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2022-08-13 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2686
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.4%
in alpha space · 75.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0699030.070185+0.40%0.070349+0.64%0.0059✓0.61182k2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0069940.007015+0.30%0.006713-4.01%0.0397✗0.733,2222022-08-14
SGBSongbirdnative0.0290.029073+0.25%0.0297+2.41%0.0247✓0.5836k2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.033.0368+0.22%2.98-1.65%0.0159✗0.52100k2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5533+0.21%1.5-3.23%0.0349✗-0.00139k2022-08-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017480.001751+0.16%0.001792+2.52%0.0276✓0.769,2532022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2350.235365+0.16%0.225-4.26%0.0380✗1.23657k2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0729060.073013+0.15%0.0817+12.06%0.1184✓1.031.7M2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017903+0.13%0.01762-1.45%0.0121✗0.68159k2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21950.219754+0.12%0.2112-3.78%0.0315✗1.421,3132022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001011+0.11%0.00000101+0.00%0.0033✓0.7721k2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.460970.461473+0.11%0.44475-3.52%0.0310✗1.03107k2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative10.69710.7076+0.10%10.646-0.48%0.0002✓0.982.0M2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.22e-73.22e-7+0.09%4.26e-7+32.28%0.2825✓0.64146k2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61530.615876+0.09%0.5947-3.35%0.0286✗1.12345k2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.89224.8962+0.08%5.1274+4.81%0.0469✓0.14246k2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,547.2024,566.85+0.08%24,209.70-1.37%0.0091✗0.977,5932022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.720520.72109+0.08%0.71015-1.44%0.0075✗1.3554k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.820.820443+0.05%0.81-1.22%0.0104✗0.4391k2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.50950.509753+0.05%0.4917-3.49%0.0295✗1.15808k2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087550.087577+0.03%0.08572-2.09%0.0201✗0.231.1M2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum5.10955.1103+0.02%5.0549-1.07%0.0067✗0.73882k2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15120.151214+0.01%0.1477-2.31%0.0173✗1.0846k2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05010.050095-0.01%0.0472-5.79%0.0539✓0.9811k2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008278-0.02%0.00825-0.36%0.0003✗0.641.6M2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012620.000012617-0.02%0.00001688+33.76%0.2967✗0.98679k2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.34663.327-0.03%62.391-1.51%0.0107✓0.73344k2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07160.071565-0.05%0.0721+0.70%0.0120✗0.80122k2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010305-0.05%0.01037+0.58%0.0104✗0.725.5M2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10280.102743-0.06%0.0995-3.21%0.0262✓1.029,3472022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0258530.025838-0.06%0.025582-1.05%0.0052✓0.8313k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,456.4924,442.34-0.06%24,316.71-0.57%0.0006✓1.00455.4M2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.371150.370883-0.07%0.36752-0.98%0.0028✓1.1013k2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.260773-0.09%0.2611+0.04%0.0013✗0.0151k2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52160.521109-0.09%0.5199-0.33%0.0053✗1.33217k2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27450.274233-0.10%0.2693-1.89%0.0124✓1.0197k2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum2.1072.1048-0.11%2.039-3.23%0.0261✓0.99219k2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7330.732161-0.11%0.7-4.50%0.0375✓1.30135k2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.054670.054605-0.12%0.05538+1.30%0.0183✗0.7416k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4851.4832-0.12%1.445-2.69%0.0202✓1.032.6M2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.332579-0.13%0.327-1.80%0.0121✓0.841.1M2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9120.910776-0.13%0.874-4.17%0.0328✓1.474.3M2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068240.006814-0.15%0.00672-1.52%0.0111✓0.4953k2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1268360.126647-0.15%0.125646-0.94%0.0027✓0.917.2M2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana46.6346.5584-0.15%44.89-3.73%0.0295✓1.2281.1M2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13410.133891-0.16%0.1308-2.46%0.0186✓0.834,2082022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.091457-0.16%0.0854-6.77%0.0639✓0.81123k2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.00004740.000047316-0.18%0.00004614-2.66%0.0202✓0.862.0M2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414770.414033-0.18%0.40475-2.42%0.0170✓1.00502k2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero168.13167.8299-0.18%168.04-0.05%0.0070✗1.001.1M2022-08-14
