8=======>

2022-07-18 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2051
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.4%
in alpha space · 26.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.8170.793591-2.87%0.721-11.75%0.1759✓1.891.1M2022-07-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09930.096548-2.77%0.0861-13.29%0.1605✓1.09209k2022-07-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.324.781-2.05%25.31+0.04%0.0334✓1.291.2M2022-07-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.883.8174-1.61%4.01+3.35%0.0170✗0.76597k2022-07-19
FISStafiEthereum0.44830.44225-1.35%0.4689+4.60%0.0163✗1.004752022-07-19
METISMetisEthereum29.6829.2848-1.33%31.29+5.42%0.0240✗1.00128k2022-07-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.853.7997-1.31%3.74-2.86%0.0374✓0.5182k2022-07-19
GMTGMTEthereum1.1291.1143-1.30%1.054-6.64%0.1338✓1.85574k2022-07-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.530.523278-1.27%0.523-1.32%0.0510✓1.1911k2022-07-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.965290.953563-1.21%1.0077+4.39%0.0149✗0.954662022-07-19
KSMKusamaHydration63.8263.2008-0.97%63.01-1.27%0.0548✓1.23235k2022-07-19
DIADIAEthereum0.448260.444202-0.91%0.45034+0.46%0.0176✓0.7453k2022-07-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8517.6918-0.89%16.88-5.43%0.1142✓1.59427k2022-07-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221540.021967-0.84%0.022948+3.58%0.0021✓0.991,5692022-07-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9925.9422-0.83%6.082+1.50%0.0515✓1.7711.7M2022-07-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.34131.3304-0.81%1.2469-7.04%0.1285✓1.514.3M2022-07-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3911.2983-0.80%10.96-3.78%0.0939✓1.501.1M2022-07-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.04631.0378-0.80%1.0895+4.13%0.0012✓1.124,7592022-07-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.810579-0.79%0.821+0.49%0.0628✓1.796.5M2022-07-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68832.6672-0.79%2.6913+0.11%0.0579✓1.585,9882022-07-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93760.930248-0.78%1.058+12.84%0.0620✗1.58214k2022-07-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6910.685627-0.78%0.869+25.76%0.1740✗1.493,6872022-07-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000106260.00010544-0.77%0.00010632+0.06%0.0719✓1.90692k2022-07-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3163.2906-0.77%3.347+0.93%0.0155✓0.77488k2022-07-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.304870.302569-0.75%0.32256+5.80%0.0075✓1.343,2792022-07-19
QNTQuantEthereum103.99103.2255-0.74%106.99+2.88%0.0067✓1.012.7M2022-07-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.134.1-0.73%4.08-1.21%0.0319✓0.64694k2022-07-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20550.204025-0.72%0.2131+3.70%0.0169✓1.432,7232022-07-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0942.079-0.72%2.114+0.96%0.0445✓1.45123k2022-07-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5886-0.71%1.58-1.25%0.0158✓0.25485k2022-07-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088780.088155-0.70%0.08839-0.44%0.0396✓1.00456k2022-07-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1893.1673-0.68%3.197+0.25%0.0174✓0.631.9M2022-07-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7514.6497-0.68%14.73-0.14%0.0350✓0.961.8M2022-07-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17090.169739-0.68%0.1743+1.99%0.0279✓1.29349k2022-07-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.811.7978-0.67%1.85+2.21%0.0182✓1.11133k2022-07-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.14932.1354-0.65%2.1461-0.15%0.0333✓0.91857k2022-07-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.98150.975154-0.65%1.0065+2.55%0.0195✓1.211.1M2022-07-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.360130.357874-0.63%0.35354-1.83%0.0655✓1.26411k2022-07-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8523.8283-0.62%3.918+1.71%0.0007✓0.572.2M2022-07-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45060.447835-0.61%0.4649+3.17%0.0048✓1.00257k2022-07-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.29070.288953-0.60%0.2972+2.24%0.0269✓1.30435k2022-07-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.477820.475109-0.57%0.47488-0.62%0.0632✓1.49808k2022-07-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana76.9605-0.56%6.98-0.29%0.0180✓0.49670k2022-07-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047510.047243-0.56%0.04895+3.03%0.0030✓0.916,5622022-07-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