8=======>

2022-08-14 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0602
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.4%
in alpha space · 90.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7124,119.73-0.81%20,174.78-17.03%0.0081✓1.00472.7M2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006632-1.21%0.005899-12.12%0.0173✗0.723,2222022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7023,839.03-1.53%20,237.10-16.41%0.0170✗0.977,5932022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008106-1.75%0.00563-31.76%0.2442✓0.641.6M2022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.031715-1.78%0.02317-28.24%0.0722✓1.292,9912022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.069044-1.85%0.060682-13.74%0.0157✓0.61192k2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010174-1.89%0.00851-17.94%0.0225✓0.845.6M2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.070707-1.93%0.0572-20.67%0.0562✓0.83119k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025072-1.99%0.020191-21.07%0.0588✓0.8413k2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.0344-2.12%0.846269-19.92%0.0571✓0.7777k2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.0188-2.12%4.9699-3.07%0.0153✓0.13233k2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.046166-2.19%0.0403-14.62%0.0446✗0.9711k2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.086365-2.19%0.0679-23.10%0.0295✓1.1329k2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero168.04164.3429-2.20%145.44-13.45%0.0636✗0.991.2M2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006569-2.25%0.006216-7.50%0.0284✗0.4555k2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.255194-2.26%0.1365-47.72%0.6232✓0.0155k2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.206412-2.27%0.165-21.88%0.0420✗1.421,3132022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4637-2.42%1.41-6.00%0.0359✓0.01132k2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.096944-2.57%0.0848-14.77%0.0593✗1.039,7202022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.166449-2.66%0.1253-26.73%0.0958✓1.012.6M2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.6039-2.68%1.9586+18.84%0.4365✗1.27540k2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum5.05494.9142-2.78%4.1432-18.04%0.0344✓0.73882k2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.264704-2.79%0.2161-20.64%0.0297✓0.93551k2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.052579-2.81%0.0452-16.45%0.0338✗0.99237k2022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.393296-2.83%0.30966-23.49%0.0590✓0.96479k2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.078802-2.89%0.06468-20.30%0.0538✓0.778802022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.8429.9314-2.95%25.89-16.05%0.0293✓0.939.8M2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.290744-2.96%0.2103-29.81%0.1214✓1.08189k2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.126894-2.99%0.0968-25.99%0.1223✓0.793,9702022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.7492-3.00%3.055-20.96%0.0734✓0.701.1M2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.185939-3.01%0.16738-12.69%0.3121✗2.236712022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019249-3.01%0.024692+24.42%0.2814✗0.17230k2022-09-13
DASHDashDash55.0853.4104-3.03%43.77-20.53%0.0158✓0.98574k2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.1717-3.08%5.136-19.35%0.0694✗1.3612.8M2022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.024926-3.12%0.02007-22.00%0.0575✓0.85209k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.082731-3.12%0.0594-30.44%0.1649✓0.89130k2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.62130.601857-3.13%0.5504-11.41%0.0953✗0.992.4M2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.335808-3.14%0.2679-22.73%0.0353✓1.023.6M2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.1678-3.15%0.82473-31.60%0.1670✓0.9712k2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.78e-7-3.15%8.70e-7-13.86%0.0265✓0.7721k2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.217646-3.27%0.16284-27.63%0.0631✓1.22657k2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1544.0173-3.29%4.082-1.73%0.0773✗0.331.7M2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.7617-3.34%1.5348-15.79%0.0737✗1.13467k2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.467502-3.35%0.3308-31.61%0.1349✓1.13190k2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.9128-3.39%6.12+0.00%0.0984✗0.341.4M2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.588426-3.44%0.4865-20.17%0.0479✓0.76784k2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.809304-3.54%0.595-29.08%0.1335✓0.93370k2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44103.6274-3.55%82.97-22.78%0.0695✗1.567.1M2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2157-3.55%1.0027-20.45%0.0217✓0.9256k2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.121137-3.59%0.104654-16.71%0.0229✓0.917.2M2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.4551-3.59%7.025-19.90%0.0216✓1.1119.3M2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,865.75-3.62%1,574.71-18.66%0.0778✗1.32522.8M2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39160.1292-3.63%51.566-17.35%0.0176✓0.73354k2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1760.8709-3.64%59.1-6.44%0.1661✗1.0513.6M2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.5575-3.65%6.034-32.06%0.1040✓1.3110.0M2022-09-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1628-3.66%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.220003-3.68%0.1561-31.65%0.1392✓1.091,7402022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.047596-3.69%0.03648-26.18%0.1142✓0.812,5822022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.549019-3.70%0.4637-18.66%0.0290✓1.0642.0M2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.6851-3.71%1.3-25.71%0.0649✓1.04190k2022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.810.779618-3.75%0.71-12.35%0.0163✓0.41105k2