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2022-07-31 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2921
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
34.2%
in alpha space · 80.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006345+0.97%0.005787-7.90%0.0537✓0.909,1592022-08-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4423,353.64+0.20%19,813.17-14.99%0.0020✗1.00414.2M2022-08-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.066287-0.92%0.0579-13.45%0.0204✗0.96229k2022-08-30
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.068257-0.98%0.064705-6.13%0.0717✗0.77373k2022-08-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.02098-1.08%0.02405+13.39%0.3045✗1.03159k2022-08-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.00899-1.21%0.0062-31.87%0.2227✓0.921.6M2022-08-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01034.9446-1.31%5.3918+7.61%0.1208✗0.21210k2022-08-30
XMRMoneroMonero155.01152.9397-1.34%148.87-3.96%0.1525✗1.101.3M2022-08-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011562-1.35%0.00001218+3.92%0.2522✗1.23951k2022-08-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,061.38-1.45%19,869.30-15.09%0.0104✓0.9814k2022-08-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.553874-1.57%0.4471-20.54%0.0293✓1.14350k2022-08-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010136-1.69%0.00864-16.20%0.0030✓0.964.7M2022-08-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.411536-1.71%0.3561-14.95%0.0710✗1.33112k2022-08-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.300417-1.79%0.3098+1.27%0.2149✗1.1375k2022-08-30
GTGateEthereum4.45154.3687-1.86%4.2549-4.42%0.0917✗0.73920k2022-08-30
NANOnanopayBase1.01360.994734-1.86%0.900508-11.16%0.0564✗0.9658k2022-08-30
HIVEHivenative0.53010.520019-1.90%0.5489+3.55%0.2420✗1.161.4M2022-08-30
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.251392-1.92%0.226-11.82%0.0776✗1.13701k2022-08-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.06682-1.94%0.06142-9.86%0.1020✗1.151.7M2022-08-30
DASHDashDash51.1750.1543-1.98%45.51-11.06%0.0825✗1.11574k2022-08-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.115176-2.08%0.102411-12.93%0.0439✗0.996.8M2022-08-30
ZECZcashZcash64.3963.0431-2.09%59.87-7.02%0.1519✗1.251.5M2022-08-30
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.59e-7-2.12%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0485✗0.836.1M2022-08-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.209414-2.14%0.169-21.03%0.0312✗1.51803k2022-08-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.694707-2.15%1.019+43.52%0.5810✗1.22776k2022-08-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.029879-2.23%0.02474-19.04%0.0235✗1.311,3342022-08-30
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.7098-2.24%26.6-12.47%0.0443✗0.9510.2M2022-08-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.310358-2.25%0.2879-9.32%0.1174✗1.193.0M2022-08-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.132414-2.35%0.1227-9.51%0.1320✗1.2855k2022-08-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.1502-2.41%1.0458-11.26%0.0774✗1.0643k2022-08-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.094358-2.42%0.0815-15.72%0.0493✗1.216,7862022-08-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.125243-2.46%0.097-24.45%0.0948✓0.995,2722022-08-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7658.2308-2.56%53.01-11.30%0.0937✗1.1613.5M2022-08-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.742268-2.59%0.652-14.44%0.0303✗0.98360k2022-08-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.081401-2.63%0.07109-14.96%0.0828✗1.3429k2022-08-30
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6395.0409-2.65%84.38-13.57%0.1509✗1.6610.2M2022-08-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.00243-2.70%0.001548-38.01%0.2884✓1.001.9M2022-08-30
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.6938-2.70%1.4973-13.99%0.0813✗1.26492k2022-08-30
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.502258-2.76%0.453-12.29%0.0996✗1.2541.9M2022-08-30
STXStacksnative0.43890.426749-2.77%0.3613-17.68%0.0355✗1.24643k2022-08-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,632.44-2.79%1,524.81-9.20%0.1359✗1.26387.0M2022-08-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.255876-2.82%0.2442-7.25%0.1280✗1.0865k2022-08-30
XECeCashnative0.000043840.0000426-2.83%0.00004589+4.68%0.2624✗1.161.9M2022-08-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.4983-2.85%1.7301+12.18%0.3791✗1.45589k2022-08-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.074.9203-2.95%6.03+18.93%0.3024✗0.61668k2022-08-30
