8=======>

2022-05-03 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0744
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
20.1%
in alpha space · 13.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.20923.2136+0.14%3.3664+4.90%0.0183✓0.565.8M2022-05-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020350.000020378+0.14%0.00002178+7.03%0.0130✓1.061.4M2022-05-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum29.0829.1147+0.12%33.33+14.61%0.0722✓1.254.0M2022-05-04
GTGateEthereum6.30426.3114+0.11%6.523+3.47%0.0107✓0.444.5M2022-05-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.375.3759+0.11%5.56+3.54%0.0054✓0.56869k2022-05-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,647.2037,677.14+0.08%39,665.50+5.36%0.0042✓0.9425k2022-05-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1295030.129583+0.06%0.135908+4.95%0.0008✓0.937.1M2022-05-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03810.038121+0.05%0.04109+7.85%0.0333✓0.8340k2022-05-04
XMRMoneroMonero206.93207.041+0.05%225.24+8.85%0.0382✓0.913.3M2022-05-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.60445.6073+0.05%5.6389+0.62%0.0181✗0.47249k2022-05-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.41018+0.04%0.46+12.20%0.0408✓1.46293k2022-05-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0233050.023313+0.04%0.024465+4.98%0.0035✗1.034.3M2022-05-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.8226.8274+0.03%30.61+14.13%0.0752✓1.124.9M2022-05-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.121710.121743+0.03%0.12604+3.56%0.0006✗0.7017k2022-05-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5714.5739+0.03%16.45+12.90%0.0520✓1.37145k2022-05-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4190.419091+0.02%0.4526+8.02%0.0327✓0.88311k2022-05-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.8261.8264+0.02%1.935+5.97%0.0200✓0.7524k2022-05-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.3911.3902+0.00%12.03+5.62%0.0035✓1.02963k2022-05-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96510.965095-0.00%1.0448+8.26%0.0164✗1.256.8M2022-05-04
SGBSongbirdnative0.05510.055095-0.01%0.0549-0.36%0.0262✓0.45138k2022-05-04
XVSVenusEthereum7.787.7791-0.01%8.52+9.51%0.0383✗1.053.2M2022-05-04
UNIUniswapEthereum6.856.8491-0.01%7.94+15.91%0.0952✗1.044.4M2022-05-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21860.218571-0.01%0.2478+13.36%0.0408✗1.681.3M2022-05-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.1780.177975-0.01%0.196+10.11%0.0389✗1.141.6M2022-05-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.061070.06106-0.02%0.06675+9.30%0.0360✗1.0593k2022-05-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007510.007508-0.02%0.0078+3.86%0.0066✗0.6327k2022-05-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.264.259-0.02%4.47+4.93%0.0121✗0.72733k2022-05-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0120730.01207-0.03%0.013631+12.90%0.0789✗0.8544k2022-05-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1510.150955-0.03%0.168+11.26%0.0876✗0.38132k2022-05-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39250.392378-0.03%0.4415+12.48%0.0652✗1.05499k2022-05-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9250.924693-0.03%1.006+8.76%0.0266✗1.141.2M2022-05-04
QTUMQtumQtum5.39065.3888-0.03%5.9368+10.13%0.0388✗1.15103k2022-05-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.86450.86416-0.04%0.9575+10.76%0.0438✗1.1797k2022-05-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.5020.501796-0.04%0.5538+10.32%0.0476✗1.018.0M2022-05-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37912.3781-0.04%2.4779+4.15%0.0080✗0.6615k2022-05-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192290.019218-0.06%0.02161+12.38%0.0955✗0.43193k2022-05-04
MANADecentralandEthereum1.47561.4748-0.06%1.6585+12.39%0.0617✗1.11970k2022-05-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.169.1545-0.06%9.68+5.68%0.0347✗0.421.6M2022-05-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2270.226854-0.06%0.237+4.41%0.0089✗0.6925k2022-05-04