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.572325-3.76%0.4625-22.23%0.0034✓1.12365k2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.3906-3.76%1.152-20.28%0.0013✓1.022.6M2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000044396-3.78%0.00004395-4.75%0.1585✗0.902.1M2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.724321-3.81%0.449-40.37%0.2479✓1.232,7912022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.19064.0302-3.83%3.0233-27.86%0.1006✓1.0053k2022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002021-3.86%0.001519-27.74%0.0988✓1.001.0M2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.499779-3.87%0.3105-40.28%0.2282✓1.33213k2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.3354-3.87%1.0525-24.24%0.0288✓1.436.4M2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.2224-3.88%1.7866-22.73%0.0173✓1.0838k2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.513473-3.92%0.4014-24.89%0.0345✓1.1359k2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.170356-3.92%0.13476-23.99%0.0047✓1.28243k2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9386-3.97%2.03-33.66%0.1319✓1.27244k2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.053181-3.97%0.04273-22.84%0.0827✓0.7316k2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041098-3.98%0.0361-15.65%0.0597✗1.0176k2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.141755-4.03%0.1963+32.90%0.5295✗1.0946k2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.512462-4.03%0.434-18.73%0.0215✓1.0014k2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.6611-4.04%2.022-27.08%0.0550✓1.1862k2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.0329-4.04%4.1321+30.73%0.4038✗0.511.3M2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.543-4.07%11.9339-26.34%0.0796✓0.9959k2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash73.7170.6994-4.08%58.92-20.07%0.0328✓1.152.3M2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.8581-4.09%1.81-39.26%0.3590✓0.52102k2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.6926-4.11%1.785-36.43%0.0844✓1.75144k2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.670076-4.14%0.493-29.47%0.0821✓1.20115k2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.258039-4.18%0.2085-22.58%0.0260✓1.0091k2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.051553-4.19%0.042163-21.64%0.0266✓0.9343k2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.965763-4.19%0.913-9.42%0.1709✗1.221.3M2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.459069-4.22%0.4008-16.38%0.1115✗1.32242k2022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.016876-4.22%0.01252-28.94%0.1660✓0.71155k2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.5355-4.27%6.58+78.17%0.7059✗0.451.9M2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5739.777-4.31%35.29-15.11%0.1386✗1.3816.5M2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.015-4.32%0.012152-22.49%0.0897✓0.652.1M2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4159-4.33%1.1703-20.93%0.0515✗1.301.2M2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58811.0851-4.34%13.897+19.93%0.4443✗1.1713.2M2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.66e-7-4.36%8.60e-7-14.85%0.0288✓0.785.7M2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.669304-4.39%0.52-25.71%0.0112✓1.29137k2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.8942.9102-4.41%33.01-26.46%0.0360✓1.2178.8M2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.0717-4.41%1.0223-8.82%0.0802✗0.683.9M2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.890864-4.41%0.921-1.18%0.1312✗0.524.4M2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0391.9487-4.43%1.553-23.84%0.0407✓1.00189k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.1738-4.44%9.254-13.08%0.0876✗0.982.0M2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.122696-4.44%0.1076-16.20%0.0388✓0.91328k2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.078058-4.46%0.059635-27.01%0.0772✓1.031.8M2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.38-4.46%7.2349+104.50%0.8226✗0.331.6M2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.272655-4.47%0.1898-33.50%0.1755✓1.00108k2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.1322-4.48%4.66-27.41%0.0771✓1.061.4M2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.2794-4.49%9.73-17.61%0.0652✗1.14305k2022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.273867-4.51%0.3444+20.08%0.4023✗0.9370k2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.347702-4.53%0.2966-18.56%0.0217✓0.978.3M2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.063915-4.61%0.0441-34.18%0.1672✓1.09877k2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.845984-4.62%0.61-31.23%0.1477✓0.96280k2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.0858-4.63%1.41-35.53%0.1783✓1.14169k2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.955513-4.63%0.8463-15.53%0.1744✗1.58296k2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.004030.003843-4.63%0.00337-16.38%0.0698✗1.08517k2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.7834-4.65%6.97-32.07%0.1311✓1.11638k2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.5364-4.67%7.07-21.05%0.0104✓1.0713.7M2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0448-4.69%0.8066-26.42%0.0314✓1.222.3M2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.163546-4.69%0.1392-18.88%0.0310✓1.03131k2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.350255-4.70%0.26692-27.37%0.0682✓1.0913k2022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.004755-4.71%0.00381-23.65%0.0234✓1.06145k2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase20.1419.1891-4.72%14.84-26.32%0.0361✓1.18124k2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.175485-4.73%0.1444-21.61%0.0108✓1.10586k2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.156312-4.75%0.1243-24.25%0.1039✓0.674.4M2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.6493-4.78%1.244-28.18%0.0343✓1.33460k2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration58.