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2022-07-30 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2321
185 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.4%
in alpha space · 21.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.809955-3.58%0.525-37.50%0.2051✓1.493,1392022-08-29
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.7502-3.25%1.174-35.10%0.0968✓1.971.3M2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.559946-1.94%0.3367-41.03%0.2931✓1.40234k2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002319-0.96%0.001636-30.15%0.1957✓1.001.8M2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum34.4934.2149-0.80%32.49-5.80%0.2479✗1.95213k2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.5172+0.47%1.44-4.64%0.0186✗0.22268k2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2011,845.34+0.62%9,081.72-22.85%0.0529✗1.394.0M2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.683719+1.08%0.55401-18.10%0.0216✓1.5181k2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4840.054+1.45%33.55-15.02%0.0387✓1.412.8M2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum106.35107.9348+1.49%101.16-4.88%0.0904✓1.014.2M2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.933+1.74%6.339-27.80%0.1288✗1.407.7M2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.991354+1.75%0.7824-19.70%0.0142✓1.64202k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.79e-7+1.98%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0468✓1.0024k2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.722+2.06%3.47-4.85%0.1948✓1.734.3M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0332.7021+2.10%35+9.27%0.2795✓1.38563k2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.034047+2.58%0.02267-31.70%0.1726✗1.5311.5M2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.9291+2.84%10.28-11.38%0.0372✓1.21241k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1917.7001+2.97%17.22+0.17%0.1071✓0.882.2M2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.044322+3.03%0.03792-11.85%0.0082✓0.961,9372022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.068.3179+3.20%7.74-3.97%0.1367✓1.36256k2022-08-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.449734+3.34%–pending––0.902142022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.007217+3.51%0.006696-3.96%0.0077✓0.5439k2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.093768+3.52%0.08429-6.94%0.0645✗0.27985k2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.27053+3.57%0.2615+0.11%0.0322✓0.0129k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.447343+3.58%0.33586-22.23%0.0731✗1.39583k2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7615.2924+3.61%12.6-14.63%0.0248✓1.421.7M2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.7218+3.61%1.955-25.58%0.0616✗1.7692k2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52750.54667+3.63%0.5461+3.53%0.1767✓1.161.4M2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.016182+3.65%0.013701-12.25%0.0307✓0.881.2M2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.4133+3.66%1.615-30.63%0.1845✗1.42169k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.4087+3.68%1.0799-20.51%0.0357✓1.506.4M2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3195.5212+3.80%6.102+14.72%0.1837✓0.552.0M2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.227023+3.85%0.1725-21.09%0.0611✗1.391,0652022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.526553+3.86%0.4238-16.41%0.0450✗1.1245k2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.9312.0063+3.90%1.729-10.46%0.0460✓1.27637k2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.010678+3.97%0.00853-16.94%0.0314✓1.26355k2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.088338+4.00%0.06651-21.70%0.0540✗1.50768k2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,766.91+4.06%1,551.65-8.62%0.0630✓1.26387.0M2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.5085+4.09%2.13-11.62%0.0019✓1.08207k2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7111.1528+4.13%11.438+6.80%0.2355✓1.3715.0M2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000102196+4.15%0.0001317+34.22%0.5510✓1.94635k2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001712+4.16%0.001529-7.00%0.0439✓1.0216k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.8957+4.16%1.768-2.86%0.0277✓0.64219k2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.309274+4.17%0.2566-13.57%0.0129✓1.13309k2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.9761.0168+4.18%0.6813-30.19%0.1295✗1.77513k2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08973.2233+4.32%5.7778+87.00%0.7204✓0.891.1M2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.1594+4.34%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2025,684.73+4.37%20,303.80-17.49%0.0848✗0.9817k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.9906+4.38%4.983-25.59%0.0726✗1.7311.0M2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9662.0526+4.40%1.495-23.96%0.0984✗1.42234k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2699.4648+4.41%85.76-9.97%0.1069✓1.6610.0M2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2360.8018+4.42%48.57-16.59%0.0113✓1.3932k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.085337+4.52%0.07284-10.79%0.0480✓1.3528k2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.8427+4.52%5.31-5.01%0.0011✓0.62956k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration63.165.982+4.57%50.12-20.57%0.0931✗1.19257k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47152.115+4.57%119.61-17.78%0.0579✗1.193.9M2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.3583+4.60%1.8412-18.34%0.0583✗1.2324k2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2525.3703+4.62%19.33-20.29%0.0272✓1.6027.5M2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1324,747.58+4.64%20,286.97-14.22%0.0454✓1.00427.9M2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.8789+4.67%1.263-29.64%0.1755✗1.45316k2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.52876+4.70%0.441-12.67