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2022-08-04 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1786
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.1%
in alpha space · 87.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METISMetisEthereum46.0144.9941-2.21%47.65+3.56%0.0021✓1.82266k2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative2.62.5672-1.26%2.732+5.08%0.0240✗1.26448k2022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1755-0.82%1.1895+0.35%0.0146✓0.874.1M2022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.780874-0.65%0.824+4.83%0.0096✗1.463,1392022-08-05
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.9062-0.62%1.946+1.46%0.0391✓1.972.8M2022-08-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.574145-0.60%0.5694-1.42%0.0500✓1.38234k2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.25961-0.57%0.2615+0.15%0.0069✗0.0129k2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.7558-0.56%4.061+7.52%0.0253✗1.745.0M2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.565188-0.44%0.5966+5.09%0.0203✗1.1146k2022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.5245-0.44%21.35-1.25%0.0337✓0.842.4M2022-08-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.00218-0.40%0.002227+1.74%0.0091✓1.001.4M2022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01921.0152-0.39%0.9869-3.17%0.0802✓1.71241k2022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001651-0.34%0.001677+1.21%0.0159✓1.039,0682022-08-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000098961-0.29%0.00010097+1.73%0.0418✓2.04516k2022-08-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.48e-7-0.23%9.90e-7+4.21%0.0133✗1.0025k2022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.301381-0.21%0.3054+1.13%0.0206✓1.11300k2022-08-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.085255-0.18%0.08643+1.19%0.0055✗0.271.1M2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5772-0.17%1.58+0.00%0.0073✓0.30242k2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.8109-0.17%3.073+69.40%0.5097✗0.63206k2022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.073004-0.13%0.0739+1.09%0.0099✓0.73159k2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.66515-0.11%0.69514+4.39%0.0017✓1.5188k2022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,636.69-0.10%12,281.30+15.35%0.1005✗1.424.5M2022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.2131-0.07%1.159-4.53%0.0654✓0.651.9M2022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1844-0.03%3.1425-1.35%0.0607✓1.5612k2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043854-0.01%0.04533+3.35%0.0046✗0.942,0262022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034985+0.04%0.03628+3.75%0.0074✗1.4413.9M2022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.2057+0.06%10.63+15.54%0.1018✓1.39334k2022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.076981+0.07%0.07814+1.57%0.0073✗0.739772022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.218186+0.09%0.228+4.59%0.0019✗1.51782k2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.419984+0.11%0.42795+2.00%0.0230✗1.38583k2022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.9208+0.11%3.0096+3.16%0.0002✓0.981.2M2022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3764+0.13%3.4602+2.61%0.0025✗0.891.4M2022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0928.1024+0.13%8.341+3.08%0.0027✗1.042.5M2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.2262+0.15%2.195-1.26%0.0527✗1.27626k2022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.147+0.17%3.2379+3.07%0.0053✓0.761.1M2022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.336722+0.19%0.3589+6.78%0.0295✓1.138.2M2022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9928.0426+0.19%32.59+16.43%0.1091✓1.36946k2022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001091+0.19%0.001125+3.36%0.0065✗1.241.3M2022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1295+0.19%1.1864+5.24%0.0076✓1.371.4M2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.6251+0.20%4.72+2.25%0.0032✓0.561.4M2022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.910798+0.20%0.939+3.30%0.0230✗1.76496k2022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.58130.582531+0.21%0.5908+1.63%0.0218✗1.181.8M2022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4854+0.22%2.51+1.21%0.0228✗1.08507k2022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.8804+0.23%38.27+9.97%0.0501✓1.4011.4M2022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009813+0.23%0.0103+5.21%0.0217✓0.885.1M2022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.363669+0.24%0.3677+1.35%0.0285✗1.3013k2022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.559339+0.24%0.57+2.15%0.0158✗1.1414k2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.14506+0.25%0.1459+0.83%0.0271✗1.08907k2022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.063157+0.25%0.0674+6.98%0.0261✓1.28802k2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.9999+0.25%8.382+5.04%0.0096✓1.227.0M2022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.128+0.26%3.17+1.60%0.0327✗1.52211k2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.687837+0.27%0.708+3.21%0.0135✗1.4088k2022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006718+0.27%0.006749+0.73%0.0110✗0.5140k2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.84828+0.27%0.875+3.43%0.0218✗1.744.6M2022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.555+0.27%5.7+2.89%0.0078✓0.59873k2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.3876+0.28%10.966+5.86%0.0131✓1.3513.7M2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.501166+0.29%0.5176+3.58%0.0042✗1.2040.5M2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.218144+0.30%0.2306+6.02%0.0159✓1.311,5612022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.081144+0.30%0.08336+3.04%0.0181✗1.49871k2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.8303+0.30%62.49+4.76%0.0085✓1.1513.6M2022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