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2022-08-25 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1490
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8621,530.05-0.15%18,923.20-12.24%0.0015✓1.00485.5M2022-09-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.572754-1.25%0.387-33.28%0.2328✓1.222,3272022-09-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,233.55-1.72%18,988.80-12.11%0.0124✓0.9512k2022-09-24
XMRMoneroMonero153.94151.1628-1.80%141.98-7.77%0.0669✗0.991.2M2022-09-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.00896-1.97%0.00697-23.74%0.1522✓0.766.4M2022-09-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005739-2.00%0.00497-15.13%0.0566✓0.672,6192022-09-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.058894-2.33%0.0544-9.78%0.0392✗0.91112k2022-09-24
GTGateEthereum4.5674.4602-2.34%4.2479-6.99%0.0521✗0.77827k2022-09-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006868-2.44%0.00493-29.97%0.2483✓0.641.2M2022-09-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026643-2.48%0.02171-20.53%0.0392✓1.273,4352022-09-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.9427.2074-2.62%23.68-15.25%0.0147✓0.957.5M2022-09-24
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.235447-2.63%0.2268-6.20%0.0796✗0.90510k2022-09-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.932945-2.71%0.796-16.99%0.0548✓0.8084k2022-09-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.107233-2.87%0.11814+7.01%0.2084✗0.857.8M2022-09-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.136739-2.88%0.1278-9.23%0.0564✗0.951.9M2022-09-24
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.450733-2.90%0.4511-2.82%0.1363✗1.0440.7M2022-09-24
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.063582-2.93%0.059922-8.51%0.0165✓0.58151k2022-09-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.296631-2.93%0.2788-8.77%0.0614✗0.953.4M2022-09-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.045514-2.96%0.0418-10.87%0.0421✗0.97182k2022-09-24
DASHDashDash49.1847.7035-3.00%41.6-15.41%0.0113✓0.96504k2022-09-24
SOLSolanaSolana35.2534.1899-3.01%33.38-5.30%0.1261✗1.1570.1M2022-09-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.106412-3.09%0.0908-17.30%0.0673✓0.703,6712022-09-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6254.8587-3.11%53.43-5.63%0.1027✗0.9913.5M2022-09-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.073404-3.26%0.06277-17.28%0.0014✓1.1929k2022-09-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.352666-3.41%0.37942+3.92%0.2005✗0.98435k2022-09-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.479178-3.41%0.4369-11.93%0.0529✗1.11400k2022-09-24
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3590.1517-3.43%74.94-19.72%0.0157✓1.546.7M2022-09-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.79e-7-3.44%8.30e-7-8.79%0.0495✗0.8217k2022-09-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.362467-3.45%0.3197-14.84%0.0357✗1.23205k2022-09-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.021735-3.45%0.019685-12.55%0.0071✓0.8113k2022-09-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.067864-3.48%0.0639-9.12%0.0461✗0.819142022-09-24
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000038065-3.56%0.00003974+0.68%0.1589✗0.891.7M2022-09-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.046187-3.62%0.0406-15.28%0.0404✓0.6816k2022-09-24
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.6084-3.63%1.4784-11.42%0.0579✗1.09355k2022-09-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.159298-3.65%0.16399-0.81%0.3050✗2.116042022-09-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.259367-3.65%0.1635-39.26%0.3333✓0.98109k2022-09-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.087542-3.69%0.0824-9.35%0.0643✗0.9613k2022-09-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.03918-3.74%0.0392-3.69%0.1098✗0.8411k2022-09-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.716198-3.74%0.607-18.41%0.0459✓0.92322k2022-09-24
HIVEHivenative0.56910.547468-3.80%0.5008-12.00%0.0264✓0.881.7M2022-09-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.7852-3.81%1.416-23.71%0.1066✓0.96146k2022-09-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.0073-3.93%0.8876-15.35%0.0310✓1.211.0M2022-09-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.038352-3.95%0.03492-12.55%0.0127✓0.822,7072022-09-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.967737-3.99%0.9169-9.04%0.0178✓0.553.6M2022-09-24
