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2022-05-14 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0532
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.8%
in alpha space · 69.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.23%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000368923-19.80%0.00006043-86.86%0.9581✓2.938.4M2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.4685-4.21%0.591-61.45%0.6194✓1.008.1M2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3021-4.05%0.778-42.67%0.2242✓1.005.2M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.111.0667-3.90%0.9-18.92%0.0292✓0.68470k2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.245163-3.56%0.1835-27.81%0.0011✓1.002.1M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.0836-3.34%1.458+30.06%0.6916✗1.3614.9M2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.855433-2.79%0.68-22.73%0.2188✗1.54801k2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.406035-2.75%0.252041-39.63%0.0884✓1.346.1M2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.067833-2.68%0.0486-30.27%0.1189✓0.74568k2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.837008-2.33%0.7-18.32%0.2653✗1.537.6M2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.072322-2.27%0.04897-33.82%0.0991✓1.003.8M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.0168-2.21%4.54-11.50%0.1530✗0.872.7M2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.39106-2.12%0.25719-35.63%0.0697✗1.6832k2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.47e-7-1.98%3.58e-7-35.81%0.2728✓0.521.4M2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.6995-1.93%1.2396-28.47%0.0419✗1.239.6M2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.7009-1.89%1.912-30.55%0.1413✗1.677.4M2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.609377-1.87%0.332-46.54%0.2589✓1.2040k2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.8058-1.81%1.149-37.52%0.0346✓1.442.5M2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.421.9967-1.80%13.49-39.78%0.0727✓1.433.5M2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.281618-1.67%0.1335-53.39%0.6070✓0.48458k2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.6467-1.65%1.0426-37.73%0.2723✓0.6416k2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.15553-1.56%0.136-13.92%0.2889✗1.454.4M2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.016836-1.54%0.01829+6.96%0.7324✗2.2325.3M2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.455966-1.52%0.3039-34.36%0.0601✓1.1914.3M2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.088027-1.49%0.054172-39.38%0.1633✓1.116.3M2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.00132-1.47%0.000828-38.21%0.0342✓1.493.8M2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9753.1851-1.45%46.677-13.51%0.1503✗0.971.8M2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3124-1.45%0.82849-37.79%0.0143✓1.531.1M2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.271934-1.44%0.1607-41.75%0.1589✓1.26463k2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.003894-1.41%0.00331-16.20%0.1141✗0.9519k2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.046544-1.39%0.0358-24.15%0.0751✗1.161.5M2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.224835-1.39%0.189-17.11%0.2574✗1.484.0M2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.052635-1.38%0.04329-18.89%0.0933✗0.9925k2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.015457-1.29%0.01967+25.61%0.4410✗0.69400k2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.8661-1.27%1.52-19.58%0.0921✗1.02381k2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005058-1.21%0.00359-29.88%0.0796✗1.45403k2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.015111-1.15%0.01281-16.20%0.1569✗1.114.3M2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.295-1.15%0.97-25.95%0.1367✗1.463.6M2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.4214-1.05%2.0821-14.91%0.3453✗1.7123k2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.347989-1.04%0.45073+28.18%0.7329✗1.63331k2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.038577-1.03%0.02635-32.40%0.0152✗1.3694k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.190418-1.03%0.1066-44.59%0.1286✓1.558.6M2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.253863-1.03%0.1992-22.34%0.1645✗1.40180k2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.085729-1.01%0.0508-41.34%0.0790✓1.533.6M2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum72.1171.3855-1.00%49.66-31.13%0.0619✓1.033.6M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.3761-1.00%3.52+46.67%0.6978✗1.05548k2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.0024-0.98%14.12-33.43%0.0462✗1.52167k2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.181144-0.96%0.1272-30.45%0.0613✗1.43375k2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.302238-0.91%0.941+208.52%1.6400✗1.731.8M2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.118718-0.90%0.0914-23.71%0.0646✗1.121.1M2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.542728-0.89%0.37168-32.13%0.0373✗1.4393k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.88.723-0.87%5.329-39.44%0.1295✓1.257.4M2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.5169-0.86%3.225+110.78%1.0562✗1.04683k2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.629563-0.86%0.392-38.27%0.0518✓1.4517