DASHDashDash57.0756.9642-0.19%55.08-3.49%0.0279✓0.99552k2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.37360.372905-0.19%0.4905+31.29%0.2793✗0.911382022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.23111.2288-0.19%1.2058-2.06%0.0133✓0.9613k2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.201970.201564-0.20%0.1917-5.08%0.0374✓2.236712022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.55980.558638-0.21%0.5701+1.84%0.0264✗1.0742.0M2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.9495-0.21%5.06+2.02%0.0244✗0.401.3M2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration61.1861.0472-0.22%58.87-3.78%0.0303✓1.05551k2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001020.000001018-0.22%0.00000101-0.98%0.0032✓0.785.7M2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0569880.056861-0.22%0.056453-0.94%0.0042✓0.5136k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9992.9922-0.23%3.1608+5.40%0.0579✗0.531.3M2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3876930.386815-0.23%0.374117-3.50%0.0271✓1.10916k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash76.2176.0362-0.23%73.71-3.28%0.0244✓1.162.3M2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0654.0555-0.23%3.865-4.92%0.0440✓0.721.1M2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.27590.275249-0.24%0.2723-1.30%0.0056✓0.89576k2022-08-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2910.290305-0.24%0.2854-1.92%0.0113✓1.00105k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.91041.9058-0.24%1.8226-4.60%0.0381✓1.14467k2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12960.129286-0.24%0.1284-0.93%0.0020✓0.85328k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003890.00388-0.25%0.00403+3.60%0.0441✗1.09517k2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8672.8598-0.25%2.773-3.28%0.0240✓1.1959k2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum31.3331.2501-0.25%30.84-1.56%0.0079✓0.9310.0M2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016240.016198-0.26%0.015677-3.47%0.0288✓0.682.1M2022-08-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021970.002191-0.27%0.002102-4.32%0.0358✓1.001.0M2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.9933-0.27%16.2019-4.91%0.0420✓1.0059k2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.29161.2881-0.27%1.2606-2.40%0.0163✓0.9356k2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.28860.287823-0.27%0.2868-0.62%0.0018✓0.9470k2022-08-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049220.049085-0.27%0.04942+0.41%0.0115✗0.822,5642022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55840.556828-0.28%0.5344-4.30%0.0346✓1.1358k2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4620.460691-0.28%0.4793+3.74%0.0473✗1.34242k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2431.2394-0.29%1.207-2.89%0.0202✓1.1013k2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.17590.175388-0.29%0.171-2.79%0.0194✓1.032.6M2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.181160.180629-0.29%0.1773-2.13%0.0111✓1.30236k2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,984.751,978.93-0.29%1,935.85-2.46%0.0144✓1.32528.6M2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.1499.1221-0.29%8.77-4.14%0.0330✓1.1219.3M2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.7998-0.29%5.932+23.22%0.2132✗0.241.1M2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.8663.6662-0.30%63.17-1.08%0.0018✓1.0513.7M2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.066.0416-0.30%6.17+1.82%0.0231✗0.371.0M2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70291.6977-0.31%1.6481-3.22%0.0223✓1.28619k2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082810.082555-0.31%0.08115-2.00%0.0128✓0.779072022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008860.008833-0.31%0.00865-2.37%0.0145✓1.12463k2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0863-0.31%4.102+0.07%0.0053✗0.252.3M2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19080.190203-0.31%0.1842-3.46%0.0257✓1.11586k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0864.0731-0.32%4.154+1.66%0.0217✗0.351.7M2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35950.358355-0