188880.18787-0.53%0.19056+0.89%0.0925✓2.538962022-07-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43320.43091-0.53%0.4514+4.20%0.0101✓1.3482k2022-07-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.9491.9388-0.52%2.003+2.77%0.0220✓1.29668k2022-07-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4270.424835-0.51%0.4385+2.69%0.0340✓1.55191k2022-07-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5337.4955-0.50%7.359-2.31%0.0730✓1.295.5M2022-07-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03920.039012-0.48%0.0399+1.79%0.0302✓1.2595k2022-07-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4932-0.45%1.42-5.33%0.1141✓1.51856k2022-07-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.063130.062857-0.43%0.06343+0.48%0.0473✓1.3325k2022-07-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.2561-0.42%3.183-2.66%0.0691✓1.10552k2022-07-19
XEMNEMnative0.0449280.044738-0.42%0.052329+16.47%0.1076✗1.1616k2022-07-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.36e-7-0.42%9.20e-7-2.13%0.0595✓1.0025k2022-07-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52250.520323-0.42%0.5523+5.70%0.0134✗1.0949k2022-07-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6612.6499-0.42%2.804+5.37%0.0172✓1.7484k2022-07-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.717015-0.41%0.788+9.44%0.0415✗1.25127k2022-07-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.689-0.41%2.7+0.00%0.0606✓1.53205k2022-07-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22550.224584-0.41%0.2349+4.17%0.0179✓1.49117k2022-07-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3891.3834-0.40%1.423+2.45%0.0240✓1.241.4M2022-07-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.434.4121-0.40%4.48+1.13%0.0118✓0.64579k2022-07-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9513.9351-0.40%3.967+0.40%0.0185✓0.631.5M2022-07-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0531780.052964-0.40%0.054862+3.17%0.0088✗0.6214k2022-07-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10740.106972-0.40%0.1113+3.63%0.0163✓1.33526k2022-07-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.260667-0.39%0.261-0.27%0.0410✓1.0045k2022-07-19
COMPCompoundEthereum57.6657.4325-0.39%61.04+5.86%0.0030✓1.3732k2022-07-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.9723.8768-0.39%24.73+3.17%0.0314✓1.5725.2M2022-07-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.3516.2865-0.39%16.84+3.00%0.0245✓1.371.3M2022-07-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3130.311812-0.38%0.32+2.24%0.0188✓1.06599k2022-07-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05070.050509-0.38%0.0518+2.17%0.0258✓1.21276k2022-07-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.55357.3383-0.37%58.051+0.87%0.0233✓0.84387k2022-07-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3351.3301-0.36%1.41+5.62%0.0031✓1.312.6M2022-07-19
DODODODOEthereum0.16280.162214-0.36%0.1668+2.46%0.0270✓1.302.8M2022-07-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.20110.200397-0.35%0.2147+6.76%0.0098✗1.402,2022022-07-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11010.109718-0.35%0.1147+4.18%0.0132✓1.362.4M2022-07-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.073056-0.33%0.0745+1.64%0.0398✓1.41312k2022-07-19
FLOWFlownative1.6881.6825-0.33%1.92+13.74%0.0811✗1.21287k2022-07-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59472.5863-0.32%2.5891-0.22%0.0407✓0.991.1M2022-07-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.20123.191-0.32%3.243+1.30%0.0301✓1.1026k2022-07-19
PROPropyEthereum0.80.797448-0.32%0.81+1.25%0.0145✓0.71111k2022-07-19
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3277.3037-0.32%7.347+0.27%0.0520✓1.375.7M2022-07-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.974.9545-0.31%5+0.60%0.0192✓0.67574k2022-07-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026370.02629-0.30%0.02588-1.86%0.0851✓1.6414.6M2022-07-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07560.075372-0.30%0.0752-0.53%0.0443✓1.00229k2022-07-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6571.652-0.30%1.693+2.17%0.0373✓1.46194k2022-07-19
ZENHorizenBase17.7417.688-0.29%18.04+1.69%0.0394✓1.4081k2022-07-19
