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2022-03-11 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3116
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.9%
in alpha space · 14.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.89287.2342-18.65%6.1538-30.80%0.2467✓1.0014.1M2022-04-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011640.000001009-13.30%8.97e-7-22.95%0.2029✓1.001.4M2022-04-10
API3Api3Ethereum4.7764.1897-12.28%4.533-5.09%0.0258✓0.627.0M2022-04-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06610.058084-12.13%0.0703+6.35%0.0906✓1.18687k2022-04-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0400590.035343-11.77%0.038004-5.13%0.0118✓0.995.8M2022-04-10
STXStacksnative1.361.209-11.10%1.23-9.56%0.0592✓0.90419k2022-04-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.7615.1262-11.02%5.32-7.65%0.0043✓0.491.5M2022-04-10
DIADIAEthereum0.930.840242-9.65%0.94+1.08%0.0829✓0.35274k2022-04-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.48671.345-9.53%1.1111-25.26%0.3030✓1.32289k2022-04-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.21360.193485-9.42%0.2146+0.47%0.0186✓1.00168k2022-04-10
UMAUMAEthereum7.0756.4191-9.27%6.989-1.22%0.0268✓1.323.7M2022-04-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.040780.037049-9.15%0.03864-5.25%0.0211✓0.741.1M2022-04-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71560.653434-8.69%0.8607+20.28%0.2467✗0.341.0M2022-04-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.539045-8.64%0.69+16.95%0.1104✗1.61798k2022-04-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.05291.8803-8.41%2.6418+28.69%0.2760✗0.7520k2022-04-10
ORCAOrcaSolana2.091.918-8.23%2.04-2.39%0.0026✓0.69213k2022-04-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.155360.14288-8.03%0.15165-2.39%0.0155✓0.8816k2022-04-10
LUNATerraTerra 288.2881.2142-8.00%91.94+4.15%0.0038✓1.427.0M2022-04-10
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6621.5304-7.92%1.647-0.90%0.0030✓0.8364k2022-04-10
PROPropyEthereum1.511.3907-7.90%1.41-6.62%0.0818✓1.13317k2022-04-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31520.290895-7.71%0.3476+10.28%0.0571✓1.4210.7M2022-04-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0118620.010972-7.51%0.016743+41.15%0.3380✗1.0011k2022-04-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5944.2531-7.42%4.996+8.75%0.0809✗0.94123k2022-04-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11440.106005-7.34%0.1942+69.76%0.5038✗1.202.9M2022-04-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003272-7.30%0.00466+32.01%0.2278✗1.485.4M2022-04-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4982.3174-7.23%2.427-2.84%0.0387✓1.0052k2022-04-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05760.053458-7.19%0.0565-1.91%0.0913✓1.7352.1M2022-04-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022060.000020554-6.83%0.00002442+10.70%0.0700✓1.213.6M2022-04-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.655840.611156-6.81%0.74072+12.94%0.0925✗1.17127k2022-04-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7051.5942-6.50%2.044+19.88%0.1662✗0.973.3M2022-04-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.8245.4564-6.31%6.56+12.64%0.0993✗1.00523k2022-04-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83625.4812-6.08%5.985+2.55%0.0539✓0.40201k2022-04-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.4725.8369-5.94%26.51-3.49%0.0727✓1.1646.0M2022-04-10
NANOnanopayBase1.68741.5885-5.86%2.4622+45.92%0.3461✗1.08139k2022-04-10
BANDBandEthereum3.443.2431-5.72%3.954+14.94%0.1001✗1.161.0M2022-04-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67060.632295-5.71%1.1273+68.10%0.4707✗1.273.1M2022-04-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50090.472396-5.69%0.5302+5.85%0.0476✓0.80456k2022-04-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0001-5.65%1.21+14.15%0.0985✗1.08599k2022-04-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7073.506-5.42%4.5548+22.87%0.1993✗0.732.4M2022-04-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57492.4388-5.29%4.1152+59.82%0.4542✗0.813.6M2022-04-10
