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2022-07-17 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2109
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.0%
in alpha space · 7.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.683657-11.90%0.87+12.11%0.0125✓1.847.0M2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism0.5820.519706-10.70%1.454+149.83%0.7963✗1.691.1M2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.437090.39991-8.51%0.47192+7.97%0.0599✓0.7753k2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010150.000093006-8.37%0.0000971-4.33%0.2185✓1.90692k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.543.2634-7.81%2.94-16.95%0.1667✓0.4578k2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0872.8561-7.48%4.038+30.81%0.2576✗0.641.9M2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.593445-7.27%0.71+10.94%0.0279✓1.513,6872022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.40.371279-7.18%0.4514+12.85%0.0578✓1.003902022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.473.2238-7.10%4.95+42.65%0.3277✗0.74597k2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090820.084486-6.97%0.08578-5.55%0.1224✓1.00432k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.3488-6.90%6.018+67.31%0.5100✗0.552.2M2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.28650.266766-6.89%0.3019+5.38%0.0699✓1.41435k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16630.155151-6.70%0.1798+8.12%0.0356✓1.33349k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444410.415045-6.61%0.40858-8.06%0.2239✓1.51862k2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.3916.2912-6.32%40.61+133.53%0.6860✗1.65421k2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum98.8692.6194-6.31%116.11+17.45%0.0849✗1.032.7M2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2256.7737-6.25%7.773+7.58%0.0447✓1.335.5M2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5110.480821-5.91%0.545+6.65%0.0424✓1.2211k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.6897-5.63%5.44+39.13%0.3008✗0.64694k2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54742.4071-5.51%3.3012+29.59%0.0925✗1.625,9882022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.4351.4978-5.39%56.07+3.01%0.0790✓1.19235k2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.8960.848699-5.28%1.072+19.64%0.0132✓1.79528k2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum23.7722.5229-5.25%38.9+63.65%0.4089✗1.00127k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0514280.048734-5.24%0.054802+6.56%0.0309✓0.6314k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6225-5.12%2.36+38.01%0.2198✗1.13127k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.248764-4.91%0.2612-0.15%0.0888✓1.0045k2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93770.892105-4.86%1.4706+56.83%0.3291✗1.241.0M2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1870.177919-4.86%0.2113+12.99%0.0281✓1.452,5392022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.184760.175808-4.85%0.1883+1.92%0.3080✓2.747222022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.57e-7-4.80%0.000001+11.11%0.0170✓1.0025k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.641.5645-4.60%1.47-10.37%0.0994✓0.27485k2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48170.459834-4.54%0.5047+4.77%0.0581✓1.1052k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.41e-7-4.51%7.44e-7+108.16%0.6374✗1.03344k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0181.9295-4.39%2.016-0.10%0.1630✓1.50116k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0179150.017163-4.20%0.025638+43.11%0.3286✗0.53176k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062690.060106-4.12%0.09121+45.49%0.2259✗1.3924k2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.4813.9132-3.91%20.32+40.33%0.2425✗0.991.7M2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38730.372167-3.91%0.4749+22.62%0.1062✗1.00241k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2233.0974-3.90%4.19+30.00%0.1945✗0.78488k2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.66251.5707-3.90%61.168+13.99%0.0548✗0.84387k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.288740.277589-3.86%0.35527+23.04%0.0597✗1.363,2792022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03630.034912-3.82%0.0426+17.36%0.0256✓1.2695k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6210.597666-3.76%0.7+12.72%0.0492✓1.51108k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.098847-3.75%0.1138+10.81%0.0464✓1.36526k2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.2218.5071-3.71%39.88+107.49%0.6038✗1.191.2M2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.043379-3.65%0.05205+15.62%0.0554✗0.926,5622022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8723.7329-3.59%5.889+52.09%0.3670✗0.651.5M2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.382620.369114-3.53%0.42922+12.18%0.0197✓1.24128k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.640412-3.45%0.69252+4.40%0.1474✓1.64104k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.7781.7171-3.42%2.409+35.49%0.1590✗1.31668k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212770.020553-3.40%0.024604+15.64%0.0418✗1.001,5692022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.0431.9735-3.40%3.7239+82.28%0.5098✗0.91857k2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0710.068627-3.34%0.0734+3.38%0.1319✓1.45312k2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786310.760105-3.33%1.1875+51.02%0.3266✗0.874662022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20710.200236-3.31%0.2556+23.42%0.0361✗1.51117k2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5114.0384-3.25%17.95+23.71%0.0586✗1.361.3M2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.784.6275-3.19%6.14+28.45%0.1898✗0.68574k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.15320.14837-3.15%0.1676+9.40%0.0603✓1.322.8M2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87550.848654-3.07%0.967+10.45%0.0910✓1.61209k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17840.172958-3.05%0.207+16.03%0.0119✓1.392,2022022