DODODODOEthereum0.2850.284816-0.06%0.323+13.33%0.0674✗1.165.6M2022-05-04
FTTFTXEthereum37.7937.7654-0.07%39.56+4.68%0.0020✗0.8812.4M2022-05-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,719.5937,693.85-0.07%39,669.56+5.17%0.0007✗1.00553.2M2022-05-04
SOLSolanaSolana85.8585.7899-0.07%92.76+8.05%0.0178✗1.2085.8M2022-05-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.34240.342158-0.07%0.372+8.64%0.0180✗1.30190k2022-05-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.73731.7361-0.07%1.8765+8.01%0.0333✗0.8889k2022-05-04
SUSHISushiEthereum2.322.3183-0.07%2.62+12.93%0.0594✗1.254.0M2022-05-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,780.342,778.30-0.07%2,939.98+5.74%0.0059✗1.01438.2M2022-05-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum11.1211.1117-0.07%12.2+9.71%0.0375✗1.1118.3M2022-05-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20020.200041-0.08%0.222+10.89%0.0365✗1.34114k2022-05-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2250.224818-0.08%0.2557+13.64%0.0575✗1.417.0M2022-05-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.8911.8803-0.08%10.17-14.47%0.1788✓0.462.5M2022-05-04
KSMKusamaHydration127.65127.5446-0.08%140.48+10.05%0.0423✗1.08954k2022-05-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014360.014348-0.08%0.01524+6.13%0.0151✗0.901.2M2022-05-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.924.9158-0.09%5.395+9.65%0.0334✗1.18186k2022-05-04
XTZTezosTezos2.48722.485-0.09%2.7028+8.67%0.0313✗1.05855k2022-05-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9422.9394-0.09%3.092+5.10%0.0204✗0.601.4M2022-05-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06560.065542-0.09%0.07079+7.91%0.0377✗0.7816k2022-05-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.3511.3498-0.09%1.474+9.10%0.0342✗1.0763k2022-05-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.079510.079438-0.09%0.08485+6.72%0.0251✗0.8132k2022-05-04
MOVRMoonriverBase39.566639.5299-0.09%43.5734+10.13%0.0241✗1.45189k2022-05-04
AAVEAaveEthereum141.02140.8863-0.09%159.43+13.05%0.0609✗1.249.8M2022-05-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.971.9681-0.10%2.12+7.61%0.0243✗0.99135k2022-05-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5840.58343-0.10%0.615+5.31%0.0142✗0.761.5M2022-05-04
COMPCompoundEthereum102.6102.4989-0.10%114.56+11.66%0.0537✗1.1433k2022-05-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.812.7872-0.10%14.28+11.56%0.0527✗1.158.7M2022-05-04
ZECZcashZcash119.63119.5102-0.10%134.35+12.30%0.0616✗1.105.8M2022-05-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.3943.3906-0.10%3.8+11.96%0.0464✗1.3479k2022-05-04
SCSiacoinnative0.008220.008212-0.10%0.00898+9.25%0.0305✗1.17382k2022-05-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.038460.038421-0.10%0.04253+10.58%0.0626✗0.77244k2022-05-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.822.7765-0.10%24.08+5.61%0.0110✗0.89458k2022-05-04
BANDBandEthereum2.9752.9719-0.10%3.342+12.34%0.0547✗1.24572k2022-05-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017820.017801-0.11%0.02056+15.38%0.0716✗1.4447.4M2022-05-04
NANOnanopayBase1.68621.6844-0.11%1.8061+7.11%0.0163✗1.06156k2022-05-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8042.801-0.11%2.994+6.78%0.0314✗0.701.0M2022-05-04
STXStacksnative0.920.918971-0.11%0.99+7.61%0.0266✗0.95311k2022-05-04
XVGVergenative0.008120.008111-0.11%0.00896+10.34%0.0452✗1.08975k2022-05-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1719620.171757-0.12%0.184721+7.42%0.0240✗0.9713.8M2022-05-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03480.034758-0.12%0.0439+26.15%0.1541✗1.5823.0M2022-05-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.4782-0.12%1.64+10.81%0.0375✗1.32989k2022-05-04
XEMNEMnative0.08780.087687-0.13%0.0917+4.44%0.0023✓0.9352k2022-05-04
XECeCashnative0.000071880.000071787-0.13%0.00007852+9.24%0.0403✗0.987.9M2022-05-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6946830.693778-0.13%0.800276+15.20%0.0928✗0.995.3M2022-05-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40120.400677-0.13%0.4811+19.92%0.1677✗0.30580k2022-05-04
