8=======>

2022-04-10 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2006
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
90.7%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-26.48%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-77.66e-7-14.57%8.18e-7-8.84%0.0663✓-0.43680k2022-05-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.86070.749399-12.93%0.3361-60.95%0.6473✓0.50690k2022-05-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07030.061721-12.20%0.041-41.68%0.0392✓1.20471k2022-05-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.740720.650563-12.17%0.46724-36.92%0.0042✓1.06244k2022-05-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.961.7255-11.97%1.15-41.33%0.0063✓1.341.2M2022-05-10
BANDBandEthereum3.9543.481-11.96%2.243-43.27%0.0641✓1.22733k2022-05-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.9964.4133-11.66%2.733-45.30%0.1588✓1.04104k2022-05-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.0784.5182-11.02%2.599-48.82%0.0274✓1.712.5M2022-05-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5560.494736-11.02%0.296-46.76%0.1626✓1.148.0M2022-05-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15385.4846-10.87%3.3422-45.69%0.1547✓1.1118.9M2022-05-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.21460.191544-10.74%0.1079-49.72%0.2398✓1.09276k2022-05-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95920.856527-10.70%0.5668-40.91%0.0101✓1.38870k2022-05-10
DIADIAEthereum0.940.839764-10.66%0.51-45.74%0.3630✓0.44172k2022-05-10
RADRadworksEthereum4.994.461-10.60%2.73-45.29%0.2058✓0.93650k2022-05-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19420.174176-10.31%0.114-41.30%0.0536✓1.206.2M2022-05-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.0344.0077-10.24%24.28-50.48%0.1936✓1.308.6M2022-05-10
SCSiacoinnative0.010880.009792-10.00%0.00617-43.29%0.1021✓1.17540k2022-05-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0380040.034227-9.94%0.019116-49.70%0.2577✓1.064.1M2022-05-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.026123-9.92%0.01125-61.21%0.4879✓1.15326k2022-05-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.1221.7573-9.80%17.68-26.70%0.2103✗1.36833k2022-05-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69730.629022-9.79%0.3033-56.50%0.3453✓1.25797k2022-05-10
API3Api3Ethereum4.5334.0922-9.73%2.368-47.76%0.3669✓0.593.6M2022-05-10
XVSVenusEthereum10.79.6765-9.57%5.35-50.00%0.2524✓1.114.7M2022-05-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.3070.277636-9.56%0.107-65.15%0.7771✓0.5737k2022-05-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2991.1757-9.49%0.757-41.72%0.1407✓0.971.6M2022-05-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0844.6067-9.39%3.279-35.50%0.0610✓1.306.1M2022-05-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.690.625275-9.38%0.3-56.52%0.2621✓1.54510k2022-05-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.23530.213308-9.35%0.1421-39.61%0.0392✓1.193.2M2022-05-10
LUNATerraTerra 291.9483.3703-9.32%17.41-81.06%1.1685✓1.299.3M2022-05-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.325.7321-9.30%3.41-46.04%0.0625✓1.49665k2022-05-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.29050.263503-9.29%0.1882-35.22%0.0180✓1.15524k2022-05-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0013.6293-9.29%1.721-56.99%0.3732✓1.21464k2022-05-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.324.8266-9.27%2.455-53.85%0.5570✓0.396.7M2022-05-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025130.0228-9.27%0.01471-41.46%0.0147✓1.4757.1M2022-05-10
QTUMQtumQtum6.80966.1806-9.24%4.7521-30.21%0.0941✓1.16206k2022-05-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269770.024491-9.22%0.014768-45.26%0.2926✓0.69194k2022-05-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.09890.999357-9.06%0.65439-40.45%0.0763✓1.13150k2022-05-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.3236.689-9.01%23.89-40.75%0.0898✓1.1016.0M2022-05-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36940.336197-8.99%0.2054-44.40%0.0879✓1.321.9M2022-05-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12731.0269-8.91%0.7603-32.56%0.0933✗1.2815.0M2022-05-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.28040.255583-8.85%0.1558-44.44%0.0901✓1.322.8M2022-05-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7495790.683603-8.80%0.506855-32.38%0.0376✓1.102.2M2022-05-10