ZECZcashZcash153.51145.757-5.05%161.12+4.96%0.0145✓1.017.4M2022-04-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.48160.457838-4.93%0.5079+5.46%0.0188✓1.004,8972022-04-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071180.067702-4.89%0.07578+6.46%0.0192✓1.1054k2022-04-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.966520.919431-4.87%1.0989+13.69%0.0797✗1.16112k2022-04-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,538.1117,636.21-4.87%20,158.81+8.74%0.0526✗0.955.4M2022-04-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.25850.245927-4.86%0.2905+12.38%0.0685✗1.15220k2022-04-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.11552.0141-4.79%2.165+2.34%0.0001✓0.85109k2022-04-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.19620.186816-4.78%0.2804+42.92%0.2903✗1.362.2M2022-04-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.562-4.75%1.96+19.51%0.1184✗1.281.4M2022-04-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39240.373831-4.73%0.4399+12.10%0.0013✓1.932.2M2022-04-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1110.105775-4.71%0.307+176.58%1.0196✗0.5444k2022-04-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.19310.184185-4.62%0.2353+21.85%0.1431✗1.202.3M2022-04-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.943.8334-4.50%49.03+6.82%0.0052✓1.265.4M2022-04-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14890.142248-4.47%0.1515+1.75%0.0250✓1.04267k2022-04-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.847.5046-4.28%8.72+11.22%0.0873✗0.74807k2022-04-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29240.279921-4.27%0.3694+26.33%0.1644✗1.33857k2022-04-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41520.397543-4.25%0.6973+67.94%0.4455✗1.37418k2022-04-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7412.6249-4.23%3.917+42.90%0.3322✗0.80330k2022-04-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8692.7483-4.21%3.947+37.57%0.2983✗0.75427k2022-04-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068310.065472-4.15%0.078+14.19%0.1023✗0.8613k2022-04-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9590.919211-4.15%1.299+35.45%0.2679✗0.921.0M2022-04-10
RADRadworksEthereum4.444.256-4.14%4.99+12.39%0.0807✗0.92521k2022-04-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.575.3408-4.11%6.32+13.46%0.0531✗1.36610k2022-04-10
ZENHorizenBase37.8636.3028-4.11%41.4+9.35%0.0204✓1.31280k2022-04-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8921.9513-4.10%24.12+5.37%0.0162✓1.30997k2022-04-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5910.1575-4.08%15.66+47.88%0.3854✗0.561.1M2022-04-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011860.011381-4.04%0.01274+7.42%0.0479✗0.7612k2022-04-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091150.087484-4.02%0.10034+10.08%0.0589✗0.9237k2022-04-10
XYMSymbolnative0.13350.128301-3.89%0.1194-10.56%0.1419✓0.82294k2022-04-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.06283.9061-3.86%4.7039+15.78%0.1036✗0.97207k2022-04-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4641.4081-3.82%1.682+14.89%0.0910✗1.021.8M2022-04-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011510.011071-3.81%0.01181+2.61%0.0406✓1.243.2M2022-04-10