SOLSolanaSolana42.3841.1144-2.99%31.48-25.72%0.0463✓1.3681.1M2022-08-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006567-3.00%0.006537-3.44%0.0830✗0.5439k2022-08-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.052562-3.02%0.0429-20.85%0.0007✓1.25269k2022-08-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9860.956009-3.04%0.994+0.81%0.1526✗0.701.3M2022-08-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.046535-3.05%0.036-25.00%0.0401✓1.337,5232022-08-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.7382-3.05%1.823+1.67%0.1514✗0.64206k2022-08-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.146163-3.08%0.1464-2.92%0.2031✗1.2490k2022-08-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.40e-7-3.08%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0963✗1.0024k2022-08-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.118143-3.08%0.1967+61.36%0.6884✗1.10685k2022-08-30
XVGVergenative0.003710.003595-3.09%0.00292-21.29%0.0040✓1.31570k2022-08-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.6393-3.09%3.8429+41.10%0.5343✗0.981.0M2022-08-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.059.7383-3.10%8.973-10.72%0.0941✗1.082.4M2022-08-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.3724-3.11%12.3167-16.97%0.0367✗1.1870k2022-08-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.042816-3.11%0.03799-14.03%0.0364✗0.962,3002022-08-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001053-3.14%0.001348+24.02%0.4557✗1.281.5M2022-08-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.60516-3.14%0.5123-18.01%0.0209✓1.15624k2022-08-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.06893.9408-3.15%3.1158-23.42%0.0572✓1.0934k2022-08-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.078344-3.17%0.06652-17.79%0.0447✓0.731,0512022-08-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.167698-3.18%0.1276-26.33%0.0694✓1.263.4M2022-08-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.284547-3.22%0.2461-16.29%0.0378✗1.13303k2022-08-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.2896-3.23%3.795+60.40%0.6545✗0.92105k2022-08-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.4122-3.24%6.558-14.39%0.0827✗1.2616.2M2022-08-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35710.0218-3.24%11.928+15.17%0.3970✗1.3714.4M2022-08-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.5125-3.25%1.89-27.22%0.0003✓1.7592k2022-08-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03972.94-3.28%5.6189+84.85%0.7927✗0.891.2M2022-08-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003026-3.29%0.002993-4.35%0.1533✗1.01999k2022-08-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.241643-3.30%0.2089-16.41%0.0538✗1.2399k2022-08-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.160539-3.32%0.1352-18.58%0.0790✗1.54207k2022-08-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.324905-3.33%0.2917-13.21%0.0755✗1.137.7M2022-08-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.5094-3.35%7.98+2.70%0.2822✗1.36256k2022-08-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.060761-3.40%0.0576-8.43%0.1737✗1.40339k2022-08-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.593112-3.40%0.515-16.12%0.0862✗1.4086k2022-08-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.6808-3.42%3.133-17.79%0.0168✓0.89754k2022-08-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.6802-3.42%6.0023+116.28%0.9320✗0.77978k2022-08-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.029243-3.46%0.03529+16.51%0.3891✗1.2414k2022-08-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.069084-3.51%0.1115+55.73%0.6124✗0.82148k2022-08-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.138634-3.53%0.1325-7.79%0.1149✗0.993.5M2022-08-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.1185-3.54%1.8168-17.27%0.0468✗1.2326k2022-08-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.021813-3.54%0.021461-5.10%0.1422✗0.989,2332022-08-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.18.7762-3.56%8.31-8.68%0.0307✓0.531.4M2022-08-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.18729-3.57%0.15379-20.82%0.1789✗2.311,2222022-08-30
FLOWFlownative1.9241.8552-3.57%2.012+4.57%0.2876✗1.27415k2022-08-30
PROPropyEthereum0.760.732767-3.58%0.74-2.63%0.1079✗0.6079k2022-08-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.301466-3.59%0.34582+10.60%0.3270✗1.17398k2022-08-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.5735-3.68%4.099+10.49%0.2544✗0.721.3M2022-08-30
