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2022-08-23 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1718
186 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.4%
in alpha space · 89.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,528.3421,465.06-0.29%19,401.25-9.88%0.0029✓1.00481.2M2022-09-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5920.58422-1.31%0.391-33.95%0.2734✓1.232,3272022-09-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058890.00579-1.69%0.005037-14.48%0.0698✓0.672,6422022-09-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,511.1021,113.74-1.85%19,424.70-9.70%0.0157✓0.9511k2022-09-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.007080.006942-1.94%0.00496-29.94%0.2691✓0.651.3M2022-09-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009049-1.96%0.00722-21.78%0.1474✓0.756.4M2022-09-22
XMRMoneroMonero154.81151.3642-2.23%144.06-6.94%0.0544✗1.001.2M2022-09-22
GTGateEthereum4.52244.4118-2.44%4.2613-5.77%0.0461✗0.78827k2022-09-22
FTTFTXEthereum27.7827.085-2.50%23.73-14.58%0.0327✓0.967.9M2022-09-22
STEEMSteemnative0.23430.228393-2.52%0.2202-6.02%0.0572✗0.90528k2022-09-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06220.060611-2.55%0.0532-14.47%0.0342✓0.92120k2022-09-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026470.025762-2.67%0.02212-16.43%0.0205✓1.273,2032022-09-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9434270.917412-2.76%0.80705-14.46%0.0456✓0.7977k2022-09-22
DODODODOEthereum0.13970.135674-2.88%0.1264-9.52%0.0306✗0.982.0M2022-09-22
AAVEAaveEthereum89.4886.8546-2.93%76.67-14.32%0.0355✗1.546.5M2022-09-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29770.288963-2.93%0.2721-8.60%0.0387✗0.953.5M2022-09-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0470.045577-3.03%0.0431-8.30%0.0462✗0.98187k2022-09-22
DASHDashDash48.547.0295-3.03%41.89-13.63%0.0146✓0.97504k2022-09-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1106760.10732-3.03%0.122951+11.09%0.2254✗0.867.8M2022-09-22
SOLSolanaSolana35.6734.5804-3.05%32.42-9.11%0.0561✗1.1681.1M2022-09-22
ADACardanoCardano0.4660.451511-3.11%0.4583-1.65%0.1236✗1.0542.0M2022-09-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10870.105209-3.21%0.0912-16.10%0.0692✓0.713,6712022-09-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076450.073981-3.23%0.06228-18.53%0.0482✓1.1929k2022-09-22
TRXTRONTron0.0662250.064081-3.24%0.060338-8.89%0.0003✓0.58179k2022-09-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.155.2361-3.26%53.56-6.20%0.0727✗1.0013.5M2022-09-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.70e-7-3.29%8.00e-7-11.11%0.0015✓0.8218k2022-09-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162940.15752-3.33%0.16587+1.80%0.2721✗2.126362022-09-22
XTZTezosTezos1.59411.5405-3.36%1.5113-5.19%0.0948✗1.10450k2022-09-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7250.700456-3.39%0.594-18.07%0.0694✓0.92322k2022-09-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046450.044838-3.47%0.04114-11.43%0.0150✓0.6816k2022-09-22
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000038098-3.48%0.00003923-0.61%0.1214✗0.891.7M2022-09-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04080.039376-3.49%0.04-1.96%0.1046✗0.8511k2022-09-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49330.475948-3.52%0.4377-11.27%0.0322✓1.11417k2022-09-22
HIVEHivenative0.55720.537287-3.57%0.5088-8.69%0.0381✗0.891.9M2022-09-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1850.178289-3.63%0.14774-20.14%0.0765✓1.07519k2022-09-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38440.370124-3.71%0.3219-16.26%0.0097✓1.25235k2022-09-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.427172-3.79%0.42-5.41%0.0871✗1.008,8922022-09-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.068007-3.80%0.06306-10.79%0.0093✓0.819142022-09-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.13111.0881-3.80%0.957561-15.34%0.0388✓0.8655k2022-09-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.27560.265084-3.82%0.1639-40.53%0.3787✓0.98114k2022-09-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.11926-3.82%0.1352+9.03%0.2307✗1.0138k2022-09-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.8471.7755-3.87%1.453-21.33%0.1009✓0.96147k2022-09-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.087751-3.99%0.083-9.19%0.0456✗0.9713k2022-09-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22280.213713-4.08%0.1967-11.71%0.0213✓1.0072k2022-09-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30760.295029-4.09%0.3698+20.22%0.3218✗0.928.2M2022-09-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0671.0231-4.11%0.8935-16.26%0.0096✓1.211.1M2022-09-22
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2455.0292-4.11%5.905+12.58%0.3023✗1.3610.1M2022-09-22