KCSKuCoinnative17.81217.7887-0.13%18.408+3.35%0.0050✓0.784.5M2022-05-04
DASHDashDash88.0987.9742-0.13%95.85+8.81%0.0342✗1.021.2M2022-05-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.018080.018056-0.13%0.01937+7.13%0.0340✗0.723.6M2022-05-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.27160.271233-0.14%0.2979+9.68%0.0286✗1.29795k2022-05-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5781.5758-0.14%1.817+15.15%0.0883✗1.077.8M2022-05-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0311.0296-0.14%1.115+8.15%0.0253✗1.083.6M2022-05-04
AVTAventusEthereum21.9972-0.14%1.9-5.00%0.0786✓0.57272k2022-05-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.08433.08-0.14%3.2118+4.13%0.0107✗0.624.1M2022-05-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6570.656067-0.14%0.717+9.13%0.0181✗1.401.7M2022-05-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.579930.5791-0.14%0.65135+12.32%0.0653✗1.04126k2022-05-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.25870.25833-0.14%0.2829+9.35%0.0356✗1.10391k2022-05-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14060.140395-0.15%0.1592+13.23%0.0630✗1.245.6M2022-05-04
API3Api3Ethereum3.4013.396-0.15%3.652+7.38%0.0232✗0.983.1M2022-05-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.3464.3395-0.15%4.68+7.69%0.0276✗0.9567k2022-05-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin14.6214.5979-0.15%15.71+7.46%0.0199✗1.067.8M2022-05-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.921.9171-0.15%2.076+8.13%0.0265✗1.0516.1M2022-05-04
HIVEHivenative0.77430.773111-0.15%0.8291+7.08%0.0194✗1.001.5M2022-05-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09420.094052-0.16%0.0973+3.29%0.0083✓0.843.0M2022-05-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV72.6872.5651-0.16%78.63+8.19%0.0393✗0.812.1M2022-05-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.6424.6344-0.16%5.073+9.28%0.0184✗1.437.7M2022-05-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash279.33278.869-0.17%299.95+7.38%0.0236✗0.985.4M2022-05-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.075.0613-0.17%5.34+5.33%0.0196✗0.671.1M2022-05-04
MINAMina Protocolnative1.771.7669-0.17%2.01+13.56%0.0743✗1.081.1M2022-05-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14370.143446-0.18%0.1544+7.45%0.0345✓2.14272k2022-05-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.750.748667-0.18%0.82+9.33%0.0341✗1.13443k2022-05-04
QNTQuantEthereum93.0392.8567-0.19%101.58+9.19%0.0463✗0.863.4M2022-05-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.712980.711633-0.19%0.80809+13.34%0.0654✗1.221.4M2022-05-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.33510.334444-0.20%0.3846+14.77%0.1177✗0.444,1372022-05-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72280.721382-0.20%0.8162+12.92%0.0603✗1.25328k2022-05-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.19210.191722-0.20%0.222+15.56%0.0824✗1.272.2M2022-05-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.48083.4739-0.20%3.7324+7.23%0.0324✗0.7810.0M2022-05-04
PROPropyEthereum1.571.5669-0.20%1.72+9.55%0.0646✗0.57459k2022-05-04
ORCAOrcaSolana1.821.8163-0.20%1.87+2.75%0.0065✓0.71164k2022-05-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12660.126339-0.21%0.1295+2.29%0.0216✓0.92156k2022-05-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.7314.6981-0.22%16.32+10.79%0.0530✗1.0311.7M2022-05-04
ZENHorizenBase30.2630.1944-0.22%33.7+11.37%0.0429✗1.33177k2022-05-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0030.002993-0.22%0.00353+17.67%0.1118✗1.054.2M2022-05-04
BTTCBTTC0.000001710.000001706-0.23%0.00000178+4.09%0.0070✗0.707.6M2022-05-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.8221.7698-0.23%23.95+9.76%0.0315✗1.27586k2022-05-04
DIADIAEthereum0.760.758221-0.23%0.81+6.58%0.0446✗0.4271k2022-05-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.7783.7691-0.24%4.124+9.16%0.0022✓1.741.5M2022-05-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.13590.135568-0.24%0.1613+18.69%0.1123✗1.22180k2022-05-04
