8=======>

2022-03-23 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3189
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 78.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum5.0844.4057-13.34%4.42-13.06%0.0515✓0.635.7M2022-04-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.041010.035752-12.82%0.032116-21.69%0.0342✓0.954.1M2022-04-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07590.066264-12.70%0.0665-12.38%0.0941✓1.17308k2022-04-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.70.622714-11.04%0.59-15.71%0.0646✓1.54413k2022-04-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.030870.027533-10.81%0.027972-9.39%0.0750✓0.77198k2022-04-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.70880.633018-10.69%0.5608-20.88%0.0197✓1.31447k2022-04-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04440.03998-9.95%0.0236-46.85%0.4048✓1.5820.1M2022-04-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.29657.5389-9.13%6.0004-27.68%0.1376✓1.1732.6M2022-04-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.11.9207-8.54%1.99-5.24%0.1344✗1.28906k2022-04-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001160.000001064-8.21%0.000001006-13.21%0.0904✓-0.451.5M2022-04-22
LRCLoopringEthereum1.17221.076-8.21%0.9596-18.14%0.0101✓1.35111k2022-04-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835960.770095-7.88%0.73779-11.74%0.0402✓1.08118k2022-04-22
BANDBandEthereum4.0283.7172-7.72%3.768-6.45%0.0990✗1.11582k2022-04-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.164.7743-7.48%4.694-9.03%0.0554✓0.9493k2022-04-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3954.0469-7.44%45.9-21.39%0.0654✓1.274.8M2022-04-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00430.003999-7.00%0.00418-2.79%0.1461✗1.325.3M2022-04-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6520.606715-6.95%0.575-11.81%0.0344✓1.142.4M2022-04-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.77580.72202-6.93%0.6137-20.89%0.1367✓0.34620k2022-04-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.6331.5208-6.87%1.16-28.97%0.1938✓1.001.7M2022-04-22
STXStacksnative1.341.2485-6.83%1.14-14.93%0.0188✓0.93481k2022-04-22
DIADIAEthereum0.970.903977-6.81%0.88-9.28%0.0015✓0.37169k2022-04-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.934.6069-6.55%4.41-10.55%0.0236✓0.87567k2022-04-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.22890.213989-6.51%0.2265-1.05%0.1536✗1.251.8M2022-04-22
LUNATerraTerra 294.8388.6568-6.51%93.56-1.34%0.1574✗1.349.2M2022-04-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.4926.6389-6.50%25.84-9.30%0.0686✗1.28735k2022-04-22
PROPropyEthereum1.561.4601-6.40%1.71+9.62%0.2353✗1.00228k2022-04-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.391.3023-6.31%1.05-24.46%0.1327✓1.07553k2022-04-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.24960.234078-6.22%0.1923-22.96%0.1194✓1.00180k2022-04-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.061494-6.12%0.0497-24.12%0.0804✓1.7244.1M2022-04-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039280.036907-6.04%0.03293-16.17%0.0627✓0.66985k2022-04-22
ADACardanoCardano1.10871.0418-6.03%0.9064-18.25%0.0614✓1.0160.9M2022-04-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative45.1842.4744-5.99%35.52-21.38%0.0982✓1.043.9M2022-04-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.37590.35359-5.94%0.3301-12.18%0.0453✓1.488.8M2022-04-22
KSMKusamaHydration161.78152.3514-5.83%164.55+1.71%0.1637✗1.12719k2022-04-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.9416.5422-5.75%6.485-6.57%0.0684✗1.00475k2022-04-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.15911.0929-5.71%1.0914-5.84%0.0858✗1.13124k2022-04-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5898130.55617-5.70%0.862203+46.18%0.5184✗1.041.6M2022-04-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14250.134513-5.60%0.1891+32.70%0.4310✗1.172.1M2022-04-22
