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2022-08-03 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1237
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
25.4%
in alpha space · 36.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,822.14-0.01%22,623.94-0.88%0.0001✓1.00427.9M2022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006206-0.03%0.006146-1.00%0.0024✓0.848,9962022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066171-0.04%0.067353+1.74%0.0281✗1.171.7M2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.8182-0.05%64.38+4.09%0.0517✗1.251.5M2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067752-0.07%0.068981+1.74%0.0240✗0.69364k2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061942-0.09%0.0731+17.90%0.1721✗0.74159k2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.5137-0.09%38.82+0.70%0.0200✗1.3781.8M2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008181-0.11%0.00822+0.37%0.0128✗0.901.6M2022-08-04
GTGateEthereum4.50944.5039-0.12%4.55+0.90%0.0168✗0.75920k2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000042388-0.12%0.00004294+1.18%0.0232✗1.161.9M2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.59e-7-0.12%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0086✗0.846.4M2022-08-04
DASHDashDash48.7748.7042-0.13%49.4+1.29%0.0239✗1.10574k2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021266-0.16%0.02113-0.80%0.0026✗1.02159k2022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7857.688-0.16%59.65+3.24%0.0437✗1.1513.7M2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.54442-0.16%0.5454+0.02%0.0118✗1.14335k2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum29.129.0515-0.17%29.14+0.14%0.0114✗0.9510.8M2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009742-0.18%0.00979+0.31%0.0127✗0.885.0M2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.319414-0.18%0.3306+3.31%0.0447✗1.173.5M2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.499932-0.19%0.4997-0.24%0.0102✗1.2041.9M2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero157.11156.7965-0.20%159.25+1.36%0.0253✗1.101.2M2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.1444-0.20%10.359+1.91%0.0329✗1.3514.4M2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,615.51-0.20%1,608.16-0.66%0.0067✗1.28404.0M2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.245592-0.21%0.2485+0.98%0.0226✗1.22110k2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011805-0.21%0.00001185+0.17%0.0148✗1.25986k2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.326007-0.21%0.3361+2.88%0.0404✗1.138.1M2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.393338-0.22%0.40433+2.56%0.0381✗1.19118k2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4556-0.23%1.502+2.95%0.0438✗1.40675k2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.068037-0.24%0.0667-2.20%0.0115✓0.94229k2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.631482-0.24%0.686+8.37%0.0952✗1.4088k2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.134573-0.24%0.1347-0.15%0.0122✗1.2761k2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.1082-0.24%17.32+0.99%0.0244✗1.37116k2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7162-0.24%1.8249+6.07%0.0726✗1.27530k2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.0034-0.25%10.035+0.07%0.0129✗1.102.0M2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045685-0.25%0.0482+5.24%0.0651✗1.309,0132022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058552-0.25%0.0616+4.94%0.0634✗1.43350k2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.113895-0.25%0.113921-0.23%0.0090✗0.997.0M2022-08-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002249-0.25%0.002189-2.93%0.0183✓1.001.5M2022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.473178-0.26%0.5677+19.67%0.1920✗1.1246k2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003133-0.26%0.003069-2.29%0.0118✓0.991.0M2022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.128463-0.26%0.1269-1.48%0.0034✓1.004,9522022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.115692-0.27%0.1168+0.69%0.0190✗1.07370k2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.764939-0.27%0.799+4.17%0.0526✗1.02377k2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.647241-0.27%0.66591+2.61%0.0418✗1.5188k2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.248818-0.27%0.2522+1.08%0.0238✗1.17768k2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.4011-0.27%0.4162+3.48%0.0486✗1.32127k2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.259083-0.28%0.2606+0.31%0.0157✗1.1265k2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0215-0.28%1.0151-0.90%0.0021✓0.9460k2022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.096925-0.28%0.0975+0.31%0.0166✗1.206,5342022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5954-0.28%1.7+6.25%0.0752✗1.32122k2022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9794.6979-0.29%96.34+1.44%0.0318✗1.6610.2M2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.308419-0.29%0.31338+1.32%0.0259✗1.13398k2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.05444-0.29%0.0537-1.65%0.0024✓1.28284k2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.212364-0.30%0.218+2.35%0.0396✗1.51786k2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.170284-0.30%0.1729+1.23%0.0260✗1.223.5M2022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.135-0.31%1.1502+1.03%0.0226✗1.0547k2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.77e-7-0.31%9.50e-7-3.06%0.0191✓1.0025k2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.741686-0.31%0.738-0.81%0.0058✗1.22895k2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.187454-0.31%0.18887+0.44%0.0280✗2.311,1512022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.9676-0.31%23.37+1.43%0.0314✗1.5827.5M2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01514.9993-0.31%5-0.30%0.0017✓0.17219k2