8=======>

2022-07-05 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0638
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-21.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.6%
in alpha space · 24.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08170.079716-2.43%0.0949+16.16%0.1524✗1.1594k2022-07-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.022920.022386-2.33%0.7999+3389.97%3.5577✗0.9689k2022-07-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000116350.000114309-1.75%0.0001122-3.57%0.0553✓1.92951k2022-07-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.917.5862-1.75%17.25-3.63%0.0398✓1.07267k2022-07-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6750.665802-1.36%0.694+2.81%0.0126✓1.512,8402022-07-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04071.0279-1.23%1.002-3.72%0.0504✓1.30240k2022-07-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3073.2737-1.01%3.449+4.29%0.0406✗0.612.6M2022-07-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8390.832705-0.75%0.849+1.19%0.0183✓1.9716.4M2022-07-06
FISStafiEthereum0.320.317715-0.71%0.3593+12.28%0.1039✗1.008122022-07-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9362.9172-0.64%2.955+0.65%0.0005✓0.654.1M2022-07-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.1252.1119-0.62%2.084-1.93%0.0398✓1.391.1M2022-07-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26190.260353-0.59%0.2613-0.23%0.0155✓1.0067k2022-07-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.147960.147103-0.58%0.24049+62.54%0.4724✗1.008392022-07-06
DIADIAEthereum0.380980.378898-0.55%0.39434+3.51%0.0264✗0.7162k2022-07-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.012.9953-0.49%3.04+1.00%0.0043✓1.0086k2022-07-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9030.898942-0.45%0.965+6.87%0.0360✗1.83813k2022-07-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.4091.4029-0.43%1.467+4.12%0.0255✗1.00150k2022-07-06
XEMNEMnative0.0403190.040149-0.42%0.040762+1.10%0.0078✓1.2015k2022-07-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.683.6646-0.42%3.71+0.82%0.0004✓0.672.2M2022-07-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.851.8426-0.40%1.826-1.30%0.0377✓1.50115k2022-07-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.73.6864-0.37%3.84+3.78%0.0287✗0.631.0M2022-07-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020340.02027-0.35%0.0204+0.29%0.0083✓0.77417k2022-07-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1841.1802-0.32%1.261+6.50%0.0434✗1.191.7M2022-07-06
PROPropyEthereum0.830.827412-0.31%0.85+2.41%0.0129✗0.73155k2022-07-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057040.05687-0.30%0.05572-2.31%0.0468✓1.3828k2022-07-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.113.101-0.29%3.19+2.57%0.0149✗0.70904k2022-07-06
OPTIMOptimism0.5240.522534-0.28%0.543+3.63%0.0056✗1.711.6M2022-07-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95430.951645-0.28%0.96+0.60%0.0180✓1.404.3M2022-07-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2860.285213-0.28%0.282-1.40%0.0428✓1.641.2M2022-07-06
RADRadworksEthereum1.591.5857-0.27%1.66+4.40%0.0241✗1.14140k2022-07-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.787620.78557-0.26%0.77816-1.20%0.0256✓0.842702022-07-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54752.541-0.25%2.498-1.94%0.0497✓1.708,1182022-07-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4714.4333-0.25%14.77+2.07%0.0034✓1.381.5M2022-07-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3011210.300404-0.24%0.307678+2.18%0.0006✓1.282.3M2022-07-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48240.481276-0.23%0.5093+5.58%0.0375✗1.0089k2022-07-06
STXStacksnative0.40070.399772-0.23%0.398-0.67%0.0293✓1.30341k2022-07-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.298010.297325-0.23%0.29848+0.16%0.0229✓1.403,3372022-07-06
FLOWFlownative1.6021.5984-0.22%1.6-0.12%0.0222✓1.21304k2022-07-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0510.050888-0.22%0.0517+1.37%0.0034✗0.6521k2022-07-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205980.020553-0.22%0.020657+0.29%0.0153✓1.061,2032022-07-06
KSMKusamaHydration50.350.1902-0.22%51.25+1.89%0.0022✓1.21505k2022-07-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043960.043869-0.21%0.04441+1.02%0.0061✓0.967,9572022-07-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80841.8048-0.20%1.8376+1.61%0.0063✓1.2762k2022-07-06