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1576.7559-5.60%5.972-16.56%0.0182✓1.3623k2022-04-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.53772.3959-5.59%2.0394-19.64%0.0725✓1.151.3M2022-04-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.186.781-5.56%5.98-16.71%0.0192✓1.38447k2022-04-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.30770.290683-5.53%0.3061-0.52%0.1393✗1.13217k2022-04-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.0225.6903-5.51%4.511-25.09%0.1550✓1.00536k2022-04-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.2652.1405-5.50%1.835-18.98%0.0792✓0.975.3M2022-04-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8011.7023-5.48%1.385-23.10%0.1428✓0.8250k2022-04-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4421.3636-5.44%0.9716-32.62%0.2341✓1.36201k2022-04-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.46252.3289-5.43%2.4578-0.19%0.1117✗0.7513k2022-04-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.034-5.39%1.92-10.70%0.0059✓0.67182k2022-04-22
QTUMQtumQtum7.87487.454-5.34%6.602-16.16%0.0335✓1.1497k2022-04-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.385.0961-5.28%5.479+1.84%0.1707✗1.273.0M2022-04-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024450.000023167-5.25%0.00002433-0.49%0.1381✗1.152.3M2022-04-22
UMAUMAEthereum7.6157.217-5.23%6.035-20.75%0.0784✓1.306.0M2022-04-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.295.9647-5.17%4.731-24.79%0.1952✓0.477.4M2022-04-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38290.363264-5.13%0.3499-8.62%0.0630✗1.301.1M2022-04-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.42440.402655-5.12%0.3536-16.68%0.0413✓1.159.6M2022-04-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.47310.449034-5.09%0.3596-23.99%0.0794✓1.852.1M2022-04-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash364.09346.0889-4.94%321.06-11.82%0.0009✓0.967.3M2022-04-22
SOLSolanaSolana94.8790.2478-4.87%100.55+5.99%0.2051✗1.2689.9M2022-04-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.4164-4.87%2.31-9.06%0.0347✓1.03368k2022-04-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.20224.9492-4.86%4.6501-10.61%0.0094✓0.93254k2022-04-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01920.018267-4.86%0.01742-9.27%0.0308✓1.011.4M2022-04-22
SCSiacoinnative0.01020.009705-4.85%0.01058+3.73%0.1708✗1.09441k2022-04-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83910.798615-4.82%0.719-14.31%0.0296✓0.9816.8M2022-04-22
NANOnanopayBase2.27642.1666-4.82%2.0576-9.61%0.0356✓1.13142k2022-04-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.0120.0013-4.80%18.27-13.04%0.0064✓1.0923.2M2022-04-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.2626.9078-4.78%23.11-18.22%0.0663✓1.1140.2M2022-04-22
ZENHorizenBase45.5343.375-4.73%36.77-19.24%0.0642✓1.31361k2022-04-22
ZECZcashZcash181.99173.3888-4.73%157.18-13.63%0.0229✓0.9813.8M2022-04-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.1617.3088-4.69%14.21-21.75%0.0955✓1.322.7M2022-04-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.48610.463384-4.67%0.4332-10.88%0.0098✓1.001.3M2022-04-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012890.012289-4.66%0.01092-15.28%0.0657✓0.689,5442022-04-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5331.4617-4.65%1.442-5.94%0.0890✗1.33451k2022-04-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7390.704747-4.64%0.714-3.38%0.0858✗0.942.0M2022-04-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0143.8288-4.61%3.48-13.30%0.0473✓0.621.1M2022-04-22
UNIUniswapEthereum10.019.5499-4.60%8.9-11.09%0.0071✓1.006.1M2022-04-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8073.6327-4.58%3.475-8.72%0.0144✓0.761.6M2022-04-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9560.912281-4.57%0.841-12.03%0.0227✓1.352.3M2022-04-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.13171.08-4.57%0.94139-16.82%0.0391✓1.271.5M2022-04-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076410.072918-4.57%0.0764-0.01%0.1274✗1.0560k2022-04-22