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.048089-3.05%0.0539+8.67%0.0570✓1.24276k2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09430.091445-3.03%0.1024+8.59%0.0005✓0.83144k2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018570.018024-2.94%0.01753-5.60%0.1334✓0.77381k2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.810.786705-2.88%0.81+0.00%0.0739✓0.75111k2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.321850.312835-2.80%0.35342+9.81%0.0490✓1.24411k2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.324.1991-2.80%6.29+45.60%0.3144✗0.65579k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1821.1492-2.78%1.271+7.53%0.0616✓1.181.4M2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.5291.4867-2.77%2.061+34.79%0.1891✗1.00180k2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.38590.375256-2.76%0.4762+23.40%0.0653✗1.26381k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.837550.814471-2.76%1.0299+22.96%0.0499✗1.34399k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022990.022365-2.72%0.02789+21.31%0.0056✓1.6514.6M2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003940.003835-2.65%0.00476+20.81%0.0301✗1.35127k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.095306-2.65%0.1301+32.89%0.1256✗1.352.4M2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33650.327621-2.64%0.3526+4.78%0.0891✓1.188.2M2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.98940.964512-2.52%1.1561+16.85%0.0237✓1.144,6812022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3651-2.49%1.41+0.71%0.1792✓1.54809k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2441.213-2.49%1.425+14.55%0.0215✓1.332.6M2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3821.3477-2.48%1.675+21.20%0.0176✓1.45380k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91240.88983-2.47%1.0221+12.02%0.0617✓1.461.4M2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.826.653-2.45%8.89+30.35%0.2209✗0.50670k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.04947-2.43%0.0696+37.28%0.1379✗1.48106k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068380.006673-2.41%0.006937+1.45%0.0412✓0.5869k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11050.107845-2.40%0.1265+14.48%0.0081✓1.10380k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07720.075377-2.36%0.08258+6.97%0.0207✓0.811,9712022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum54.8653.568-2.36%61.09+11.36%0.0615✓1.4032k2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02730.02666-2.35%0.03136+14.87%0.0377✓1.451,4722022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13860.135392-2.31%0.1861+34.27%0.1457✗1.2587k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.651604-2.31%0.84+25.94%0.0805✗1.26127k2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9436.7827-2.31%8.346+20.21%0.0145✓1.405.7M2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1213-2.29%2.752+26.76%0.0642✗1.4343k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2945960.287881-2.28%0.362039+22.89%0.0549✗1.271.4M2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23160.22633-2.28%0.2645+14.21%0.0186✓1.27160k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003530.003451-2.24%0.00401+13.60%0.0384✓1.37635k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0405550.039653-2.22%0.051969+28.14%0.1112✗1.1616k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39460.385856-2.22%0.4464+13.13%0.0714✓1.58191k2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6220.1659-2.20%27.11+31.47%0.0819✗1.5625.2M2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.6242.5662-2.20%3.334+27.06%0.1069✗1.13729k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.083827-2.19%0.0811-5.37%0.2068✓1.26167k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.4651-2.18%3.26+29.37%0.0648✗1.56205k2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027910.002731-2.16%0.004101+46.94%0.2643✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase16.5516.1937-2.15%20.12+21.57%0.0216✓1.4289k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.078.8786-2.11%10.39+14.55%0.0039✓1.112.2M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23752.1905-2.10%3.514+57.05%0.3607✗0.81947k2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.276089-2.10%0.316+12.06%0.0087✓1.04599k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.198815-2.06%0.244+20.20%0.0111✓1.57881k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.99107.7394-2.05%136.34+23.96%0.0817✗1.124.0M2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4301-2.05%1.75+19.86%0.0006✓1.46142k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05050.049477-2.03%0.0642+27.13%0.0732✗1.36817k2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051940.050903-2.00%0.08996+73.20%0.3672✗1.47773k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027360.026818-1.98%0.05113+86.88%0.4698✗1.2821k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9158.7391-1.97%11.396+27.83%0.0793✗1.3512.5M2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80240.786661-1.96%1.1489+43.18%0.2374✗1.033.5M2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2683.2047-1.94%3.62+10.77%0.0358✓1.15544k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80141.7668-1.92%2.2701+26.02%0.0804✗1.2427k2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,069.875,953.39-1.92%11,010.19+81.39%0.4299✗1.344.2M2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124040.012168-1.90%0.015966+28.72%0.1569✗0.831.2M2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50422.4566-1.90%3.1212+24.64%0.1003✗1.011.1M2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0540.053001-1.85%0.0784+45.19%0.2836✗0.78209k2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.23710.232781-1.82%0.3001+26.57%0.1019✗1.1160k2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.0578-1.79%5.96+15.73%0.0361✓1.461.2M2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6895.588-1.78%8.426+48.11%0.2552✗1.131.9M2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.379.2044-1.77%15+60.09%0.2873✗1.461.1M2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