%0.0050✓1.1513k2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.4415+4.75%12.777+201.34%1.1467✓0.591.3M2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.354133+4.77%0.2981-11.80%0.0011✓1.137.7M2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum6.767.0834+4.78%5.12-24.26%0.1107✗1.391.0M2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.040342+4.78%0.0365-5.19%0.0866✓1.2268k2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4763.3699+4.80%55.79-7.74%0.0499✓1.1613.5M2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.996538+4.84%0.9656+1.59%0.1055✓0.893.6M2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.7196+4.86%1.33-18.90%0.0467✓1.37114k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum31.1132.6248+4.87%27.34-12.12%0.0306✓0.9510.8M2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.093682+4.91%0.0637-28.67%0.2054✗1.18155k2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.226605+4.91%0.174-19.44%0.0323✓1.51786k2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009456+4.95%0.00649-27.97%0.2358✗0.921.6M2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.552975+4.99%0.4505-14.47%0.0135✓1.2543.2M2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.620931+4.99%0.523-11.57%0.0059✓1.16624k2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana43.8446.0333+5.00%32.41-26.07%0.1428✗1.3681.8M2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.073063+5.01%0.063828-8.26%0.0406✓1.151.7M2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.010093+5.03%0.00891-7.28%0.0237✓0.974.7M2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.928497+5.03%0.684-22.62%0.0416✓1.725.2M2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.5404+5.07%3.1823-26.36%0.1882✗1.0933k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.153115+5.09%0.1306-10.36%0.0081✓0.983.5M2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.9756+5.09%6.0774+114.64%0.8329✓0.77978k2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.179836+5.17%0.1311-23.33%0.1236✗1.263.1M2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.2488+5.20%0.8693-26.76%0.1467✗1.401.4M2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003339+5.25%0.003238+2.08%0.1246✓1.01999k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.256311+5.26%0.2102-13.68%0.0096✓1.23101k2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.241376+5.27%0.164-28.48%0.1769✗1.371,5612022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6865.9933+5.29%54.194-13.54%0.0674✗0.84386k2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.2025+5.30%1.0621-6.99%0.0391✓1.0643k2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.1152+5.31%0.946-10.67%0.0579✗0.691.3M2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004603+5.32%0.00407-6.86%0.0789✓1.32103k2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.082168+5.34%0.1032+32.31%0.3544✓0.82148k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.061739+5.36%0.0491-16.21%0.0293✓1.30787k2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001156+5.40%0.001401+27.70%0.3888✓1.281.5M2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.863.0145+5.40%2.15-24.83%0.1042✗1.52192k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8238.2465+5.41%6.7-14.36%0.0141✓1.2616.2M2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.115846+5.51%0.0924-15.85%0.0271✓1.30491k2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.1073+5.51%0.87542-16.59%0.0663✗1.109,9742022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.031422+5.51%0.03677+23.47%0.3474✓1.2414k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.333986+5.52%0.291-8.06%0.0441✓1.192.9M2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006489+5.53%0.005874-4.47%0.0383✓0.909,1592022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.7218.7085+5.58%16.44-7.22%0.0814✓1.37108k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.134205+5.59%0.101-20.54%0.1323✗0.995,2722022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.159.662+5.60%8.46-7.54%0.0522✓0.531.2M2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.7837+5.60%4.53+0.00%0.0547✓0.71912k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.126378+5.61%0.105918-11.49%0.0243✓0.996.8M2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000044180.00004666+5.61%0.00004993+13.01%0.2452✓1.161.9M2022-08-29
DASHDashDash50.7153.5699+5.64%47.46-6.41%0.0487✓1.11574k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00881.066+5.66%0.79536-21.16%0.0905✗1.32431k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.335782+5.67%0.30106-5.25%0.0922✓1.3111k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.1368.8639+5.73%63.75-2.12%0.1152✓1.251.5M2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.326801+5.76%0.283-8.41%0.0156✓1.04766k2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.5759+5.77%1.1021-26.03%0.1373✗1.441.1M2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero155.85164.877+5.79%152.71-2.01%0.0925✓1.101.3M2022-08-29
SGBSongbirdnative0.02580.027297+5.80%0.025-3.10%0.0089✓0.5143k2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.061197+5.81%0.044446-23.15%0.2278✗0.6022k2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.9678+5.84%4.266+13.79%0.1635✓0.591.5M2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003630.003842+5.84%0.00301-17.08%0.0438✓1.31566k2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.9679+5.85%2.089-25.50%0.1328✗1.4243k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.485604+5.87%0.3499-23.72%0.1021✗1.47242k2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.073089+5.87%0.063437-8.11%0.0236✓0.77376k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.60354+5.88%0.4607-19.18%0.0955✗1.14350k2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.6955+5.89%7.276-11.40%0.0125✓1.249.4M2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.963.1347+5.90%2.856-3.51%0.0776✓1.11619k2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.139702+5.91%0.1063-19.41%0.0625✗1.372.5M2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