XYMSymbolnative0.09110.090876-0.25%0.0959+5.27%0.0203✗0.66735k2022-05-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.5617.516-0.25%19.91+13.38%0.0756✗1.0419.4M2022-05-04
ADACardanoCardano0.77110.769142-0.25%0.8983+16.50%0.1028✗1.0441.1M2022-05-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4410.43988-0.25%0.478+8.39%0.0315✗1.024.3M2022-05-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.20420.20367-0.26%0.213+4.31%0.0033✗0.821.2M2022-05-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0631.0602-0.26%1.182+11.19%0.0467✗1.23357k2022-05-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3985.3838-0.26%5.785+7.17%0.0421✗0.591.5M2022-05-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0561.0532-0.27%1.114+5.49%0.0066✗0.9852k2022-05-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4492.4424-0.27%2.764+12.86%0.0446✗1.57719k2022-05-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.73863.7286-0.27%4.2374+13.34%0.0787✗0.98177k2022-05-04
LUNATerraTerra 282.5782.3451-0.27%86.09+4.26%0.0197✓1.277.5M2022-05-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008550.008527-0.27%0.00934+9.24%0.0336✗1.142.4M2022-05-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin99.3599.0642-0.29%106.25+6.95%0.0193✗1.0117.3M2022-05-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.653.6393-0.29%3.783+3.64%0.0226✗0.322.5M2022-05-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.621720.619877-0.30%0.67548+8.65%0.0299✗1.1187k2022-05-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.69630.694225-0.30%0.7522+8.03%0.0182✗1.23117k2022-05-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.10730.106968-0.31%0.1109+3.36%0.0084✓0.88425k2022-05-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.6359.4453-0.31%67.28+12.83%0.0654✗1.1644.2M2022-05-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1542.1473-0.31%2.596+20.52%0.1257✗1.275.1M2022-05-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0361.0326-0.32%1.14+10.04%0.0412✗1.152.2M2022-05-04
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6984.6824-0.33%5.147+9.56%0.0213✗1.4519k2022-05-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1721.1681-0.33%1.282+9.39%0.0411✗1.03501k2022-05-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.017080.017022-0.34%0.018+5.39%0.0055✗1.00269k2022-05-04
STEEMSteemnative0.35650.355273-0.34%0.3966+11.25%0.0596✗1.007.0M2022-05-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.6965-0.36%4.39+18.33%0.1026✗1.38385k2022-05-04
RADRadworksEthereum3.813.7948-0.40%4.01+5.25%0.0133✗0.83578k2022-05-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31910.317766-0.42%0.3438+7.74%0.0193✗1.186.8M2022-05-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.724.7002-0.42%4.91+4.03%0.0103✗0.66648k2022-05-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7994.7786-0.43%5.0794+5.84%0.0029✓1.158.6M2022-05-04
TRXTRONTron0.0726820.072373-0.43%0.086397+18.87%0.1461✗0.62296k2022-05-04
UMAUMAEthereum5.3395.3149-0.45%5.67+6.20%0.0060✓1.401.8M2022-05-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,468.6017,389.44-0.45%18,332.59+4.95%0.0048✗0.952.7M2022-05-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.754.7277-0.47%5.17+8.84%0.0152✗1.47339k2022-05-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.43e-79.37e-7-0.66%9.57e-7+1.50%0.0246✗-0.06596k2022-05-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03160.031382-0.69%0.02852-9.75%0.1214✓0.51416k2022-05-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.67070.664107-0.98%0.7153+6.65%0.0272✗0.9310.9M2022-05-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0570.056398-1.06%0.0598+4.91%0.0011✓1.14179k2022-05-04
APEApeCoinEthereum14.15213.9699-1.29%15.557+9.93%0.0034✓2.0752.0M2022-05-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.9621.6453-1.43%22.15+0.87%0.0437✓1.332.2M2022-05-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.