ZENHorizenBase17.4216.7006-4.13%14.19-18.54%0.0481✓1.10130k2022-09-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06780.064979-4.16%0.0604-10.91%0.0223✓0.92121k2022-09-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36424.1813-4.19%3.6025-17.45%0.0927✓0.542.3M2022-09-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02510.981954-4.21%0.9326-9.02%0.0062✓0.553.8M2022-09-22
XVGVergenative0.003240.003103-4.21%0.0033+1.85%0.1690✗1.03537k2022-09-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38510.368838-4.22%0.3086-19.86%0.0630✓1.11175k2022-09-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1532.0614-4.25%1.639-23.87%0.0485✓1.74115k2022-09-22
XEMNEMnative0.0465760.044594-4.26%0.041197-11.55%0.0086✓0.8433k2022-09-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.391450.374698-4.28%0.39165+0.05%0.1473✗0.99435k2022-09-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0390.037325-4.29%0.03492-10.46%0.0187✓0.822,7072022-09-22
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22090.211354-4.32%0.1749-20.82%0.0853✓1.00160k2022-09-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11170.106834-4.36%0.1009-9.67%0.0331✓0.87256k2022-09-22
KCSKuCoinnative9.7139.287-4.39%8.958-7.77%0.0633✗0.961.8M2022-09-22
COMPCompoundEthereum50.7448.5145-4.39%61.38+20.97%0.3635✗1.2315k2022-09-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3663-4.46%1.39-2.80%0.0111✓-0.06105k2022-09-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142750.136254-4.55%0.12523-12.27%0.0441✓1.24235k2022-09-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.940890.898068-4.55%0.79949-15.03%0.0155✓0.9713k2022-09-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17270.16484-4.55%0.1485-14.01%0.0363✓1.351,9092022-09-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.410.391315-4.56%0.3861-5.83%0.1022✗1.1180k2022-09-22
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001666-4.61%0.001651-5.44%0.0839✗0.89728k2022-09-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5122.4124-4.67%17.7-24.71%0.1009✓1.3024.5M2022-09-22
ZECZcashZcash66.3563.2353-4.69%56.76-14.45%0.0088✓1.121.9M2022-09-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.90861.8187-4.71%1.2577-34.10%0.2575✓1.07862k2022-09-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006375-4.79%0.006292-6.03%0.0331✓0.4457k2022-09-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.046.7017-4.80%5.93-15.77%0.0837✓0.372.7M2022-09-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2244.9692-4.88%3.814-26.99%0.2304✓0.331.7M2022-09-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.022438-4.88%0.01926-18.36%0.0678✓0.82444k2022-09-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21211.1525-4.92%1.088-10.24%0.0719✗1.241.0M2022-09-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6310.1064-4.93%9.47-10.91%0.0583✗1.19367k2022-09-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.792.6516-4.96%2.01-27.96%0.2251✓0.5093k2022-09-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5690.540719-4.97%0.482-15.29%0.0029✓1.1390k2022-09-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.095785-4.98%0.1001-0.69%0.1421✗0.94447k2022-09-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0216250.020543-5.00%0.019904-7.96%0.0532✗0.8213k2022-09-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06520.061938-5.00%0.0465-28.68%0.1666✓1.15273k2022-09-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2421.1796-5.02%1.096-11.76%0.0292✓0.992.1M2022-09-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.579190.549988-5.04%0.46901-19.02%0.0255✓1.2945k2022-09-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26050.247303-5.07%0.1197-54.05%0.7247✓0.0187k2022-09-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18371.1232-5.11%0.9165-22.57%0.0486✓1.494.9M2022-09-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25590.242781-5.13%0.2809+9.77%0.2446✗0.9584k2022-09-22
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.63e-7-5.15%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0074✓0.802.6M2022-09-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372060.352772-5.18%0.3092-16.90%0.0315✓0.9690k2022-09-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014470.013696-5.35%0.011386-21.31%0.1175✓0.651.5M2022-09-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96431.8588-5.37%1.762-10.30%0.0571✗1.0636k2022-09-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.036146-5.38%0.0339-11.26%0.0329✓0.9381k2022-09-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3105870.293646-5.45%0.276025-11.13%0.0507✓1.08792k2022-09-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687970.06497-5.56%0.059585-13.39%0.0199✓1.021.9M2022-09-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12940.12209-5.65%0.1154-10.82%0.0016✓0.564.2M2022-09-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0485160.045743-5.72%0.038248-21.16%0.1230✓0.5430k2022-09-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3895.0791-5.75%4.92-8.70%0.0164✓0.15171k2022-09-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05170.048703-5.80%0.039-24.56%0.1214✓0.97798k2022-09-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,665.931,569.15-5.81%1,326.43-20.38%0.0291✓1.34597.1M2022-09-22
