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2022-07-22 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1423
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.6%
in alpha space · 55.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7420.659604-11.10%0.722-2.70%0.1837✗1.765.8M2022-08-21
OPTIMOptimism0.8370.752349-10.11%1.176+40.50%0.5402✗1.771.1M2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.422140.393551-6.77%0.41334-2.08%0.0879✗0.7351k2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100250.000093844-6.39%0.00009038-9.85%0.0648✓1.94735k2022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.182.9774-6.37%2.76-13.21%0.0502✓0.4886k2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration66.5362.3499-6.28%50.64-23.88%0.1449✓1.19231k2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.9450.887846-6.05%0.804-14.92%0.0038✓1.80594k2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.150623-5.86%0.1556-2.75%0.1004✗1.28356k2022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum1.81.6957-5.79%2.38+32.22%0.3972✗1.10150k2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.36910.347827-5.76%0.3715+0.65%0.1294✗1.203902022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1292.9509-5.69%5.101+63.02%0.5805✗0.631.7M2022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2542.1274-5.62%1.724-23.51%0.1341✓1.44132k2022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum100.7695.2667-5.45%110.77+9.93%0.2039✗1.003.2M2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089660.084814-5.40%0.09106+1.56%0.1240✗1.00664k2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.793.5886-5.32%5.04+32.98%0.3803✗0.77597k2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.683.488-5.22%6.594+79.18%0.6667✗0.562.2M2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.40852.2845-5.15%2.478+2.89%0.1640✗1.568,0962022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0540820.051376-5.00%0.051048-5.61%0.0264✓0.6215k2022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.7858-4.88%5.94+49.25%0.4836✗0.63713k2022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.445260.423553-4.88%0.37078-16.73%0.0555✓1.47673k2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.43361.3655-4.75%1.0248-28.52%0.2091✓1.474.7M2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7880.750718-4.73%0.611-22.46%0.1237✓1.555,0122022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7715.9791-4.72%44.36+164.52%1.1029✗1.55431k2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5080.484744-4.58%0.47-7.48%0.0318✓1.1911k2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum30.4429.0597-4.53%34.76+14.19%0.2320✗1.00133k2022-08-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96980.926994-4.41%0.8569-11.64%0.0056✓1.59241k2022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.1811.6427-4.41%13.18+8.21%0.2021✗1.481.1M2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.42e-7-4.18%7.12e-7+99.85%0.7878✗1.00239k2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4816.7529-4.16%18.97+8.52%0.1751✗0.962.1M2022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.28030.268667-4.15%0.2705-3.50%0.0754✗1.30365k2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3951.3371-4.15%1.243-10.90%0.0042✓1.302.8M2022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1915.9393-4.07%5.19-16.17%0.0426✓1.7411.7M2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.250792-4.06%0.2611-0.11%0.0410✓0.0145k2022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163550.015705-3.98%0.014659-10.37%0.0204✓0.921.2M2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.90760.871894-3.93%1.3019+43.44%0.4648✗1.211.2M2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0473750.04553-3.89%0.046233-2.41%0.0788✗1.2018k2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.7771.7086-3.85%1.914+7.71%0.1808✗1.27619k2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4750.457004-3.79%0.4286-9.77%0.0058✓1.1049k2022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7170.689965-3.77%0.636-11.30%0.0010✓1.52108k2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.923.9728-3.72%33.76+35.58%0.4101✗1.281.2M2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.182290.175504-3.72%0.16409-9.98%0.0626✗2.451,0922022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40070.38581-3.72%0.3918-2.22%0.0962✗1.53208k2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2250.216648-3.71%0.2298+2.13%0.1370✗1.48115k2022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.338870.326304-3.71%0.32001-5.57%0.0459✗1.24404k2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.2383-3.70%6.459-0.29%0.1022✗1.275.0M2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4736-3.69%1.38-9.80%0.0532✓0.24398k2022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.8655.7266-3.69%54.958-5.02%0.0300✓0.83387k2022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.313850.302287-3.68%0.30199-3.78%0.0700✗1.347,0062022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07360.070911-3.65%0.0675-8.29%0.0054✓1.03209k2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046910.045197-3.65%0.04674-0.36%0.0819✗0.9111k2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.18870.181855-3.63%0.1768-6.31%0.0466✗1.411,8912022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.10410.100457-3.50%0.1011-2.88%0.0761✗1.32513k2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.6351-3.43%6.56+36.67%0.3827✗0.67554k2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.44390.428656-3.43%0.3841-13.47%0.0568✓1.00257k2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.386540.373274-3.43%0.37086-4.06%0.0585✗1.23123k2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026010.025122-3.41%0.02263-13.00%0.0193✓1.6114.2M2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18910.182716-3.38%0.1759-6.98%0.0368✗1.411,8832022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072670.070249-3.33%0.07522+3.51%0.1373✗1.3027k2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.362.2816-3.32%2.229-5.55%0.0512✗1.4143k2022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.167120.161624-3.29%0.14385-13.92%0.0331✓1.58156k2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