XTZTezosTezos3.45693.2991-4.56%3.0902-10.61%0.0187✓1.091.1M2022-04-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2560.244331-4.56%0.269+5.08%0.1578✗0.8024k2022-04-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.693.5225-4.54%3.53-4.34%0.0896✗1.136.4M2022-04-22
XYMSymbolnative0.14880.142062-4.53%0.1128-24.19%0.1697✓0.79301k2022-04-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.09650.092143-4.52%0.1162+20.41%0.3271✗1.23522k2022-04-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.9818.1434-4.41%16.59-12.59%0.0142✓0.9714.5M2022-04-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.3112.7245-4.40%14.35+7.81%0.1567✗0.472.4M2022-04-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03510.98969-4.39%1.2006+15.99%0.2877✗1.225.6M2022-04-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7912.6703-4.32%3.737+33.89%0.4249✗1.15448k2022-04-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.21410.204939-4.28%0.22+2.76%0.1588✗1.142.1M2022-04-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26960.258175-4.24%0.2356-12.61%0.0276✓0.831.9M2022-04-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025660.024578-4.22%0.02234-12.94%0.0108✓1.10189k2022-04-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7011.6294-4.21%2.432+42.97%0.4770✗0.992.3M2022-04-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15460.148126-4.19%0.137-11.38%0.0022✓1.04205k2022-04-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.18273.0498-4.18%4.7053+47.84%0.4966✗0.824.0M2022-04-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52160.500018-4.14%0.5133-1.59%0.0823✗0.73376k2022-04-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6141.5472-4.14%1.475-8.61%0.0276✓0.98644k2022-04-22
MOVRMoonriverBase62.429859.8571-4.12%55.559-11.01%0.0296✓1.35154k2022-04-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0182.4788-4.11%74.01-13.95%0.0089✓1.29118.0M2022-04-22
QNTQuantEthereum126.9121.7094-4.09%107.94-14.94%0.0501✓0.914.2M2022-04-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.590.565915-4.08%0.449-23.90%0.1542✓1.004,8802022-04-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.04685.8001-4.08%5.8587-3.11%0.0420✗0.41179k2022-04-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4530.434626-4.06%0.407-10.15%0.0195✓1.102.9M2022-04-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.489.0959-4.05%11.06+16.67%0.2755✗1.042.9M2022-04-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.716.439-4.04%5.05-24.74%0.1849✓0.751.6M2022-04-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.55917.8128-4.02%20.234+9.03%0.1951✗0.885.7M2022-04-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.492.3914-3.96%2.23-10.44%0.0055✓0.98146k2022-04-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.8828.7041-3.94%25.9-13.32%0.0329✓0.91710k2022-04-22
DASHDashDash129.78124.675-3.93%103.74-20.06%0.1093✓0.971.8M2022-04-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0735.8345-3.93%5.517-9.16%0.0172✓0.9588k2022-04-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.12980.124783-3.87%0.136393+5.08%0.1518✗0.812.6M2022-04-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.3318.5924-3.82%19.29-0.21%0.1127✗0.986.0M2022-04-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.742.6367-3.77%1.999-27.04%0.1997✓1.0052k2022-04-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.099040.095329-3.75%0.09337-5.72%0.0471✗0.8827k2022-04-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.25262.1687-3.73%2.4587+9.15%0.1866✗0.79147k2022-04-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23650.227719-3.71%0.2566+8.50%0.1966✗1.00368k2022-04-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.157220.151385-3.71%0.13749-12.55%0.0314✓0.8414k2022-04-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,440.4419,683.19-3.70%18,673.62-8.64%0.0331✓1.115.9M2022-04-22
COMPCompoundEthereum115.23110.9716-3.70%134.93+17.10%0.2832✗1.1450k2022-04-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19184.037-3.69%3.9426-5.94%0.0267✓0.654.7M2022-04-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.2082-3.69%20.25-8.04%0.0557✗1.32232k2022-04-22