UNIUniswapEthereum7.1096.6946-5.83%5.733-19.36%0.0197✓1.3010.7M2022-09-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015850.001493-5.83%0.001555-1.89%0.1144✗0.719,9742022-09-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.25452.9577-5.86%50.042-11.04%0.0208✓0.74330k2022-09-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.745.4035-5.86%4.58-20.21%0.0774✓0.841.6M2022-09-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.023130.021765-5.90%0.025846+11.74%0.1837✗0.11240k2022-09-22
STXStacksnative0.38990.366696-5.95%0.3369-13.59%0.0359✓1.16487k2022-09-22
BANDBandEthereum1.3731.2912-5.96%1.18-14.06%0.0380✓1.23534k2022-09-22
PROPropyEthereum0.740.695911-5.96%0.65-12.16%0.0285✓0.38105k2022-09-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6357.1775-5.99%6.442-15.63%0.0016✓1.0214.0M2022-09-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.13511.4011-6.05%14.626+20.53%0.3652✗1.1210.4M2022-09-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.162036-6.07%0.1386-19.65%0.0443✓1.081,7802022-09-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.329190.30921-6.07%0.40249+22.27%0.3598✗0.92321k2022-09-22
DIADIAEthereum0.40510.380377-6.10%0.38331-5.38%0.1059✗0.9470k2022-09-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1422.9491-6.14%2.993-4.74%0.0810✗0.64708k2022-09-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9730.913231-6.14%0.947-2.67%0.1635✗1.221.3M2022-09-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.166.7191-6.16%6.27-12.43%0.0291✓0.381.9M2022-09-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.9772.7923-6.21%2.383-19.95%0.0707✓0.84749k2022-09-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.79060.741099-6.26%0.638-19.30%0.0013✓1.43287k2022-09-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14880.139477-6.27%0.1324-11.02%0.0521✓1.00149k2022-09-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.268999-6.27%0.255-11.15%0.0218✓0.72878k2022-09-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.41125.0342-6.28%116.62-12.59%0.0466✓1.124.9M2022-09-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.4294.1486-6.33%3.986-10.00%0.0605✓0.97172k2022-09-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.390.364998-6.41%0.3062-21.49%0.0422✓1.28168k2022-09-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.498.8809-6.42%8.14-14.23%0.0419✓0.432.8M2022-09-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2416.7748-6.44%7.121-1.66%0.1609✗1.0719.5M2022-09-22
QNTQuantEthereum109.96102.8355-6.48%104.33-5.12%0.1026✗0.853.5M2022-09-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86860.811832-6.54%0.7866-9.44%0.0806✗1.082.2M2022-09-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.442.2801-6.55%1.88-22.95%0.0662✓1.22299k2022-09-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.52613.2876-6.76%2.9024-17.69%0.0212✓0.9938k2022-09-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1474.7986-6.77%3.786-26.44%0.2273✓0.092.4M2022-09-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.834690.778036-6.79%0.72039-13.69%0.0188✓0.92523k2022-09-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.0138-6.81%4.46-17.10%0.0739✓0.421.5M2022-09-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013320.0000124-6.91%0.00001085-18.54%0.0381✓0.92864k2022-09-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.571.4615-6.91%1.36-13.38%0.0507✓1.18138k2022-09-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.395.9472-6.93%5.26-17.68%0.0846✓0.373.3M2022-09-22
MOVRMoonriverBase13.784212.8138-7.04%10.9372-20.65%0.0583✓0.9644k2022-09-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82050.762634-7.05%0.8513+3.75%0.2625✗1.47205k2022-09-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.003792-7.06%0.00359-12.01%0.0477✓0.99152k2022-09-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.08845.6532-7.15%5.5103-9.50%0.0085✓0.163.7M2022-09-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0116.7086-7.23%15.3-15.05%0.0148✓0.701.7M2022-09-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015910.001476-7.23%0.001068-32.84%0.2418✓0.781.8M2022-09-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51390.476602-7.26%0.4348-15.39%0.0077✓0.81625k2022-09-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39020.361709-7.30%0.2895-25.81%0.1028✓1.15110k2022-09-