8=======>

2022-04-05 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1505
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
90.7%
in alpha space · 97.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0692720.069263-0.01%0.063056-8.97%0.0616✓0.61331k2022-04-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,506.5045,492.31-0.03%43,166.70-5.14%0.0003✓1.00643.4M2022-04-06
ZECZcashZcash165.55165.4239-0.08%160.99-2.75%0.0223✗0.9415.7M2022-04-06
GTGateEthereum6.98146.9748-0.09%6.6073-5.36%0.0235✓0.584.7M2022-04-06
XYMSymbolnative0.14390.143763-0.10%0.1309-9.03%0.0582✓0.67736k2022-04-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.5022-0.12%6.13-5.84%0.0216✓0.711.7M2022-04-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5475.5392-0.14%4.86-12.39%0.0802✓0.9684k2022-04-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.82310.821893-0.15%0.736-10.58%0.0578✓1.007.9M2022-04-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.560.55908-0.16%0.5423-3.16%0.0256✓0.095,2242022-04-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4491.4465-0.17%1.259-13.11%0.0926✓0.883.1M2022-04-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,407.003,401.03-0.18%3,168.52-7.00%0.0144✓1.07491.5M2022-04-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.00933.0038-0.18%3.088+2.62%0.0668✗0.743.6M2022-04-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin122.76122.532-0.19%111.68-9.03%0.0398✓1.0026.1M2022-04-06
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.000002116-0.20%0.00000197-7.08%0.0370✓0.6510.9M2022-04-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum45,530.8045,435.23-0.21%43,278.60-4.95%0.0018✓0.9630k2022-04-06
HIVEHivenative1.06991.0675-0.22%0.9422-11.94%0.0689✓1.062.1M2022-04-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055950.055825-0.22%0.05178-7.45%0.0211✓1.02572k2022-04-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.76.6847-0.23%6.23-7.01%0.0295✓0.781.9M2022-04-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.051210.051088-0.24%0.04548-11.19%0.0747✓0.7931k2022-04-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59270.591247-0.25%0.5248-11.46%0.0821✓0.70440k2022-04-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6971.6927-0.25%1.521-10.37%0.0371✓1.32463k2022-04-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83480.832622-0.26%0.7666-8.17%0.0328✓0.9418.6M2022-04-06
XMRMoneroMonero222.25221.6657-0.26%213.2-4.07%0.0086✗0.901.5M2022-04-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.147.1212-0.26%6.36-10.92%0.0755✓0.711.1M2022-04-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.7516.7055-0.27%15.43-7.88%0.0219✓1.0926.4M2022-04-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.4195.1548-0.27%89.14-6.57%0.0247✓0.772.8M2022-04-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.6052.598-0.27%2.344-10.02%0.0636✓0.7420k2022-04-06
DASHDashDash126.99126.6494-0.27%113.64-10.51%0.0600✓0.922.7M2022-04-06
QNTQuantEthereum133.48133.1158-0.27%124-7.10%0.0233✓0.904.3M2022-04-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.469.4341-0.27%8.83-6.66%0.0288✓0.712.4M2022-04-06
APEApeCoinEthereum11.63111.5991-0.27%10.654-8.40%0.0322✓1.0064.8M2022-04-06
UMAUMAEthereum7.8417.8192-0.28%6.871-12.37%0.0551✓1.414.7M2022-04-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.329.2181-0.28%26.92-8.12%0.0239✓1.1037.0M2022-04-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.35.2852-0.28%4.57-13.77%0.0727✓1.38824k2022-04-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9515.9052-0.28%15.19-4.76%0.0171✗1.201.2M2022-04-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche91.0790.8137-0.28%82.99-8.87%0.0223✓1.28103.7M2022-04-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.027340.027261-0.29%0.02507-8.30%0.0431✓0.774.5M2022-04-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.6314.5872-0.29%13.97-4.51%0.0240✓0.363.0M2022-04-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167510.167017-0.29%0.15972-4.65%0.0014✓0.8218k2022-04-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56664.553-0.30%4.4925-1.62%0.0189✗0.615.5M2022-04-06