132790.130473-1.75%0.16955+27.68%0.0387✗1.62176k2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000973262-1.70%0.001587+60.24%0.3101✗1.301.8M2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7454.7931-1.70%61.33+10.03%0.0491✓1.1814.8M2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006450.006341-1.69%0.00854+32.40%0.1592✗1.01390k2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9694.8853-1.68%6.197+24.71%0.0038✓1.7611.7M2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana38.6337.9803-1.68%43.09+11.55%0.0575✓1.3481.1M2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase13.242813.0249-1.65%15.0779+13.86%0.0203✓1.21242k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.11488-1.64%0.1546+32.36%0.1587✗1.013.3M2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3552.3167-1.63%3.876+64.59%0.3881✗0.9288k2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04160.040929-1.61%0.0445+6.97%0.1024✓1.357,2812022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6532.6104-1.61%3.68+38.71%0.1020✗1.763.7M2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.57311.548-1.60%1.8887+20.06%0.0236✗1.27519k2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4970.489128-1.58%0.672+35.21%0.1256✗1.4084k2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.44770.440741-1.55%0.5571+24.44%0.0592✗1.2743.9M2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9196.8115-1.55%8.839+27.75%0.0901✗1.249.0M2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000040040.000039429-1.52%0.00004498+12.34%0.0350✓1.211.9M2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1642.1314-1.50%2.651+22.50%0.0151✓1.7084k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.05111.0355-1.49%1.2535+19.26%0.0407✗1.0948k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5371.5149-1.44%1.924+25.18%0.0348✗1.48182k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0629840.062088-1.42%0.087041+38.20%0.1698✗1.222.0M2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07861.0639-1.37%1.2853+19.16%0.0112✓1.464.2M2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.108135-1.34%0.123+12.23%0.0071✓0.996,1432022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6440.63559-1.31%0.818+27.02%0.1213✗0.95425k2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23075.1634-1.29%5.2507+0.38%0.0090✓0.19358k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.88e-7-1.28%9.70e-7+7.78%0.0294✓0.855.8M2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50720.500976-1.23%0.5897+16.27%0.0050✓1.22456k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1066250.105326-1.22%0.12178+14.21%0.0073✓1.007.2M2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47870.472996-1.19%0.5677+18.59%0.0268✗1.13311k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10550.104259-1.18%0.2097+98.77%0.5464✗1.11560k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.058.9453-1.16%12.36+36.57%0.1609✗1.18272k2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2787.2603-1.14%109.79+24.38%0.0032✓1.6910.8M2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.124573-1.13%0.1437+14.05%0.0424✓1.3534k2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative1.5641.5466-1.11%2.685+71.68%0.3843✗1.22287k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2730.269995-1.10%0.3392+24.25%0.0641✗1.192.9M2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7770.768864-1.05%0.967+24.45%0.1221✗0.781.1M2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.595747-1.04%0.959+59.30%0.3105✗1.20858k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3456.2805-1.02%8.453+33.22%0.1233✗1.2617.9M2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash59.4358.8265-1.02%75.95+27.80%0.0747✗1.311.5M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37740.373583-1.01%0.4559+20.80%0.0175✗1.3282k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008832-0.99%0.00828-7.17%0.1926✓0.931.2M2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35481.3429-0.88%1.635+20.68%0.0001✓1.43684k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum27.6127.3697-0.87%30.67+11.08%0.0189✓0.9610.6M2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.44040.436964-0.78%0.6115+38.85%0.1611✗1.271.2M2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07060.070058-0.77%0.0688-2.55%0.1558✓1.00253k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.21230.210815-0.70%0.27+27.18%0.0807✗1.21705k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.09154.0631-0.69%4.8932+19.59%0.0874✗0.72930k2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.9096-0.68%10.19+71.26%0.3565✗1.37263k2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07960.079118-0.60%0.1069+34.30%0.1297✗1.246,7832022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.95052.9329-0.60%4.0127+36.00%0.1628✗1.1026k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash45.9245.6607-0.56%52.46+14.24%0.0133✓1.11616k2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25370.252677-0.40%0.3985+57.08%0.2985✗1.1440k2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,338.201,332.95-0.39%1,876.57+40.23%0.1756✗1.21326.5M2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase0.903560.900678-0.32%1.0226+13.18%0.0134✓1.0263k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001070.000010669-0.29%0.00001581+47.76%0.2218✗1.251.1M2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0674370.067273-0.24%0.069764+3.45%0.0763✓0.82405k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009088-0.13%0.01154+26.81%0.0976✗1.034.9M2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020090.02008-0.05%0.02539+26.38%0.0867✗1.08112k2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,043.2021,042.75-0.00%23,861.50+13.39%0.0106✓0.9935k2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero135.99136.4798+0.36%169.61+24.72%0.0633✓1.121.3M2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056480.005684+0.63%0.006767+19.81%0.0481✓0.922,9622022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,791.7420,976.56+0.89%23,857.93+14.75%0.0088✗1.00398.7M2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.