.035.3282+5.93%6.29+25.05%0.2598✓0.61605k2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.7868+5.93%9.1-10.64%0.0038✓1.082.6M2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.3794+5.94%2.24-29.78%0.3347✗0.5077k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.8755+5.96%3.8811+43.02%0.4498✓0.981.0M2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.031529+5.98%0.02554-14.15%0.0095✓1.311,3342022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.429797+5.98%0.3476-14.29%0.0269✓1.21118k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.750.795169+6.02%0.74-1.33%0.0210✓0.6179k2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.97e-7+6.04%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0144✓0.836.0M2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700815.5886+6.04%12.6602-13.88%0.0274✓1.1870k2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.04793+6.04%0.0373-17.48%0.0453✓1.347,5232022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.841057+6.06%0.698-11.98%0.0026✓1.23210k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.6167+6.07%4.203+70.37%0.6149✓0.92105k2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1220.2807+6.07%13.83-27.67%0.1766✗1.341.3M2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.812685+6.09%0.672-12.27%0.0388✓0.99360k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.768143+6.10%0.989+36.60%0.4395✓1.22776k2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.022161+6.16%0.023085+10.58%0.1201✓0.52167k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.85138+6.16%0.553-31.05%0.2026✗1.4980k2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.204188+6.16%0.15839-17.65%0.1017✓2.321,1512022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.988+6.17%6.38+13.12%0.1650✓0.66554k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.056803+6.17%0.0441-17.57%0.0602✗1.26263k2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.050177+6.20%0.04816+1.93%0.0972✓0.9015k2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.02284+6.23%0.02336+8.65%0.1810✓1.03149k2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.12532+6.29%0.1045-11.37%0.0186✓1.06337k2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.9317+6.30%1.5357-15.49%0.0367✓1.26492k2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.83e-7+6.32%8.65e-7+140.30%0.9611✓0.95188k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.3743+6.39%5.2836+4.59%0.0154✓0.21210k2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2788.8074+6.40%6.682-19.28%0.0843✗1.255.9M2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.667738+6.50%0.527-15.95%0.0221✓1.4086k2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.425+6.50%0.987-26.23%0.1770✗1.241.2M2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.273387+6.58%0.2484-3.16%0.0694✓1.0863k2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7914.0408+6.59%3.276-13.58%0.0735✗0.89754k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.157552+6.60%0.148+0.14%0.1280✓1.2488k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.9299+6.67%4.177+13.38%0.1718✓0.721.1M2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0348.5702+6.67%6.015-25.13%0.1891✗1.082.3M2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.492366+6.71%0.3855-16.45%0.1245✗0.7857k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.4706+6.72%1.189-13.72%0.0168✓1.282.4M2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.06845+6.79%0.0576-10.14%0.0418✓1.40339k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.44444.7468+6.80%4.397-1.07%0.0351✓0.73947k2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.372776+6.89%0.305285-12.47%0.0009✓1.311.0M2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.268547+6.91%0.2257-10.15%0.0001✓1.13681k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.343749+6.92%0.36085+12.24%0.2277✓1.17400k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.019972+6.98%0.0151-19.12%0.1632✗0.76254k2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8163.0129+6.99%2.1453-23.82%0.0988✗1.5711k2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.461348+6.99%0.3664-15.03%0.0268✓1.33104k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.077072+7.04%0.0606-15.83%0.0939✗0.96183k2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.9232.0596+7.10%1.919-0.21%0.1246✓1.27413k2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.178055+7.17%0.13956-16.00%0.0064✓1.55207k2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.093695+7.20%0.0843-3.55%0.0805✓1.216,3652022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.43030.461318+7.21%0.3701-13.99%0.0292✓1.25613k2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.252752+7.28%0.2219-5.81%0.0974✓1.4892k2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.049120.052705+7.30%0.044565-9.27%0.0148✓1.1935k2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000012802+7.31%0.00001248+4.61%0.1632✓1.23951k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.023828+7.34%0.020994-5.42%0.0235✓0.989,2332022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.072095+7.44%0.0617-8.05%0.0092✓1.08351k2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.136285+7.57%0.2159+70.40%0.6284✓1.10617k2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.083749+7.58%0.06742-13.40%0.1039✗0.741,1722022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.707+7.59%1.7099+7.77%0.2232✓1.44609k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.141677+7.82%0.123-6.39%0.0556✓1.2850k2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.981.057+7.85%1.2628+28.86%0.3571✓1.171.2M2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0946+7.89%0.918733-9.44%0.0279✓0.9658k2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.182344+8.28%0.1447-14.07%0.0401✓1.25446k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.312188+8.36%0.3223+11.87%0.2063✓1.1475k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.060476+8.57%0.0525-5.75%0.0782✓1.43140k2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.