.32%0.3467-3.56%0.0272✓1.023.6M2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.22650.225758-0.33%0.2284+0.84%0.0179✗1.101,7402022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06141.0579-0.33%1.0735+1.15%0.0206✗1.03543k2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05540.055218-0.33%0.0541-2.35%0.0148✓0.99248k2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16271.1588-0.33%1.1212-3.57%0.0290✓0.693.9M2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36860.367354-0.34%0.3642-1.19%0.0030✓0.978.3M2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.17430.173699-0.34%0.1716-1.55%0.0062✓1.04131k2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash144.43143.9299-0.35%139.45-3.45%0.0251✓1.135.1M2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08230.082011-0.35%0.0809-1.70%0.0071✓1.131.4M2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.818.7788-0.35%8.97+1.82%0.0224✗0.141.8M2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9878.955-0.36%8.882-1.17%0.0006✓1.329.9M2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027410.027312-0.36%0.02573-6.13%0.0551✓0.79197k2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204810.020407-0.36%0.019846-3.10%0.0269✓0.17226k2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.626-0.36%6.42-3.46%0.0254✓1.081.4M2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.16160.161014-0.36%0.1811+12.07%0.1226✗0.881.1M2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.4610.4217-0.37%10.26-1.91%0.0094✓1.10638k2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.12290.122442-0.37%0.1166-5.13%0.0428✓1.06529k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum110.5110.0795-0.38%107.44-2.77%0.0153✓1.577.6M2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033260.033133-0.38%0.03229-2.92%0.0184✓1.292,7512022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9910.987186-0.38%0.932-5.95%0.0544✓0.554.2M2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.30840.307194-0.39%0.2996-2.85%0.0188✓1.08194k2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.319.2734-0.39%8.955-3.81%0.0287✓1.0813.2M2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091270.090908-0.40%0.0883-3.25%0.0227✓1.1229k2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.8231.8158-0.40%1.732-4.99%0.0395✓1.35435k2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07840.078088-0.40%0.0765-2.42%0.0137✓1.20367k2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031260.031135-0.40%0.02926-6.40%0.0562✓1.0313.8M2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8426-0.40%1.75-5.41%0.0455✓1.06190k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.29174.2742-0.41%4.1906-2.35%0.0140✓1.0153k2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.386.3539-0.41%6.354-0.41%0.0008✓0.143.5M2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1978.163-0.41%8.001-2.39%0.0140✓1.055.5M2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1812.1276-0.43%11.81-3.04%0.0200✓1.15305k2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8720.86823-0.43%0.839-3.78%0.0289✓0.94377k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN3.21413.2002-0.43%3.077-4.27%0.0316✓1.3413k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum65.4465.1522-0.44%63.04-3.67%0.0256✓1.2938k2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62710.624329-0.44%0.6094-2.82%0.0196✓0.80784k2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.43123.416-0.44%3.6932+7.64%0.0808✗0.481.9M2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1381.133-0.44%1.0962-3.67%0.0259✓1.232.3M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.06720.066902-0.44%0.0703+4.61%0.0559✗1.11215k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0544660.05422-0.45%0.053806-1.21%0.0021✓0.9744k2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.5329-0.46%1.48-3.90%0.0276✓1.311.2M2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11760.117054-0.46%0.1275+8.42%0.0907✗0.91215k2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9941.9845-0.48%1.939-2.76%0.0166✓1.15212k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.243.2245-0.48%3.06-5.56%0.0450✓1.29269k2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.45.3733-0.49%5.42+0.37%0.0103✗0.292.1M2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.005040.005015-0.50%0.00499-0.99%0.0012✓1.08126k2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.41592.4038-0.50%2.3122-4.29%0.0326✓1.0938k2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01211.007-0.50%1.0019-1.01%0.0040✓1.59309k2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42283.4055-0.50%3.5378+3.36%0.0401✗0.351.6M2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49390.491393-