XVGVergenative0.003030.003024-0.20%0.00309+1.98%0.0047✓1.38664k2022-07-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440140.43928-0.20%0.44139+0.28%0.0198✓1.29155k2022-07-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.650.648731-0.20%0.672+3.38%0.0098✗1.33178k2022-07-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,140.606,128.72-0.19%6,308.79+2.74%0.0036✗1.334.5M2022-07-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40410.403328-0.19%0.4074+0.82%0.0169✓1.41101k2022-07-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.5071-0.19%1.48-1.99%0.0242✓0.32648k2022-07-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03640.036331-0.19%0.0371+1.92%0.0036✓1.28168k2022-07-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19430.193933-0.19%0.1906-1.90%0.0455✓1.47155k2022-07-06
ZENHorizenBase14.614.5727-0.19%15.29+4.73%0.0209✗1.4267k2022-07-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.0930.09284-0.17%0.0928-0.22%0.0277✓1.42762k2022-07-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98950.987802-0.17%1.0139+2.47%0.0031✓1.522.4M2022-07-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09650.096338-0.17%0.0986+2.18%0.0030✓1.373.0M2022-07-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14790.147664-0.16%0.1526+3.18%0.0067✗1.37514k2022-07-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.14310.142875-0.16%0.1428-0.21%0.0258✓1.32120k2022-07-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066780.066677-0.15%0.07049+5.56%0.0401✗0.812,3072022-07-06
COMPCompoundEthereum46.746.628-0.15%46-1.50%0.0408✓1.4328k2022-07-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.1111.0929-0.15%11.9+7.11%0.0394✗1.61463k2022-07-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.090268-0.15%0.0991+9.62%0.0678✗1.34171k2022-07-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1042.1009-0.15%2.291+8.89%0.0543✗1.69101k2022-07-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17920.17894-0.14%0.1816+1.34%0.0044✓1.002,7992022-07-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.913310.911992-0.14%0.9408+3.01%0.0086✗1.182,3312022-07-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.46e-73.45e-7-0.14%3.79e-7+9.50%0.0716✗1.08598k2022-07-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6492.6452-0.14%2.612-1.40%0.0474✓1.823.7M2022-07-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38050.379956-0.14%0.4497+18.19%0.1366✗1.67202k2022-07-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.95103.8053-0.14%105.86+1.84%0.0022✓1.146.0M2022-07-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.74920.748172-0.14%0.7581+1.19%0.0073✓1.074.0M2022-07-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9114.9044-0.13%5.014+2.10%0.0126✓1.8116.0M2022-07-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.76421.7618-0.13%1.7961+1.81%0.0031✗0.851.2M2022-07-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873770.872604-0.13%0.91459+4.67%0.0207✗1.38611k2022-07-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053129-0.13%0.0542+1.88%0.0091✓1.52146k2022-07-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5045.4968-0.13%5.624+2.18%0.0025✓1.335.7M2022-07-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3940.393484-0.13%0.393-0.25%0.0229✓1.1311k2022-07-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006581-0.13%0.00668+1.37%0.0045✓1.01417k2022-07-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.0318.0067-0.13%19.15+6.21%0.0324✗1.5230.5M2022-07-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.009110.009098-0.13%0.00913+0.22%0.0151✓0.971.2M2022-07-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.18530.185063-0.13%0.1866+0.70%0.0184✓1.393,3092022-07-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.439360.438801-0.13%0.44192+0.58%0.0235✓1.601.9M2022-07-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48720.486591-0.13%0.492+0.99%0.0108✓1.14203k2022-07-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6740.673159-0.12%0.677+0.45%0.0256✓1.64242k2022-07-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.120550.1204-0.12%0.1261+4.60%0.0149✗1.64169k2022-07-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.6332.6297-0.12%2.642+0.34%0.0186✓1.221.0M2022-07-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8456.8367-0.12%6.915+1.02%0.0127✓1.2613.1M2022-07-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.24010.23981-0.12%0.2429+1.17%0.0094✓1.1678k2022-07-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.258130.257822-0.12%0.28113+8.91%0.0622✗1.28480k2022-07-06
BANDBandEthereum1.3251.3234-0.12%1.347+1.66%0.0105✓1.47471k2022-07-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.081.0787-0.12%1.15+6.48%0.0346✗1.54749k2022-07-06
