8=======>

2022-04-30 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3493
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.6%
in alpha space · 35.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.20150.202369+0.43%0.2277+13.00%0.0811✓1.691.8M2022-05-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1350.13558+0.43%0.138+2.22%0.0080✓0.44175k2022-05-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum29.0829.1595+0.27%31.79+9.32%0.0593✓1.244.4M2022-05-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.8925.9518+0.24%27.61+6.64%0.0379✓1.115.1M2022-05-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.721.7229+0.17%2.01+16.86%0.1424✓0.54279k2022-05-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020160.000020188+0.14%0.00002156+6.94%0.0427✓1.061.5M2022-05-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.31633.3209+0.14%3.3009-0.46%0.0182✗0.566.0M2022-05-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.420.420549+0.13%0.42+0.00%0.0334✗1.48311k2022-05-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.3614.3777+0.12%15.21+5.92%0.0267✓1.36158k2022-05-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.39910.399589+0.12%0.4068+1.93%0.0128✓0.23638k2022-05-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,625.5037,670.80+0.12%38,172.20+1.45%0.0070✗0.9326k2022-05-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.13120.131349+0.11%0.1428+8.84%0.0572✓1.21204k2022-05-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.68010.680864+0.11%0.7448+9.51%0.0624✓1.26369k2022-05-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90280.903802+0.11%0.9442+4.59%0.0164✓1.258.3M2022-05-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.700763+0.11%0.73+4.29%0.0172✓1.09512k2022-05-01
MANADecentralandEthereum1.43191.4333+0.10%1.5345+7.17%0.0441✓1.111.1M2022-05-01
TRXTRONTron0.062670.062729+0.09%0.070764+12.92%0.1074✓0.60273k2022-05-01
XVSVenusEthereum7.667.6668+0.09%8+4.44%0.0199✓1.043.4M2022-05-01
UNIUniswapEthereum6.766.7659+0.09%7.12+5.33%0.0282✓1.054.7M2022-05-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03730.037327+0.07%0.03837+2.87%0.0097✓0.8250k2022-05-01
SUSHISushiEthereum2.32.3016+0.07%2.39+3.91%0.0104✓1.254.2M2022-05-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.17130.171418+0.07%0.1821+6.30%0.0357✓1.142.1M2022-05-01
GTGateEthereum6.2976.3012+0.07%6.2343-1.00%0.0205✗0.454.6M2022-05-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.21990.220028+0.06%0.2378+8.14%0.0467✓1.427.7M2022-05-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.077650.077681+0.04%0.07933+2.16%0.0038✓0.7930k2022-05-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4140.414147+0.04%0.422+1.93%0.0003✓0.87343k2022-05-01
XMRMoneroMonero214.3214.3674+0.03%212.25-0.96%0.0298✗0.913.3M2022-05-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.4312.4338+0.03%13.05+4.99%0.0247✓1.099.4M2022-05-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1274490.127485+0.03%0.132649+4.08%0.0195✓0.937.2M2022-05-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0247040.02471+0.02%0.025059+1.44%0.0084✗1.034.1M2022-05-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1221.1223+0.02%1.157+3.12%0.0081✓1.03501k2022-05-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8792.8797+0.02%2.908+1.01%0.0036✗0.611.6M2022-05-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40.400075+0.02%0.4027+0.67%0.0174✗1.10535k2022-05-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6250.625099+0.02%0.672+7.52%0.0420✓1.391.7M2022-05-01
XECeCashnative0.000067750.000067755+0.01%0.00007344+8.40%0.0597✓0.968.7M2022-05-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.6590.659047+0.01%0.6634+0.67%0.0203✗1.24134k2022-05-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.847190.847241+0.01%0.90434+6.75%0.0403✓1.14118k2022-05-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.8141.8141+0.01%1.872+3.20%0.0155✓0.7324k2022-05-01