DODODODOEthereum0.5050.503494-0.30%0.419-17.03%0.1242✓1.134.2M2022-04-06
XEMNEMnative0.11470.114351-0.30%0.1035-9.76%0.0537✓0.8755k2022-04-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.087310.087044-0.31%0.07684-11.99%0.0837✓0.7846k2022-04-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112730.112381-0.31%0.09932-11.90%0.0810✓0.8127k2022-04-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.51430.512682-0.31%0.4538-11.76%0.0692✓1.00858k2022-04-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28980.288873-0.32%0.2568-11.39%0.0732✓0.841.8M2022-04-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16680.166261-0.32%0.155-7.07%0.0167✓1.01227k2022-04-06
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3947.3697-0.33%6.427-13.08%0.0617✓1.4322k2022-04-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75025.7311-0.33%5.8226+1.26%0.0418✗0.49163k2022-04-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.43352.4254-0.33%2.2052-9.38%0.0525✓0.81166k2022-04-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.27410.273176-0.34%0.2449-10.65%0.0565✓1.00483k2022-04-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.090850.090543-0.34%0.07739-14.82%0.1049✓0.99116k2022-04-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014130.014082-0.34%0.01302-7.86%0.0162✓1.184.1M2022-04-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06190.061688-0.34%0.0562-9.21%0.0057✓1.6644.1M2022-04-06
FTTFTXEthereum48.5548.3825-0.34%45.03-7.25%0.0174✓1.0314.3M2022-04-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.8062.7962-0.35%2.497-11.01%0.0434✓1.329.4M2022-04-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013250.013203-0.35%0.01233-6.94%0.0341✓0.6519k2022-04-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9321.9252-0.35%1.692-12.42%0.0792✓0.953.5M2022-04-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.8618.7927-0.36%16.2-14.10%0.0798✓1.302.9M2022-04-06
ADACardanoCardano1.17051.1663-0.36%1.0525-10.08%0.0511✓0.9863.5M2022-04-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.8352.8249-0.36%2.525-10.93%0.0668✓0.8687k2022-04-06
XLMStellarStellar0.2250570.224251-0.36%0.203353-9.64%0.0463✓0.9819.6M2022-04-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.2087.1821-0.36%6.75-6.35%0.0286✓0.632.0M2022-04-06
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1211.08-0.36%9.95-10.52%0.0530✓1.037.7M2022-04-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161740.016116-0.36%0.015066-6.85%0.0221✓0.8620k2022-04-06
XTZTezosTezos3.67633.6627-0.37%3.299-10.26%0.0496✓1.041.0M2022-04-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1331.1288-0.37%0.94-17.03%0.1150✓1.292.8M2022-04-06
ZENHorizenBase46.0945.9136-0.38%41.31-10.37%0.0366✓1.31508k2022-04-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.8391.8319-0.39%1.603-12.83%0.0832✓0.951.3M2022-04-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026760.000026657-0.39%0.00002436-8.97%0.0304✓1.132.4M2022-04-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.331.1763-0.40%29.02-7.28%0.0245✓0.89690k2022-04-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.682.6694-0.40%2.5-6.72%0.0131✓0.99160k2022-04-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.27831.2732-0.40%1.1147-12.80%0.0755✓1.09156k2022-04-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.27030.26922-0.40%0.2454-9.21%0.0399✓1.001.2M2022-04-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.0620.9758-0.40%18.73-11.06%0.0606✓1.0018.5M2022-04-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.52840.526267-0.40%0.4367-17.35%0.0902✓1.832.3M2022-04-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.63552.6247-0.41%2.3768-9.82%0.0614✓0.7212k2022-04-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.56322.5525-0.42%2.3325-9.00%0.0309✓1.121.5M2022-04-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash365.33363.8036-0.42%331-9.40%0.0453✓0.938.5M2022-04-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