3614.8569-3.28%14.47-5.79%0.0460✗1.371.3M2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.933860.90372-3.23%0.85255-8.71%0.0130✓1.35423k2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.28932.2158-3.21%5.9198+158.59%1.0300✗0.89890k2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03590.034747-3.21%0.0377+5.01%0.1468✗1.2385k2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.6322.8719-3.21%22.97-2.79%0.0873✗1.5728.4M2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.01740.984743-3.21%1.0512+3.32%0.1161✗0.963,1532022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.20e-7-3.14%9.30e-7-2.11%0.0635✗1.0028k2022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015220.001475-3.09%0.001501-1.38%0.0722✗1.0317k2022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.649230.629279-3.07%0.58884-9.30%0.0160✓1.5699k2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0175660.017026-3.07%0.023427+33.37%0.3447✗0.48165k2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.790.765756-3.07%0.73-7.59%0.0106✓0.70100k2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.7618-3.05%12.738+228.30%1.2525✗0.621.4M2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018840.018269-3.03%0.01736-7.86%0.0115✓0.75354k2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.15340.14875-3.03%0.1393-9.19%0.0025✓1.292.8M2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2653.1675-2.99%4.479+37.18%0.3871✗0.77488k2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.698536-2.98%0.728+1.11%0.1083✗1.27139k2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.287-2.94%1.072-19.16%0.1180✓1.231.6M2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0880.08543-2.92%0.1006+14.32%0.2050✗0.78153k2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.4991.4554-2.91%1.352-9.81%0.0025✓1.44374k2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.07871.0475-2.89%0.96387-10.64%0.0239✓1.127,2992022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218160.0212-2.82%0.02191+0.43%0.0852✗0.991,7072022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11750.114184-2.82%0.1115-5.11%0.0335✗1.08417k2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10380.100884-2.81%0.108+4.05%0.1403✗1.362.5M2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33780.328906-2.63%0.3062-9.35%0.0098✓1.177.8M2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004138-2.63%0.00421-0.94%0.0879✗1.34122k2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6872.6171-2.60%2.17-19.24%0.0950✓1.7587k2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87420.851734-2.57%1.0779+23.30%0.2876✗0.993.5M2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.6410.367-2.57%10.644+0.04%0.0980✗1.3513.0M2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92870.90533-2.52%0.8737-5.92%0.0399✗1.431.4M2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05390.052545-2.51%0.0514-4.64%0.0485✗1.33802k2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.49832.4358-2.50%3.6812+47.35%0.4651✗0.981.0M2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.642.5741-2.50%2.914+10.38%0.1824✗1.10621k2022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5930.578448-2.45%0.572-3.54%0.0641✗1.4285k2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08470.082624-2.45%0.0696-17.83%0.1056✓1.25202k2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028760.028056-2.45%0.03818+32.75%0.3755✗1.2720k2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04910.047903-2.44%0.0473-3.67%0.0509✗1.20282k2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030520.002978-2.42%0.003742+22.61%0.2836✗1.041.0M2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02541.9764-2.42%1.9484-3.80%0.0502✗1.2226k2022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum55.954.5624-2.39%50.91-8.93%0.0032✓1.3734k2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.2884-2.39%1.21-8.33%0.0158✓1.48910k2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06420.062681-2.37%0.0654+1.87%0.1163✗1.40322k2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.6811.6419-2.32%1.876+11.60%0.1668✗0.63190k2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067040.00655-2.30%0.006771+1.00%0.0642✗0.5950k2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.30972.2566-2.30%4.9686+115.12%0.8315✗0.80947k2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.896.7329-2.28%7.211+4.66%0.1404✗1.365.7M2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.14030.137179-2.22%0.1499+6.84%0.1545✗1.2487k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.375.2527-2.18%5.91+10.06%0.1926✗1.411.0M2022-08-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0142.9487-2.17%3.111+3.22%0.1429✗1.693.8M2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3107570.304069-2.15%0.308829-0.62%0.0806✗1.231.3M2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053760.05261-2.14%0.06849+27.40%0.3412✗1.46749k2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23990.234777-2.14%0.224-6.63%0.0189✓1.25119k2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.003670.003592-2.12%0.00326-11.17%0.0262✓1.34586k2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071940.070424-2.11%0.07057-1.90%0.0409✗0.731,5492022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative10.1539.9392-2.11%9.628-5.17%0.0268✗1.112.3M2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13680.133931-2.10%0.1381+0.95%0.0848✗1.023.3M2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.274.1823-2.05%6.35+48.71%0.4513✗0.64555k2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05210.051037-2.04%0.054+3.65%0.1344✗1.47135k2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.42.3517-2.01%2.48+3.33%0.1330✗1.51216k2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4892.4393-2.00%5.094+104.66%0.7841✗0.9093k2022-08-21