SOLSolanaSolana111.07101.3941-8.71%66.86-39.80%0.0309✓1.25112.7M2022-05-10
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.1049-8.68%1.79-47.35%0.1692✓1.247.2M2022-05-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11111.015-8.65%0.4989-55.10%0.2742✓1.42224k2022-05-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1059-8.60%0.52-57.02%0.4061✓1.13738k2022-05-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.26062.068-8.52%1.1134-50.75%0.2676✓1.141.5M2022-05-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004660.004268-8.42%0.00228-51.07%0.2355✓1.279.6M2022-05-10
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0441.8729-8.37%1.192-41.68%0.1395✓1.027.0M2022-05-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0119.2955-8.16%11.36-45.93%0.1910✓1.108.8M2022-05-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075780.069598-8.16%0.04628-38.93%0.0868✓1.04116k2022-05-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.850.781312-8.08%0.476-44.00%0.2206✓0.892.8M2022-05-10
COMPCompoundEthereum134.87123.9875-8.07%88.81-34.15%0.0174✓1.1462k2022-05-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018570.017074-8.06%0.01152-37.96%0.0860✓1.002.1M2022-05-10
UNIUniswapEthereum9.899.1029-7.96%6.07-38.62%0.0792✓1.068.8M2022-05-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34760.319963-7.95%0.1674-51.84%0.1954✓1.479.4M2022-05-10
KSMKusamaHydration169.11155.6824-7.94%93.03-44.99%0.1867✓1.071.1M2022-05-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.865830.797383-7.91%0.42175-51.29%0.3294✓1.00266k2022-05-10
ORCAOrcaSolana2.041.8789-7.89%1.27-37.75%0.1763✓0.70268k2022-05-10
AAVEAaveEthereum176.37162.483-7.87%105.24-40.33%0.0343✓1.3017.5M2022-05-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38420.35447-7.74%0.2458-36.02%0.0057✓1.1712.7M2022-05-10
NANOnanopayBase2.46222.2723-7.71%1.3852-43.74%0.1508✓1.12275k2022-05-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.820359-7.62%0.505-43.13%0.0654✓1.372.7M2022-05-10
KCSKuCoinnative20.09818.568-7.61%13.919-30.74%0.0194✓0.875.4M2022-05-10
MOVRMoonriverBase64.6159.6974-7.60%28.3525-56.12%0.2961✓1.46192k2022-05-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024420.000022568-7.58%0.00001614-33.91%0.0173✓1.152.6M2022-05-10
DODODODOEthereum0.4020.371934-7.48%0.238-40.80%0.0738✓1.216.6M2022-05-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.12850.118946-7.44%0.0823-35.95%0.0116✓1.16989k2022-05-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.464.1301-7.40%2.84-36.32%0.0636✓1.42824k2022-05-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5861.469-7.38%1.043-34.24%0.0350✓1.001.3M2022-05-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.661.54-7.23%0.815-50.90%0.2228✓1.34479k2022-05-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6821.5615-7.16%1.381-17.90%0.1811✗0.993.4M2022-05-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.12021.0402-7.15%0.47323-57.76%0.3847✓1.311.4M2022-05-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038640.035907-7.07%0.02137-44.69%0.3122✓0.67895k2022-05-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.6614.5652-6.99%6.87-56.13%0.6010✓0.493.8M2022-05-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.3595.9159-6.97%4.129-35.07%0.1528✓0.672.1M2022-05-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70394.3765-6.96%3.0969-34.16%0.0517✓0.96261k2022-05-10
MINAMina Protocolnative2.972.7646-6.92%1.43-51.85%0.3324✓1.061.2M2022-05-10