STEEMSteemnative0.21360.213349-0.12%0.2151+0.70%0.0149✓1.21701k2022-07-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1077690.107644-0.12%0.109283+1.40%0.0046✓1.039.7M2022-07-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.73255.7258-0.12%5.8046+1.26%0.0096✗0.21312k2022-07-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.03871.0375-0.12%1.059+1.95%0.0011✓1.1354k2022-07-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26580.265496-0.11%0.2598-2.26%0.0451✓1.2227k2022-07-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119420.011928-0.11%0.012059+0.98%0.0052✓0.841.6M2022-07-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.39.2895-0.11%10.26+10.32%0.0712✗1.471.2M2022-07-06
HIVEHivenative0.44180.441313-0.11%0.4555+3.10%0.0068✗1.301.2M2022-07-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.918.9003-0.11%8.886-0.27%0.0276✓1.3616.0M2022-07-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4773-0.11%2.51+1.21%0.0179✓1.62301k2022-07-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11490.114777-0.11%0.1168+1.65%0.0017✓1.004.0M2022-07-06
QNTQuantEthereum59.7159.6463-0.11%61.97+3.78%0.0195✗0.982.2M2022-07-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061870.00618-0.11%0.006097-1.45%0.0332✓1.033,9102022-07-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.05980.059737-0.11%0.0607+1.51%0.0121✓1.47367k2022-07-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2212.2187-0.11%2.297+3.42%0.0074✗1.4368k2022-07-06
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.003786-0.10%0.00387+2.11%0.0048✓1.40169k2022-07-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2790.278717-0.10%0.283+1.43%0.0046✓1.04704k2022-07-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024450.024426-0.10%0.02512+2.74%0.0053✓1.7423.0M2022-07-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10390.103801-0.10%0.1061+2.12%0.0005✓1.12478k2022-07-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12610.125983-0.09%0.1251-0.79%0.0336✓1.3933k2022-07-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.11654.0662-0.09%54.636+0.96%0.0058✓0.85873k2022-07-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30750.307218-0.09%0.3106+1.01%0.0122✓1.2110.0M2022-07-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0563-0.09%4.06+0.00%0.0116✓0.661.1M2022-07-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.126.1144-0.09%6.25+2.12%0.0123✗0.50960k2022-07-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009550.000954277-0.08%0.0009592+0.44%0.0205✓1.342.9M2022-07-06
AAVEAaveEthereum60.5760.525-0.07%62.94+3.91%0.0079✗1.637.7M2022-07-06
XECeCashnative0.000041560.00004153-0.07%0.00004262+2.55%0.0016✗1.272.6M2022-07-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09730.097229-0.07%0.0927-4.73%0.0633✓0.81185k2022-07-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041120.041091-0.07%0.04092-0.49%0.0235✓1.013,1732022-07-06
XTZTezosTezos1.46571.4647-0.07%1.5433+5.29%0.0276✗1.29654k2022-07-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.9266-0.07%5.06+2.64%0.0024✓1.521.5M2022-07-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10370.103628-0.07%0.1061+2.31%0.0042✗1.016,3732022-07-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.09860.098533-0.07%0.0996+1.01%0.0113✓1.15566k2022-07-06
QTUMQtumQtum2.86132.8593-0.07%2.8773+0.56%0.0154✓1.1332k2022-07-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046569-0.07%0.047+0.86%0.0172✓1.381.1M2022-07-06
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.69e-7-0.07%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0156✓0.855.5M2022-07-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.9114.9003-0.07%15.18+1.81%0.0045✓1.212.0M2022-07-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.4373-0.06%4.5+1.35%0.0013✗0.67939k2022-07-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024470.024455-0.06%0.02886+17.94%0.1465✗1.001,9592022-07-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05070.050669-0.06%0.0511+0.79%0.0064✓0.78217k2022-07-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068660.006862-0.06%0.006925+0.86%0.0028✓0.62114k2022-07-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.036512.0299-0.05%12.3111+2.28%0.0004✓1.23316k2022-07-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37421.3735-0.05%1.3926+1.34%0.0114✓1.32767k2022-07-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049630.049605-0.05%0.05158+3.93%0.0103✗1.511.1M2022-07-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0025870.002586-0.04%0.00272+5.14%0.0303✗1.061.4M2022-07-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.358.3467-0.04%8.69+4.07%0.0176✗1.19374k2022-07-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.046082-0.04%0.0475+3.04%0.0057✗1.29253k2022-07-06