DODODODOEthereum0.2830.283004+0.00%0.304+7.42%0.0467✓1.146.7M2022-05-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20040.200384-0.01%0.2068+3.19%0.0022✗1.35125k2022-05-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.2311.2289-0.01%11.7+4.19%0.0188✗1.021.0M2022-05-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9040.903907-0.01%0.942+4.20%0.0181✗1.061.3M2022-05-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7642.7637-0.01%2.85+3.11%0.0157✗0.691.1M2022-05-01
ZECZcashZcash114113.9862-0.01%124+8.77%0.0610✗1.076.3M2022-05-01
MOVRMoonriverBase39.789739.7849-0.01%41.27+3.72%0.0054✗1.43201k2022-05-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.52910.529031-0.01%0.5449+2.99%0.0082✗0.987.9M2022-05-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.254.2494-0.01%4.37+2.82%0.0122✗0.731.1M2022-05-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.9710.9681-0.02%11.29+2.92%0.0047✗1.1120.5M2022-05-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.964.959-0.02%5.02+1.21%0.0024✓0.671.2M2022-05-01
MINAMina Protocolnative1.71.6997-0.02%1.8+5.88%0.0335✗1.091.3M2022-05-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.18010.180063-0.02%0.1959+8.77%0.0564✗1.282.2M2022-05-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26580.26574-0.02%0.2863+7.71%0.0461✗1.30836k2022-05-01
SOLSolanaSolana84.6984.6657-0.03%89.65+5.86%0.0308✗1.21100.4M2022-05-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.12730.127263-0.03%0.12406-2.55%0.0415✓0.7416k2022-05-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05130.051283-0.03%0.0535+4.29%0.0174✗1.14231k2022-05-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.3561.3556-0.03%1.513+11.58%0.0876✗1.027.5M2022-05-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4463.4448-0.03%3.588+4.12%0.0120✗1.3286k2022-05-01
QTUMQtumQtum5.32125.3192-0.04%5.608+5.39%0.0282✗1.13134k2022-05-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.022110.022101-0.04%0.019451-12.03%0.1391✓0.52195k2022-05-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5083.5066-0.04%3.533+0.71%0.0005✗0.322.5M2022-05-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.419.4061-0.04%9.45+0.43%0.0044✓0.421.8M2022-05-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.34410.343952-0.04%0.3546+3.05%0.0021✗1.30233k2022-05-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2280.2279-0.04%0.233+2.19%0.0073✗0.6827k2022-05-01
DASHDashDash84.684.5624-0.04%90.01+6.39%0.0403✗1.011.3M2022-05-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.9971-0.05%5.83-2.83%0.0404✓0.56982k2022-05-01
BANDBandEthereum2.9652.9636-0.05%3.113+4.99%0.0225✗1.23588k2022-05-01
NANOnanopayBase1.65571.6549-0.05%1.7659+6.66%0.0426✗1.03168k2022-05-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.471.4693-0.05%1.54+4.76%0.0184✗1.311.3M2022-05-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.74991.7489-0.06%1.8001+2.87%0.0101✗0.8696k2022-05-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin14.2314.2219-0.06%15.12+6.25%0.0382✗1.069.2M2022-05-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3822.3806-0.06%2.535+6.42%0.0293✗1.54816k2022-05-01
SGBSongbirdnative0.05630.056265-0.06%0.0554-1.60%0.0256✓0.46163k2022-05-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19460.194479-0.06%0.2012+3.39%0.0156✗0.841.3M2022-05-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.27882.2774-0.06%2.4045+5.52%0.0409✗0.6213k2022-05-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.3611.3524-0.07%11.61+2.20%0.0121✗0.472.9M2022-05-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03580.035774-0.07%0.0382+6.70%0.0309✗1.5928.3M2022-05-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.9144.9104-0.07%5.083+3.44%0.0087✗1.19201k2022-05-01
AAVEAaveEthereum142.59142.4833-0.07%146.6+2.81%0.0010✗1.2611.6M2022-05-01
XVGVergenative0.008230.008224-0.08%0.00861+4.62%0.0225✗1.071.1M2022-05-01
API3Api3Ethereum3.1793.1765-0.08%3.294+3.62%0.0148✗0.992.8M2022-05-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018150.018136-0.08%0.01888+4.02%0.0091✗1.4347.4M2022-05-01