.1168+0.31%8.81+8.87%0.0449✓1.2211.0M2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.249266+0.31%0.2612+5.11%0.0097✓1.22101k2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.120573+0.31%0.131+8.99%0.0414✓1.372.9M2022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000043076+0.32%0.00004553+6.03%0.0203✓1.161.9M2022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,695.97+0.32%23,320.81+3.08%0.0032✗1.00427.9M2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,567.21+0.32%23,205.30+3.16%0.0019✓0.9813k2022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.042235+0.32%0.0451+7.13%0.0285✓1.2376k2022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.7055+0.32%1.77+4.12%0.0029✓1.32122k2022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.1728+0.33%5.341+3.59%0.0160✓0.532.4M2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.839+0.33%6.06+4.12%0.0166✓0.68746k2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.173469+0.33%0.1844+6.65%0.0240✓1.223.5M2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.114297+0.33%0.118541+4.06%0.0064✓0.996.9M2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.054+0.33%1.0569+0.61%0.0290✗1.0513k2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.57e-7+0.33%3.48e-7-2.33%0.0568✗0.99164k2022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8311+0.34%1.8665+2.28%0.0193✗1.27530k2022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.08569+0.34%0.0907+6.21%0.0220✓1.15126k2022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.6092+0.34%5.69+1.79%0.0043✗0.611.4M2022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum103.74104.0972+0.34%107.26+3.39%0.0001✓0.994.2M2022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020596+0.35%0.020288-1.15%0.0278✗0.42167k2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0711.1084+0.35%12.03+8.67%0.0433✓1.20263k2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.463+0.35%7.573+1.83%0.0379✗1.7313.1M2022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.1008+0.35%3.17+2.59%0.0071✓0.49109k2022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.334182+0.35%0.337+1.20%0.0231✗1.041.1M2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.6103+0.36%69.15+7.41%0.0300✓1.251.6M2022-08-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.00825+0.37%0.00843+2.55%0.0058✗0.901.6M2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.117229+0.37%0.1255+7.45%0.0356✓1.08370k2022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9742+0.37%2.025+2.95%0.0174✗1.41266k2022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.3913+0.37%7.878+6.98%0.0258✓1.2516.9M2022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.341481+0.37%0.358859+5.48%0.0111✓1.271.0M2022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.4573+0.37%24.97+6.85%0.0145✓1.5826.1M2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.598794+0.38%0.6718+12.62%0.0804✓1.14690k2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.139737+0.39%0.1507+8.26%0.0468✓0.953.6M2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003770.003785+0.39%0.00385+2.12%0.0222✗1.30551k2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3496.7159+0.39%103.27+7.19%0.0154✓1.6610.2M2022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.740.742891+0.39%0.74+0.00%0.0220✗0.6079k2022-08-05
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.64e-7+0.39%9.80e-7+2.08%0.0087✗0.846.4M2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34134.8677+0.39%141.93+5.65%0.0147✓1.204.6M2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4758+0.39%1.51+2.72%0.0198✗1.411.2M2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1986+0.39%2.3513+7.37%0.0307✓1.2032k2022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004558+0.40%0.0047+3.52%0.0090✗1.31112k2022-08-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.18962+0.40%0.19602+3.79%0.0370✗2.311,1512022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9939+0.40%3.047+2.18%0.0163✗1.12591k2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003081+0.40%0.003213+4.69%0.0118✓0.991.0M2022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.200313+0.41%0.2201+10.33%0.0518✓1.401,2762022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8597+0.41%3.911+1.74%0.0045✗0.581.9M2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.9253+0.41%17.22+8.58%0.0355✓1.412.5M2022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0206+0.41%4.9519-0.96%0.0191✗0.17219k2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.6067+0.41%2.752+6.01%0.0011✓1.75109k2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.13526+0.42%0.1383+2.67%0.0163✗1.2761k2022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.45899+0.42%0.47865+4.72%0.0188✓0.7668k2022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015661+0.42%0.016324+4.67%0.0144✓0.892.1M2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.331995+0.42%0.3403+2.93%0.0106✗1.173.5M2022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4252+0.42%2.47+2.28%0.0087✗0.89110k2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.086514+0.42%0.0866+0.52%0.0404✗1.3629k2022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.9855+0.43%40.54+4.43%0.0023✓1.3781.1M2022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.2658+0.43%30.76+5.56%0.0210✓0.9510.0M2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.156775+0.43%0.164+5.06%0.0078✓1.23107k2022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.066988+0.43%0.0689+3.30%0.0004✓0.94183k2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.8574+0.44%8.972+1.73%0.0294✗1.399.9M2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.785417+0.44%0.848+8.44%0.0401✓1.20225k2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum5656.2473+0.44%61.31+9.48%0.0440✓1.3935k2022-08-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.02501+0.44%0.0252+1.20%0.0093✗0.5540k2022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1179+0.44%1.1532+3.62%0.0024✓1.1111k2022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.8289+0.44%18.43+3.83%0.0065✗1.311.3M2022-08-05