ZENHorizenBase18.9518.2454-3.72%15.8-16.62%0.0785✗1.37116k2022-08-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6266-3.75%1.32-21.89%0.0137✓1.37114k2022-08-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.7618-3.77%2.775-3.31%0.1858✗1.11619k2022-08-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.0379-3.81%12.481+197.31%1.2235✗0.581.2M2022-08-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.054811-3.84%0.0507-11.05%0.1546✗1.43152k2022-08-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.085005-3.84%0.0625-29.30%0.1165✓1.18146k2022-08-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.199018-3.86%0.1811-12.51%0.1325✗1.401,1792022-08-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.0771-3.86%0.88331-21.16%0.0203✓1.1010k2022-08-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.5259-3.90%5.19-9.74%0.0370✓0.611.1M2022-08-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.3836-3.92%1.0506-27.04%0.0417✓1.441.1M2022-08-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.250958-3.92%0.2608-0.15%0.0403✗0.0128k2022-08-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.115936-3.95%0.1027-14.91%0.0514✗1.06352k2022-08-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.2919-3.95%7.008-18.82%0.0332✓1.249.4M2022-08-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.2562-3.96%0.9513-27.27%0.0765✓1.241.2M2022-08-30
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.1267-3.97%4.86-23.82%0.0045✓1.401.0M2022-08-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.4788-3.98%1.61+4.55%0.1203✗0.22268k2022-08-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.05636-3.99%0.0484-17.55%0.0594✗1.30787k2022-08-30
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0454.7541-4.01%47-17.60%0.0732✗1.3932k2022-08-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.03705-4.01%0.0353-8.55%0.1492✗1.2268k2022-08-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7522.7917-4.03%19.38-18.40%0.0968✗1.5927.5M2022-08-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004376-4.04%0.00402-11.84%0.1285✗1.31112k2022-08-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.065056-4.05%0.0617-9.00%0.1215✗1.07432k2022-08-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.384359-4.07%0.33647-16.02%0.0634✗1.21113k2022-08-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.741458-4.08%0.671-13.20%0.1003✗1.23212k2022-08-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.020508-4.08%0.022785+6.57%0.1891✗0.52167k2022-08-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.455-4.13%4.809-28.58%0.0127✓1.7310.6M2022-08-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.0373-4.15%0.8324-23.08%0.0088✓1.411.4M2022-08-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.408909-4.16%0.31982-25.04%0.0197✓1.39592k2022-08-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.017638-4.19%0.01422-22.76%0.0917✓0.76248k2022-08-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5211.0319-4.24%10.09-12.41%0.1079✗1.21241k2022-08-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.656179-4.27%0.5402-21.19%0.0511✗1.5188k2022-08-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.321-4.27%1.188-13.91%0.1010✗1.282.4M2022-08-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.48282-4.28%0.4301-14.73%0.0664✗1.1245k2022-08-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37133.3929-4.29%114.69-17.71%0.0424✓1.194.2M2022-08-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.046951-4.30%0.04661-4.99%0.1386✗0.9015k2022-08-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.934177-4.33%0.77064-21.08%0.0222✓1.32487k2022-08-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.4309-4.39%6.14+8.10%0.2299✗0.66588k2022-08-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3725.2039-4.42%22.31-15.40%0.1041✗1.39585k2022-08-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.880379-4.43%0.9633+4.57%0.2352✗0.893.2M2022-08-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07921.0309-4.47%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.504387-4.47%0.425-19.51%0.0150✓1.1513k2022-08-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.534.8631-4.48%32.31-11.48%0.1534✗1.415.4M2022-08-30
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3277.953-4.49%6.174-25.86%0.0257✓1.408.2M2022-08-30
