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2022-08-01 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1784
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.2%
in alpha space · 83.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.3352-11.69%1.129-25.33%0.1281✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.797706-7.35%0.673-21.84%0.0874✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,797.44-7.01%9,021.07-22.31%0.0287✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.45374-6.86%0.3717-23.70%0.0824✓0.7863k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.892015-6.60%0.6723-29.60%0.0184✓1.77513k2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0661-6.46%0.9023-20.84%0.0790✗1.65205k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.161123-6.32%0.1395-18.90%0.0423✓1.25491k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.2395-6.30%2.13-10.88%0.1095✗1.07301k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000098258-6.23%0.00022156+111.43%1.1030✗1.94592k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.2673-6.16%1.522-37.00%0.1878✓1.41177k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.6177-6.13%6.047+22.93%0.3520✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4697.1519-6.10%96.47-6.76%0.1442✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2360.3256-6.08%47.42-26.17%0.0639✓1.18354k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.6185-5.99%4.449+15.59%0.2953✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.034616-5.94%0.02026-44.95%0.3083✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.6898-5.92%2.1594-24.47%0.0137✓1.5612k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.140647-5.86%0.2179+45.85%0.6028✗1.11698k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.061015-5.84%0.0503-22.38%0.0214✓1.44154k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8816.8435-5.80%14.14-20.92%0.0261✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6231.6965-5.72%31.03-7.70%0.2688✗1.94229k2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.1409-5.68%2.03-39.04%0.3632✓0.4994k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.347.8668-5.67%6.25-25.06%0.0444✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.3878-5.59%12.5-11.85%0.1415✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.731364-5.57%0.5573-28.04%0.0979✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.054067-5.53%0.043128-24.65%0.1367✓0.6022k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.2905-5.53%5.746-34.53%0.2079✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.4068-5.50%2.959-17.92%0.1171✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03150.974964-5.48%1.1394+10.46%0.3300✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.109958-5.37%0.0899-22.63%0.0075✓1.30472k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.008883-5.30%0.00799-14.82%0.0823✗1.26359k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.787019-5.29%0.475-42.84%0.2831✓1.493,6872022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.076252-5.28%0.06211-22.84%0.0187✓1.50773k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.117079-5.28%0.1026-16.99%0.0740✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9157-5.26%1.65-18.40%0.0414✓1.28637k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.218626-5.23%0.2184-5.33%0.2202✗1.4897k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.674726-5.18%0.55118-22.54%0.0234✓1.5188k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.087641-5.11%0.08149-11.77%0.0364✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.327876-5.10%0.31172-9.77%0.1456✗1.3112k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.8132-5.06%4.79-5.52%0.1010✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.694028-5.06%0.528-27.77%0.0510✓1.4980k2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4427.0032-5.05%19.03-33.09%0.1422✓1.39641k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001612-5.03%0.00156-8.07%0.1199✗1.0211k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6319-5.01%1.275-25.79%0.0305✓1.45327k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.447584-4.97%0.3462-26.50%0.0376✓1.47273k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.048916-4.92%0.043941-14.59%0.0697✗1.1938k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8027-4.90%2.012-31.73%0.1188✓1.4349k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.8037-4.86%6.7+9.84%0.2425✗0.66623k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039299-4.84%0.0349-15.50%0.0644✗1.2371k2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0257-4.84%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2435-4.80%1.1463-12.24%0.1432✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.14e-7-4.77%9.25e-7+181.07%1.2254✗0.96178k2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3657.9687-4.74%6.142-26.58%0.0513✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.2937-4.72%17.27-10.05%0.0711✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01630.968464-4.71%0.77191-24.05%0.0295✓1.32525k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004555-4.70%0.00404-15.48%0.0763✗1.32112k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.956.1693-4.64%47.14-19.97%0.0324✓1.3932k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67657.8697-4.63%51.915-14.44%0.0175✓0.85345k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.400076-4.60%0.33416-20.32%0.0008✓1.21118k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.895646-4.60%0.9535+1.57%0.1962✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.358-4.57%1.205-15.32%0.0701✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.058416-4.55%0.0484-20.92%0.0065✓1.30799k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