1474.1294-0.42%3.923-5.40%0.0185✓0.623.1M2022-04-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0754.0577-0.42%3.76-7.73%0.0362✓0.762.5M2022-04-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.72e-77.69e-7-0.43%8.80e-7+13.98%0.1164✗-0.36959k2022-04-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.7821.6842-0.44%19.85-8.86%0.0324✓1.0622.8M2022-04-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana16.1616.0886-0.44%15.06-6.81%0.0422✓0.453.7M2022-04-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.8724.758-0.45%21.76-12.51%0.0734✓1.067.7M2022-04-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,562.7023,456.17-0.45%21,713.35-7.85%0.0195✓1.096.5M2022-04-06
KCSKuCoinnative21.06520.9692-0.45%19.679-6.58%0.0172✓0.885.4M2022-04-06
QTUMQtumQtum7.8157.7794-0.45%6.922-11.43%0.0577✓1.12202k2022-04-06
SOLSolanaSolana126.9126.3192-0.46%112.94-11.00%0.0468✓1.2498.1M2022-04-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.45960.457476-0.46%0.4125-10.25%0.0436✓1.1312.3M2022-04-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.811.8016-0.46%1.562-13.70%0.0800✓1.193.7M2022-04-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.28491.2789-0.47%1.1805-8.13%0.0104✓1.321.4M2022-04-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.034240.034079-0.47%0.02928-14.49%0.0940✓1.09248k2022-04-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9561.9468-0.47%1.696-13.29%0.0922✓0.8753k2022-04-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.5226.3951-0.47%22.56-14.93%0.0886✓1.30298k2022-04-06
XVGVergenative0.012680.01262-0.47%0.01136-10.41%0.0444✓1.152.2M2022-04-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.1316.1018-0.48%5.387-12.14%0.0575✓1.276.1M2022-04-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0293980.029257-0.48%0.027832-5.33%0.0082✓0.79187k2022-04-06
SUSHISushiEthereum4.094.07-0.49%3.57-12.71%0.0683✓1.197.6M2022-04-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.6026.5694-0.49%5.526-16.30%0.1202✓1.002.6M2022-04-06
SCSiacoinnative0.012630.012568-0.49%0.01105-12.51%0.0694✓1.12540k2022-04-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative44.444.1802-0.50%38.47-13.36%0.0836✓1.0413.3M2022-04-06
MOVRMoonriverBase77.525877.1381-0.50%66.9978-13.58%0.0646✓1.45175k2022-04-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020990.020885-0.50%0.01983-5.53%0.0010✓1.002.1M2022-04-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.43580.433598-0.51%0.3907-10.35%0.0279✓1.4510.3M2022-04-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.5917.5526-0.51%6.726-11.40%0.0615✓1.03441k2022-04-06
CELLCellframeEthereum1.41061.4034-0.51%1.386-1.74%0.0615✗1.40211k2022-04-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.25910.25778-0.51%0.2275-12.20%0.0641✓1.153.1M2022-04-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.24860.247326-0.51%0.2214-10.94%0.0585✓0.99259k2022-04-06
XVSVenusEthereum12.612.5353-0.51%11.39-9.60%0.0393✓1.073.9M2022-04-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.890.885426-0.51%0.818-8.09%0.0316✓0.902.0M2022-04-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.1736.1412-0.51%5.345-13.41%0.0868✓0.99101k2022-04-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.1340.1333-0.52%0.1219-9.03%0.0271✓1.18987k2022-04-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.3527.206-0.53%24.12-11.81%0.0494✓1.35752k2022-04-06
STXStacksnative1.41.3926-0.53%1.27-9.29%0.0419✓0.95610k2022-04-06
AAVEAaveEthereum221.05219.86-0.54%191.3-13.46%0.0736✓1.2414.4M2022-04-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.34540.343513-0.55%0.3005-13.00%0.0768✓1.08389k2022-04-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.451.442-0.56%1.28-11.72%0.0594✓1.13978k2022-04-06
NANOnanopayBase2.71112.6959-0.56%2.4702-8.88%0.0283✓1.12246k2022-04-06
DIADIAEthereum1.061.054-0.57%0.98-7.55%0.0520✓0.39172k2022-04-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.979280.973702-0.57%0.86636-11.53%0.0640✓1.00398k2022-04-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.367.3179-0.57%6.47-12.09%0.0467✓1.45665k2022-04-06