k2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4570.8518-0.84%35.73-49.99%0.2872✓1.3730k2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative12.96812.8611-0.82%11.706-9.73%0.1772✗0.934.1M2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.5687-0.76%1.8846-27.19%0.0493✗1.23173k2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.811856-0.75%0.776-5.13%0.2741✗1.103.3M2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.9922.9699-0.74%1.997-33.26%0.0875✗1.672.4M2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.635375-0.74%0.5649-11.75%0.2858✗1.396.1M2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8168.3081-0.73%43.45-36.86%0.1191✓1.1518.2M2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.414535-0.73%0.28493-31.77%0.0053✓1.27199k2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.110106-0.72%0.0926-16.50%0.2802✗1.561.7M2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.7043-0.72%3.092-17.13%0.1228✗1.041.5M2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.8145-0.68%1.255-31.31%0.2060✗1.98973k2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0520.9077-0.68%14.4-31.59%0.0074✓1.264.2M2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000042283-0.67%0.00003827-10.10%0.2996✗1.376.5M2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.137199-0.66%0.106761-22.70%0.0601✗1.0713.6M2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.5566-0.66%8.03-16.53%0.2778✗1.555.9M2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.027-0.65%5.3088+4.92%0.1329✗0.27285k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.2221-0.64%0.858-30.24%0.1363✗1.69582k2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.045805-0.64%0.03724-19.22%0.0738✗0.978,2452022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.48-0.64%1.7211+15.55%0.4642✗1.084.3M2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.1383-0.61%3.662-29.17%0.0097✗1.203.6M2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47207.2191-0.60%126.93-39.11%0.1624✓1.135.3M2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.119984-0.59%0.0833-30.99%0.1806✗1.88694k2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001103-0.59%8.10e-7-27.03%0.0801✓0.797.9M2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration74.373.8686-0.58%46.08-37.98%0.1180✓1.221.2M2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.8198-0.58%1.4008-23.47%0.1056✗1.26878k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.248263-0.58%0.195-21.91%0.1211✗1.25292k2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.5978-0.57%4.53-19.54%0.1889✗1.38572k2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.0511-0.57%6.79+33.66%0.5333✗0.821.3M2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.142111-0.55%0.149+4.27%0.5030✗1.576.2M2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.375289-0.55%0.25822-31.57%0.0637✗1.501.4M2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.011926-0.55%0.012961+8.08%0.2988✗0.74198k2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.534236-0.53%0.4636-13.68%0.2307✗1.2846.3M2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.7348-0.53%1.318-24.43%0.1421✗1.43500k2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.6017-0.51%3.485-59.69%0.1448✓2.6194.8M2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.374619-0.49%0.38009+0.96%0.2381✗0.7770k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana52.3752.1141-0.49%28.58-45.43%0.1955✓1.3987.4M2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7710.7193-0.47%6.495-39.69%0.1129✓1.3320.1M2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.560.557377-0.47%0.347-38.04%0.1528✓1.10296k2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8933.7452-0.43%16.09-52.52%0.3203✓1.4545.0M2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.063132-0.42%0.0519-18.14%0.1369✗1.14415k2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum31.5331.3983-0.42%24.51-22.26%0.0311✗0.9615.2M2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.5078-0.41%3.286+117.04%1.0567✗0.95779k2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.934331-0.39%0.599-36.14%0.1225✓1.11769k2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.010091-0.38%0.00971-4.15%0.4418✗1.6543.3M2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash105.67105.2857-0.36%65.48-38.03%0.1067✓1.275.3M2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004694-0.35%0.00285-39.49%0.1482✓1.211.8M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.072672-0.31%0.048-34.16%0.1122✓1.04115k2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.1922-0.30%0.939069-21.47%0.0676✗1.0598k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.5891-0.24%3.88-15.65%0.2525✗1.452.8M2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.4096-0.24%0.718-49.19%0.2576✓1.436.6M2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.5109-0.22%5.442-36.20%0.0415✓1.408.0M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.1385-0.22%0.80971-29.04%0.0535✓0.9924k2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.013735-0.18%0.00905-34.23%0.1084✓1.063.2M2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009423-0.18%0.00632-33.05%0.0802✓1.101.1M2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum5.55515.5454-0.17%4.2445-23.59%0.1108✓0.544.9M2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.741736-0.17%0.447-39.84%0.0747✓1.48357k2