.030608-4.47%0.03519+9.83%0.3245✗1.2414k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.067349-4.47%0.0622-11.77%0.0810✗1.08567k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87131.7439-4.44%115.16-16.47%0.0432✓1.194.3M2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8066-4.41%1.43-24.34%0.0213✓1.42234k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.049414-4.40%0.04593-11.14%0.0615✗0.9015k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.346889-4.38%0.29809-17.83%0.0420✓1.301.0M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.147389-4.35%0.1324-14.08%0.0403✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014363-4.35%0.013176-12.26%0.0453✗0.881.6M2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.496468-4.34%0.418-19.46%0.0012✓1.1513k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.320459-4.34%0.282-15.82%0.0260✓1.03959k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.1751-4.33%13.005+198.01%1.2231✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.516814-4.31%0.3203-40.70%0.2677✓1.41234k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.759119-4.27%0.663-16.39%0.0486✗1.23218k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4935-4.26%1.52-2.56%0.0499✗0.22268k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0329-4.26%0.8327-22.82%0.0046✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017138-4.26%0.01358-24.13%0.1160✓0.78229k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.475663-4.22%0.439-11.60%0.0869✗1.1247k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.2673-4.21%0.9427-28.75%0.1107✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.239-4.16%4.86-25.35%0.0409✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.837-4.16%2.728-7.84%0.1277✗1.12619k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.6129-4.14%19.13-18.91%0.0709✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2510.7854-4.13%10.1-10.22%0.1156✗1.21243k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.5772-4.12%32.41-7.45%0.1751✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.747904-4.11%0.73-6.41%0.0660✗0.6179k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.198558-4.08%0.1824-11.88%0.1234✗1.401,1792022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9426-4.07%2.072+2.32%0.2543✗1.27415k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.3752-4.05%4.761-28.34%0.0337✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.158051-4.04%0.1445-12.26%0.0957✗1.2494k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.252486-4.03%0.2112-19.73%0.0048✓1.23101k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.251247-4.03%0.247-5.65%0.0154✓0.0128k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1511-4.00%0.89656-25.23%0.0860✓1.1010k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.202185-4.00%0.1531-27.30%0.0754✓1.361,6972022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019204-3.97%0.030314+51.59%0.5333✗0.51165k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.620447-3.96%0.515-20.28%0.0231✓1.4088k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.115929-3.95%0.1033-14.42%0.0444✗1.07352k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.364-3.94%1.0347-27.13%0.0617✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.2727-3.94%5.61-14.09%0.0193✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.396541-3.94%0.31794-22.98%0.0129✓1.39583k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.1791-3.93%1.7939-20.91%0.0103✓1.2329k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.00313-3.86%0.002994-8.05%0.1074✗1.021.0M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.7829-3.84%4.337+10.24%0.2439✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8327-3.82%7.8611+166.92%1.1362✗0.77978k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.061669-3.79%0.1161+81.12%0.7537✗0.81155k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.7529-3.74%2.15-24.83%0.0206✓1.52192k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.444136-3.72%0.365-20.88%0.0104✓1.25778k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.082611-3.72%0.0595-30.65%0.1525✓1.18137k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.7336-3.70%2.922-24.63%0.1132✓0.88754k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.2977-3.69%0.35+13.22%0.3362✗1.17398k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.4883-3.67%8.84-10.25%0.0074✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.02276-3.65%0.02152-8.89%0.0897✗0.989,6292022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.3464-3.64%3.743+53.72%0.6041✗0.92105k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.330013-3.62%0.2885-15.74%0.0356✓1.147.7M2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.044527-3.58%0.03845-16.74%0.0034✓0.962,3002022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0416-3.56%0.91-15.74%0.0305✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6043-3.54%6.4+10.15%0.2238✗0.61732k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.312373-3.53%0.3041-6.08%0.1440✗1.1576k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.159577-3.53%0.13698-17.19%0.0775✗1.54212k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001058-3.49%0.001342+22.42%0.4295✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.6059-3.49%12.38-18.20%0.0101✓1.1868k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.185785-3.49%0.15568-19.13%0.1685✗2.311,2222022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.7214-3.48%7.66-4.25%0.1960✗1.37263k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.187.8955-3.48%7.033-14.02%0.0693✗1.2410.0M2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7327-3.47%1.818+1.28%0.1434✗0.64189k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7004