ZENHorizenBase29.0429.0165-0.08%30.81+6.10%0.0315✗1.31224k2022-05-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0128950.012884-0.08%0.012277-4.79%0.0671✓0.8651k2022-05-01
XTZTezosTezos2.53332.5312-0.08%2.5781+1.77%0.0042✓1.04873k2022-05-01
SCSiacoinnative0.008240.008233-0.08%0.00849+3.03%0.0055✗1.16425k2022-05-01
KSMKusamaHydration131.55131.4373-0.09%133.3+1.33%0.0094✓1.081.1M2022-05-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,726.592,724.24-0.09%2,824.86+3.60%0.0144✗1.00438.2M2022-05-01
COMPCompoundEthereum104.6104.5086-0.09%105.47+0.83%0.0159✓1.1547k2022-05-01
XEMNEMnative0.08850.088421-0.09%0.0894+1.02%0.0090✓0.9260k2022-05-01
STXStacksnative0.910.909175-0.09%0.95+4.40%0.0232✗0.95344k2022-05-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5840.583456-0.09%0.597+2.23%0.0063✗0.771.8M2022-05-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014310.014296-0.10%0.01493+4.33%0.0241✗0.881.3M2022-05-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14220.142062-0.10%0.1473+3.59%0.0108✓2.16278k2022-05-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060.059941-0.10%0.06366+6.10%0.0374✗1.05114k2022-05-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.6885.6824-0.10%5.5805-1.89%0.0287✓0.49245k2022-05-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,644.1037,606.36-0.10%38,473.05+2.20%0.0010✗1.00542.5M2022-05-01
FTTFTXEthereum37.9537.9113-0.10%39.11+3.06%0.0118✗0.8914.7M2022-05-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.10563.1023-0.11%3.1516+1.48%0.0025✗0.614.6M2022-05-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.09930.099191-0.11%0.1052+5.94%0.0393✗0.90527k2022-05-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9850.98392-0.11%1.065+8.12%0.0564✗1.053.8M2022-05-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1690040.168812-0.11%0.175665+3.94%0.0188✗0.9715.1M2022-05-01
KCSKuCoinnative17.26217.2423-0.11%17.88+3.58%0.0193✗0.785.0M2022-05-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.991.9876-0.12%2.02+1.51%0.0055✓1.00137k2022-05-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0670.066919-0.12%0.0665-0.75%0.0232✓0.7720k2022-05-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.570420.569708-0.12%0.60436+5.95%0.0367✗1.03145k2022-05-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV71.3571.2584-0.13%73.84+3.49%0.0182✗0.802.2M2022-05-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3774.3712-0.13%4.822+10.17%0.0677✗1.408.3M2022-05-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.524.514-0.13%4.73+4.65%0.0145✗1.48339k2022-05-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.054.0446-0.13%4.203+3.78%0.0180✗0.9466k2022-05-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche57.0156.9332-0.13%58.76+3.07%0.0060✗1.1745.0M2022-05-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.554.5436-0.14%4.66+2.42%0.0108✗0.67685k2022-05-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.711560.710511-0.15%0.72519+1.92%0.0066✓1.241.4M2022-05-01
XYMSymbolnative0.08920.089068-0.15%0.0933+4.60%0.0321✗0.66806k2022-05-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003030.003025-0.15%0.00315+3.96%0.0170✗1.075.6M2022-05-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02770.027658-0.15%0.02732-1.37%0.0250✓0.58458k2022-05-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.5114.487-0.16%15.36+5.86%0.0362✗1.0211.8M2022-05-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.008330.008317-0.16%0.00779-6.48%0.0792✓0.6328k2022-05-01
GITCOINGITCOIN4.4864.4784-0.17%4.744+5.75%0.0259✗1.4619k2022-05-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash277.83277.354-0.17%284.18+2.29%0.0032✗0.975.6M2022-05-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9961.9925-0.17%2.066+3.51%0.0078✗1.306.0M2022-05-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04050.040429-0.18%0.04136+2.12%0.0057✗0.78277k2022-05-01
HIVEHivenative0.780.778623-0.18%0.801+2.69%0.0069✗0.981.7M2022-05-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.8417.808-0.18%18+0.90%0.0125✓1.0720.9M2022-05-01