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02871.0257-0.29%1.038+0.90%0.0491✓1.441.4M2022-07-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.05454-0.29%0.0558+2.01%0.0338✓1.34817k2022-07-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3752.3681-0.29%2.442+2.82%0.0290✓1.4143k2022-07-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.5941.5895-0.28%1.65+3.51%0.0049✓1.00178k2022-07-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.15120.150788-0.27%0.1547+2.31%0.0270✓1.2587k2022-07-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019480.019427-0.27%0.0191-1.95%0.0493✓0.77354k2022-07-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31152.3055-0.26%2.3765+2.81%0.0034✓0.80947k2022-07-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92811.9232-0.25%2.0147+4.49%0.0052✓1.2227k2022-07-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3209430.320145-0.25%0.332219+3.51%0.0162✓1.261.4M2022-07-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11740.11711-0.25%0.1202+2.39%0.0200✓1.09380k2022-07-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.414240.41322-0.25%0.4271+3.10%0.0190✓1.23128k2022-07-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028960.02889-0.24%0.02916+0.69%0.0496✓1.401,4722022-07-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.056850.056713-0.24%0.06017+5.84%0.0026✓1.46773k2022-07-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26320.262569-0.24%0.2598-1.29%0.0587✓1.1442k2022-07-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5362.53-0.24%2.565+1.14%0.0245✓0.9188k2022-07-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13310.132788-0.23%0.1363+2.40%0.0296✓1.3234k2022-07-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0920.091787-0.23%0.0935+1.63%0.0148✓0.79144k2022-07-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05610.055973-0.23%0.0582+3.74%0.0233✓1.48108k2022-07-19
AAVEAaveEthereum96.2396.0144-0.22%95.68-0.57%0.0736✓1.6610.8M2022-07-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.236.2163-0.22%6.12-1.77%0.0721✓1.34263k2022-07-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.690.688484-0.22%0.76+10.14%0.0351✗1.51108k2022-07-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,581.341,577.93-0.22%1,542.63-2.45%0.0755✓1.25326.5M2022-07-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44671.4436-0.22%1.5189+4.99%0.0087✓1.41684k2022-07-19
BANDBandEthereum1.5121.5088-0.21%1.619+7.08%0.0098✗1.44382k2022-07-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.146230.145924-0.21%0.14563-0.41%0.0702✓1.62176k2022-07-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9492.9429-0.21%2.971+0.75%0.0629✓1.723.8M2022-07-19
XVGVergenative0.003830.003822-0.20%0.00384+0.26%0.0526✓1.36635k2022-07-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.919215-0.20%1.0012+8.70%0.0290✗1.34399k2022-07-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.220.219564-0.20%0.227+3.18%0.0324✓1.56881k2022-07-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.11460.114374-0.20%0.117+2.09%0.0242✓1.11560k2022-07-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.63e-7-0.20%3.78e-7+3.83%0.0026✓1.00316k2022-07-19
STXStacksnative0.42560.424824-0.18%0.4479+5.24%0.0004✓1.26381k2022-07-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6547.6401-0.18%7.794+1.83%0.0325✓1.249.0M2022-07-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.21120.9946-0.18%128.38+5.92%0.0116✗1.134.0M2022-07-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076990.076854-0.18%0.07728+0.38%0.0261✓0.751,9712022-07-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.7372.7322-0.17%2.853+4.24%0.0034✓1.10704k2022-07-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13220.131971-0.17%0.1355+2.50%0.0171✓1.033.3M2022-07-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0387.026-0.17%7.258+3.13%0.0211✓1.2717.9M2022-07-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6173-0.17%1.62+0.00%0.0598✓1.46142k2022-07-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.252197-0.16%0.2573+1.86%0.0261✓1.0960k2022-07-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.82580.824484-0.16%0.838+1.48%0.0261✓1.003.5M2022-07-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35980.359244-0.15%0.372+3.39%0.0144✓1.178.2M2022-07-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006980.006969-0.15%0.00714+2.29%0.0183✓1.01390k2022-07-19
HIVEHivenative0.47060.469878-0.15%0.4814+2.29%0.0286✓1.251.2M2022-07-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,611.886,601.76-0.15%6,761.83+2.27%0.0325✓1.344.4M2022-07-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004280.004274-0.15%0.00448+4.67%0.0093✓1.34127k2022-07-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5530.552175-0.15%0.5689+2.88%0.0215✓1.22456k2022-07-19
STEEMSteemnative0.220.219676-0.15%0.2258+2.64%0.0224✓1.18705k2022-07-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08820.088071-0.15%0.0953+8.05%0.0269✗1.23176k2022-07-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.114025-0.14%0.118529+3.81%0.0036✓1.007.2M2022-07-19