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.4969-4.03%14.09-18.03%0.0141✓1.10130k2022-09-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.294978-4.04%0.3853+25.34%0.3866✗0.927.8M2022-09-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.183259-4.05%0.14704-23.02%0.0816✓1.06500k2022-09-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.0878-4.09%0.948552-16.37%0.0261✓0.8553k2022-09-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25274.0761-4.15%3.6408-14.39%0.0430✓0.542.9M2022-09-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.175997-4.19%0.1619-11.87%0.0939✗1.362,2552022-09-24
XVGVergenative0.003280.003142-4.19%0.00321-2.13%0.1560✗1.03537k2022-09-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.5573-4.22%1.94-27.34%0.2116✓0.5093k2022-09-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.208639-4.25%0.1697-22.12%0.0760✓1.00149k2022-09-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.438164-4.33%0.398-13.10%0.0334✓0.998,8922022-09-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3776-4.33%1.42-1.39%0.0223✓-0.06115k2022-09-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.12522-4.34%0.1318+0.69%0.1836✗1.0135k2022-09-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.106723-4.37%0.1001-10.30%0.0482✗0.86255k2022-09-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.218879-4.38%0.2052-10.35%0.0664✗1.0070k2022-09-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.066047-4.42%0.058-16.06%0.0124✓0.90116k2022-09-24
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.045703-4.42%0.04064-15.01%0.0077✓0.8432k2022-09-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9821.9609-4.43%17.6-23.41%0.0534✓1.2924.1M2022-09-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.3288-4.45%8.909-8.75%0.0785✗0.951.8M2022-09-24
ZECZcashZcash67.7564.7157-4.48%55.64-17.87%0.0054✓1.122.0M2022-09-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.021963-4.63%0.01924-16.46%0.0274✓0.80419k2022-09-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.1248-4.68%0.9213-21.92%0.0057✓1.484.9M2022-09-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.060616-4.69%0.0464-27.04%0.1169✓1.15258k2022-09-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.404643-4.72%0.3626-14.62%0.0357✓1.1189k2022-09-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.094227-4.73%0.1064+7.58%0.2433✗0.93430k2022-09-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001679-4.74%0.001558-11.58%0.0428✓0.90590k2022-09-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006477-4.75%0.006417-5.63%0.0482✓0.4457k2022-09-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.906127-4.76%0.80386-15.51%0.0059✓0.9613k2022-09-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.248305-4.79%0.1188-54.45%0.7359✓0.0187k2022-09-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,613.75-4.81%1,317.25-22.30%0.0294✓1.33608.4M2022-09-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.7228-4.85%1.1961-33.94%0.2269✓1.06980k2022-09-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2-4.92%1.08-14.42%0.0225✓0.982.1M2022-09-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.375484-4.94%0.2967-24.89%0.0929✓1.09174k2022-09-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.249607-4.95%0.2769+5.45%0.2278✗0.9583k2022-09-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3810.813-4.98%9.37-17.66%0.0110✓1.18439k2022-09-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1404-5.01%1.069-10.96%0.0967✗1.24981k2022-09-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61552.8262-5.01%49.307-11.34%0.0273✓0.74332k2022-09-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.1056-5.08%5.425+0.86%0.2370✗1.3510.1M2022-09-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.135953-5.10%0.12433-13.21%0.0703✗1.22213k2022-09-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17414.9087-5.13%4.2695-17.48%0.1206✓0.14158k2022-09-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.541548-5.16%0.47-17.69%0.0049✓1.1288k2022-09-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.8875-5.19%1.7298-13.12%0.0512✓1.0633k2022-09-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.013719-5.27%0.011796-18.55%0.0690✓0.631.4M2022-09-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.036847-5.28%0.0335-13.88%0.0252✓0.9286k2022-09-24
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4848.747-5.31%60.6+17.72%0.3768✗1.2215k2022-09-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.0655-5.31%0.063176-8.67%0.0982✗1.031.7M2022-09-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.575739-5.38%0.46599-23.41%0.0443✓1.2845k2022-09-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.050052-5.38%0.0379-28.36%0.1539✓0.95877k2022-09-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.4289-5.41%3.917-16.34%0.0812✓0.321.9M2022-09-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.00151-5.44%0.001515-5.13%0.0961✗0.719,9742022-09-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.044803-5.45%0.037461-20.95%0.1107✓0.5233k2022-09-24
