1.19460k2022-09-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.6562-5.36%6.322-10.11%0.0189✓1.0410.9M2022-09-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4371-5.45%1.44-5.26%0.0020✓-0.13128k2022-09-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.626486-5.51%0.589-11.16%0.0345✓0.86228k2022-09-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.047478-5.61%0.0405-19.48%0.1282✓0.97217k2022-09-30
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3811.6712-5.73%11.1383-10.03%0.0162✓0.9730k2022-09-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.329873-5.75%0.33003-5.71%0.0300✓0.94347k2022-09-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.7491-5.92%3.081+5.44%0.1297✗0.50650k2022-09-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.7824-5.97%2.377-19.67%0.1090✓1.543.7M2022-09-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.1492.961-5.97%2.8524-9.42%0.0055✓1.0125k2022-09-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.631955-6.00%0.6408-4.69%0.0577✓1.39226k2022-09-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.028487-6.03%0.02996-1.17%0.0544✓0.13280k2022-09-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.511.7451-6.04%16.08+28.64%0.3475✗1.061.9M2022-09-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0114-6.18%0.923-14.38%0.0517✓1.261.5M2022-09-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.7972-6.28%3.8918-3.94%0.0435✓0.604.2M2022-09-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.291549-6.47%0.23673-24.06%0.1753✓1.0512k2022-09-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.263673-6.50%0.251-10.99%0.0265✓0.72668k2022-09-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.09583-6.60%0.0987-3.80%0.0633✓1.073.1M2022-09-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.471705-6.67%0.4164-17.61%0.1009✓0.75544k2022-09-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.058023-6.72%0.0576-7.40%0.0329✓1.28908k2022-09-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.12981-6.95%0.1421+1.86%0.1223✗1.01509k2022-09-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3288-7.08%1.475+3.15%0.1412✗1.17116k2022-09-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.490595-7.08%0.444-15.91%0.0668✓1.0576k2022-09-30
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.4833-7.13%5.85+21.18%0.2976✗1.00150k2022-09-30
STXStacksnative0.3650.338894-7.15%0.3244-11.12%0.0072✓1.16384k2022-09-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.1918-7.33%8.52-3.62%0.0547✓0.491.9M2022-09-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.0124-7.49%3.882-10.49%0.0179✓0.482.0M2022-09-30
PROPropyEthereum0.730.674964-7.54%0.62-15.07%0.0757✓0.2979k2022-09-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.075293-7.61%0.07392-9.29%0.0168✓0.05451k2022-09-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.065-7.77%6.46-15.67%0.0554✓1.08430k2022-09-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.45.9001-7.81%6.03-5.78%0.0374✓0.502.1M2022-09-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.200339-8.06%0.2353+7.99%0.1874✗0.843.1M2022-09-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.0906-8.13%5.6941-14.11%0.0601✓0.235.4M2022-09-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.764505-8.19%0.7579-8.98%0.0241✓1.041.7M2022-09-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2715.8482-8.23%14.8-14.30%0.0467✓0.69818k2022-09-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.396-8.28%1.257-17.41%0.0678✓1.1870k2022-09-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.2693-8.30%5.682-1.11%0.1024✗0.869.1M2022-09-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.1974-8.60%1.16-11.45%0.0031✓0.91111k2022-09-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1412.9051-8.73%12.57-11.10%0.0085✓1.10909k2022-09-30
METISMetisEthereum31.0328.2377-9.00%24.07-22.43%0.0999✓1.90288k2022-09-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.096-9.02%6.53-2.54%0.0840✓0.481.7M2022-09-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.3567-9.05%4.68-2.30%0.0884✓0.531.1M2022-09-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4129.4659-9.08%27.75-14.38%0.0125✓1.5112.7M2022-09-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.0345-9.32%3.848-13.51%0.0396✓0.242.3M2022-09-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.031882-9.40%0.03032-13.84%0.0185✓1.0140k2022-09-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.131.9261-9.57%2-6.10%0.0615✓0.76287k2022-09-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.0714-9.60%5.08-9.45%0.0160✓0.452.0M2022-09-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00511.7263-9.83%17.233+32.51%0.4014✗0.529.7M2022-09-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.2302-9.85%4.1679-28.16%0.2238✓0.10115k2022-09-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.818159-10.09%0.865-4.95%0.0674✓0.374.0M2022-09-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.055839-10.10%0.0611-1.63%0.1237✗1.072.0M2022-09-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001206-10.15%0.001016-24.30%0.1465✓0.792.1M2022-09-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86117.0418-10.42%6.6182-15.81%0.0508✓0.367.0M2022-09-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,072.01-10.52%8,121.81-9.97%0.0496✓1.386.0M2022-09-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.103816-10.58%0.0758-34.71%0.2915✓0.73216k2022-09-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.3455-10.62%3.842+2.64%0.1688✗0.97259k2022-09-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.806417-10.63%0.8477-6.05%0.0957✓1.45167k2022-09-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.3987-10.72%5.44-10.04%0.0226✓0.484.4M2022-09-30
FLOWFlownative2.0721.849-10.76%1.686-18.63%0.0496✓1.351.3M2022-09-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-78.22e-7-11.12%5.44e-7-41.20%0.3870✓0.831.3M2022-09-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.0054-11.76%1.194+4.79%0.1998✗0.881.3M2022-09-30
OPTIMOptimism1.1290.995929-11.79%0.911-19.31%0.0351✓1.713.2M2022-09-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000188829-14.77%0.00030441+37.39%0.5010✗0.74429k2022-09-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.