XTZTezosTezos1.73361.7312-0.14%1.7452+0.67%0.0458✓1.27519k2022-07-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11310.112947-0.14%0.1236+9.28%0.0494✗0.966,1432022-07-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9790620.977778-0.13%0.969504-0.98%0.0518✓1.0363k2022-07-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129810.012965-0.12%0.018119+39.58%0.2998✗0.831.2M2022-07-19
SOLSolanaSolana43.5543.4969-0.12%44.88+3.05%0.0253✓1.3481.1M2022-07-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04410.044046-0.12%0.0465+5.44%0.0024✓1.347,2812022-07-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174120.017391-0.12%0.016982-2.47%0.0446✓0.49175k2022-07-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.43595.4294-0.12%5.333-1.89%0.0265✓0.20335k2022-07-19
XVSVenusEthereum5.475.4639-0.11%5.52+0.91%0.0498✓1.421.2M2022-07-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.11851.1173-0.11%1.1438+2.26%0.0220✓1.0848k2022-07-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029260.029228-0.11%0.03152+7.72%0.0223✗1.2623k2022-07-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.720.719206-0.11%0.737+2.36%0.0166✓0.97443k2022-07-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.69860.697836-0.11%0.71319+2.09%0.0448✓1.57104k2022-07-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9395.9326-0.11%6.047+1.82%0.0276✓1.111.9M2022-07-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021160.021137-0.11%0.0215+1.61%0.0279✓1.06123k2022-07-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.003001-0.11%0.003197+6.42%0.0195✗1.041.2M2022-07-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.009260.009251-0.10%0.00946+2.16%0.0162✓0.911.2M2022-07-19
KCSKuCoinnative9.8549.8442-0.10%10.25+4.02%0.0066✓1.112.2M2022-07-19
ADACardanoCardano0.490.489523-0.10%0.5151+5.12%0.0027✓1.2743.9M2022-07-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.619.6007-0.10%9.72+1.14%0.0368✓1.16288k2022-07-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.5799.5708-0.09%10.524+9.87%0.0385✗1.3412.5M2022-07-19
MOVRMoonriverBase14.335414.3231-0.09%14.2261-0.76%0.0577✓1.20238k2022-07-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52960.529154-0.08%0.5294-0.04%0.0480✓1.15311k2022-07-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011960.00001195-0.08%0.00001217+1.76%0.0349✓1.261.2M2022-07-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6570.656484-0.08%0.743+13.09%0.0729✗1.21858k2022-07-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.8629.8385-0.07%29.12-2.48%0.0653✓0.9710.7M2022-07-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.5858.5408-0.07%57.91-1.14%0.0596✓1.1514.8M2022-07-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007070.007065-0.07%0.007383+4.43%0.0197✗0.5765k2022-07-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.571631-0.06%0.625+9.27%0.0297✗1.4184k2022-07-19
XMRMoneroMonero147.68147.602-0.05%146.65-0.70%0.0541✓1.131.3M2022-07-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29630.296144-0.05%0.3086+4.15%0.0089✓1.192.9M2022-07-19
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.30e-7-0.05%9.20e-7-1.08%0.0456✓0.845.8M2022-07-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24760.247484-0.05%0.2547+2.87%0.0240✓1.25139k2022-07-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010420.001042-0.03%0.001151+10.49%0.0465✗1.271.7M2022-07-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009540.009537-0.03%0.00995+4.30%0.0011✗0.984.9M2022-07-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,641.5021,636.25-0.02%23,393.10+8.09%0.0373✗0.9729k2022-07-19
DASHDashDash48.8648.8493-0.02%50.17+2.68%0.0196✓1.10616k2022-07-19
GTGateEthereum4.28544.2846-0.02%4.2358-1.16%0.0416✓0.72930k2022-07-19
XECeCashnative0.000042160.000042157-0.01%0.00004344+3.04%0.0203✓1.191.9M2022-07-19
ZECZcashZcash65.5765.5684-0.00%64.8-1.17%0.0673✓1.321.5M2022-07-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08410.084108+0.01%0.0883+4.99%0.0031✗1.226,7832022-07-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.830.830181+0.02%0.834+0.48%0.0285✗0.781.1M2022-07-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.067540.067562+0.03%0.069027+2.20%0.0296✗1.212.0M2022-07-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,427.5622,439.70+0.05%23,395.06+4.31%0.0005✗1.00398.7M2022-07-19
TRXTRONTron0.0690930.069134+0.06%0.069162+0.10%0.0331✗0.79405k2022-07-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059220.005927+0.07%0.006062+2.35%0.0158✗0.912,9222022-07-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.