DASHDashDash49.449.6204+0.45%52.4+6.07%0.0212✓1.10574k2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.763+0.46%1.831+4.33%0.0055✗1.43341k2022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.127478+0.46%0.1296+2.13%0.0137✗1.004,7012022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2623+0.46%2.333+3.60%0.0114✗1.39172k2022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1555+0.46%1.196+3.98%0.0026✓1.0543k2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.47370.475932+0.47%0.4918+3.82%0.0048✗1.24808k2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4604+0.47%6.65+3.42%0.0132✗1.391.2M2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.741566+0.48%0.753+2.03%0.0215✗1.21968k2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.4058+0.49%1.432+2.36%0.0202✗1.282.6M2022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration61.1261.4168+0.49%63.5+3.89%0.0022✓1.17379k2022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054528+0.49%0.055256+1.83%0.0043✓0.5825k2022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,616.04+0.49%1,736.79+8.00%0.0333✓1.28407.7M2022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.049341+0.49%0.05101+3.89%0.0064✓0.8915k2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.802941+0.49%0.833+4.26%0.0058✓1.02377k2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.03247+0.50%0.03358+3.93%0.0037✓1.2314k2022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.3034+0.50%1.35+4.09%0.0026✓1.241.1M2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.440997+0.50%0.4587+4.54%0.0055✗1.48278k2022-08-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.0853+0.50%10.44+4.04%0.0011✓1.102.0M2022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7946+0.51%8.9+1.71%0.0029✓0.491.8M2022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.5096+0.51%1.6+6.52%0.0157✓1.40594k2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021238+0.51%0.02241+6.06%0.0229✓1.02159k2022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.253491+0.51%0.2623+4.00%0.0011✓1.16768k2022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26960.5781+0.51%62.05+2.96%0.0013✓0.83321k2022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3355+0.52%1.4417+8.51%0.0312✓1.495.6M2022-08-05
GTGateEthereum4.554.5736+0.52%4.7375+4.12%0.0126✓0.75920k2022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022565+0.52%0.023038+2.63%0.0085✗0.9611k2022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.406442+0.52%0.42676+5.55%0.0127✓1.19107k2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.997644+0.52%1.0756+8.38%0.0359✓1.30532k2022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero159.25160.0883+0.53%161.87+1.65%0.0225✗1.111.2M2022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061925+0.53%0.0624+1.30%0.0357✗1.43350k2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.8502+0.53%3.946+3.03%0.0035✓0.691.5M2022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.730869+0.53%0.758+4.26%0.0082✗1.47121k2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.009048+0.53%0.00904+0.44%0.0397✗1.28387k2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.262+0.54%0.2713+4.11%0.0011✓1.1165k2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.11019+0.54%0.1139+3.92%0.0049✓1.25505k2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.073696+0.54%0.0745+1.64%0.0227✗1.111.1M2022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030545+0.54%0.03111+2.40%0.0212✗1.301,4012022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.4147+0.55%18.43+6.41%0.0147✓1.38116k2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.098034+0.55%0.1005+3.08%0.0117✗1.207,1482022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.7194+0.57%15.3166+4.65%0.0050✓1.1558k2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.227598+0.57%0.2419+6.89%0.0165✓1.4787k2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.048478+0.58%0.0495+2.70%0.0186✗1.307,5232022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.069381+0.58%0.069837+1.24%0.0145✗0.69345k2022-08-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.548567+0.58%0.5836+7.00%0.0274✓1.14333k2022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0399+0.58%1.0748+3.96%0.0018✓1.151.0M2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9823+0.58%4.0794+3.04%0.0088✗1.0945k2022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.418628+0.58%0.438+5.24%0.0054✓1.31127k2022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.8583+0.59%5.02+3.93%0.0115✓0.701.3M2022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.160967+0.60%0.17777+11.11%0.0528✓1.53212k2022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0213+0.61%1.0527+3.70%0.0017✓0.9460k2022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.330992+0.61%0.4379+33.10%0.2457✓1.1377k2022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7446+0.61%2.845+4.29%0.0075✗1.4349k2022-08-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067767+0.61%0.069799+3.63%0.0060✓1.171.7M2022-08-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006184+0.62%0.006334+3.06%0.0018✓0.857,1222022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059672+0.63%0.061+2.87%0.0203✗1.39172k2022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.05404+0.63%0.0559+4.10%0.0050✓1.28284k2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.315401+0.65%0.32566+3.92%0.0021✓1.12396k2022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011927+0.65%0.00001212+2.28%0.0217✗1.25951k2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9824.0081+0.65%4.154+4.32%0.0098✓0.86922k2022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017696+0.66%0.01819+3.47%0.0026✓0.82193k2022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.16532+0.68%0.1787+8.83%0.0402✓1.24518k2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.050210.050563+0.70%0.052815+5.19%0.0073✓1.2035k2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.