8756.053-4.79%46.38-21.22%0.0044✓1.04524k2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.2765-4.81%0.8796-34.41%0.1421✓1.231.1M2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.35608-4.82%0.289387-22.65%0.0059✓1.08916k2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.110956-4.84%0.0924-20.75%0.0118✓1.04499k2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45132.6937-4.84%117.6-15.67%0.0884✗1.125.1M2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.845-4.85%1.455-24.96%0.0231✓1.15203k2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.053713-4.85%0.03987-29.37%0.2037✓0.5136k2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0459.9533-4.90%55.83-11.44%0.1671✗1.2835k2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.310952-4.91%0.263-19.57%0.0163✓0.811.1M2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000095191-4.94%0.00035806+257.56%1.5151✗1.02336k2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2420.1825-4.98%16.8-20.90%0.0537✓0.702.2M2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.175.8594-5.03%6.47+4.86%0.1622✗0.341.0M2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.019-5.08%0.73147-31.86%0.1453✓1.00574k2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.5924-5.11%6.4-20.01%0.0201✓1.025.5M2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.8322.6873-5.11%1.864-34.18%0.1278✓1.27754k2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.6245-5.14%2.719-28.84%0.0094✓1.595.3M2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.5067-5.17%8.75-2.45%0.0495✓0.111.8M2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001699-5.17%0.001531-14.56%0.0372✓0.769,0932022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.076714-5.17%0.059-27.07%0.0487✓1.151.4M2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.2672-5.19%2.618-24.03%0.0598✓0.87640k2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.7974-5.19%4.5-11.07%0.0104✓0.401.3M2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.673284-5.19%0.50798-28.47%0.0328✓1.3349k2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008195-5.26%0.00796-7.98%0.1802✗1.12463k2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.07241-5.35%0.0496-35.16%0.1506✓1.22350k2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1023.8808-5.39%4.142+0.98%0.1097✗0.242.2M2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.420717-5.40%0.32139-27.74%0.0804✓1.01109k2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1926.6635-5.41%18.87-33.06%0.0886✓1.3830.5M2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.826108-5.48%0.622-28.83%0.0104✓1.464.4M2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.388741-5.60%0.298-27.63%0.0595✓1.10100k2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum118.61111.9317-5.63%97.87-17.49%0.0279✓0.873.8M2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.49170.463585-5.72%0.3497-28.88%0.0707✓1.13808k2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.689-5.79%14.53+0.00%0.2891✗1.232.6M2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.463681-5.88%0.38116-22.63%0.1083✓0.4770k2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5617.4684-5.88%13.18-28.99%0.0596✓1.191.6M2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0772.8956-5.90%2.0329-33.93%0.1039✓1.3413k2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001346-5.94%0.001236-13.64%0.0749✗0.861.5M2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.2445-5.97%1.68-29.62%0.1080✓0.97607k2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.170054-6.10%0.1934+6.79%0.2886✗0.861.1M2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.003932-6.16%0.002827-32.53%0.1799✓0.801.0M2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.130644-6.21%0.1082-22.33%0.0198✓1.123.9M2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.919711-6.25%0.6606-32.66%0.0586✓1.46407k2022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum43.2640.5112-6.35%27.9-35.51%0.0085✓1.95385k2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.5469-6.49%12.092+103.84%0.8190✗0.211.1M2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.238877-6.51%0.199-22.11%0.0693✗1.35132k2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8310,492.72-6.54%9,017.07-19.68%0.0971✗1.336.5M2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2736.7022-6.54%15.2-61.29%0.6742✓1.111.7M2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.351846-6.56%0.42001+11.54%0.3412✗0.88439k2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2357.6914-6.60%5.871-28.71%0.1090✓0.868.3M2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3545.9323-6.64%6.134-3.46%0.0527✓0.103.5M2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.065409-6.96%0.0479-31.86%0.1114✓1.07225k2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.045384-6.98%0.03367-30.99%0.1083✓1.0220k2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.6596-7.21%4.212+6.80%0.3020✗0.86124k2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.0289-7.22%5.72+5.54%0.1791✗0.272.0M2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.3634-7.32%2.32-9.02%0.1553✗0.93636k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.027105-7.36%0.02043-30.18%0.0958✓1.0014.3M2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.085937-7.41%0.05951-35.88%0.1403✓1.222.2M2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.3338-8.57%1.2429-14.80%0.1161✗1.001.0M2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.116522-8.61%0.1104-13.41%0.1106✗0.88220k2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.446509-8.97%0.35-28.64%0.0842✓0.851382022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.078028-8.97%0.06913-19.35%0.0770✓0.241.1M2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-73.85e-7-9.51%6.96e-7+63.55%0.7195✗0.68150k2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000015173-10.11%0.00001209-28.38%0.0477✓0.96679k2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.441.2905-10.38%1.182-17.92%0.2701✗1.923.7M2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.