SOLSolanaSolana35.3735.3563-0.04%37.01+4.64%0.0201✗1.3495.5M2022-07-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48740.487219-0.04%0.5055+3.71%0.0129✗1.25634k2022-07-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6210.62077-0.04%0.624+0.48%0.0128✓0.94412k2022-07-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8282.827-0.04%2.83+0.07%0.0142✓0.80841k2022-07-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.6549.6324-0.04%50.29+1.29%0.0096✓1.1918.8M2022-07-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3262.3252-0.03%2.44+4.90%0.0299✗0.96157k2022-07-06
FTTFTXEthereum25.1625.1514-0.03%26.28+4.45%0.0259✗0.9412.9M2022-07-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2911.2906-0.03%1.377+6.66%0.0365✗1.48169k2022-07-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.02760.027591-0.03%0.02834+2.68%0.0014✗1.3326k2022-07-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.07872.078-0.03%2.1214+2.05%0.0042✗0.861.6M2022-07-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009880.009877-0.03%0.01025+3.74%0.0168✗1.066.2M2022-07-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.315.3085-0.03%5.64+6.21%0.0352✗1.33300k2022-07-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4795.4776-0.02%5.559+1.46%0.0078✓1.182.3M2022-07-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2521.2517-0.02%1.261+0.72%0.0194✓1.403.6M2022-07-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0157980.015795-0.02%0.016049+1.59%0.0050✗0.57366k2022-07-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010320.000010318-0.02%0.00001047+1.45%0.0095✓1.261.0M2022-07-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2955.294-0.02%5.342+0.89%0.0171✓1.375.5M2022-07-06
ADACardanoCardano0.45670.456616-0.02%0.4619+1.14%0.0136✓1.3163.0M2022-07-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4152.4147-0.01%2.42+0.21%0.0184✓1.071.6M2022-07-06
KCSKuCoinnative8.8218.8199-0.01%8.979+1.79%0.0040✓1.143.1M2022-07-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.638010.637936-0.01%0.702+10.03%0.0645✗1.6399k2022-07-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22310.223087-0.01%0.2232+0.04%0.0246✓1.31236k2022-07-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3056.305-0.00%6.327+0.35%0.0214✓1.3027.1M2022-07-06
XMRMoneroMonero122.3122.2998-0.00%125.33+2.48%0.0020✗1.181.3M2022-07-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27130.271303+0.00%0.2755+1.55%0.0080✗1.223.1M2022-07-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.602015+0.00%0.637+5.81%0.0334✓1.21952k2022-07-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,328.4020,329.50+0.01%20,413.50+0.42%0.0148✗0.9943k2022-07-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.62.6002+0.01%2.79+7.31%0.0490✓1.12577k2022-07-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.24830.248327+0.01%0.2504+0.85%0.0108✗1.00651k2022-07-06
DODODODOEthereum0.12190.121915+0.01%0.1335+9.52%0.0660✓1.292.9M2022-07-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019560.019562+0.01%0.01958+0.10%0.0183✗1.0096k2022-07-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5360.536087+0.02%0.54+0.75%0.0200✗1.43109k2022-07-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.067030.067041+0.02%0.068516+2.22%0.0018✗1.232.1M2022-07-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04250.042507+0.02%0.043+1.18%0.0155✗1.4112k2022-07-06
NANOnanopayBase0.8360410.836204+0.02%0.911182+8.99%0.0657✓1.0597k2022-07-06
DASHDashDash43.1343.1415+0.03%44.2+2.48%0.0030✓1.11739k2022-07-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.781384+0.05%0.885+13.32%0.1085✓0.841.6M2022-07-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4307+0.05%1.46+2.10%0.0084✗1.50386k2022-07-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,131.261,131.90+0.06%1,185.61+4.80%0.0240✓1.17342.2M2022-07-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,153.5120,164.97+0.06%20,542.67+1.93%0.0006✗1.00500.8M2022-07-06
GTGateEthereum4.05294.056+0.08%4.0142-0.95%0.0245✗0.741.2M2022-07-06
ZECZcashZcash57.0557.1027+0.09%58.16+1.95%0.0077✗1.361.9M2022-07-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07440.074473+0.10%0.0757+1.75%0.0077✗1.267,1822022-07-06
TRXTRONTron0.0681290.068204+0.11%0.067504-0.92%0.0269✗0.86627k2022-07-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001610.00162+0.60%0.001588-1.37%0.0396✗1.0412k2022-07-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.