ADACardanoCardano0.75580.754443-0.18%0.7896+4.47%0.0228✗1.0543.8M2022-05-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.6723.6654-0.18%3.915+6.62%0.0280✗1.741.7M2022-05-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0581.0561-0.18%1.095+3.50%0.0091✗1.24394k2022-05-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.019330.019294-0.19%0.01921-0.62%0.0199✓0.724.1M2022-05-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4751.4721-0.19%1.464-0.75%0.0290✓1.0875k2022-05-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0071.005-0.20%1.074+6.65%0.0416✗1.142.2M2022-05-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.34580.345118-0.20%0.3601+4.14%0.0337✗0.404,4772022-05-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001660.000001657-0.21%0.00000172+3.61%0.0222✗0.718.0M2022-05-01
LUNATerraTerra 278.1377.9585-0.22%82.3+5.34%0.0259✗1.308.4M2022-05-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4520.450949-0.23%0.461+1.99%0.0002✓1.024.3M2022-05-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008390.00837-0.23%0.00817-2.62%0.0490✓1.143.1M2022-05-01
QNTQuantEthereum92.7592.5322-0.23%97.29+4.89%0.0326✗0.813.4M2022-05-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.63033.6217-0.24%3.854+6.16%0.0410✗0.97238k2022-05-01
ORCAOrcaSolana1.841.8356-0.24%1.86+1.09%0.0025✓0.72181k2022-05-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum2221.9472-0.24%23.01+4.59%0.0202✗1.24644k2022-05-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14910.148729-0.25%0.1516+1.68%0.0080✓1.247.2M2022-05-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin95.8995.6387-0.26%99.27+3.52%0.0152✗1.0117.8M2022-05-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.017953-0.26%0.0175-2.78%0.0475✓1.01328k2022-05-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.56760.566083-0.27%0.602+6.06%0.0409✗0.9510.9M2022-05-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.630490.628757-0.27%0.64762+2.72%0.0051✗1.12107k2022-05-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1232.1171-0.28%2.068-2.59%0.0456✓1.0215.2M2022-05-01
PROPropyEthereum1.571.5656-0.28%1.58+0.64%0.0035✓0.58387k2022-05-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7539570.751731-0.30%0.716842-4.92%0.0692✓0.995.0M2022-05-01
DIADIAEthereum0.790.787589-0.31%0.77-2.53%0.0328✓0.4775k2022-05-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1320.131591-0.31%0.1291-2.20%0.0397✓0.95169k2022-05-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,656.5816,604.22-0.31%17,039.85+2.30%0.0043✗0.993.1M2022-05-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.25930.258472-0.32%0.268+3.36%0.0126✗1.09428k2022-05-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30670.305711-0.32%0.3153+2.80%0.0046✗1.219.0M2022-05-01
RADRadworksEthereum3.83.7875-0.33%3.81+0.26%0.0128✓0.86621k2022-05-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0951.0912-0.34%1.095+0.00%0.0175✓0.9656k2022-05-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.733.717-0.35%4+7.24%0.0433✗1.38385k2022-05-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.4623.3723-0.37%23.71+1.07%0.0052✓0.90478k2022-05-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8184.7967-0.44%4.9155+2.02%0.0007✓1.1510.2M2022-05-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.3485.3235-0.46%5.42+1.35%0.0129✓1.421.7M2022-05-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.87634.8472-0.60%4.5174-7.36%0.0872✓0.7710.0M2022-05-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2456.2006-0.71%5.683-9.00%0.1006✓0.621.6M2022-05-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.72e-79.64e-7-0.83%9.40e-7-3.29%0.0243✓-0.04580k2022-05-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1070.105832-1.09%0.0967-9.63%0.1088✓0.852.8M2022-05-01
APEApeCoinEthereum19.98719.6214-1.83%15.865-20.62%0.2628✓2.3145.8M2022-05-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.4519.9802-2.30%24.28+18.73%0.1672✗1.272.2M2022-05-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.