ADACardanoCardano1.02740.956833-6.87%0.6283-38.85%0.1092✓1.0163.0M2022-05-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.44790.417197-6.85%0.2734-38.96%0.0058✓1.39727k2022-05-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75110.699678-6.85%0.5848-22.14%0.1163✗0.9618.6M2022-05-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1480570.137981-6.81%0.107915-27.11%0.0163✓0.853.9M2022-05-10
STXStacksnative1.231.1471-6.74%0.68-44.72%0.2193✓0.99601k2022-05-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4272.2648-6.68%0.834-65.64%0.7101✓0.94114k2022-05-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.3616.2036-6.66%10.57-39.11%0.1052✓1.0518.5M2022-05-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24380.227616-6.64%0.155-36.42%0.0056✓1.27368k2022-05-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.8325.9847-6.63%15.88-42.94%0.2149✓0.90651k2022-05-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012740.011899-6.60%0.00536-57.93%0.5974✓0.6532k2022-05-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43990.411258-6.51%0.177-59.76%0.2701✓1.862.3M2022-05-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.566.1335-6.50%3.791-42.21%0.1334✓1.13435k2022-05-10
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.5401-6.49%0.776-52.88%0.3934✓0.9561k2022-05-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0780.073002-6.41%0.0533-31.67%0.0619✓0.8250k2022-05-10
XECeCashnative0.000100250.000093944-6.29%0.00005842-41.73%0.1768✓0.979.4M2022-05-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash319.95299.9492-6.25%231.66-27.59%0.0366✓0.968.3M2022-05-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.11523.8582-6.24%1.9892-51.66%0.4129✓0.813.6M2022-05-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53020.49725-6.21%0.3042-42.63%0.2688✓0.72376k2022-05-10
FTTFTXEthereum44.9842.2065-6.17%33.08-26.46%0.0717✗1.0314.0M2022-05-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4520.1307-6.15%14.4-32.87%0.0828✗1.36266k2022-05-10
XVGVergenative0.010920.010253-6.11%0.0063-42.31%0.1284✓1.171.9M2022-05-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05650.053071-6.07%0.027-52.21%0.1560✓1.6940.5M2022-05-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9473.7108-5.99%2.218-43.81%0.3168✓0.643.5M2022-05-10
UMAUMAEthereum6.9896.5714-5.97%4.194-39.99%0.0052✓1.443.5M2022-05-10
PROPropyEthereum1.411.3261-5.95%1.41+0.00%0.3714✗1.01150k2022-05-10
XYMSymbolnative0.11940.112293-5.95%0.0813-31.91%0.1071✓0.70820k2022-05-10
XTZTezosTezos3.11162.9276-5.91%2.1141-32.06%0.0051✓1.08989k2022-05-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0313.2024-5.90%7.89-43.76%0.1495✓1.191.4M2022-05-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3060.288048-5.87%0.192-37.25%0.1448✓0.8540k2022-05-10
APEApeCoinEthereum12.05811.3585-5.80%9.03-25.11%0.0781✗1.0056.9M2022-05-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9173.6941-5.69%2.134-45.52%0.3066✓0.792.8M2022-05-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3380.561-5.59%63.26-25.86%0.0015✓0.793.3M2022-05-10
ZENHorizenBase41.439.1535-5.43%25.41-38.62%0.0206✓1.34467k2022-05-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15150.143367-5.37%0.1022-32.54%0.0240✓1.02227k2022-05-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.185.8485-5.36%3.96-35.92%0.1674✓0.721.1M2022-05-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045570.043134-5.34%0.03109-31.78%0.0697✓0.8443k2022-05-10
AVTAventusEthereum3.022.86-5.30%1.54-49.01%0.4842✓0.44592k2022-05-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.73695.4394-5.19%2.0156-64.87%0.8145✓0.586.6M2022-05-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100340.095189-5.13%0.06288-37.33%0.1540✓0.8528k2022-05-10
DASHDashDash111.11105.5284-5.02%73.33-34.00%0.0582✓0.992.5M2022-05-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.492.3652-5.01%1.62-34.94%0.0701✓1.00161k2022-05-10