AVTAventusEthereum2.192.1077-3.76%3.02+37.90%0.3257✗0.40288k2022-04-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.30332.217-3.75%2.2606-1.86%0.0836✓1.212.6M2022-04-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017140.016498-3.74%0.01857+8.34%0.0342✓0.991.5M2022-04-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.15141.1091-3.68%1.1202-2.71%0.1049✓1.352.6M2022-04-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.495.2899-3.64%6.45+17.49%0.1345✗0.75604k2022-04-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.07870.075885-3.58%0.1285+63.28%0.4080✗1.40494k2022-04-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1654.0178-3.53%5.084+22.06%0.1275✗1.272.2M2022-04-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.162.0843-3.51%2.49+15.28%0.0949✗0.98161k2022-04-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.717.0968-3.41%19.23+8.64%0.0228✓1.1225.2M2022-04-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2260.21831-3.40%0.306+35.40%0.2654✗0.8554k2022-04-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69780.674106-3.40%0.9592+37.46%0.2364✗1.37120k2022-04-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.115390.111487-3.38%0.148057+28.31%0.2094✗0.873.3M2022-04-10
GITCOINGITCOIN5.5565.3693-3.36%6.306+13.50%0.0472✗1.3425k2022-04-10
KCSKuCoinnative18.1717.5597-3.36%20.098+10.61%0.0539✗0.958.4M2022-04-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46083.3468-3.29%5.7369+65.77%0.4813✗0.683.4M2022-04-10
KSMKusamaHydration124.19120.1054-3.29%169.11+36.17%0.2458✗1.14671k2022-04-10
SCSiacoinnative0.008790.008501-3.28%0.01088+23.78%0.1513✗1.12489k2022-04-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70140.678663-3.24%0.7511+7.09%0.0110✓1.0618.5M2022-04-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.422.3426-3.20%4.001+65.33%0.4450✗1.06555k2022-04-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8413.4034-3.15%14.41+4.12%0.0329✗0.463.2M2022-04-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.488410.473019-3.15%0.749579+53.47%0.3709✗1.052.2M2022-04-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8070.781742-3.13%0.888+10.04%0.0133✓1.342.1M2022-04-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3211.2804-3.07%1.586+20.06%0.1311✗0.98739k2022-04-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9127.0528-3.07%27.83-0.29%0.0489✓0.91959k2022-04-10
XMRMoneroMonero170.68165.4668-3.05%235.44+37.94%0.2748✗0.921.5M2022-04-10
QNTQuantEthereum113.22109.793-3.03%120.96+6.84%0.0173✓0.945.8M2022-04-10
XTZTezosTezos2.98892.8985-3.02%3.1116+4.11%0.0261✓1.141.3M2022-04-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023010.022314-3.02%0.029+26.03%0.1695✗1.09435k2022-04-10
XVGVergenative0.009390.009109-2.99%0.01092+16.29%0.0835✗1.151.5M2022-04-10
COMPCompoundEthereum102.0799.0165-2.99%134.87+32.13%0.2143✗1.1244k2022-04-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31890.309389-2.98%0.3842+20.48%0.1113✗1.247.9M2022-04-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.0115.5352-2.97%17.36+8.43%0.0215✓1.0516.1M2022-04-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6360.617152-2.96%0.85+33.65%0.2413✗0.932.5M2022-04-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash287.73279.2758-2.94%319.95+11.20%0.0560✗0.947.2M2022-04-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2620.254413-2.90%0.556+112.21%0.6813✗1.181.9M2022-04-10
FTTFTXEthereum40.8139.6635-2.81%44.98+10.22%0.0362✗1.0517.0M2022-04-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21860.212477-2.80%0.2661+21.73%0.1517✗0.861.9M2022-04-10
XECeCashnative0.00007310.000071067-2.78%0.00010025+37.14%0.2594✗1.004.2M2022-04-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.1068-2.76%6.24-0.64%0.0443✓0.78625k2022-04-10
SUSHISushiEthereum2.892.8106-2.75%3.4+17.65%0.0974✗1.096.4M2022-04-10
XVSVenusEthereum8.548.3058-2.74%10.7+25.29%0.1621✗1.073.5M2022-04-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.2569.2988-2.74%80.99+13.67%0.0431✗1.33123.1M2022-04-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001732-2.72%0.00000196+10.11%0.0716✗0.6213.3M2022-04-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.3716.912-2.64%21.01+20.96%0.1322✗1.006.7M2022-04-10