FLOWFlownative1.8421.8054-1.98%2.163+17.43%0.2464✗1.24345k2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.596.4597-1.98%8.93+35.51%0.3498✗0.49670k2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5511.5204-1.98%1.562+0.71%0.1041✗1.46203k2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.29120.8666-1.97%119.67-2.94%0.0500✗1.134.0M2022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58360.572191-1.95%0.5133-12.05%0.0455✓1.19559k2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25560.25062-1.95%0.2628+2.82%0.1047✗1.0861k2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.42730.41899-1.94%0.395-7.56%0.0079✓1.26414k2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4031.3762-1.91%1.7908+27.64%0.3386✗1.42647k2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.210.206053-1.88%0.187-10.95%0.0152✓1.55881k2022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase16.9316.6207-1.83%16.73-1.18%0.0799✗1.39105k2022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041660.040901-1.82%0.0402-3.50%0.0339✗0.973,2692022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.4830.474321-1.80%0.4624-4.27%0.0418✗1.2743.2M2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2920.286829-1.77%0.288-1.37%0.0598✗1.05725k2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4344-1.75%1.39-4.79%0.0446✗1.44131k2022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.6381.6098-1.72%1.6327-0.32%0.0810✗1.26492k2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,573.616,461.76-1.70%8,749.39+33.10%0.3735✗1.334.2M2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027150.026688-1.70%0.0271-0.18%0.0873✗1.361,3482022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana40.5539.8622-1.70%36.48-10.04%0.0179✓1.3481.1M2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010730.001055-1.69%0.001518+41.48%0.4324✗1.291.7M2022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000041720.000041034-1.64%0.00003955-5.20%0.0257✗1.181.9M2022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04310.042413-1.59%0.0412-4.41%0.0422✗1.357,6872022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.7866.6783-1.59%7.08+4.33%0.1253✗1.2617.9M2022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006488-1.55%0.00947+43.70%0.4314✗1.01365k2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.0955.2337-1.53%55.68-0.73%0.0681✗1.1314.3M2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2957.1845-1.51%7.434+1.91%0.0993✗1.238.7M2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13070.128732-1.51%0.1243-4.90%0.0347✗1.3244k2022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11860.116861-1.47%0.109-8.09%0.0175✓0.996,5322022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4855.4088-1.39%6.413+16.92%0.2287✗1.101.9M2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0733.0308-1.37%3.174+3.29%0.1036✗1.09562k2022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.24380.240484-1.36%0.2375-2.58%0.0496✗1.17703k2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.1091.0941-1.34%1.0912-1.61%0.0546✗1.0845k2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.40735.3352-1.33%5.1185-5.34%0.0312✓0.19226k2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.104465-1.26%0.1872+76.94%0.6418✗1.11591k2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6610.653133-1.19%0.7+5.90%0.1206✗0.97419k2022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.24843.2104-1.17%3.4692+6.80%0.1348✗1.0826k2022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30080.2973-1.16%0.2949-1.96%0.0547✗1.192.8M2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1120290.110762-1.13%0.110977-0.94%0.0549✗1.007.1M2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum89.4288.4618-1.07%85.89-3.95%0.0572✗1.6410.2M2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.938.8363-1.05%10.41+16.57%0.2258✗1.17265k2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.086.0172-1.03%8.2+34.87%0.3790✗1.31263k2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.11e-7-1.03%9.00e-7-2.17%0.0320✗0.825.8M2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash59.959.3079-0.99%64.62+7.88%0.1546✗1.301.5M2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7010.694356-0.95%0.919+31.10%0.3455✗1.23807k2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.764828-0.93%0.876+13.47%0.1768✗0.781.2M2022-08-21
GTGateEthereum4.10524.0676-0.92%4.5693+11.31%0.1535✗0.70930k2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0675960.066978-0.91%0.069279+2.49%0.0974✗1.201.9M2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum28.9128.6655-0.85%27.72-4.12%0.0166✗0.9511.0M2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40430.400982-0.82%0.3848-4.82%0.0299✗1.3496k2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.716213.6088-0.78%14.1071+2.85%0.0993✗1.20126k2022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49760.493746-0.77%0.4896-1.61%0.0518✗1.14333k2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,535.841,526.19-0.63%1,617.84+5.34%0.1233✗1.23339.7M2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.008980.008925-0.62%0.00718-20.04%0.1692✓0.911.4M2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.45740.454914-0.54%0.5638+23.26%0.2807✗1.251.4M2022-08-21
DASHDashDash48.3948.1418-0.51%46.8-3.29%0.0294✗1.09606k2022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06950.069153-0.50%0.0597-14.10%0.0951✓0.98164k2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase0.9651780.961137-0.42%0.927762-3.88%0.0180✗1.0159k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.067070.066826-0.36%0.065924-1.71%0.0283✗0.79364k2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020130.020093-0.19%0.02257+12.12%0.1723✗1.06123k2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008970.008954-0.18%0.00945+5.35%0.1058✗0.984.9M2022-08-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011712-0.07%0.00001348+15.02%0.2067✗1.251.2M2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero149149.4642+0.31%154.56+3.73%0.0924✓1.111.3M2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25990.261127+0.47%0.3366+29.51%0.3136✓1.1347k2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08220.082613+0.50%0.0898+9.25%0.1484✓1.237,1912022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,716.1022,836.59+0.53%21,631.30-4.78%0.0026✓0.9824k2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,687.6822,948.36+1.15%21,518.62-5.15%0.0114✗1.00398.7M2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059630.006044+1.35%0.005915-0.81%0.0267✓0.913,1552022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.