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.38832-5.52%0.37751-8.15%0.0949✗0.9462k2022-09-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.353273-5.58%0.30895-17.43%0.0088✓0.9687k2022-09-24
BTTCBTTC9.20e-78.69e-7-5.59%7.90e-7-14.13%0.0089✓0.792.4M2022-09-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.162785-5.63%0.1359-21.22%0.0418✓1.061,7802022-09-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.4157-5.65%6.03-11.32%0.0132✓0.372.7M2022-09-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.022015-5.69%0.026013+11.44%0.1807✗0.11250k2022-09-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.136.7211-5.74%7.625+6.94%0.2645✗1.0619.5M2022-09-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.3622-5.76%4.67-17.93%0.0290✓0.841.6M2022-09-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.940146-5.80%0.931-6.71%0.1497✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69123.0977-5.81%117.26-10.28%0.0969✗1.114.9M2022-09-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.129795-5.81%0.1132-17.85%0.0651✓0.553.9M2022-09-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.0616-5.86%1.652-24.57%0.0029✓1.72114k2022-09-24
QNTQuantEthereum106.79100.4453-5.94%114.65+7.36%0.2420✗0.843.5M2022-09-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.7705-5.96%2.398-18.60%0.0346✓0.84749k2022-09-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.302275-6.02%0.272484-15.28%0.0368✓1.08743k2022-09-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.1192-6.12%6.27-17.32%0.0063✓1.0214.0M2022-09-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.147807-6.15%0.1301-17.40%0.0027✓1.00178k2022-09-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.0544-6.17%13.638+6.16%0.2672✗1.1010.4M2022-09-24
PROPropyEthereum0.730.684922-6.18%0.6-17.81%0.0848✓0.36105k2022-09-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.4285-6.19%3.906-17.26%0.0012✓0.95225k2022-09-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.348616-6.21%0.2903-21.90%0.0353✓1.13111k2022-09-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.5841-6.25%5.794-17.50%0.0402✓1.2910.3M2022-09-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.741313-6.28%0.6362-19.57%0.0326✓1.42259k2022-09-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.2955-6.33%1.19-13.96%0.0742✗1.22534k2022-09-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.322-6.37%1.81-27.02%0.0911✓1.21299k2022-09-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.210182-6.38%0.2653+18.17%0.3379✗0.802.6M2022-09-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.277052-6.40%0.252-14.86%0.0010✓0.72826k2022-09-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.3476-6.51%5.9377+3.81%0.1248✗0.155.0M2022-09-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.2131-6.52%6.738+20.83%0.2802✗0.183.5M2022-09-24
STXStacksnative0.39980.373312-6.63%0.3317-17.03%0.0325✓1.15470k2022-09-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.8039-6.66%3.023+0.63%0.1578✗0.63669k2022-09-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000012995-6.71%0.00001124-19.31%0.0254✓0.92900k2022-09-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461512.5454-6.81%10.8104-19.69%0.0250✓0.9539k2022-09-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.4898-6.81%8.33-8.56%0.0369✓0.432.4M2022-09-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4217.1514-6.89%15.1-18.02%0.0363✓0.701.4M2022-09-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.782269-6.89%0.70794-15.74%0.0190✓0.91507k2022-09-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.2367-6.91%2.849-18.06%0.0014✓0.9930k2022-09-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.003908-6.96%0.00356-15.24%0.0357✓0.99152k2022-09-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.35361-6.97%0.2999-21.10%0.0004✓1.26152k2022-09-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.3615-6.99%6.68-2.34%0.0980✗0.382.1M2022-09-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.6784-7.36%4.45-11.88%0.0041✓0.411.3M2022-09-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007417-7.40%0.00708-11.61%0.1018✗1.14513k2022-09-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.119-7.43%1.739-24.03%0.0485✓1.1460k2022-09-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.3611-7.43%3.923-16.73%0.0947✓0.092.4M2022-09-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8935.0657-7.45%14.95-60.54%0.7378✓0.881.8M2022-09-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.220507-7.51%0.1752-26.51%0.0538✓1.35