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.004770.004762-0.17%0.00303-36.48%0.0625✓1.34885k2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.196431-0.17%0.13259-32.61%0.0762✗1.61262k2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026417-0.16%0.018258-31.00%0.0755✓1.0126k2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4177-0.16%0.88-38.03%0.1628✓1.08140k2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.116919-0.15%0.0991-15.37%0.0990✗0.9119k2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.200491-0.15%0.1611-19.77%0.2075✗1.47649k2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.898711-0.14%0.6-33.33%0.1332✓0.93137k2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.348835-0.13%0.2574-26.31%0.0604✗1.258.5M2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.0155-0.12%2.414-20.04%0.0815✗1.0596k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.2673-0.11%7.032-37.66%0.0943✓1.3012.2M2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.5959-0.08%2.042-21.40%0.2021✗1.52221k2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.629668-0.05%0.493-21.75%0.2105✗1.571.7M2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.332829-0.05%0.256-23.12%0.0287✗1.001.1M2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010005-0.05%0.00733-26.77%0.0799✓0.80269k2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.6464+0.06%11.71+10.06%0.5290✓1.49136k2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.03382+0.06%0.0291-13.91%0.2391✓1.34179k2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.5716+0.06%4.17+62.26%0.7671✓0.98453k2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.099472+0.07%0.0599-39.74%0.0124✗1.70215k2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.7828+0.10%3.335+87.25%0.8333✓0.711.9M2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.072360.072444+0.12%0.063701-11.97%0.1064✓0.811.1M2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.0024+0.12%1.145-42.75%0.0774✗1.6687k2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.496747+0.15%0.301-39.31%0.0796✗1.45869k2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.088034+0.15%0.0654-25.60%0.0523✗0.84169k2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4486.5783+0.16%59.74-30.89%0.0624✓1.497.8M2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.50930.510195+0.18%0.3584-29.63%0.0097✓1.251.5M2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.5366+0.19%2.75-22.10%0.0370✗0.74777k2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.1871+0.22%4.2+32.08%0.5489✓0.94798k2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.201269+0.23%0.1305-35.01%0.1307✗1.042,6012022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.587+0.27%2.19-15.12%0.3446✓1.76378k2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9214.9625+0.29%8.36-43.97%0.2024✗1.31822k2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,059.70+0.31%1,207.82-41.18%0.2344✗1.03494.1M2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,243.81+0.33%4,951.67-51.50%0.3888✗1.162.7M2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.0959+0.36%0.662-39.38%0.1009✗1.39760k2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.7588+0.38%8.14-35.96%0.1873✗0.90555k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.138078+0.42%0.1013-26.33%0.1720✓1.66109k2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.1286+0.51%2.7762-32.42%0.0457✗1.21135k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8396+0.53%1.29-29.51%0.1395✓1.70418k2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.11779+0.59%0.0945-19.30%0.1748✓1.361.2M2022-06-13
DASHDashDash60.8661.2292+0.61%42.59-30.02%0.0189✗1.181.1M2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.956686+0.70%1.61+69.47%0.7499✓0.79201k2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7561+0.86%2.313-15.36%0.2965✓1.628.0M2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero153.49154.8358+0.88%132.56-13.64%0.1446✓1.033.2M2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.368093+0.93%0.2205-39.54%0.1438✗1.2793k2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493222.7097+0.96%14.6487-34.87%0.0175✗1.45195k2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.480669+1.02%0.3765-20.87%0.1836✓1.47307k2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.3265+1.06%5.917-18.39%0.1672✓1.3118.3M2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009414+1.06%0.00763-18.09%0.0891✓1.0327k2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.6615+1.08%2.0689+25.86%0.5375✓1.092.5M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8830,366.20+1.08%22,460.97-25.23%0.0107✓1.00672.6M2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.072306+1.27%0.0561-21.43%0.2937✓1.88176k2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.06946+1.45%0.04562-33.37%0.1172✗1.0419k2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.1767+1.48%0.845884-27.05%0.0355✓1.26161k2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.02534+1.52%0.01883-24.56%0.0117✓1.06202k2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.05680.057676+1.54%0.039006-31.33%0.0338✗1.23164k2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5030,497.25+1.76%22,471.70-25.02%0.0222✗0.9768k2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.000012823+2.01%0.00000802-36.20%0.0877✗1.311.3M2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.