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.601685-0.32%0.5965-1.18%0.0014✓1.14690k2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019885-0.32%0.020525+2.89%0.0354✗0.42165k2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.956846-0.33%0.99245+3.38%0.0480✗1.30532k2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.043304-0.34%0.04386+0.94%0.0211✗0.942,3002022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.317227-0.34%0.302-5.12%0.0394✓1.11294k2022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.031164-0.34%0.03231+3.33%0.0470✗1.2314k2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.085809-0.34%0.0854-0.81%0.0054✗1.15128k2022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001083-0.34%0.001089+0.19%0.0163✗1.241.3M2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.404527-0.34%0.41954+3.36%0.0487✗1.38583k2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.2596-0.35%7.364+1.08%0.0253✗1.2518.3M2022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.048172-0.35%0.0491+1.57%0.0269✗0.8915k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.2381-0.35%2.252+0.27%0.0184✗1.38177k2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006674-0.35%0.0067+0.03%0.0084✗0.5239k2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030691-0.36%0.03038-1.36%0.0013✓1.301,3502022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003730.003717-0.36%0.00377+1.07%0.0257✗1.29551k2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.055531-0.36%0.054264-2.63%0.0179✓0.5824k2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004544-0.36%0.00454-0.44%0.0108✗1.31112k2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6623-0.36%2.596-2.84%0.0097✓1.75109k2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.206247-0.36%0.2175+5.07%0.0647✗1.311,6972022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4248-0.37%1.47+2.80%0.0437✗1.411.1M2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.683441-0.37%0.727+5.98%0.0748✗1.47106k2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.154619-0.37%0.1561+0.58%0.0204✗1.23102k2022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.330757-0.37%0.333+0.30%0.0159✗1.041.1M2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077987-0.37%0.07693-1.72%0.0072✓0.731,0202022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.162427-0.38%0.16-1.86%0.0015✓1.53212k2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2542-0.38%1.297+3.02%0.0445✗1.241.2M2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.144241-0.39%0.1392-3.87%0.0272✓0.953.6M2022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8836-0.39%3.9592+1.55%0.0289✗1.0945k2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260182-0.39%0.2611-0.04%0.0036✓0.0129k2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.46630.464446-0.40%0.4737+1.59%0.0307✗1.24892k2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.5638-0.40%14.6359+0.09%0.0151✗1.1563k2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.776-0.41%11.07+2.31%0.0375✗1.20259k2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4038-0.41%6.43+0.00%0.0164✗1.391.2M2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8367-0.42%2.9175+2.42%0.0368✗0.981.2M2022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7915-0.42%1.814+0.83%0.0181✗0.64189k2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8887-0.42%3.982+1.97%0.0313✗0.86922k2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.316865-0.42%0.329+3.39%0.0476✗1.1377k2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9694-0.42%8.092+1.11%0.0261✗1.2211.0M2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.48e-7-0.42%3.56e-7+2.01%0.0329✗0.99170k2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,746.90-0.43%22,495.20-1.53%0.0025✓0.9814k2022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.514796-0.43%0.558+7.93%0.0907✗1.1513k2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.058249-0.43%0.063+7.69%0.0898✗1.28799k2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3531-0.43%1.399+2.94%0.0446✗1.282.5M2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7133.1222-0.43%134.34+0.48%0.0197✗1.204.5M2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7655.5189-0.43%56+0.43%0.0209✗1.3934k2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.951-0.44%2.982+0.61%0.0203✗1.11597k2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.464-0.44%2.415-2.42%0.0122✓0.89110k2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.334385-0.45%0.340211+1.29%0.0285✗1.271.1M2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.087314-0.45%0.08615-1.78%0.0014✓1.3629k2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.1006-0.45%1.1129+0.66%0.0209✗1.1111k2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.841.8316-0.45%2.6+41.30%0.3616✗1.28430k2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9599-0.45%3.83-3.72%0.0272✓0.691.5M2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31160.0361-0.46%60.269-0.07%0.0112✗0.83330k2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.058026-0.47%0.0593+1.72%0.0340✗1.39167k2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022947-0.47%0.022448-2.64%0.0134✓0.9611k2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7964-0.48%3.12+11.03%0.1229✗1.52198k2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017594-0.49%0.01758-0.57%0.0065✗0.82207k2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0781-0.49%1.1273+4.05%0.0568✗1.371.4M2022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.9607-0.49%5.82-2.84%0.0179✓0.68725k2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01781.0128-0.49%1.0339+1.58%0.0308✗1.151.1M2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3275-0.49%1.3286-0.40%0.0141✗1.506.4M2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.8633-0.49%8.819-0.99%0.0073✗1.399.8M2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.117413-0.50%0.1202+1.86%0.0356✗1.372.9M2022