XECeCashnative0.000110970.000110334-0.57%0.00009752-12.12%0.0740✓0.949.0M2022-04-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5011.4923-0.58%1.262-15.92%0.1201✓0.901.4M2022-04-06
COMPCompoundEthereum153.42152.5313-0.58%134.27-12.48%0.0682✓1.1262k2022-04-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.46815.4362-0.58%4.7892-12.42%0.0795✓0.89268k2022-04-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45330.450648-0.59%0.3833-15.44%0.0957✓1.251.7M2022-04-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8057680.800909-0.60%0.70341-12.70%0.0733✓1.071.9M2022-04-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.10271.096-0.60%0.966-12.40%0.0552✓1.35856k2022-04-06
ORCAOrcaSolana2.232.2165-0.61%2.08-6.73%0.0274✓0.68282k2022-04-06
KSMKusamaHydration179.78178.6875-0.61%174.43-2.98%0.0327✗1.08974k2022-04-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840890.835774-0.61%0.75427-10.30%0.0478✓1.04244k2022-04-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.38025.3473-0.61%4.9634-7.75%0.0460✓0.545.7M2022-04-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.26661.2587-0.62%1.143-9.76%0.0319✓1.2214.9M2022-04-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005060.005028-0.63%0.00479-5.34%0.0193✗1.287.3M2022-04-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.0410.04074-0.63%0.03877-5.44%0.0135✓0.68987k2022-04-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.775052-0.63%0.72-7.69%0.0080✗1.55438k2022-04-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.24760.246028-0.63%0.2101-15.15%0.0977✓1.143.1M2022-04-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.95.8625-0.64%5.52-6.44%0.0410✓0.366.3M2022-04-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3180.315945-0.65%0.282-11.32%0.0705✓0.8233k2022-04-06
PROPropyEthereum1.561.5497-0.66%1.48-5.13%0.0073✗1.01167k2022-04-06
RADRadworksEthereum5.615.572-0.68%4.89-12.83%0.0816✓0.93533k2022-04-06
IMXImmutableEthereum2.3342.318-0.69%2.031-12.98%0.0798✓0.9910.0M2022-04-06
LUNATerraTerra 2116.27115.4681-0.69%108.1-7.03%0.0029✓1.309.3M2022-04-06
BANDBandEthereum5.0465.0107-0.70%4.326-14.27%0.0846✓1.18663k2022-04-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08750.086868-0.72%0.0782-10.63%0.0437✓1.16447k2022-04-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.342.3226-0.74%2.01-14.10%0.0763✓1.29984k2022-04-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.028940.028718-0.77%0.03176+9.74%0.1809✗1.5252.9M2022-04-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum61.6461.1543-0.79%53.44-13.30%0.0683✓1.266.3M2022-04-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.3474.3118-0.81%3.75-13.73%0.0784✓1.16417k2022-04-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.97960.971522-0.82%0.8257-15.71%0.1415✓0.40676k2022-04-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1726890.171246-0.84%0.143326-17.00%0.1366✓0.783.1M2022-04-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.253.2228-0.84%3.04-6.46%0.0027✓1.06877k2022-04-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0415170.041158-0.86%0.03858-7.07%0.0093✓1.053.9M2022-04-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72280.716553-0.86%0.6836-5.42%0.0217✗1.30695k2022-04-06
API3Api3Ethereum5.6315.5814-0.88%5.569-1.10%0.0286✗0.583.9M2022-04-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.31250.309674-0.90%0.2749-12.03%0.0524✓1.262.0M2022-04-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5450.54005-0.91%0.476-12.66%0.0697✓1.077.0M2022-04-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.71937.6413-1.01%6.4618-16.29%0.1167✓0.9728.7M2022-04-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11850.117175-1.12%0.1055-10.97%0.0504✓1.03201k2022-04-06
AVTAventusEthereum3.163.1176-1.34%3.06-3.16%0.0038✓0.43376k2022-04-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2180.214872-1.43%0.211-3.21%0.0121✓0.5730k2022-04-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.