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21920.203129-7.33%0.1748-20.26%0.0094✓1.35117k2022-09-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.252.0847-7.35%1.793-20.31%0.0310✓1.1559k2022-09-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1738.1221-7.40%15.23-63.01%0.8255✓0.881.8M2022-09-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8036.2957-7.46%5.329-21.67%0.1349✓0.315.3M2022-09-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023560.021783-7.54%0.02213-6.07%0.1069✗0.8813.4M2022-09-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008080.007468-7.57%0.00716-11.39%0.0770✓1.14503k2022-09-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.887.2827-7.58%6.74-14.47%0.0383✓1.11638k2022-09-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105830.000097765-7.62%0.00027642+161.19%1.1246✗0.82329k2022-09-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7330.676437-7.72%0.601-18.01%0.0262✓0.88263k2022-09-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.052.8124-7.79%2.503-17.93%0.0476✓1.584.5M2022-09-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.2894-7.90%1.2-14.29%0.0279✓0.96182k2022-09-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06730.061951-7.95%0.0589-12.48%0.0763✓1.221.1M2022-09-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3785.8691-7.98%6.074-4.77%0.1308✗0.935.3M2022-09-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.015958-8.08%0.01075-38.08%0.3241✓0.68167k2022-09-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.299120.274699-8.16%0.24837-16.97%0.0080✓1.0513k2022-09-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.9621.8017-8.17%1.615-17.69%0.0146✓0.91785k2022-09-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0036250.003329-8.17%0.002218-38.81%0.3165✓0.861.1M2022-09-22
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65014.2687-8.20%5.4035+16.20%0.3398✗1.00175k2022-09-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.91265.4274-8.21%6.0262+1.92%0.1240✗0.192.2M2022-09-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8171.666-8.31%1.268-30.21%0.1479✓1.20121k2022-09-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15750.144396-8.32%0.1393-11.56%0.0645✓0.97614k2022-09-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.6613.4303-8.39%12.35-15.76%0.0441✓1.231.3M2022-09-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.05460.049996-8.43%0.0425-22.16%0.0585✓1.00253k2022-09-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.43592.23-8.45%1.8808-22.79%0.0445✓1.2113k2022-09-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11380.103696-8.88%0.1002-11.95%0.0774✓1.073.7M2022-09-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3785.8088-8.92%5.522-13.42%0.0377✓0.8510.1M2022-09-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.077651-8.92%0.07506-11.96%0.0247✓0.09854k2022-09-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.25050.228094-8.94%0.2687+7.27%0.2494✗0.822.1M2022-09-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.3631.1811-9.25%28.61-16.73%0.0627✓1.4316.0M2022-09-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.3037-9.53%13.94+2.50%0.2429✗1.132.2M2022-09-22
RADRadworksEthereum2.32.0792-9.60%1.99-13.48%0.0428✓0.83762k2022-09-22
FISStafiEthereum0.3010.271865-9.68%–pending––0.911502022-09-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037430.033783-9.74%0.03064-18.14%0.0052✓0.9923k2022-09-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.651629-9.75%0.576-20.22%0.0173✓1.354.8M2022-09-22
KSMKusamaHydration49.5444.674-9.82%41.75-15.72%0.0359✓1.00606k2022-09-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8930.80475-9.88%0.898+0.56%0.1539✗0.434.4M2022-09-22
FLOWFlownative2.1431.9252-10.17%1.705-20.44%0.0148✓1.311.2M2022-09-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6170.553799-10.24%0.47-23.82%0.0506✓1.09102k2022-09-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,225.548,274.76-10.31%8,444.74-8.46%0.1620✗1.367.3M2022-09-22
METISMetisEthereum34.7631.017-10.77%24.33-30.01%0.0474✓1.88365k2022-09-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10150.090441-10.90%0.0978-3.65%0.1506✗0.70234k2022-09-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30421.1492-11.89%1.24-4.92%0.1743✗0.941.3M2022-09-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.22e-77.22e-7-12.20%5.35e-7-34.97%0.2192✓0.78180k2022-09-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53811.8803-12.24%12.825-5.27%0.1222✓0.442.5M2022-09-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072890.063704-12.60%0.05865-19.54%0.0334✓1.122.4M2022-09-22
OPTIMOptimism1.3351.1594-13.15%0.938-29.74%0.0323✓1.733.6M2022-09-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.043510.036108-17.01%–pending––0.8812k2022-09-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.