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.198901-0.50%0.1995-0.20%0.0154✗1.401,1742022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015706-0.50%0.015595-1.20%0.0008✓0.892.1M2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.5015-0.51%8.75-8.38%0.0781✓0.491.7M2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.437641-0.51%0.4388-0.25%0.0157✗1.48278k2022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.7859-0.52%0.782-1.01%0.0057✗1.20225k2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.740.736148-0.52%0.74+0.00%0.0105✗0.5983k2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6802-0.52%1.755+3.91%0.0562✗1.43341k2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0317-0.53%1.0505+1.28%0.0273✗1.0513k2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008634-0.53%0.009+3.69%0.0528✗1.28375k2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3958-0.53%5.59-13.06%0.1293✓0.611.4M2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.229863-0.54%0.2263-2.08%0.0026✓1.4789k2022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.7233-0.54%3.1854+16.34%0.1706✗1.5612k2022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1642-0.54%2.1899+0.64%0.0225✗1.2032k2022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.8185-0.54%7.98+1.51%0.0313✗1.227.0M2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.110298-0.54%0.1096-1.17%0.0047✓1.25505k2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.049018-0.55%0.05021+1.86%0.0346✗1.2035k2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6801-0.55%2.728+1.22%0.0304✗1.4349k2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7877-0.55%5.54-4.81%0.0385✓0.59873k2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.899977-0.55%0.909+0.44%0.0256✗1.77513k2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.5960.592689-0.56%0.5813-2.47%0.0089✓1.181.5M2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.2471-0.56%3.1416-3.79%0.0263✓0.761.1M2022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.538057-0.56%0.5776+6.75%0.0833✗1.40222k2022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.087512-0.57%0.08541-2.95%0.0220✓0.261.1M2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1185-0.57%1.214+7.91%0.0877✗0.651.8M2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001694-0.58%0.001657-2.76%0.0131✓1.039,4962022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.133016-0.59%0.1447+8.15%0.0938✗1.09779k2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9853-0.59%2.223+11.32%0.1244✗1.27626k2022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.1248-0.60%7.437+3.75%0.0582✗1.7312.2M2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6876-0.60%3.777+1.81%0.0394✗1.745.0M2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.4505-0.61%4.616+3.08%0.0415✗0.561.3M2022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum105.18104.5276-0.62%103.74-1.37%0.0012✓0.994.2M2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1717.0631-0.62%17.75+3.38%0.0510✗1.311.3M2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0242.0113-0.63%1.967-2.82%0.0098✓1.41255k2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.81079-0.64%0.846+3.68%0.0579✗1.744.8M2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.3361-0.64%3.3721+0.43%0.0186✗0.891.3M2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5101-0.65%1.58+3.95%0.0479✗0.30221k2022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.00009932-0.65%0.00009925-0.72%0.0173✗2.04536k2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.085.0468-0.65%4.83-4.92%0.0377✓0.701.3M2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0275-0.66%1.1853+14.60%0.1507✗0.883.9M2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.3311-0.66%15.86-3.53%0.0168✓1.412.3M2022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum35.335.0655-0.66%46.01+30.34%0.2886✗1.92251k2022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.8005-0.67%3.844+0.47%0.0166✗0.591.9M2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.346881-0.67%0.36281+3.89%0.0565✗1.3113k2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041022-0.67%0.0421+1.94%0.0368✗1.2376k2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.8957-0.68%61.12-0.31%0.0141✗1.17379k2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.037236-0.68%0.03497-6.72%0.0501✓1.4413.9M2022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.774679-0.68%0.786+0.77%0.0274✗1.453,6872022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.9467-0.69%5.156+3.51%0.0461✗0.532.2M2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.157697-0.69%0.1642+3.40%0.0514✗1.24508k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1479-0.70%3.09-2.52%0.0142✓0.49102k2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.080643-0.70%0.0809-0.38%0.0163✗1.49786k2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6427.4429-0.71%27.99+1.27%0.0317✗1.36773k2022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.462207-0.74%0.45707-1.84%0.0044✓0.7668k2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0878.0254-0.76%8.092+0.06%0.0175✗1.042.4M2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.8111-0.77%21.62-1.64%0.0013✓0.852.2M2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.076678-0.80%0.0733-5.17%0.0353✓1.11952k2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,637.62-0.82%10,646.82-0.73%0.0135✗1.424.4M2022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.994133-0.85%1.0192+1.65%0.0401✗1.72211k2022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.448-0.89%2.48+0.40%0.0225✗1.08398k2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.7119-0.97%34.8-3.49%0.0134✓1.409.4M2022-08-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.5448-1.73%9.2-14.26%0.1242✓1.38334k2022-08-04
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.9343-2.94%1.918-3.76%0.0089✓1.972.4M2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.