QNTQuantEthereum120.96114.9345-4.98%72.39-40.15%0.1746✓0.943.9M2022-05-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5125.1904-4.98%13.57-48.81%0.2740✓1.1231.7M2022-05-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4981.4243-4.92%0.749-50.00%0.2532✓1.273.9M2022-05-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1414.3961-4.91%14.13-6.67%0.3938✗1.342.8M2022-05-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.9977.0125-4.91%44.54-45.01%0.1523✓1.29103.7M2022-05-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,158.8119,176.31-4.87%13,692.55-32.08%0.0096✓1.135.9M2022-05-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.456.136-4.87%3.46-46.36%0.3314✓0.791.9M2022-05-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.2318.2951-4.86%11.35-40.98%0.1468✓1.0720.9M2022-05-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011810.011236-4.86%0.00602-49.03%0.2600✓1.184.3M2022-05-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26610.253506-4.73%0.1534-42.35%0.2370✓0.862.1M2022-05-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2414.5222-4.71%8.58-43.70%0.1808✓1.1225.7M2022-05-10
ZECZcashZcash161.12153.6365-4.64%93.08-42.23%0.2065✓0.9612.4M2022-05-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.1652.0662-4.56%1.3128-39.36%0.1895✓0.86111k2022-05-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4113.7534-4.56%6.72-53.37%0.5926✓0.402.4M2022-05-10
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3066.0212-4.52%3.4-46.08%0.1178✓1.4819k2022-05-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4062.2979-4.49%1.977-17.83%0.2655✗1.358.8M2022-05-10
XEMNEMnative0.10340.098801-4.45%0.0608-41.20%0.2081✓0.9061k2022-05-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13670.130864-4.27%0.0622-54.50%0.4106✓1.08273k2022-05-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.64182.5293-4.26%1.9375-26.66%0.0402✓0.7411k2022-05-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.024570.023525-4.25%0.01344-45.30%0.3175✓0.794.7M2022-05-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9855.7355-4.17%5.4245-9.37%0.0836✗0.45156k2022-05-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71310.683395-4.17%0.3911-45.15%0.2401✓1.037.9M2022-05-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.55484.3654-4.16%2.1091-53.70%0.5351✓0.637.9M2022-05-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0167430.016051-4.13%0.010912-34.83%0.1196✓0.8738k2022-05-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2751.2253-3.90%0.909-28.71%0.0035✓0.963.1M2022-05-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.50790.48821-3.88%0.28-44.87%0.5062✓0.166,2412022-05-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001884-3.86%0.00000145-26.02%0.0521✓0.6810.2M2022-05-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0864.8967-3.72%3.506-31.07%0.0234✓1.0179k2022-05-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.3212.237-3.62%1.391-40.07%0.2384✓0.7721k2022-05-10
XLMStellarStellar0.2003670.193131-3.61%0.148397-25.94%0.0463✗1.0118.8M2022-05-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.246.0193-3.54%3.62-41.99%0.2875✓0.721.7M2022-05-10
HIVEHivenative0.9190.887578-3.42%0.5969-35.05%0.0628✓1.092.0M2022-05-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.23910.231106-3.34%0.1115-53.37%0.0265✓2.28774k2022-05-10
ETHEthereumEthereum3,203.053,096.97-3.31%2,340.51-26.93%0.0468✗1.06483.3M2022-05-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.26106.7195-3.21%80.12-27.34%0.0293✓1.0325.1M2022-05-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.728.44-3.21%4.06-53.44%0.5059✓0.732.4M2022-05-10
XMRMoneroMonero235.44227.9064-3.20%163.04-30.75%0.0548✓0.911.6M2022-05-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053740.052129-3.00%0.02942-45.25%0.2544✓1.03579k2022-05-10
TRXTRONTron0.0625150.060711-2.89%0.077055+23.26%0.4361✗0.64312k2022-05-10
GTGateEthereum6.68226.519-2.44%5.8348-12.68%0.0721✗0.594.5M2022-05-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151650.148457-2.11%0.09764-35.61%0.1738✓0.8018k2022-05-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,359.4041,668.04-1.63%31,038.90-26.72%0.0012✓0.9530k2022-05-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,165.9641,938.34-0.54%31,002.39-26.48%0.0054✓1.00588.1M2022-05-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.