XECeCashnative0.000083580.000080522-3.66%0.00008903+6.52%0.1751✗0.975.2M2022-04-22
FTTFTXEthereum46.1644.4948-3.61%41.32-10.49%0.0057✓1.0314.1M2022-04-22
XEMNEMnative0.10890.105065-3.52%0.0963-11.57%0.0231✓0.8340k2022-04-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011820.011409-3.48%0.01011-14.47%0.0269✓1.223.2M2022-04-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin122.51118.3379-3.41%105.34-14.02%0.0383✓1.0125.9M2022-04-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.42.3185-3.39%2.35-2.08%0.0435✗0.39312k2022-04-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.887.7535-3.36%79.48-12.47%0.0404✓0.761.2M2022-04-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.8515.3183-3.35%13.59-14.26%0.0393✓1.0430.6M2022-04-22
XVGVergenative0.010380.010033-3.34%0.01032-0.58%0.1161✗1.141.7M2022-04-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.736.5058-3.33%6.2-7.88%0.0093✓0.74822k2022-04-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5381.4874-3.29%1.32-14.17%0.0255✓1.223.9M2022-04-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3852.3072-3.26%2.483+4.11%0.1763✗1.339.5M2022-04-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.794.636-3.21%4.22-11.90%0.0150✓1.41396k2022-04-22
AAVEAaveEthereum156.07151.0986-3.19%176.98+13.40%0.2531✗1.239.2M2022-04-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0132670.012862-3.05%0.014999+13.05%0.2238✗0.9112k2022-04-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.415.9036-3.03%13.26-19.15%0.0900✓1.19603k2022-04-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2094530.20312-3.02%0.195403-6.71%0.0365✗0.9817.0M2022-04-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.268.0121-3.00%6.16-25.42%0.2083✓0.712.9M2022-04-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076740.074491-2.93%0.07592-1.07%0.0802✗0.7911k2022-04-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.2882.2223-2.87%2.302+0.61%0.0957✗0.7819k2022-04-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3251.2872-2.86%1.186-10.49%0.0068✓0.972.9M2022-04-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1712.7956-2.84%13.85+5.16%0.1110✗0.413.0M2022-04-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.026760.02604-2.69%0.02262-15.47%0.0822✓0.762.8M2022-04-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1060.103157-2.68%0.206+94.34%0.7335✗0.5425k2022-04-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056520.055007-2.68%0.04664-17.48%0.0833✓1.06541k2022-04-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.91643.813-2.64%5.0919+30.01%0.3353✗0.603.8M2022-04-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07760.07565-2.51%0.1105+42.40%0.4519✗0.95146k2022-04-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.7820.763368-2.38%0.6736-13.86%0.0533✓0.937.1M2022-04-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001890.000001846-2.32%0.00000189+0.00%0.0716✗0.6212.1M2022-04-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.3593-2.31%5.59-14.13%0.0730✓0.721.5M2022-04-22
ETHEthereumEthereum3,038.932,969.05-2.30%2,963.05-2.50%0.0796✗1.06501.7M2022-04-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4565.3314-2.28%5.914+8.39%0.1558✗0.671.0M2022-04-22
HIVEHivenative0.94390.924436-2.06%0.9256-1.94%0.0858✗1.102.0M2022-04-22
GTGateEthereum6.51076.39-1.85%6.4813-0.45%0.0633✗0.643.9M2022-04-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042530.041762-1.81%0.04422+3.97%0.1218✗0.8423k2022-04-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22910.224965-1.80%0.1897-17.20%0.0933✓1.001.6M2022-04-22
XMRMoneroMonero197.42193.8989-1.78%268.49+36.00%0.3967✗0.921.7M2022-04-22
TRXTRONTron0.0643780.063727-1.01%0.066543+3.36%0.0924✗0.64259k2022-04-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,312.2041,909.66-0.95%39,516.00-6.61%0.0154✗0.9653k2022-04-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,899.7142,922.04+0.05%39,712.25-7.43%0.0005✓1.00680.6M2022-04-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.