133k2022-09-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003226-7.69%0.002211-36.74%0.2655✓0.861.1M2022-09-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.7934-7.70%1.578-18.79%0.0096✓0.91782k2022-09-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001408-7.71%0.001057-30.73%0.1860✓0.772.0M2022-09-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.756528-7.71%0.8516+3.89%0.3092✗1.46205k2022-09-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.4222-7.71%1.368-11.23%0.1132✗1.16138k2022-09-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1434.2756-7.71%28.66-22.83%0.0081✓1.4316.0M2022-09-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.798624-7.76%0.7405-14.47%0.0649✓1.082.2M2022-09-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.142887-7.82%0.139-10.32%0.0983✗0.96668k2022-09-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.3987-7.87%5.32-9.22%0.0344✓0.382.9M2022-09-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.050477-7.89%0.0414-24.45%0.0691✓0.99256k2022-09-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3525.8495-7.91%6.057-4.64%0.1546✗0.925.2M2022-09-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.666527-7.94%0.591-18.37%0.0066✓0.87253k2022-09-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.06223-7.94%0.0553-18.20%0.0412✓1.221.0M2022-09-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30773.9649-7.96%5.2757+22.47%0.4162✗1.00171k2022-09-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.408-8.09%6.54-18.86%0.0193✓1.10638k2022-09-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.279475-8.10%0.24602-19.10%0.0085✓1.0413k2022-09-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.344134-8.10%0.381+1.74%0.2225✗0.93321k2022-09-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.0113-8.21%5.479-16.34%0.0514✓0.325.3M2022-09-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.037731-8.22%0.03006-26.88%0.0992✓0.9828k2022-09-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.467542-8.29%0.4153-18.54%0.0122✓0.81625k2022-09-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.106143-8.42%0.1006-13.20%0.0859✓1.073.7M2022-09-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.021864-8.56%0.02275-4.85%0.1514✗0.8613.4M2022-09-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.2637-8.59%1.8174-26.61%0.0629✓1.2013k2022-09-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.5444.3063-8.72%41.14-15.25%0.0543✓0.98607k2022-09-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.7543-8.83%2.41-20.23%0.0724✓1.584.0M2022-09-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.015183-8.86%0.01037-37.76%0.2940✓0.67173k2022-09-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.3023-8.93%1.18-17.48%0.0253✓0.95182k2022-09-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.07654-8.94%0.07767-7.59%0.0264✓0.09637k2022-09-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1077-9.15%2.1-9.48%0.1002✗0.80520k2022-09-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.3316-9.33%13.63+0.22%0.2455✗1.111.9M2022-09-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.665528-9.33%0.564-23.16%0.0086✓1.335.0M2022-09-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3565.7532-9.48%5.575-12.29%0.0784✓0.8410.1M2022-09-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.6374-9.53%1.237-31.66%0.1250✓1.19103k2022-09-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.3161-9.54%12.7-13.72%0.1119✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000118258-9.95%0.00022573+71.89%0.7529✗0.82340k2022-09-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.10091-10.22%0.0864-23.13%0.0640✓0.70250k2022-09-24
FLOWFlownative2.1371.9164-10.32%1.678-21.48%0.0369✓1.301.2M2022-09-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.21e-7-10.32%5.04e-7-37.36%0.2538✓0.80192k2022-09-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.53756-10.41%0.451-24.83%0.0335✓1.09102k2022-09-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.2409-10.69%1.173-15.58%0.0636✓0.921.5M2022-09-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86212.338-10.99%17.384+25.41%0.3977✗0.423.8M2022-09-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.821496-11.00%0.874-5.31%0.1178✗0.434.2M2022-09-24
METISMetisEthereum35.2331.2678-11.25%24.66-30.00%0.0063✓1.87365k2022-09-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.518,654.82-11.65%8,220.83-16.08%0.1255✗1.367.3M2022-09-24
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.0333-12.28%0.919-21.99%0.1075✓1.723.6M2022-09-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.061091-12.47%0.06107-12.49%0.1440✗1.112.4M2022-09-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.