0.51%0.4837-2.07%0.0092✓1.15175k2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014730.001465-0.51%0.001432-2.80%0.0184✓0.861.4M2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3748.331-0.51%8.235-1.66%0.0065✓0.886.9M2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14410.143354-0.52%0.1393-3.33%0.0221✓1.143.9M2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase1.08281.0771-0.52%1.0568-2.40%0.0146✓0.7970k2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17170.17081-0.52%0.1641-4.43%0.0361✓0.694.4M2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1929.0358-0.53%28.19-3.43%0.0216✓1.4030.5M2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.5843.3496-0.53%41.57-4.61%0.0340✓1.3816.5M2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.90611.8428-0.53%11.588-2.67%0.0149✓1.1913.7M2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.2419.135-0.55%18.56-3.53%0.0235✓1.221.5M2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase20.8220.7041-0.56%20.14-3.27%0.0208✓1.19118k2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum126.57125.8623-0.56%118.61-6.29%0.0543✓0.883.9M2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.38170.379554-0.56%0.37655-1.35%0.0028✓0.89439k2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.4082.3945-0.56%2.387-0.87%0.0025✓0.98588k2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.096980.096433-0.56%0.09281-4.30%0.0312✓1.242.0M2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04420.043951-0.56%0.0428-3.17%0.0206✓1.0476k2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3421.2189-0.57%21.24-0.47%0.0050✓0.702.2M2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.63340.629783-0.57%0.6213-1.91%0.0078✓1.002.4M2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.662.6448-0.57%2.55-4.14%0.0312✓0.93636k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.0848-0.58%6.12+0.00%0.0078✗0.351.4M2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9022.8852-0.58%2.808-3.24%0.0171✓1.75144k2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.4191.4108-0.58%1.4588+2.80%0.0393✗1.02907k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative2.9232.9057-0.59%2.832-3.11%0.0184✓1.27712k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.3142-0.59%2.187-6.06%0.0499✓1.15172k2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum47.7647.4743-0.60%43.26-9.42%0.0819✓1.93385k2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07140.070969-0.60%0.067-6.16%0.0512✓1.12877k2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.9740.968056-0.61%0.981+0.72%0.0217✗1.48407k2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.554338-0.66%0.534-4.30%0.0316✓1.0014k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.3171-0.67%1.341+1.13%0.0250✗1.231.1M2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9170.910859-0.67%0.887-3.27%0.0209✓0.98280k2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0046330.004602-0.67%0.00419-9.56%0.0891✓0.811.0M2022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096740.000096089-0.67%0.00010014+3.51%0.0472✗1.03336k2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3915.2837-0.69%14.53-5.59%0.0437✓1.202.6M2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,424.4811,344.55-0.70%11,226.83-1.73%0.0027✓1.346.4M2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7020.696922-0.72%0.699-0.43%0.0100✗1.22100k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum6.666.6078-0.78%6.368-4.38%0.0291✓1.3811.9M2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0381.0298-0.79%1.008-2.89%0.0145✓1.201.3M2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.26990.267753-0.80%0.2555-5.34%0.0391✓1.35117k2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.43481.4234-0.80%1.3892-3.18%0.0160✓1.446.4M2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.785456-0.83%0.753-4.92%0.0350✓1.252,7912022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43750.433734-0.86%0.4118-5.87%0.0454✓1.13100k2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9723.935-0.93%3.821-3.80%0.0202✓1.615.3M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.1539.7736-0.94%39.27-2.19%0.0060✓1.171.5M2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism1.5421.5261-1.03%1.44-6.61%0.0471✓1.923.7M2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.7463.7044-1.11%3.446-8.01%0.0673✓0.87613k2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.045140.044628-1.13%0.04879+8.09%0.0950✗1.0320k2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1354.0865-1.17%3.944-4.62%0.0305✓0.87114k2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.533950.525528-1.58%0.49265-7.73%0.0618✓0.4970k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.