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.767692-2.63%1.0274+30.31%0.2036✗1.0373.7M2022-04-10
MOVRMoonriverBase48.759147.4837-2.62%64.61+32.51%0.1942✗1.34193k2022-04-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8117.3455-2.61%21.45+20.44%0.0976✗1.35280k2022-04-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3071.2731-2.59%1.66+27.01%0.1457✗1.41596k2022-04-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7784.6541-2.59%5.086+6.45%0.0071✓0.9676k2022-04-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.0476.0389-2.56%85.33+9.34%0.0516✗0.75899k2022-04-10
XEMNEMnative0.09350.091127-2.54%0.1034+10.59%0.0534✗0.8640k2022-04-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1571.1281-2.50%1.498+29.47%0.1784✗1.242.2M2022-04-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.971.9217-2.45%2.406+22.13%0.1115✗1.339.7M2022-04-10
DODODODOEthereum0.3850.375628-2.43%0.402+4.42%0.0279✓1.133.4M2022-04-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.3877-2.42%15.14+10.35%0.0140✓1.282.3M2022-04-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7412.4334-2.41%14.03+10.13%0.0286✗1.09331k2022-04-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.55102.0377-2.40%110.26+5.46%0.0092✓1.0226.6M2022-04-10
SOLSolanaSolana80.778.7821-2.38%111.07+37.63%0.2357✗1.27106.0M2022-04-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.525.8752-2.36%40.32+52.15%0.3587✗1.004.8M2022-04-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.7135-2.33%6.18+5.64%0.0144✓0.751.0M2022-04-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.7322-2.30%4.46+16.75%0.0553✗1.45348k2022-04-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.1142.0655-2.30%2.321+9.79%0.0474✗0.8219k2022-04-10
DASHDashDash94.9592.8587-2.20%111.11+17.02%0.0943✗1.001.5M2022-04-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06960.068094-2.16%0.1367+96.41%0.6151✗0.96151k2022-04-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1835910.179637-2.15%0.200367+9.14%0.0227✗1.0219.8M2022-04-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71110.696002-2.12%0.7131+0.28%0.0604✓1.007.9M2022-04-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014890.014581-2.07%0.026977+81.18%0.5538✗0.72143k2022-04-10
GTGateEthereum6.3286.1977-2.06%6.6822+5.60%0.0187✓0.672.8M2022-04-10
AAVEAaveEthereum116.61114.2183-2.05%176.37+51.25%0.3296✗1.237.3M2022-04-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3264.2382-2.03%6.359+46.99%0.3437✗0.73498k2022-04-10
QTUMQtumQtum5.87555.7579-2.00%6.8096+15.90%0.0690✗1.16153k2022-04-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04720.046259-1.99%0.05374+13.86%0.0561✗1.10467k2022-04-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.024680.02419-1.99%0.02457-0.45%0.0480✓0.753.2M2022-04-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.518.3422-1.97%9.89+16.22%0.0808✗1.056.4M2022-04-10
MINAMina Protocolnative1.751.7157-1.96%2.97+69.71%0.4598✗1.05343k2022-04-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1131.0926-1.83%1.275+14.56%0.0690✗1.003.0M2022-04-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039060.038371-1.76%0.04557+16.67%0.0973✗0.8827k2022-04-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01430.014051-1.74%0.02513+75.73%0.4616✗1.4112.7M2022-04-10
HIVEHivenative0.86610.851053-1.74%0.919+6.11%0.0203✓1.141.9M2022-04-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,852.8038,411.45-1.14%42,359.40+9.03%0.0150✗0.9746k2022-04-10
TRXTRONTron0.0602030.059525-1.13%0.062515+3.84%0.0091✓0.68282k2022-04-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.0512.9077-1.09%15.24+16.78%0.0724✗1.1047.1M2022-04-10
ETHEthereumEthereum2,556.422,533.01-0.92%3,203.05+25.29%0.1457✗1.05518.1M2022-04-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,732.0438,852.63+0.31%42,165.96+8.87%0.0031✗1.00741.9M2022-04-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.