-3.45%4.0516+44.87%0.5514✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.267453-3.45%0.2447-11.66%0.0717✗1.0867k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.058132-3.43%0.0577-4.15%0.2018✗1.40339k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003622-3.42%0.00335-10.67%0.1171✗1.31559k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.1731-3.41%6.6294+101.80%0.8700✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.0441-3.41%11.825+13.71%0.3682✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.295509-3.40%0.2325-23.99%0.0721✓1.12300k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.171569-3.40%0.1276-28.15%0.1087✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.3212-3.34%6.628-12.49%0.0891✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.5545-3.33%15.53-14.48%0.0819✗1.37116k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000043665-3.27%0.00004452-1.37%0.1925✗1.161.9M2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.4817-3.25%1.915-25.34%0.0025✓1.7595k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0119-3.24%3.149-24.05%0.0790✓1.0939k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2057-3.23%1.0708-14.06%0.0399✗1.0643k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.139187-3.21%0.1236-14.05%0.0728✗1.2859k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7615-3.21%1.5108-16.98%0.0348✗1.26492k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.644-3.20%9.001-9.66%0.0927✗1.082.1M2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.5783-3.17%1.31-19.63%0.0182✓1.37114k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.600084-3.15%0.5054-18.43%0.0006✓1.16642k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5251-3.15%1.7276+9.71%0.3389✗1.44589k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.046788-3.13%0.0357-26.09%0.0699✓1.347,6872022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006445-3.08%0.006495-2.33%0.0881✗0.5438k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.31e-7-3.04%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0816✗1.0025k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6740.4067-3.03%31.5-24.41%0.0462✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.051624-2.96%0.044-17.29%0.0268✓1.25269k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.076666-2.93%0.06618-16.21%0.0380✓0.731,1722022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.498195-2.85%0.4458-13.07%0.0754✗1.2541.9M2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.750112-2.84%0.663-14.12%0.0238✓0.99377k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.081815-2.82%0.07274-13.60%0.0829✗1.3429k2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.326542-2.81%0.2809-16.40%0.0260✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5893.9011-2.77%84.85-12.15%0.1466✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002363-2.73%0.001503-38.12%0.3032✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,586.57-2.71%1,554.00-4.71%0.1666✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4757.8775-2.68%53.84-9.47%0.1002✗1.1613.6M2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.21541-2.53%0.168-23.98%0.0226✓1.51821k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7529.9748-2.52%26.73-13.07%0.0275✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.122428-2.45%0.1003-20.08%0.0517✓0.994,9522022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.709486-2.41%1.078+48.28%0.5994✗1.21806k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029298-2.37%0.02455-18.19%0.0180✓1.311,2932022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.115543-2.33%0.104365-11.78%0.0467✗0.996.8M2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.259589-2.30%0.2291-13.77%0.0434✗1.13768k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.092925-2.29%0.0821-13.67%0.0559✗1.216,7862022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.067243-2.15%0.061277-10.83%0.0784✗1.151.7M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.50e-7-2.09%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0477✗0.836.4M2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8761.5651-2.08%59.88-4.76%0.1590✗1.251.5M2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01850.998419-1.97%0.894603-12.16%0.0333✗0.9660k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.415601-1.96%0.3513-17.13%0.0301✗1.33127k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7548.7821-1.95%44.55-10.45%0.0743✗1.11574k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.546995-1.87%0.4594-17.58%0.0045✓1.14341k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.3341-1.86%4.3008-2.62%0.1011✗0.73916k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,742.72-1.86%19,990.40-13.73%0.0173✓0.9814k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011754-1.80%0.00001208+0.92%0.2113✗1.23986k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69157.8719-1.75%149.22-7.14%0.1094✗1.111.3M2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1033-1.67%5.8014+11.78%0.1594✗0.21210k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010057-1.50%0.00858-15.96%0.0149✓0.974.7M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.068979-1.42%0.063428-9.35%0.0321✗0.78373k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021281-1.30%0.02304+6.86%0.2334✗1.03159k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066627-1.15%0.0574-14.84%0.0061✓0.96229k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008326-1.12%0.00619-26.48%0.1601✓0.911.6M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,292.50+0.08%20,048.26-13.86%0.0008✓1.00414.2M2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006339+0.29%0.005668-10.32%0.0224✓0.909,1592022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.