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.047158-4.55%0.043415-12.13%0.1102✗1.1938k2022-08-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17958.3905-4.56%51.582-15.69%0.0134✓0.85369k2022-08-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.308413-4.57%0.29332-9.24%0.1629✗1.3111k2022-08-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.10455-4.61%0.0889-18.89%0.0485✗1.30472k2022-08-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.538859-4.63%0.3252-42.44%0.2771✓1.40234k2022-08-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.6029-4.65%1.233-26.65%0.0270✓1.45327k2022-08-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.883519-4.65%0.9192-0.80%0.3058✗1.64202k2022-08-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.216404-4.67%0.1487-34.49%0.1534✓1.371,6972022-08-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.0502-4.68%2.07-35.31%0.1412✓1.52192k2022-08-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.8882-4.69%1.43-27.81%0.0466✓1.42234k2022-08-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.8567-4.69%1.632-16.22%0.0772✗1.27637k2022-08-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.256-4.70%1.0635-19.30%0.0774✗1.505.6M2022-08-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.015199-4.73%0.013148-17.59%0.0013✓0.881.2M2022-08-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.441847-4.77%0.3341-28.00%0.0409✓1.47273k2022-08-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.091552-4.88%0.08237-14.42%0.0673✓0.241.1M2022-08-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.946177-4.90%1.1881+19.42%0.4172✗1.171.2M2022-08-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.25e-7-4.90%0.000001089+218.95%1.3649✗0.95178k2022-08-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.7305-4.96%2.049-28.68%0.0561✓1.4247k2022-08-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.325-4.97%0.284-16.96%0.0329✓1.03794k2022-08-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.831491-4.97%0.497-43.20%0.2729✓1.493,1392022-08-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.3845-5.01%2.977-16.45%0.1524✗1.735.0M2022-08-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.5497-5.02%4.47-6.68%0.0975✗0.711.1M2022-08-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.009111-5.10%0.00806-16.04%0.0826✗1.26355k2022-08-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.221976-5.10%0.2211-5.47%0.2369✗1.4897k2022-08-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.367973-5.26%0.298969-23.03%0.0036✓1.301.0M2022-08-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3313.5667-5.33%12.2-14.86%0.1248✗1.421.7M2022-08-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.054008-5.36%0.042966-24.71%0.1313✓0.6022k2022-08-30
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.365085-5.37%–pending––0.941922022-08-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.001657-5.37%0.001486-15.13%0.0569✗1.0216k2022-08-30
METISMetisEthereum34.6132.7497-5.37%31.05-10.29%0.2615✗1.94229k2022-08-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0719.919-5.46%17.33-17.75%0.0014✓0.872.2M2022-08-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.121001-5.47%0.103-19.53%0.0623✗1.382.6M2022-08-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.755999-5.50%0.519-35.13%0.1339✓1.4980k2022-08-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0617.0362-5.67%13.86-23.26%0.0128✓1.351.3M2022-08-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.4682-5.73%4.11+11.72%0.2663✗0.591.6M2022-08-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.4409-5.76%2.06-20.46%0.0045✓1.07258k2022-08-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.032256-5.77%0.02038-40.46%0.2114✓1.5311.5M2022-08-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16882.9811-5.92%2.0768-34.46%0.1076✓1.5611k2022-08-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.4387-5.96%5.751+21.84%0.3486✗0.552.0M2022-08-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000092212-5.97%0.00015837+61.49%0.8531✗1.92592k2022-08-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.078981-6.00%0.06327-24.70%0.0217✓1.50768k2022-08-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.859.9661-6.01%47.47-25.60%0.0413✓1.18303k2022-08-30
QNTQuantEthereum102.6196.4359-6.02%95.63-6.80%0.1564✗1.014.2M2022-08-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.1816-6.15%2.07-38.94%0.3500✓0.4981k2022-08-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.4196-6.22%6.257-30.31%0.0946✓1.256.5M2022-08-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.3456-6.29%1.556-37.83%0.1810✓1.41172k2022-08-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.156768-6.35%0.1389-17.03%0.0816✗1.25475k2022-08-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.9010,164.31-6.44%8,874.58-18.31%0.0902✗1.394.1M2022-08-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.892806-6.51%0.6566-31.25%0.0201✓1.77513k2022-08-30
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.431893-6.52%0.37644-18.52%0.0103✓0.7863k2022-08-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7899.0854-7.19%5.711-41.66%0.2914✓1.062.3M2022-08-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.797904-7.33%0.669-22.30%0.1038✗1.725.2M2022-08-30
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.3742-13.19%1.083-31.59%0.0842✓1.981.3M2022-08-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.